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The dollar index , which measures the currency's strength against a basket of six rivals, was down 0.31 % to 106.03 . The index rose as high as 106.98 earlier in the session after data showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 jobs last month. The numbers for August were revised higher to show 227,000 jobs added instead of the previously reported 187,000. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast September payrolls rising by 170,000 jobs. The payrolls data showed monthly wage growth remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, nonfarm, Karl Schamotta, Tony Welch, Helen, Corpay's Schamotta, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Chuck Mikolajczak, Rae Wee, Alun John, Marguerita Choy, Susan Fenton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Toronto, Atlanta, New York, Singapore, London

Jobs growth for September nearly doubled expectations as nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 for the month, strengthening views that policymakers will need to keep interest rates elevated to cool inflation. Treasury yields move inversely to bond prices. “It’s quite a report,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities. On the long end of the curve, 30-year yields surged above 5% hitting their highest since 2007. However, Craig Ellinger, head of Americas fixed income at UBS Asset Management, believes more rate increases could be in store.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, ”, Peter Cardillo, Jake Schurmeier, ” Alex McGrath, Tiffany Wilding, Craig Ellinger, Ellinger, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Stephen Culp, Sruthi Shankar, Ira Iosebashvili, Chizu Nomiyama, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Spartan Capital Securities, Harbor Capital, ADP, Fed, UBS Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, Americas

☆ Soaring Treasury yields ignite turbulence throughout markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Because the $25-trillion Treasury market is considered the bedrock of the global financial system, soaring yields on U.S. government bonds have had wide-ranging effects. Higher Treasury yields can curb investors' appetite for stocks and other risky assets by tightening financial conditions as they raise the cost of credit for companies and individuals. With some Treasury maturities offering far above 5% to investors holding the bonds to term, rising yields have also dulled the allure of equities. Reuters GraphicsWith Treasury yields surging, credit market spreads have widened as investors demand a higher yield on riskier assets, such as corporate bonds. The MOVE index (.MOVE), a measure of expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries, has surged to a 4-month high, signaling expectations for continued Treasury market ructions.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, That's, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: United States Department of, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Global Research, Reuters, Traders, Reuters Graphics, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Silicon

☆ US dollar's rally supercharged by soaring real yields on Treasuries
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

At the same time, climbing real yields make it more expensive to bet against the dollar. With real yields pushing higher, "only the bravest of traders are willing to bet against the greenback," he said. That, combined with a deceleration in inflation, has sent real yields soaring. The dollar has tracked real yields in recent years, with peaks and troughs closely aligned. Still, high real yields make him hesitant to short the U.S. currency.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Karl Schamotta, Aaron Hurd, Hurd, Corpay's Schamotta, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Chuck Mikolajczak, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Treasury Department, Futures Trading Commission, UBS Global Wealth Management, State Street Global Advisors, Thomson Locations: Toronto, U.S, Europe, China

Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. Traders have been on watch for weeks for a possible intervention by Japanese officials to combat a sustained depreciation in the yen. "It could just be people expecting intervention and then reacting to what they believed to be intervention," said Asher. To support the Japanese currency, authorities need to tap Japan's foreign reserves of dollars to sell for yen. A senior Japanese ministry of finance official declined to comment on whether Japan had intervened in foreign exchange markets.

Persons: Florence Lo, Michael Brown, Brown, Colin Asher, Asher, Niels Christensen, Jeremy Stretch, Edward Moya, Stretch, Tuesday's, Chuck Mikolajczak, Samuel Indyk, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Dhara Ranasinghe, Lucy Raitano, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, Jonathan Oatis, Andrea Ricci, Hugh Lawson, Gareth Jones Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Trader, Mizuho, Nordea, Bank of Japan, New York Federal Reserve, CIBC Capital Markets, Ministry, Finance, Seven, Japan, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, London, Copenhagen, Japan, U.S, Tokyo, Asia, New York, United States

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Seven megacap stocks -- Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) -- have led broader markets higher this year. Their rising stock prices ballooned valuations, however, and some investors say the megacaps could be vulnerable if climbing bond yields keep pressuring stocks. "When the big tech stocks start going down ... the indexes go down," said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Still, strategists point out that the rise in implied volatility for tech stocks is no more than for the broader market.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, megacaps, LSEG, Matt Maley, Miller, ”, Matt Stucky, Chris Murphy, Rick Meckler, J, Bryant Evans, ” Evans, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Susquehanna Financial Group, Amazon, Cherry Lane Investments, Cozad Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New Jersey

☆ Traders wary of volatility as JP Morgan fund's big options trade looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The fund's sheer size means its options reset can rack up a massive surge in trading volume in S&P 500 options and set off related hedging activity that can aggravate market moves. How the fund's rebalancing could end up affecting the whole market has to do with market makers - typically big financial institutions that facilitate trading but seek to remain market-neutral. As things stand, with the S&P 500 trading around the 4,290 level, market makers are short about 40,000 September 29 S&P 500 options at the 4,210 strike. Market makers who have sold these put options must sell stock futures to minimize their own risk, as the market drifts closer to the strike price of the sold options. "As we move lower, market makers need to sell and as we move higher market makers need to buy it back," Murphy said.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan, Chris Murphy, Murphy, Brent Kochuba, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Megan Davies, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, JPMorgan Hedged Equity, Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp, Amazon.com Inc, Treasury, Susquehanna Financial Group, Traders, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Dollar up as data highlights US economic resilience; yen slumps
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The data comes on the heels of disappointing data from Europe, which showed that economic activity in France fell much more quickly than expected in September. Separate survey data covering the whole euro zone showed that the economy likely contracted in the third quarter. The yen dropped as low as 148.42 to the dollar, nearing the 150-mark at which analysts have said government intervention to prop up the currency is likely. BOJ maintains ultra-low interest ratesMeanwhile, sterling was 0.47% lower at $1.2237 after data showed that the UK economy slowed sharply in September and is likely on the brink of recession.

Persons: Florence Lo, Michael Brown, Brown, Michelle Bowman, Kazuo Ueda, we've, Alvin Tan, Shunichi Suzuki, BoE, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Harry Robertson, Rae Wee, Sharon Singleton, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, P Global, Federal, Trader, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S, Europe, France, Asia, Tokyo, New York, London, Singapore

☆ Dollar eases after Fed-spurred rise; yen stronger ahead of BOJ
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, pound and Chinese 100 yuan banknotes are seen in this picture illustration, January 21, 2016. The Japanese yen strengthened against the greenback before Friday's Bank of Japan policy announcement, while the pound and the Swiss franc slipped after the British and Swiss central banks kept rates unchanged. The BOJ will end its negative interest rate policy next year, the majority of economists said in a Reuters poll, as the market has begun to envisage the demise of its ultra-easy monetary settings. The pound fell to its lowest since March after the Bank of England held interest rates steady on Thursday, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report the previous day. Meanwhile, Sweden's Riksbank and Norway's central bank both raised rates by 25 basis points, in line with expectations.

Persons: Jason Lee, Helen, Powell didn't, BoE, Monex's, Brad Bechtel, Sweden's, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Sam Holmes, Shri Navaratnam, Sharon Singleton, Richard Chang Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Friday's Bank of Japan, Swiss, British, Fed, Monex, ECB, Traders, FX, Jefferies, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Swiss, Japan, Swedish, Norwegian

☆ U.S. stock prices near level for 'mechanical selling' - Nomura's McElligott
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Options floor brokers work on the floor of the NYSE American, formerly known as the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), at New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 11, 2023. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 (.SPX) dropped to 4,401.38, near a a four-week low, putting the index on the verge of setting off a deluge of "mechanical selling", or stock selling by options dealers and certain trend-following investors, including commodity trading advisors (CTAs), Nomura’s McElligott said. The selloff also pushed the Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX) - an options-based gauge of expected stock market gyrations - to its highest in nearly four weeks. A drop below the 4,409 level for the S&P 500 triggers selling by CTAs with an estimated $12.3 billion of stock futures up for sale in aggregate, McElligott estimates. If investors react to the latest drop in the market by selling volatility or by taking profits on existing hedges it could help stifle the selling pressure on the market, he said.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Nomura, Charlie McElligott, Nomura’s McElligott, McElligott, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: NYSE, American Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Thomson, & $ Locations: New York City, U.S, Charlie McElligott .

☆ Dollar higher as Fed skips rate hike but stiffens hawkish stance
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

As they did in June, Fed policymakers at the median still see the central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate peaking this year in the 5.50%-5.75% range, just a quarter of a percentage point above the current range. But from there, the Fed's updated quarterly projections show rates falling only half a percentage point in 2024 compared with the full percentage point of cuts anticipated at the meeting in June. Interest rate sensitive two-year Treasury yields hit 17-year highs on Wednesday after the Fed decision. "It looks as though the Fed is trying to send as hawkish a signal as it possibly can," said Gennadiny Goldberg, interest rate strategist at TD Securities. The yen was down 0.13% versus the greenback at 148.05 per dollar after the Fed decision.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Karl Schamotta, Schamotta, Jerome Powell, Gennadiny Goldberg, Dominic Bunning, BoE, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Herbert, Joice Alves, Brigid Riley, Marguerita Choy, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, Bank of England, Reuters, FX Research, HSBC, Washington, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Japan, U.S, New York, London, Tokyo

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Shares of Arm Holdings fell for a fourth straight session on Wednesday after the chip designer's stellar market debut last week, with short seller interest picking up. That was up from 5.12 million shares on loan, or 2.7% of the stock's free float, on Tuesday. Short sellers need to borrow a stock to short it, and the relationship between shares on loan and shorted is normally quite close, Ortex said. Arm and Instacart were "pumped up to do the IPO," said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. Arm also has a limited number of publicly traded shares, with SoftBank (9984.T) holding a roughly 90% stake.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ortex, Peter Tuz, Caroline Valetkevitch, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Lance Tupper, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Chase Investment, People, Thomson Locations: Charlottesville , Virginia

Cboe declined to say whether those relations happened while Tilly was CEO or prior to his tenure at the helm. His resignation is the latest in a string of high-profile exits by CEOs whose personal conduct ran afoul of company policy. "When he became CEO, he grew that business from a little options exchange to a global, fintech and exchange leader. Cboe has exclusive rights to list flagship contracts linked to the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index through 2032. "The silver lining is it doesn't look like it is related to strategic or financial issue for the company," Lau said of the CEO resignation.

Persons: Edward Tilly, Piper Sandler, Brendan McDermid, Cboe, Fredric Tomczyk, Tilly, Andrew Bond, Bond, Owen Lau, Lau, Rosenblatt's Bond, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, Tomczyk, " Lau, Jaiveer Singh, Laura Matthews, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Arun Koyyur, Michelle Price, Megan Davies, Bill Berkrot, Nick Zieminski Organizations: CBOE, Inc, Piper Sandler Global Exchange, FinTech Conference, REUTERS, Rosenblatt Securities, Oppenheimer & Co, THE, Interactive, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru, New York, Lincoln

☆ Dollar eases as traders eye upcoming central bank decisions
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Data on Monday showed U.S. homebuilder confidence fell for a second month in September, with optimism dropping to the lowest since April as high interest rates cut into affordability for prospective buyers. Fed fund futures show investors expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates on hold in the 5.25% to 5.5% range on Wednesday. The European Central Bank raised interest rates to 4% last week, but said this hike could be its last. Traders think Sweden's central bank is highly likely to raise interest rates on Thursday by 25 basis points to 4%, piling more pressure on the economy. The yen was up about 0.15% against the dollar at 147.62 to the dollar, with traders out for a Japanese public holiday.

Persons: Lee Jae, BoE, BoJ, Michael Brown, Janet Yellen, Brown, Kazuo Ueda, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Chris Reese, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Trader, Treasury, European Central Bank, Traders, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Seoul, Swedish, Bank of England

☆ Arm Holdings shares slide as options draw robust trading volume
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The shares closed down 4.5% at $58.00, having risen as high as $69 on Friday, its second day of trading. Some 74,000 Arm options contracts changed hands on Monday, the first day options were available for trading. Arm made the list of the 50 most actively traded single-stock names in the options market on Monday, according to options analytics service Trade Alert. About 82% of Arm's options trading volume was concentrated in contracts set to expire on Oct. 20, with much of the volume in puts, typically used to guard against or bet on share price declines. On Monday, puts that would guard against Arm shares slipping below $50 by mid-October were the most actively traded Arm options, with nearly 11,000 contracts traded.

Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, Bernstein, Ophir Gottlieb, Gottlieb, Matt Amberson, Amberson, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Richard Chang, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, SoftBank's Arm Holdings, Facebook, Los, Market Laboratories, Arm, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Los Angeles

☆ Arm Holdings options draw robust trading volume as shares slide
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Arm shares fell 5.3% to $57.50, after rising as high as $69 on Friday, its second day of trading. Some 29,000 Arm options contracts changed hands by 11:45 a.m. (1545 GMT) on Monday, the first day options were available for trading, with volume projected to hit 63,000 by the end of the day, according to options analytics service Trade Alert. The 2012 listing of options on Facebook Inc, now known as Meta Platforms, holds the record for the most active options market debut with some 360,000 contracts changing hands on the first day of trading. About 80% of the options trading volume was concentrated in contracts set to expire on Oct. 20, with much of the volume in puts, typically used to guard against or bet on share price declines. On Monday, puts that would guard against Arm shares slipping below $55 by mid-October were the most actively traded Arm options with some 4,500 contracts traded.

Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, Ophir Gottlieb, Gottlieb, Matt Amberson, Amberson, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Richard Chang Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, SoftBank's Arm Holdings, Facebook Inc, Los, Market Laboratories, Arm, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Los Angeles

☆ Arm Holdings options to come to market starting Monday
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Nasdaq plans to list options on Arm Holdings across all six of its exchanges, a spokesperson for the exchange said on Friday. Other options exchange operators, Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z) and Intercontinental Exchange's (ICE.N) New York Stock Exchange, did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment on their own plans to list ARM options. "I have every reason to believe that when ARM options are listed they will be very popular," Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said. Arm Holdings is of significant interest to retail investors, Dan Raju, chief executive at online brokerage firm Tradier, said. I expect the listing of options to also see an initial surge in options activity followed by a tapering," he said.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, Dan Raju, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, SoftBank's, Holdings, Nasdaq, Arm Holdings, Cboe, New York Stock Exchange, ARM, Interactive, Facebook Inc, Facebook, Thomson Locations: New

Arm executives and CEO Rene Haas gather outside Nasdaq Market site, as Softbank's Arm, chip design firm, holds an initial public offering (IPO), in New York, U.S., September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 15 (Reuters) - Shares of SoftBank's Arm Holdings closed a volatile session lower on Friday, a day after a stellar Nasdaq debut that valued the British chip designer at $65 billion. The stock fell 4.5% to end at $60.75, after trading as high as $69 earlier in the session. The Nasdaq (.IXIC) was down 1.6% and the S&P 500 (.SPX) fell 1.2%, while an index of semiconductors (.SOX) sank 3%. Analysts said further trading volatility in Arm may be seen if the company draws more interest from AI-focused retail investors.

Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, chipmakers, Arm's, Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab, Rick Meckler, Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Financials, Michael Ashley Schulman, Needham, Manya Saini, Caroline Valetkevitch, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Niket Nishant, Arun Koyyur, Grant McCool Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Major U.S, Cherry Lane Investments, Analysts, Graphics Arm, Running, Capital Advisors, Nvidia, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, British, Austin , Texas, New Vernon , New Jersey, Bengaluru

☆ New ETF looks to tap hot market for zero-day options
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Miami-based ETF sponsor Defiance ETFs LLC launched the Defiance Nasdaq-100 Enhanced Option Income ETF on Thursday, the first ETF to use daily options income generation, the ETF sponsor said in a press release. The ETF seeks to tap into the dual popularity of short-dated options contracts and the heightened interest in ETFs that seek to generate income through a combination of selling options and investing in U.S. large cap stocks. Investors have also flocked to ETFs that look to generate income and reduce portfolio volatility by selling options against stocks. One such ETF - the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI.P) - has grown its assets to about $29.5 billion from about $12.4 billion a year ago. Defiance ETFs is set to launch two other ETFs - the Defiance S&P 500 Enhanced Options Income ETF and Defiance R2000 Enhanced Options Income ETF , which will employ a similar strategy with exposure to the S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Russell 2000 Indexes (.RUT), respectively.

Persons: Sylvia Jablonski, QQQY, Lois Gregson, Gregson, Russell, Seth Golden, Golden, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Richard Chang, Ira Iosebashvili, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Defiance, Investors, JPMorgan, FactSet Research Systems, Finom, Thomson Locations: Miami

☆ Short sellers must wait to take a stab at SoftBank's Arm Holdings soaring shares
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A smartphone with a displayed Arm Ltd logo is placed on a computer motherboard in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Investors looking to bet against the soaring shares of newly-listed Arm Holdings (ARM.O) may have to wait at least a day before the stock becomes available for shorting, analysts said. Shares in SoftBank's Arm Holdings (ARM.O) opened 18% above their offer price in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, valuing the British chip designer at nearly $60 billion in its return to the public markets after seven years. "I have every reason to believe that when ARM options are listed they will be very popular," said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Arm shares were last up 15.80% at $59.06.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ihor Dusaniwsky, Dusaniwsky, Steve Sosnick, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Partners, Interactive, Thomson Locations: lendable

☆ Fed meeting comes during historically tough week for US stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. The so-called "September Effect," the apparent trend where U.S. stock market returns are relatively soft in September, has been especially acute for stocks in the week after options expiration, according to Nomura. In 26 of the last 33 years, the S&P 500 Index (.SPX) fell in the week following the September options expiration, with a median drop of 1%, the analysis showed. This time around, the week will encompass the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, set to conclude on Sep. 20. The S&P 500 is down 0.9% month-to-date, and investors are bracing for a host of market-moving catalysts in coming days, including Wednesday's report on U.S. consumer prices.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Nomura, Reuters Graphics Nomura, Charlie McElligott, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nomura Securities, Reuters Graphics, Mutual, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ US exceptionalism thwarts dollar bears but Fed test looms
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Signs that the dollar will continue enjoying its yield-advantage over other currencies have undercut support for bearish views on the greenback. That theme will be tested in September, as the market braces for a flood of key U.S. economic data as well as the Fed's monetary policy meeting. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's message at next week's monetary policy meeting could also influence the dollar's trajectory. While Englander is bearish the dollar in the medium term, the currency's "underlying drivers have been going so much in the opposite direction," he said. Other dollar rebounds this year, in March and May, failed at levels not far from where the dollar index trades now.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, It's, Vassili Serebriakov, Jerome Powell's, Steven Englander, Serebriakov, it's, Kit Juckes, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Laura Matthews, Ira Iosebashvili, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Futures Trading, UBS, Reuters Graphics, Fed, Standard Chartered, Reuters, TD Securities, Societe Generale, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States

☆ US dollar rises on global growth worries; Aussie down
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. As a result the dollar is catching a solid safe haven bid," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. The euro was down 0.69% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.07225. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Alun John, Shinjini Ganguli, Mike Harrison, William Maclean Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Aussie, Thomson Locations: China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain, London

☆ Stocks decline as yields, dollar rise amid global demand worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain, December 29, 2017. Also, U.S. benchmark Treasury yields jumped, while the Aussia dollar fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The U.S. dollar index was up 0.5% at 104.69. Wall Street stocks dipped with growth stocks as Treasury yields rose.

Persons: Toby Melville, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Stephen Coates, Kim Coghill, Christina Fincher, Shounak Dasgupta, Mike Harrison Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Reserve Bank of, The U.S, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, China, Europe, U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Washington, The, New York, London

☆ U.S. dollar lifted by worries over global growth; Aussie sinks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Tuesday as jitters over global growth, particularly in China, caused investors to flock to the safe-haven U.S. currency, while the Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The euro, was down 0.72% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.0719. The U.S. dollar also climbed against China's currency, and was last up 0.42% at 7.3081 against the yuan traded offshore. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Alun John, Shri Navaratnam, Alexander Smith, Shinjini Ganguli, Mike Harrison Organizations: REUTERS, Aussie, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Thomson Locations: China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain, London

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