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☆ Morning Bid: Breathtaking Powell jolts
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Rate markets are still scrambling to re-set and even the White House seemed taken aback by what it hoped would not be an overreaction to the surprisingly robust start to the new year. "But we're dealing with one month of data and people need to sit back and take a breath." The frenetic activity saw the measure of implied Treasury market volatility (.MOVE) jump to its highest level this year. Sterling , the Japanese yen , China's yuan and both the Australian and Canadian dollars all hit their lowest levels of 2023. * Bank of Canada policy decision* U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies to House Financial Services Committee.

☆ Dollar edges higher, headed for 1st monthly gain since September
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"The market has repriced the Fed and it now sees a higher terminal rate and low scope for cuts for the rest of the year. And that's what the dollar strength reflects," said Vassili Serebriakov, FX strategist, at UBS. The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of peers, was 0.29% higher at 104.98, and is set for a February gain of 2.4%, its first monthly increase since September. We think some of the dollar strength is exaggerated. So we are cautiously fading dollar strength," UBS' Serebriakov said.

☆ Dollar, sterling underpinned by upbeat PMI surveys; kiwi jumps
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar rose against most major currencies after the upbeat data save for sterling , which jumped 0.6% on Tuesday. The euro , however, failed to benefit from the data as it slid 0.36% in the previous session. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar rose to a two-month high of 135.23 in the previous session, and slipped marginally to 134.91 in early Asia trade on Wednesday. The two-year yields jumped to an over three-month high of 4.738% in the previous session, and last stood at 4.6933%. The kiwi rose 0.39% to $0.6238, after earlier jumping roughly 0.5% to an intra-day high of $0.6248 immediately after the RBNZ's cash rate decision.

☆ Analysis: The deep freeze over UK assets is thawing
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( Naomi Rovnick | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"This does suggest a possible inflection point in sentiment towards UK assets," said Nick Kissack, a UK portfolio manager at Schroders, which manages roughly $910 billion of client funds. "We saw extreme levels of risk aversion," in September, he added, while "the risk premium for UK assets has come down since." That, in short, is an outlook of higher global interest rates, weak growth and high inflation. Reuters GraphicsHowever, analysts expect the FTSE 100's rise to falter with a stronger global growth outlook combined with waning energy inflation. "The UK is the standout global economy where growth prospects have not improved," said Baylee Wakefield, multi-asset portfolio manager at Aviva Investors, who expects gilts to continue outperforming Treasuries.

☆ Dollar stands tall as hawkish ECB fans downturn fears
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

It has been a volatile week for the greenback though, which has it ultimately on track for a 0.47% decline. The dollar climbed as high as 138.18 yen on Thursday for the first time since Nov. 30, ending that day with a 1.68% gain. Sterling , which is also part of the dollar index, gained 0.11% to $1.21945, following a 1.99% tumble the previous day. The Bank of England raised its key interest rate on Thursday as well and indicated more hikes were likely. The New Zealand dollar bounced 0.19% to $0.6353 following a 1.84% tumble on Thursday, when it dipped to $0.6321, also a first since Dec. 7.

☆ Dollar to rebound, accumulate safe-haven strength in 2023: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Indradip Ghosh | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

BENGALURU, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The dollar will rebound against most currencies over the coming months, with the growing threat of recession in the U.S. and elsewhere keeping it firm in 2023 through safe-haven flows, according to market strategists polled by Reuters. Nearly two-thirds or 33 of 51 strategists who answered an additional question said the greater dollar risk over the coming month was that it would rebound rather than falling further. "We foresee volatility levels remaining high in the coming months and expect it is too early for USD bulls to fully capitulate." Most major central banks, including the Fed, are expected to end their tightening campaigns in early 2023. An overwhelming 80% majority, or 42 of 51 respondents, said there was not much scope for dollar upside based on monetary policy.

☆ Raphael Warnock, Herschel Walker Square Off in Georgia Senate Runoff Election
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Cameron Mcwhirter | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

ATLANTA–Well over 1 million people went to the polls Tuesday in a runoff to determine whether incumbent Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock goes back to Washington or is replaced by GOP challenger Herschel Walker , according to Georgia officials. Most polls closed at 7 p.m., and Tuesday’s voting went smoothly with few problems across the state, according to Gabriel Sterling , chief operating officer of the Georgia Secretary of State’s Office, which oversees elections. Election day followed record-breaking early voting in the runoff in which about 1.85 million in-person and mail-in votes had been tallied by Dec. 2, the last day of early voting.

☆ Britain's budget: What you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Finance minister Jeremy Hunt will bury Britain's failed "Trussonomics" experiment on Thursday by cutting spending and raising taxes, moves that he and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak say are needed to restore investor confidence. He has warned of "tough but necessary" measures in the budget on top of the reversal of most of the unfunded tax cuts promised by former Prime Minister Liz Truss and which rapidly brought her down. * Britain's economy is still below its pre-COVID size and is probably already in recession, with 11% inflation creating a cost-of-living crisis. * "We need fiscal and monetary policy to work together" to beat inflation, Hunt will say. * The independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) will report on the state of public finances after Hunt speaks.

☆ Dollar catches footing ahead of U.S. midterms
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-08 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/3] U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationSINGAPORE, Nov 8 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied during Asia trade on Tuesday after some of the momentum ebbed out of bets on China's reopening, and as traders looked ahead to U.S. midterm elections. Some analysts say that outcome could be positive for bonds and negative for the dollar if it leads to less fiscal stimulus. Sterling , which surged on Monday, was 0.2% weaker at $1.1490, with focus there on fiscal update expected on Nov. 17. The Japanese yen hit a one-week high of 146.35 per dollar.

☆ Euro, sterling jump, dollar tumbles as market turns to risk assets
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] U.S. dollar and British pound notes are seen in this November 7, 2016 picture illustration. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationLONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Euro and sterling rose against the safe-haven U.S. dollar on Monday, supported by a risk-on sentiment across markets with European stocks rising on persistent hopes China will ease COVID restrictions. Another risk-sensitive currency, sterling , reversed earlier losses to trade up 0.6% to $1.1442, while the euro jumped to its highest since Oct. 27. Four Fed policymakers on Friday also indicated they would still consider a smaller interest rate hike at their next policy meeting. Reporting by Joice Alves in London; Editing by Ed Osmond and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ POLL Dollar's retreat temporary, likely to reclaim recent highs
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

BENGALURU, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The dollar's retreat in foreign exchange markets is temporary, according to a Reuters poll of currency strategists, who said the greenback still had enough strength left to reclaim or surpass its recent highs and resume its relentless rise. The Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark rate by 75 basis points on Wednesday, its fourth jumbo increase in a row. However, for the December meeting interest rate futures showed a split on the odds of a 75 or 50 basis point increase. Those six and 12-month median forecasts were a slight upgrade from the October poll and the first since April. It was expected to trade around 146.0, 141.7 and 135.0 per dollar over the next three, six and 12 months respectively.

☆ Dollar's retreat temporary, likely to reclaim recent highs - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

☆ Sterling dips as market trims BoE rate hike bets, yen scrabbles off 32-yr low
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The battered Japanese yen traded near a 32-year trough to the dollar at 149 yen, putting the major psychological barrier of 150 in focus. ING expects now a 75 basis-point rate hike in November rather a full-point move expected before the fiscal policy U-turn, Smith added. The euro was volatile weakened against the dollar following German investor sentiment data, which albeit less pessimistic than expected, still painted a bleak picture of Europe's biggest economy. The dollar index which measures its performance against six major currencies, including sterling, the euro and the yen - was last down 0.1% at 112.00. Britain's policy U-turn saw the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar surge more than 1%, already lifted by hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data, boosting bets for further rate hikes.

☆ Asian stocks weaken as Fed, BoE fuel uncertainty before U.S. CPI data
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. long-term Treasury yields languished near the lows of the past two days, sitting little changed at 3.9227% in Tokyo trading. Treasury yields turned lower after the minutes, reversing an earlier rise, with investors focusing on the dovish undertones in taking yields back from near two-decade highs. The dollar index, which gauges the greenback against six major rivals, stuck near the middle of its range this week, trading little changed at 113.27. But the dollar was little changed versus sterling , which had rebounded strongly from a two-week trough of $1.0925 on Tuesday. Benchmark 10-year gilt yields had swung from a fresh 14-year peak at 4.632% to close at 4.429% on Wednesday, little changed from the previous session.

☆ Britain's bond market turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The country's financial markets have been in turmoil since finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng last month unveiled tax cuts with no details of how they would be paid for. * The Bank of England has been forced into emergency bond-buying to stem a sharp sell-off in Britain's 2.1 trillion pound ($2.3 trillion) government bond market that threatens to wreak havoc in the pension industry and increase recession risks. * The BoE interventions have highlighted a growing segment of Britain's pensions sector - liability-driven investment. MAJOR PLAYERS* BoE governor Bailey said on Tuesday on the sidelines of an IMF meeting in Washington that BoE support for the pension funds would end as planned on Friday. MARKET REACTION* The 20- and 30-year UK government bond yields both hit their highest since 2002 at 5.195% and 5.1% respectively, passing above 5% for the first time since the BoE began buying bonds on Sept. 28 to calm the turmoil.

☆ Runaway dollar pauses for breath as bears stalk stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Xie Yu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Pound and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken January 6, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationHONG KONG, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Asian markets attempted to stabilise on Tuesday after a wild few days of stumbling stocks, crumbling bonds, a plunging pound and soaring dollar, with the dollar easing a bit and stocks flat. S&P 500 futures rose 0.7%, and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.1%. After two weeks of mostly steady losses on the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) confirmed on Monday that it was in a bear market, tracing its start to declines in early January. The dollar index on Tuesday eased 0.1% to 113.8, after earlier touching 114.58, its strongest against a basket of peer currencies since May 2002.

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