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UBS Both stocks and bonds retreated in October in the wake of war in the Middle East and concerns about rates, UBS said. Wells Fargo Investment Institute In an Oct. 30 note, Wells Fargo said it expects a recession and the average stock will likely continue to struggle. How to invest UBS favors the higher-quality segments of fixed income, preferring high-grade government and investment-grade bonds. Overall, Wells Fargo said, it's most favorable on U.S. long-term taxable fixed income, and its short-term counterpart, and favorable on U.S. taxable investment-grade fixed income. It's least favorable on U.S. intermediate-term taxable fixed income and high yield taxable fixed income.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, it's, inching, Scott Wren, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo's Wren, Schroders Bond, Schroders, Neil Sutherland, Sutherland, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, UBS Locations: U.S ., Wells Fargo, U.S
Morgan Stanley’s new CEO inherits rich pickings
  + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
A good place to start is outside Morgan Stanley’s home market. Morgan Stanley’s two last big acquisitions were chunky, at a combined $20 billion, but also filled niches. E*Trade, an online brokerage, brought millions of households and company employees that Morgan Stanley hadn’t previously served. Eaton Vance, a U.S. asset manager, peddles investment products that Morgan Stanley now funnels through sales teams in far-flung markets. CEO Jane Fraser shows no inclination to sell private banking, which for now sits within the group’s $756 billion global wealth management bucket.
Persons: Ted Pick’s, Morgan Stanley, Pick, James Gorman, Morgan, Gorman, Germany’s, Britain’s, Morgan Stanley’s, Morgan Stanley hadn’t, Eaton Vance, Smith Barney, watchdogs, Jane Fraser, It’s, Noel Quinn’s, Ping, Colm Kelleher, Ted Pick, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Credit Suisse, McKinsey ., Morgan, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Infrastructure, Citi, U.S, HSBC, HK, UBS, Thomson Locations: U.S, American, Asia, Pacific, Japan, India, China, French, Europe, Switzerland, HK, Swiss
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe path of least resistance is still for S&P 500 to continue to climb: Schroders' Johanna KyrklundJohanna Kyrklund, Schroders co-head of investment and group CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why she expects the bond volatility to stabilize and believes the soft-landing narrative can allow the S&P 500 to deliver further gains, and more.
Persons: Schroders, Johanna Kyrklund Johanna Kyrklund Organizations: CIO
Investors searching for income in today's volatile markets may want to look at the "magic seven" U.K. stocks identified by Berenberg. "The U.K. equity market is cheap," Berenberg analysts Jonathan Stubbs and Leoni Externest said in a note to clients on Oct. 13. "The median U.K. dividend yield is back to 3.6% and close to the highs of last year (3.8%)." Berenberg's analysis shows dividend yields above 4.5% have resulted in median returns near 30% for Rio Tinto, with a more-than-90% success rate. Aviva The insurer's 7.8% dividend yield has rebounded from below 2% during Covid-19.
Persons: Berenberg, Jonathan Stubbs, Leoni Externest Organizations: Tobacco, Rio Tinto, Aviva, Legal, General, British Locations: London, Rio, British, U.S, Germany, Rio Tinto
St James’s Place adds extra twist to wealth pain
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - St James’s Place (SJP.L) is in a tricky spot. Wealth managers around the world are finding it harder to justify their fees as interest rates in countries like the UK have topped 5%. Friday’s 16% drop in the 4 billion pound UK wealth manager’s shares reflects its problematic twist on that trend. The UK firm is under pressure from regulators to overhaul its fee structure to comply with new rules brought in by the Financial Conduct Authority. SJP, run by CEO Andrew Croft, has been facing intense scrutiny due to its complex fee structure and stiff penalties for clients who look to withdraw their cash.
Persons: Andrew Croft, SJP, Aimee Donnellan, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Financial, Authority, Reuters Graphics Reuters, X, Infosys, Ericsson, Thomson Locations: Europe
The company describes B2B influencers as those with "credible expertise rooted in proven experience that contributes to professional opinion." B2B influencers are, for example, company founders, C-suite employees at brands, researchers, doctors, and academics. 67% of B2B influencer campaigns had more impact on the brands' marketing performance than brand-only campaignsAnd over three-quarters of marketers said they expected influencer marketing to outperform brand-only marketing in the near future. Traditionally, the lack of measurable outcomes in influencer marketing has been a hurdle in securing marketing budget increases, the Ogilvy study said. Many influencer-marketing campaigns are considered "awareness" campaigns, or campaigns that aim to spread the word about a certain brand.
Persons: Ogilvy, Rahul Titus, they're, James Baldwin, Beth Saint, We're, influencers Organizations: EY, JPMorgan, Nokia, IBM, B2B, Ogilvy, YouTube, Facebook, LinkedIn
Benefiting from the highest interest rates since 2008, pension funds are better funded to meet future payouts than they have been in years. Because insurers hold a lot less government debt than pension funds, favouring higher-return assets such as corporate debt, they are expected to sell some of the gilts they receive. It is selling 240 billion pounds of debt this year, a record, save for 2020-21. Helped by the pension fund demand of past years, Britain's average debt life is around 15 years, more than double the U.S. and Germany's. Britain has already started skewing its funding towards shorter debt this year, citing high borrowing needs, a move investors reckon also reflects declining pension fund appetite.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, BoE, gilts, Chris Jeffery, Lane Clark, Peacock, Barry Kenneth, Van Lanschot, Arif Saad, Craig, Owen Davies, LGIM's Jeffery, Yoruk, Carolyn Cohn, Dhara Ranasinghe, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of England, Legal, General Investment Management, Fund, Investment, Royal London Asset Management, Investors, Yoruk Bahceli, Thomson Locations: gilts, Germany's, Britain, Amsterdam, London
"As cash yields remain elevated and inflation has cooled significantly from last year's levels, cash yields moved into positive territory on a real, inflation-adjusted basis after a few years of negative real yields," said Veronica Willis, global investment strategist at the firm. The pros weigh in on whether it's a good idea to stay in cash for the remainder of the year. Cash to 'outperform' stocks In a Sept. 7 note, Barclays said it believes cash will, in the fourth quarter, outperform stocks for a second straight quarter. So, for a second straight quarter, we prefer the company of cash over stocks and bonds," Barclays wrote, describing major asset classes as "still unattractive." "If short-term interest rates fall, short-term investments or cash investors will need to reinvest at a lower rate, reducing future returns.
Persons: it's, Veronica Willis, Cash, David Kostin, CNBC's, JPMorgan, Ray Dalio, Willis, Schroders, , Balakrishner, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Federal, Treasury, Fargo Investment Institute, Barclays, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Milken Institute Asia Summit, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Fargo, U.S, Singapore, Wells Fargo
That data indicates that the Federal Reserve is still likely to hold rates steady next week, some investors say. Inflation: US inflation climbed 3.7% in August from the prior year, marking an acceleration for the second consecutive month, according to the latest Consumer Price Index. Excluding the boost from gas station sales, retail spending added 0.2% in August from July. Traders see a roughly 97% chance that the central bank keeps rates unchanged in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The central bank has now raised its main interest rate at 10 consecutive meetings, taking it to the highest level since the launch of the euro currency in 1999.
Persons: , , Sam Millette, Price, Taylor Swift, Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Liz Young, CNN’s Olesya, Michelle Toh ., Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, National Federation of Independent Business, Comerica Bank, Traders, European Central Bank, Central Bank, ECB, Cornell University, Schroders, Fashion, Cornell’s Global Labor Institute Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam, Cambodia, Schroders
Together, they account for 18% of global apparel exports, roughly 10,000 clothing and footwear factories and more than 10.6 million manufacturing workers. Pakistan, especially, is no stranger to extreme weather, with more than one third of the country underwater last year during its worst floods in history. The first scenario includes the assumption that heat stress will cause considerable changes in worker productivity. For example, output may decline by about 1.5% for each 1°C increase in the “wet-bulb globe temperature,” a measure of heat stress, according to the report. “Workers need these investments now because extreme heat standards and flood protections are non-existent.”
Persons: Mohammad Ponir Hossain, Schroders, Jason Judd Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Cornell University, Schroders, Fashion, Cornell’s Global Labor Institute, Reuters, Cornell, “ Workers Locations: Hong Kong, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam, Cambodia, Schroders, Dhaka, Phnom Penh, Karachi, Lahore, Ho Chi Minh City, Hanoi, South, Southeast Asia
The study also mapped out the supply chains of six unidentified global apparel brands operating in the four countries studied - Bangladesh, Cambodia, Pakistan and Vietnam - and found all six would be hit materially. There are some [apparel] brands not disclosing the factory locations of their suppliers," said Angus Bauer, Schroders' head of sustainable investment research. Using projections, the researchers analysed future heat and flooding levels to estimate what would happen under a "climate adaptive" scenario and a "high heat and flooding" scenario. Flooding will also force factories to close in the four countries, which account for 18% of global apparel exports and employ 10.6 million workers in apparel and footwear factories. By 2050, lost export earnings would reach 68.6% and there would be 8.64 million fewer jobs.
Persons: Jason Judd, Judd, Angus Bauer, Schroders, Bauer, Tommy Reggiori Wilkes, Mark Potter Organizations: Cornell University, Reuters, Cornell Global Labor Institute, Thomson Locations: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Pakistan, Vietnam
Nuclear power has been touted as a proven, safe way of producing clean energy, but why isn't it more widely adopted? Schroders noted that nuclear power is not only scalable, but much cleaner — emitting just 10-15 grams of CO2 equivalent per kilowatt hour. That's the reason why nations are having a second look at nuclear power, Shellenberger said. A report by global campaigning network Greenpeace in March 2022 was of the position that besides the commonly held concern of nuclear safety, nuclear energy is too expensive and too slow to deploy compared to other renewables. Greenpeace acknowledged that "all in all, nuclear power stations score comparable with wind and solar energy."
Persons: Sean Gallup, Michael Shellenberger, Schroders, Shellenberger, we're, CNBC's, Adam Fleck, hasn't, Fleck Organizations: Getty, Greenpeace, CNBC, Governments, International Energy Agency, Soviet Union Locations: U.S, Ukraine, Fukushima, Japan
They are: BOCIP China Value A Fidelity China Focus A Dist USD Ninety One GSF All China Eq A Acc HKD The first two have a value-style tilt – and not only beat the MSCI China Index in the first half of this year, but also in all of 2022, according to Morningstar. Although both value and growth China funds have generally posted losses over the three years ended July 2023, growth has lagged value by 12% a year, Liang said. However, she was quick to point out that just focusing on a single investment style such as value versus growth isn't enough. In terms of Morningstar's fund ratings — based on factors the firm calls people, process and parent — Schroder's ISF China Opps and FSSA China Growth have gold ratings for strong performance in the "people" and "process" categories. Closely watching valuations helped Schroders China's portfolio manager take some timely profits on "some overheated information technology" stocks, Liang said.
Persons: Warren Buffett, , Claire Liang, Morningstar's, Liang, Benjamin Graham's, Goldman Sachs, It's, Timothy Moe Organizations: Morningstar, Fidelity, Acc, China, House Research Institute, Netflix, Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Locations: China, Fidelity China, Asia, Suzhou
Moyo Studio | E+ | Getty ImagesSocial Security benefits provide retirement income for millions of Americans. Myth 1: Claiming early is bestNegative headlines may scare people into claiming as early as possible to get the most benefits. Eligibility for Social Security retirement benefits starts at age 62. Myth 4: Social Security benefits are not taxedThanasis | Moment | Getty ImagesThe misperception that Social Security benefits aren't taxed is "perhaps the biggest myth of all," said Mary Johnson, Social Security and Medicare policy analyst at The Senior Citizens League. That includes the sum of your adjusted gross income, nontaxable interest and half of your Social Security benefits.
Persons: that's, Joe Elsasser, Elsasser, Laurence Kotlikoff, Bruce Tannahill, there's, Kotlikoff, Tannahill, Mary Johnson, Anna Frank Organizations: Social Security, Social, Security, Boston University, Senior Citizens League . Social Security
Maryviolet | Istock | Getty ImagesResearch suggests it's best to hold off on claiming Social Security retirement benefits until age 70, if possible, to get the biggest monthly payments available to you. That includes 17% of respondents ages 60 to 65, who may be on the brink of retirement, according to the results. Why it pays to wait to claim Social Security benefitsEarly claiming will affect the size of your monthly Social Security checks. For each year delayed past full retirement age to age 70, 8% is added to Social Security benefits. By waiting up to age 70, retirees can lock in the biggest benefit checks available based on their work records.
Persons: , Deb Boyden, Larry Kotlikoff, David Altig, Victor Yifan Ye, Kotlikoff Organizations: Istock, Getty Images Research, Social, Security, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Boston University, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Opendoor Technologies, Finance
LONDON, Aug 2 (Reuters) - The economic picture may not have to change much for the surprise element to disappear for markets - underlining the significance of this summer's sometimes grudging admissions of investment strategy missteps. SURPRISE, SURPRISEExceptional U.S. economic surprisesU.S. surprise gaps the widest in decades, excluding pandemicAlong with market moves themselves and skewed positioning monitors, the simplest take on the unpreparedness of investors can be seen in economic surprise indices. The global surprise index is close to zero, suggesting expectations for the world economy in aggregate are actually coming in on cue. And if that happens, it may just suck the oxygen from the stellar equity outperformance over bonds to date. If true, markets may find the going harder without that element of surprise.
Persons: What's, Schroders, Johanna Kyrklund, hasn't, Kyrklund, Chris Iggo, Mike Dolan Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, U.S, Graphics, AXA IM Investment, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Europe, Japan, China, U.S
July 27 (Reuters) - British asset manager Schroders (SDR.L) reported a drop in first-half assets under management on Thursday, due to weaker investor sentiment and market volatility. Schroders' assets under management fell to 726.1 billion pounds ($940 billion) in the six months to June 30, from 737.5 billion pounds at December-end. The company generated 5.7 billion pounds in net new business, excluding joint ventures and associates. In contrast, Jupiter Fund Management (JUP.L) jumped 14% to the top of the FTSE mid-cap (.FTMC) after it reported assets under management rose 2% to 51.4 billion pounds. The fund manager saw "small" net inflows of 23 million pounds, helped by institutional client demand.
Persons: Schroders, Calastone, Peter Harrison, Jefferies, James's, Peel Hunt, Eva Mathews, Savio D'Souza, Sinead Cruise, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Reuters, Bank of England, JPMorgan, Jupiter Fund, Peel, Thomson Locations: British, Bengaluru
For markets, BoE communication is bottom of the class
  + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
U.S. Federal Reserve and European Central Bank expectations have meanwhile risen only marginally. For investors, clear communication from central bankers is crucial as they transmit their policy to borrowing costs through markets. The BoE was the first major central bank to start hiking rates. In contrast, they have long bet on more hikes than the BoE's main forecasts have implied are needed to tame inflation, rates futures show. BoE messaging, suggesting a reluctance to hike, has made it "very difficult" to own gilts recently, he said.
Persons: BoE, Toby Melville, Shamik Dhar, Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Schroders, Azad Zangana, Zangana, Liz Truss, Myles Bradshaw, Chris Jeffery, Jerome, Powell, Christine, Lagarde, it's, Craig, Yoruk, Dhara Ranasinghe, William Schomberg, John Stonestreet Organizations: Bank of England, REUTERS, Fed, ECB, of England, Traders, . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Bank of England's, Investors, Graphics, of England's, Reuters, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, U.S, Dhar
[1/5] Logo of an Apple store is seen as Apple Inc. reports fourth quarter earnings in Washington, U.S., January 27, 2022. In the S&P 500, the seven stocks comprise 27.9% of the index's weight. Investors will look beyond second quarter results, said Bill Callahan, an investment strategist at Schroders. The Elon Musk-led company this month said it delivered a record number of vehicles in the second quarter. The equal-weight S&P 500 (.SPXEW), a proxy for the average stock, is modestly beating the S&P 500 over the past month -- up 3.6% versus about 3% for its counterpart.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, BofA, Bill Callahan, “ It’s, , Tajinder Dhillon, Tesla, Elon, Thomas Martin, Martin, Yu Ma, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Apple Inc, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BofA, Research, Meta, Globalt Investments, Strong U.S, BMO Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S,
LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) - Dismissal of this year's much-scorned equity market rally as the frothy preserve of a handful of AI-fuelled stocks may be both misleading and also one of its strengths. Or, put another way, if you remove the top 10 stocks, the other 490 would only have gained 4%. And an eye-popping 75% surge in the high-octane 10-stock FANG+TM index (.NYFANG) - mega cap U.S. digital and tech stocks including Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla - underlines that. In short, they're hard to avoid unless you dodge either U.S.-listed companies or equity markets altogether. "While stock market investments may be risky in the short run, when viewed against inflation they have offered far more certainty in the long run," he told clients.
Persons: Russell, Andrew Lapthorne, Japan's, Germany's DAX, Italy's, Duncan Lamont, Lamont, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, H1 Stock, Japan's Nikkei, MIB, McKinsey, Bank, Big Tech, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Europe, Japan, U.S, United States
July 2 (Reuters) - Barclays (BARC.L) is looking to terminate its corporate banking relationship with Odey Asset Management (OAM), the Financial Times reported on Sunday, predominantly due to sexual assault allegations against founder Crispin Odey. The British hedge fund has grappled with redemptions since the FT and Tortoise Media on June 8 jointly reported allegations by 13 women that Crispin Odey had sexually assaulted or harassed them over a 25-year period. OAM and Barclays did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment outside usual office hours. FT also reported earlier that the FCA had restricted the movement of cash and assets from OAM to restore order at the firm. Letters to OAM investors last week showed the manager has proposed to restructure two of its key funds as part of efforts to extract Crispin Odey from the business after the assault allegations.
Persons: Crispin Odey, Odey, AJ Bell, Hargreaves Lansdown, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Rishabh, Kevin Liffey, David Holmes Organizations: Barclays, Odey Asset Management, Financial Times, redemptions, Tortoise Media, Sunday Barclays, Financial, Authority, FT, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: British, Canada, Halifax, Bengaluru
A second investor in London-based Revolut has slashed its valuation of the fintech this year. Molten Ventures, a long-term backer, has reduced the value of its position in the company by 40%. Revolut is the latest fintech star to take a valuation haircut, following on from the likes of Stripe and Klarna. A second Revolut investor has slashed its valuation of the London-based fintech company as the price correction of high-value private startups continues. Molten cut the value of its stake in Revolut from £91.3 million ($116.8 million) last year to £54.5 million ($69.7 million) as of the end of March.
Persons: Revolut, SoftBank, Draper, Martin Davis, Davis Organizations: Molten Ventures, Tiger Global, BDO, Financial, Financial Times, City Locations: London, Revolut, Europe
Here are some key facts about Odey, London-based OAM, the allegations, and their fallout:WHO ARE CRISPIN ODEY AND ODEY ASSET MANAGEMENT? Odey, 64, founded the asset management firm which bears his name in 1991. HOW BIG IS ODEY ASSET MANAGEMENT? Schroders and Canada Life last week moved to cut back their dealings with asset management businesses with links to Odey. It is looking increasingly unlikely, even though larger funds such as Odey Asset Management Group are made up of many funds with different trading strategies.
Persons: Crispin Odey, OAM, Odey, CRISPIN ODEY, Kwasi Kwarteng, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, James Hanbury, Hanbury, Peter Martin, Carolina Mandl, Nell Mackenzie, Elisa Martinuzzi, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alexander Smith Organizations: Odey, Management, Reuters, Financial Times, WHO, Asset Management, Conservative Party, Securities and Exchange Commission, Financial, Authority, Lawmakers, JPMorgan, UBS, CAN, Odey Asset Management, Inc, Carolina, Thomson Locations: London, Schroders, New York
An internal Union Investment document seen by Reuters shows that the firm received just 30 responses to its outreach. Although consumer goods manufacturers are particularly exposed, other sectors that import goods associated with deforestation, including commodities houses and industrials companies, will also face scrutiny. Consumer goods makers are counting on technology such as satellites and artificial intelligence to help eradicate deforestation from their supply chains. Several large consumer goods companies say they are close to meeting their ambitious zero-deforestation goals. "The EU rules make deforestation a financial risk as well as an environmental risk."
Persons: Ueslei Marcelino, Henrik Pontzen, Pontzen, Janus Henderson, Jonathan Toub, haven't, Snorre Gjerde, Christophe Hansen, Magdi Batato, Kit Kat, Nestlé, David Croft, Reckitt's, Arild Skedsmo, Richa Naidu, Kate Abnett, Matt Scuffham, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, EU, Germany's, Investment, Unilever, ESG, Union Investment, Nestle, Pepsico, Danone, L'Oreal, KLP, Aviva, Fidelity International, Reckitt, UN Food and Agriculture Organization, Consumer, Thomson Locations: Uruara, Para State, Brazil, NBIM, Nescafe, London, Brussels
The S&P 500 Index last week entered a bull market, meaning that it notched a 20% rally from its low in October. Moreover, investors appeared calmer than they have in years, after the United States suspended the debt ceiling in time to avoid a default, allowing investors to breathe a sigh of relief. The May Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index reports, two key inflation prints, are also due the days that the Fed meets. But the United States could still suffer a downgrade to its credit rating, even though it avoided losing its ability to make payments on time. Tuesday: Consumer Price Index report for May and NFIB small business optimism index.
Persons: CNN — Stocks, Price, , JJ Kinahan, there’s, Karim El Nokali, Jerome Powell, ” El Nokali, , Joe Biden, Benjamin Jeffery, Patrick Klein, ” Josh Lipsky, it’s, Olivier d’Assier, “ It’s, George Mateyo Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Nasdaq, United, Fed, IG North America, Fitch, AAA, BMO Capital Markets, Franklin, GeoEconomics, International Monetary Fund, Treasury Department, US Treasury, Key Private Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Survey, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Federal, University of Michigan Locations: United States, US
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