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Even though Democrats held off a widely expected red wave in the 2022 midterm elections, Republican turnout was in fact stronger, and the party energized key demographic groups including women, Latinos and rural voters, according to a report released Wednesday by the Pew Research Center. The report serves as a warning sign for Democrats ahead of the 2024 presidential election, with early polls pointing toward a possible rematch between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump. People who had voted in past elections but sat out 2022 were overwhelmingly Democrats. And for all the Democratic emphasis on finding Republican voters who could be persuaded to buck their party in the Trump era, Pew found that a vast majority of voters stuck with the same party through the 2018, 2020 and 2022 elections. Just 6 percent of voters cast ballots for more than one party over those three elections — and those voters were more likely to be Democrats flipping to Republican candidates than Republicans to Democratic candidates.

Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, Pew Organizations: Republican, Pew Research Center, Pew, Democratic, Republicans

The case, though framed as clash between free speech and gay rights, was the latest in a series of decisions in favor of religious people and groups, notably conservative Christians. A Colorado law forbids discrimination against gay people by businesses open to the public as well as statements announcing such discrimination. But when the Supreme Court agreed to hear the case, 303 Creative L.L.C. He was the author of every major Supreme Court decision protecting gay rights under the Constitution. But he was also the court’s most ardent defender of free speech.

Persons: Neil M, Gorsuch, Lorie Smith, Smith, Smith’s, Mary Beck Briscoe, Judge Briscoe, “, ” Judge Briscoe, Timothy M, Tymkovich, George Orwell, ’ ”, ”, Anthony M, Kennedy, Justice Kennedy, Jack Phillips, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Brett M, Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett Organizations: Supreme, U.S ., Appeals, Circuit, Colorado Civil Rights Commission Locations: Colorado, Denver, “ Colorado

☆ Views on affirmative action are split along racial and political lines.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

But a close look at recent polling on the issue shows that attitudes about affirmative action differ based on whom you ask — and how you ask about it. Most respondents who disapproved of affirmative action said the policy made the admissions process less fair overall, and a narrow majority said it would result in less-qualified students being accepted. Affirmative action supporters, by contrast, largely said it ensured equal opportunity and improved students’ educational experiences. A majority of Asian Democrats who had heard of affirmative action said it was a good thing, while Asian Republicans were more likely to say it was a bad thing. Asian Republicans with a postgraduate degree were nearly twice as likely to disapprove of affirmative action than those with a high school diploma or less.

Organizations: Pew Research Center, Pew, Black, Democrats, Republicans

☆ Ron DeSantis Is Young, Has Little Kids and Wants America to Know It
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-18 | by ( Nicholas Nehamas | Ruth Igielnik | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

As top-tier presidential candidates go, Ron DeSantis is something of a rarity these days. He was born after the Vietnam War, he came of age when computers were common in American homes and he still has young children of his own, rather than enough grandchildren to fill a basketball team. Mr. DeSantis would be 46 on Inauguration Day if elected, younger than every president since John F. Kennedy. It’s a fact he doesn’t state explicitly, but his campaign has set out to make sure voters get it. He and his wife, Casey DeSantis, often speak about their young children, who are 6, 5 and 3 and have joined their parents on the campaign trail.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, John F, Kennedy, It’s, Casey DeSantis, — Organizations: White Locations: Vietnam, Florida

☆ Abortion Pills, the Latest Battleground, Have Been Little Known to Americans
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Ruth Igielnik | Andrew Fischer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Abortion pills have dominated headlines in the past week, but until recently, relatively few Americans were familiar with the concept of medication abortions, even as the use of pills like mifepristone has surpassed surgical procedures as the most common method to terminate pregnancies and as national support for abortion rights has grown in recent years. Two conflicting rulings on mifepristone, the first pill in a two-drug regimen used to terminate pregnancy, have put the long-term availability of the medication in limbo. The Justice Department has asked the Supreme Court to step in and ensure the drug’s accessibility while it pursues an appeal. About one in three Americans said they had heard of mifepristone or a medication abortion in a January survey from the Kaiser Family Foundation, a nonpartisan research group that focuses on health issues. But that share is most likely growing, Ashley Kirzinger, the organization’s director of survey methodology, said.

We’re tracking the remaining uncalled House races — and showing when they are called — as states continue to count the outstanding votes from the midterm elections. The tallies below are based on the reported vote so far, and the margin in many races will continue to change as more ballots are counted in the coming days.

Tracking the most competitive statesEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive races for Senate control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. Alaska is expected to be won by one of the two Republicans leading the vote count in that state.

Tracking the most competitive districtsEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive districts for House control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. There is one race in a district rated competitive prior to the election that has not yet been called.

Live forecast: Estimating the outcomeThis is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. See the full forecast ›

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