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Asia shares edge higher, China disinflation a drag
  + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Chinese consumer price figures surprised on the soft side with inflation falling in June and essentially unchanged from a year before. The gains in China helped MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) firm 0.6%. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.7% in the wake of a higher yen, while South Korea (.KS11) added 0.2%. Fed officials have been mostly hawkish in their communications, while markets have also priced in higher rates in Europe and the UK. Canada's central bank meets this week and markets imply a 67% chance of another hike.
Persons: Bonds, Yen, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates Organizations: Nikkei, SYDNEY, Alibaba, HK, Japan's Nikkei, South, Nasdaq, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, PepsiCo, Federal Reserve, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, reflating, Hong, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea, Wells Fargo, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia
3 things to pay attention to in the markets this coming week
  + stars: | 2023-07-08 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
The consumer price index (CPI) report — which calculates the average change over time in prices that shoppers pay for goods and services — drops Wednesday. On Thursday, the producer price index (PPI) is out and will show the change in selling prices received by producers of goods and services. ET: Consumer Price Index After the bell: MillerKnoll (MLKN) Thursday, July 13 8:30 a.m. The consumer price index (CPI) report — which calculates the average change over time in prices that shoppers pay for goods and services — drops Wednesday. ET: Consumer Price IndexAfter the bell: MillerKnoll (MLKN) Thursday, July 13 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, Wells Fargo, We'll, Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Helen of Troy, HELE, Wells, ERIC, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Federal Reserve, PPI, Delta, DAL, PepsiCo, Conagra Brands, Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan, Citigroup, UnitedHealth, Ericsson, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Anadolu Agency, Getty Locations: China, Wells, Wells Fargo, Red, Ras Behar, Egypt
This year's test, which was devised before the latest banking crisis, checked if banks would stay above the minimum 4.5% capital ratio during economic stress and macroeconomic instability. Banks will disclose their new stress capital buffer in the coming days and Well Fargo expects a reduction in the capital requirements for JP Morgan, BofA and Goldman. Goldman Sachs analysts said market focus will likely return quickly to potential increases to stress capital buffer and tougher regulations against the backdrop of Basel III revision. Citigroup (C.N) rose 0.7%, but trailed its peers as analysts said higher stress capital buffer would hamper its efforts to boost profitability. "Citi will now have the highest CET1 requirement among our banks at 12.3%," J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a client note.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Banks, JP Morgan, BofA, Goldman, Wells, J.P, Morgan, It's, Brian Jacobsen, Manya Saini, Niket Nishant, Chuck Mikolajczak, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Big, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Fargo, JP, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Wall Street, Jefferies, Citizens, Citigroup, Citi, Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, RBC Capital Markets, Wealth Management, Reuters, Banks, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo, Basel, U.S, Menomonee Falls , Wisconsin, Bengaluru
US banks gird for dose of post-stress-test trauma
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
NEW YORK, June 29 (Reuters Breakingviews) - For the biggest U.S. banks, the nerves this year come after the exam. Fed stress tests subject banks to a theoretical market shock and incorporate elements of operational risk, and then spit out a “stress capital buffer” requirement tailored to each firm. The risk for banks is that new rules get piled on top of existing regulations in a process known as gold-plating. U.S. banks are awaiting a proposal from their regulators to revamp capital rules, expected in July. Gruenberg said regulators were considering expanding the reach of a stricter set of capital rules to include banks with over $100 billion in assets.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Michael Barr, Jamie Dimon, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Jay Powell, PwC, watchdogs, Michelle Bowman, Martin Gruenberg, It’s, Gruenberg, Peter Thal Larsen, Streisand Neto Organizations: YORK, Reuters, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Banking Supervision, Basel III, America, State Street, Bank of New York Mellon, Big, Bank, U.S ., Reuters Graphics Reuters, Signature Bank, First, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance, FDIC, Credit Suisse, Committee, , “ Basel IV, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Basel, Goldman, Big U.S, Swiss, “ Basel
WASHINGTON, June 28 (Reuters) - Big U.S. banks' commercial real estate portfolios put in a surprisingly good performance during the Federal Reserve's annual health checks, with losses declining slightly on last year, the central bank said on Wednesday. With risks growing in the commercial real estate (CRE) sector globally, analysts and investors were looking to the Fed's "stress tests" for more insight on how exposed the country's lenders are to falling real estate prices. Commercial real estate (CRE), especially offices, has been hit by interest rates hikes and workers choosing to stay at home. The Fed's annual bank "stress tests" established following the 2007-2009 financial crisis probe how lenders would fare against an extreme scenario: a 40% decline in commercial real estate values. The average projected CRE loan loss rate across the group was 8.8% of average loan balances, compared with 9.8% last year, the Fed said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Michelle Price, Pete Schroeder, Stephen Coates Organizations: Federal, Moody's Investors Service, Bank of America Corporation, of New York Mellon Corporation, Barclays US, BMO Financial Corp, Financial Corporation, Charles, Charles Schwab Corporation, Citigroup Inc, Financial Group, Inc, Suisse Holdings, DB USA Corporation, Goldman, Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase & Co, T Bank Corporation, Northern Trust Corporation, PNC Financial Services Group, RBC US Group Holdings, Street Corporation, US Holdings, Truist Financial Corporation, UBS, Holding, . Bancorp, & Company, Thomson Locations: Big U.S
The bill, signed into law late last year, requires employers to automatically enroll all eligible workers into their retirement plans at a savings rate of 3% of salary. Americans had pension plans, Social Security benefits, and their own savings through plans like the 401(k). Those funds tend to be controlled by large asset managers. But through a process called proxy voting, large asset managers are able to vote on shareholder resolutions on behalf of their clients. Asset managers have “significant influence over company practices,” wrote shareholder advocacy group ShareAction in a recent report.
Persons: New York CNN —, That’s, , Dave Stinnett, What’s, ShareAction, Tesla, Torsten Slok Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, BlackRock, Vanguard Group, Fidelity Investments, Street Global Advisors, Vanguard, Social Security, Social, Social Security Agency, Security, Lawmakers, Blackrock, Fidelity, Boston University School of Law, Harvard Law School, Vanda Research, EV, Apollo Global Management Locations: New York, United States
REUTERS/Caitlin OchsJune 13 (Reuters) - Shares of U.S. banks rose on Tuesday after inflation data backed the view that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday while leaving the door open for more hikes later that will further boost interest income. The data lifted the S&P 500 Banks Index (.SPXBK) 1.5%, while the KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) gained about 1.6%. Higher net interest income has helped cushion a slump in the banking sector's market-sensitive business units such as investment banking and trading. On Tuesday, Wells Fargo CFO Mike Santomassimo said the lender expected an upside to interest income this year going ahead. Missing the rally were shares of Zions Bancorporation (ZION.O) after executives said at a conference that interest income at the regional lender was trending toward.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Wells, Mike Santomassimo, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Zions, Manya Saini, Sriraj Organizations: JPMorgan Chase Bank, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Banks, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance, Comerica, U.S . Bancorp, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, KBW, Monday's, Wells Fargo, Bengaluru
Here is a look at major efforts and, in some cases, their impact on specific industries. In addition, legislation pending in states, including Texas and Florida, aims to limit the consideration of ESG factors by pension funds, which could cut off fund firms from public contracts. Top fund firms such as BlackRock Inc (BLK.N) and State Street Corp (STT.N) - both NZAM members - have said their ESG efforts only support clients concerns, for instance the view that climate change poses investment risks. Several of the bills have been passed into law in states including Mississippi and West Virginia. Republicans failed to gain control of the U.S. Senate in elections held Nov. 8, however, limiting their investigative powers.
April 19 (Reuters) - Citizens Financial Group Inc's (CFG.N) first-quarter profit missed Wall Street estimates as deposits declined and it set aside more rainy-day funds to cover for souring loans. The potential economic downturn prompted Citizens to set aside $168 million in case its customers default on their loans, compared with $3 million a year earlier. Citizens gradually set aside more money to cover potential losses on office loans, where it predicts weakness as remote working becomes more popular, while rising interest rates and a weaker economy put pressure on borrowers. Average deposits fell 2.6% to $174.4 billion in the three months ended March 31, compared with $179 billion at the end of the previous quarter. Citizens reported an underlying profit of $1.10 per share; analysts' on average had expected it to report $1.13 per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data.
Morning Bid: Global pulse picks up, rates creep higher again
  + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWith investors largely assuming recession ahead, an accelerating global economic pulse challenges the narrative and is seeing interest rates tick back higher again as the March banking wobble subsides. With March starts and permits numbers out later, there was also signs of a troughing in the U.S. housing market. Confidence among U.S. single-family homebuilders improved for a fourth straight month in April as a dearth of previously owned homes and falling mortgage rates boosted demand. Wall St futures were higher again on Tuesday, with European bourses and most Asia indices advancing too. With euro zone and UK rate expectations pushing higher too, the dollar slipped back again against the euro and sterling .
Wall Street closed lower on Friday after mixed economic data appeared to affirm another Fed interest rate hike in May, dampening investor enthusiasm after a series of big U.S. bank earnings launched the first-quarter reporting season. "Regional bank earnings will come in very slightly positive, while bigger banks will probably post surprisingly positive results." Other major U.S. banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N), Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) will report through the week. ET, Dow e-minis were up 35 points, or 0.10%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.75 points, or 0.04%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%. Prometheus Biosciences Inc (RXDX.O) rallied 69.9% after Merck & Co (MRK.N) said it will buy the biotech company for about $10.8 billion.
State Street profit misses on lower fee income; shares fall
  + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
State Street, the world's largest custodian bank, saw its assets under custody or administration fall 10% to $37.6 trillion in the first quarter. Along with a number of other large U.S. banks, State Street provided $1 billion of liquidity to First Republic Bank (FRC.N) last month. State Street set aside $44 million as provision for credit losses in the reported quarter as steep rate rises stoke fears of an economic slowdown. Analysts had expected State Street to earn $1.64 per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data. "We are optimistic about client onboardings and we expect revenue growth in the coming quarter," State Street Chief Executive Officer Ron O'Hanley said.
April 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. It's been a careful start to the week in Asia with stocks and bonds little changed and the dollar holding most of Friday's bounce. The caution is understandable given the week holds updates on Chinese economic growth and global PMIs, along with the Fed's Beige book and at least eight Fed speakers. Analysts are generally optimistic for the China data given the stunning strength of recent trade figures. Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) had both been expected to report a drop in profit, though that might not be inevitable given last Friday's upside surprises on earnings.
Futures subdued as investors eye bank earnings, Fed cues
  + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.07%, S&P 0.10%, Nasdaq 0.01%April 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were largely flat on Monday as investors awaited more bank earnings and views from Federal Reserve policymakers that could shape expectations around when the central bank will pause its monetary policy tightening. Wall Street ended lower on Friday as a barrage of mixed economic data appeared to affirm another Fed interest rate hike in May, dampening investor enthusiasm after a series of big U.S. bank earnings launched the first-quarter reporting season. U.S. central bank officials including New York Fed President John Williams and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester are scheduled to speak later this week. ET (1230 GMT) is expected to show business conditions in New York state improved in April after slumping in the previous month. ET, Dow e-minis were up 24 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 4.25 points, or 0.10%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 1 point, or 0.01%.
Wall Street closed lower on Friday after mixed economic data appeared to affirm another Fed rate hike in May, dampening investor enthusiasm after a series of big U.S. bank earnings launched the first-quarter reporting season. Other major U.S. banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N), Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) will report through the week. "Regional bank earnings will come in very slightly positive, while bigger banks will probably post surprisingly positive results," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. Prometheus Biosciences Inc (RXDX.O) rallied 69.5% on Merck & Co's (MRK.N) plans to buy the biotech company for about $10.8 billion. The S&P index recorded nine new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 29 new highs and 55 new lows.
State Street reported misses on the top and bottom lines for the first quarter. Analysts and State Street's management's drilled down on a small portion of the company's business during the conference call — noninterest-bearing accounts. While retail investors are likely more familiar with State Street's ETF arm, the company's business clients use State Street's custody services, which can include keeping cash in operational accounts that earn zero interest. That shift, even if the money goes into other State Street products, hurts the company's net interest income because customers are now getting a cut of the interest. State Street CEO Ronald O'Hanley said on the call that the shift away from noninterest-bearing accounts would cause no change in State Street's stock buyback plan.
[1/2] A view of the Charles Schwab office location in Manhattan, New York, U.S., November 15, 2021. Deposits at State Street Corp (STT.N) and M&T Bank Corp (MTB.N) fell 3% each, while those at Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW.N) shrank 11% from the prior quarter. Both Schwab and M&T Bank rode a surge in interest income to beat profit expectations, but custodian bank State Street fell short after an outflow of client funds hurt its fees. Its Chief Executive Officer Walter Bettinger addressed commentary about portfolios of debt securities held by banks, including Schwab, which are disclosed as unrealized losses in their earnings. M&T Bank shares were up nearly 6% at $123.70 while State Street stock plunged 11% to $70.98, dragging down peers Northern Trust Corp (NTRS.O) and Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BK.N).
Corporate earnings won't have to share the spotlight with major inflation data in the week ahead as they did during this past week's up-and-down market. From Morgan Stanley, we suspect Friday's bank earnings foreshadow a good release. This past week, we spoke about the importance of listening to what industry players aside from those you're invested in as a way to analyze the competitive landscape. Here are some of those other earnings reports and the economic numbers out in the week ahead. Club trades of the week We made just one trade this past week, in a market that was overbought , purchasing 25 shares of Palo Alto Networks (PANW).
March 16 (Reuters) - First Republic Bank's (FRC.N) shares fell 17% in extended trading on Thursday, despite an unprecedented show of support in the bank from nearly a dozen of the world's largest financial institutions. The bank's shares, which had closed 10% higher after a volatile day that saw trading halted 17 times, slumped in after-market trading. Jason Ware, chief investment officer for Albion Financial Group, said the Dimon-led banking sector intervention on Thursday was a "shot in the arm of the system" but likely more was needed. A First Republic Bank branch is pictured in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. The bank's shares have been hit hard in recent days in the aftermath of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
March 15 (Reuters) - S&P has not placed other U.S. banks on CreditWatch negative since First Republic Bank as it has not seen widespread deposit outflows, the ratings agency said on Tuesday, hours after Moody's cut its outlook on the U.S. banking system to negative. read more read moreEarlier on Tuesday, S&P Global Ratings placed First Republic Bank (FRC.N) on CreditWatch negative, reflecting lower confidence in the lender's financial strength. However, later in the day, S&P said it had not seen evidence that the unmanageable deposit outflows seen at a few banks had widely spread across the banks it covers. Moody's Investors Service revised its outlook on the U.S. banking system to "negative" from "stable" earlier on Tuesday to reflect the rapid deterioration in the operating environment. Reporting by Lavanya Ahire and Shubham Kalia in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Goldman Sachs upgrades Nomad Foods to buy from neutral Goldman said it sees an "attractive investment opportunity" to invest in the frozen food company. Goldman Sachs upgrades Willis Towers Watson to buy from neutral Goldman said it sees a robust turnaround for the insurance company. Barclays reiterates Tesla as overweight Barclays said it's standing by its buy rating heading into Tesla's investor event on March 1. Raymond James upgrades Frontier to strong buy from outperform Raymond James upgraded the cable company after its "impressive" earnings report. UBS reiterates Apple as buy UBS said its survey checks show Apple is the preferred brand in both the U.S. and China.
Feb 14 (Reuters) - Citadel Securities, the market maker that is owned by Citadel's Ken Griffin, on Tuesday reported a 5.5% stake in cryptocurrency-focused lender Silvergate Capital Corp (SI.N) worth about $25 million, according to a regulatory filing. The filing was a result of the firm's market making operations as opposed to a directional investment in Silvergate, according to a person familiar with the matter. Federal prosecutors in Washington are probing Silvergate and its dealings with FTX and Alameda Research, a source familiar with the investigation has said. U.S. custodian bank State Street Corp (STT.N) reported a 9.32% passive stake in Silvergate earlier this month. Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; Editing by Leslie Adler and Jane MerrimanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Feb 2 (Reuters) - U.S. custodian bank State Street Corp (STT.N) on Thursday reported a 9.32% passive stake in cryptocurrency-focused lender Silvergate Capital Corp (SI.N) as of Dec. 31, according to a regulatory filing. The disclosure comes as Silvergate seeks to ease investor concerns over its future, after reporting a $1 billion loss for the fourth quarter because FTX's bankruptcy shook confidence in the crypto sector. Earlier this week, a group of bipartisan U.S. senators sent a letter to Silvergate asking for details on its dealings with FTX and affiliate Alameda. Passive shareholders do not seek to influence a company's management or its course of business. Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Devika SyamnathOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Also, earnings season is just kicking off, when we'll learn much more about what companies are seeing on the ground. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. People shop at the Pioneer Supermarkets on January 12, 2023 in the Flatbush neighborhood of Brooklyn borough in New York City.
It said 80% of its close to $8 trillion in assets are in its index funds, which primarily attract retail investors. Vanguard's biggest competitors, BlackRock Inc (BLK.N) and State Street Corp's (STT.N) asset-management arm, rely more on institutional investors including pension funds and foundations. Many retail investors are also interested in matters like climate change, but prioritize them less in building retirement portfolios, said Rosenbluth and other industry analysts. A FINRA Investor Education Foundation study of retail investors last March found only 9% of respondents held ESG investments. A big factor behind this gap is retail investors' lack of familiarity or knowledge about ESG products, the study found.
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