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Exchange-traded funds like the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) and the SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF (SPTS) also offer exposure. One way to gain exposure to the assets is through funds like the Schwab 5-10 Year Corporate Bond ETF (SCHI) or the iShares Euro Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Fund (IE). Finally, Rieder said he likes corporate paper, which are essentially short-term bonds issued by corporations. I know what my return is going to be a year ahead — it's going to be 6.5% for single-A issuers. The BlackRock Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF (ICSH) and the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index Fund (VCSH) offer exposure to corporate paper.
Persons: Rick Rieder isn't, Rieder, — it's Organizations: CNBC's, Alpha, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Exchange, Treasury, Corporate, Index, BlackRock, Bond Locations: BlackRock, New York, Europe, United States
CNBC Daily Open: Long-term prospects are uncertain
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
People walk outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in the financial district in Manhattan on June 14, 2022 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Big population but small labor forceEven though India's population of 1.428 billion has surpassed that of China's, according to UN estimates, the country's labor force is only at 51%, trailing behind China's 75%. When that happens, this simple bond trade can earn you 40% in returns, said investment analysts.
Persons: Hong, Bill Ackman, Rick Rieder, Katie Koch Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nikkei, Alpha, Pershing, Capital Management, Treasury, BlackRock, Federal, TCW, China's, Oxford Economics Locations: Manhattan, New York City, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, U.S, China
It's time for the Federal Reserve to end its war against inflation, according to Rick Rieder. "My sense is they should be done," the BlackRock bond chief told CNBC Thursday. The central bank has signaled it could raise interest rates again before the end of 2023. AdvertisementAdvertisementIt's time for the Federal Reserve to call an end to its war against soaring, according to Rick Rieder. "I think so," Rieder told CNBC's "Closing Bell", in response to a question about whether interest rates are close to peaking.
Persons: Rick Rieder, , Rieder, CNBC's, , that's, Jerome Powell, Bloomberg's Organizations: Federal Reserve, BlackRock, CNBC, Service
CNBC Daily Open: Long-term prospects look dim
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineA smattering of positive developments helped investor sentiment yesterday. According to the latest survey by the American Association of Individual Investors, which measures retail investors' sentiment for stocks over the next six months, overall bearishness climbed from 34.6% last week to 40.9%. — CNBC's Scott Schnipper contributed to this report Correction: An earlier version of this report misspelled Rick Rieder's name.
Persons: Michael Nagle, Treasurys, yield's, it's, , Brent, — CNBC's Scott Schnipper, Rick Rieder's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, . West Texas, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, AMD, American Association of, Alpha, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: New York
"There is a subset that simply cannot do that," she said of paying down credit card debt going forward as rates rise. "In those tails and subsets I think you're going to have really unusual delinquencies, and just horrible recovery rates." You're going to see defaults increase." Delaney also emphasized being defensive, and said he likes corporate bonds, but those with floating rates, meaning they move with the market rate. The iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) is one way to gain exposure to long-term government bonds.
Persons: Dawn Fitzpatrick, Katie Koch, haven't, it's, Mark Delaney, Suni Harford, I'd, Brad Gerstner, Jerome Powell, Volcker, Koch, , We're, Rick Rieder, he's, Delaney, Fitzpatrick Organizations: CNBC's, Alpha, Federal Reserve, Soros Fund Management, TCW, UBS, Management, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Corporate, Treasury Bond ETF, Vanguard Energy, DB Oil Fund Locations: Europe, Saudi Arabia
Watch CNBC's full interview with BlackRock's Rick Rieder
  + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BlackRock's Rick RiederRick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the interest rate outlook, competition between bonds and stocks, and more.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder Rick Rieder
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should be done hiking rates, says BlackRock's Rick RiederRick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the interest rate outlook, competition between bonds and stocks, and more.
Persons: Rick Rieder Rick Rieder
"You've got to take them at their word that they want to get another 25" basis points, said the asset management giant's CIO of global fixed income. BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder thinks the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates, though it probably won't. The fed funds rate, used as a benchmark for many forms of short-term debt, currently is targeted in a range between 5.25%-5.50%. "I love commercial paper," Rieder said. Rieder said he expects the Fed to start cutting at some point, but probably not until the latter half of 2024.
Persons: You've, you've, Rieder, Rick Rieder, Rebecca Patterson, Ray Organizations: Alpha, BlackRock, Economic Education, Delivering Alpha, Council for Economic Education, Bridgewater Associates, AA, Fed Locations: BlackRock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBlackRock's Rick Rieder: The Fed will start cutting rates in the second half of 2024Rick Rieder, BlackRock senior managing director, and Rebecca Patterson, Council for Economic Education board chair, join CNBC's Deliver Alpha 2023 to talk the current rate hiking cycle, the state of the markets, what's ahead for the Federal Reserve and more.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rebecca Patterson Organizations: BlackRock, Economic Education, CNBC's, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro Talks: BlackRock's Rick Rieder on what's worrying him most about the financial marketsCNBC'S Michael Santoli is joined by Rick Rieder, BlackRock's chief investment officer of global fixed income, at the 13th annual Delivering Alpha conference to discuss potential headwinds and tailwinds for investors for the last quarter of 2023.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Michael Santoli Organizations: Alpha
watch nowThe consumer price index rose 3.2% from a year ago in July, a sign that inflation has lost at least some of its grip on the U.S. economy. Prices accelerated a seasonally adjusted 0.2% for the month, in line with the Dow Jones estimate, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. The annual rate for the core also was slightly below a Dow Jones consensus estimate for 4.8%. Markets reacted positively to the report, with futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 200 points and Treasury yields mostly lower. Almost all of the monthly inflation increase came from shelter costs, which rose 0.4% and were up 7.7% from a year ago.
Persons: Dow Jones, Sung Won Sohn, Rick Rieder Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Dow Jones, Markets, Treasury, SS Economics, Loyola Marymount University, Federal, BLS, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Locations: U.S
The market has its mind made up: July's tame inflation reading means no more interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. The "patience" reference goes to whether policymakers will be satisfied that inflation will come back to normal without any further rate increases, or if additional tightening is necessary. Following Thursday's release of the consumer price index , which showed a 12-month inflation rate of 3.2%, markets upped their bets that the Fed is staying put. The chance of any additional rate increases also declined, dropping to 27.3% for November and 24.1% for December, as of about 1:30 p.m. Thus, there was some caution from the CPI internals, and a stock market rally cooled Thursday afternoon as Wall Street digested the report.
Persons: Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams, Rick Rieder, Tom Lee, Bradley Saunders Organizations: Federal, LPL, of Labor Statistics, Fed, Comerica Bank, Market Committee, Capital Economics Locations: BlackRock
[1/3] Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 187,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday, slightly below expectations of 200,000 jobs. U.S. Treasury yields dropped after jobs data on Friday showed the U.S. economy added fewer jobs than expected in July, but investors hesitated to rule out further monetary tightening. Oil prices headed for a sixth straight weekly gain, driven by the prospect of reduced supply from Saudi Arabia and Russia. U.S. crude rose 1.4% to $82.69 per barrel and Brent was at $86.10, up 1.13% on the day.
Persons: Mike Segar, Rick Rieder, Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab, Frederick, Sterling, Fitch, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Amanda Cooper, Elizabeth Howcroft, Ankur Banerjee, Sruthi Shankar, Sharon Singleton, Nick Macfie, Diane Craft Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Treasury, U.S ., Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, FTSE, U.S . Federal, Bank of England, U.S . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Austin , Texas, United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Boston, London
A more encompassing unemployment rate that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons fell to 6.7%, down 0.2 percentage point from June. The survey of households, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate, showed a more robust gain of 268,000. The unemployment rate for Blacks moved lower to 5.8% while the rate for adult women nudged higher to 2.7%. A 3.5% unemployment rate, you can't complain about that," said Satyam Panday, U.S. chief economist at S&P Global Ratings. This is a "really, really solid labor market," said Jonathan Stokoe, senior vice president at job placement firm Adecco.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Stocks, Satyam Panday, Jonathan Stokoe, Rick Rieder, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Blacks, Gross, Atlanta, Group, Fed, Bank of America Locations: U.S, BlackRock
Some economists think the central bank could wreck the job market if it sticks to that target. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Some economists fear that to lop a final percentage point off the inflation rate, the Fed will end up wrecking the jobs market. In 2023, that's not yet happened – with jobs numbers rising over the past six months and unemployment holding steady at under 4%, even though inflation has rapidly cooled. If Americans start losing their jobs, expect a lot more questioning of the hallowed 2% target.
Persons: Ben Bernanke's, it's, that's, BlackRock, Rick Rieder, Bloomberg's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon
That could help lower overall inflation when the next CPI report is released on Aug. 10, with the details in Wednesday's report suggesting "downside risks" to any forecast of July's inflation rate. Indeed, at least one Fed official on Wednesday stuck to policymakers' prevailing hawkish mantra that inflation is still too high. While not specifically addressing the CPI report, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin told a Maryland business group that he still felt inflation had "been stubbornly persistent." 'FINAL INNINGS'But the latest CPI data could undercut arguments for yet another rate increase beyond the July meeting. Fed officials, blindsided by the persistence of inflation they initially thought would dissipate on its own, have been reluctant to bank on good news continuing.
Persons: Omair Sharif, Rick Rieder, Lael Brainard, Brainard, Thomas Barkin, Goldman Sachs, they've, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S . Labor Department, Reuters Graphics Reuters, BlackRock, Fed, White, Economic Council, Economic, of New, Richmond Fed, U.S, Cleveland Fed's Center, Inflation Research, Atlanta Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: U.S, of New York, Maryland
The Pimco Multisector Bond Active ETF (PYLD) launched in June, giving investors a way to follow one of the biggest names in fixed income during the volatile bond market. As the fixed income ETF market matures, major asset managers are trying their hand at multisector bond funds. Recent launches include Capital Group's U.S. Multisector Income ETF (CGMS) and BlackRock's Flexible Income ETF (BINC) , which is co-managed by Rick Rieder , the firm's chief investment officer for global fixed income. For financial advisors or investors who want to make investment decisions themselves, there are more targeted bond funds available. "There's a pretty long runway for investors to increase their allocation to fixed income.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Dan Ivascyn, Sonali Pier, D.J, Tierney, you've, Schwab, Schwab's Tierney Organizations: Treasury, Capital, Multisector, Pimco, CNBC, Schwab Asset Management, Fed Locations: Capital Group's, U.S, iShares
But for investors worried that more Fed rate hikes in the coming months could tip the economy into recession, fixed income might be a more attractive bet. "Municipal bond issuers appear well poised to weather a possible recession in 2023/24. Bank of America has the equivalent of a buy rating on several municipal bond ETFs, including JPMorgan Ultra-Short Municipal Income ETF (JMST) and the iShares National Muni Bond ETF (MUB) . Some large funds that could fit that description include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the Schwab Intermediate-Term US Treasury ETF (SCHR) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT). The actively managed Flexible Income ETF (BINC) launched in May and has about $76 million in assets so far, according to FactSet.
Persons: Michelle Cluver, Andrew Slimmon, Slimmon, Russell, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Cluver, Rick Rieder Organizations: Federal, Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, RSP, Nasdaq, Bank of America, JPMorgan Ultra, Muni Bond ETF, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, BlackRock
"This does remind me an awful lot of that March-to-June period in 2008," said Michele, rattling off the parallels. Last month, JPMorgan bought failed regional player First Republic; in March 2008, JPMorgan took over the investment bank Bear Stearns. Michele oversees more than $700 billion in assets for JPMorgan and is also global head of fixed income for the bank's asset management arm. The cycle coincides with the central bank's steps to rein in market liquidity through a process known as quantitative tightening. Brown | AFP | Getty Images"There are a lot of things that resonate with 2008" including overvalued real estate, he said.
Persons: Bob Michele, JPMorgan Chase, Michele, Jamie Dimon, Rick Rieder, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Frederic J, Brown, Ribbing Organizations: & Commodities, JPMorgan, CNBC, First, Bear Stearns, Wall Street, Fed, AFP, Getty Locations: York, BlackRock, Downtown, Los Angeles , California, refinance
The number of unemployed people jumped by 440,000, the most since November 2010. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsYet the rise in Black unemployment in particular is something critics of Fed policy have been concerned could be a leading-edge sign that the job market was turning sour. Fast initial job losses among Black workers are a feature of U.S. downturns and recessions. Reuters GraphicsDespite the outsized job gains, the details of the report may suggest a labor market "normalizing" after the disruptions of the pandemic. "The fact is that the labor market is still very tight, aided by shortfalls in some service sectors, as well as by historic demographic trends" like population aging, Rieder said.
Persons: Biden, Nick Bunker, Rick Rieder, Rieder, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, BlackRock, Thomson
BlackRock's Flexible Income ETF (BINC) began trading Tuesday and is managed by Rick Rieder, the firm's chief investment officer of global fixed income. The actively managed fund has a net expense ratio of 0.40%. "For the average investor, it's pretty hard to differentiate in fixed income. The fund holds fixed income from multiple sectors, including high-yield bonds, European investment-grade debt and emerging market debt. The BlackRock Large Cap Value ETF (BLCV) is managed by Tony DeSpirito, the firm's global chief investment officer of fundamental equities.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Rachel Aguirre, Tony DeSpirito Organizations: BlackRock, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
NEW YORK — When the bond chief of the world's biggest asset manager looks at the U.S. right now, he sees a lot to like. A combination of resilient government, corporate and consumer spending, improving homebuilder data, $1.5 trillion in excess savings and low unemployment tell BlackRock's Rick Rieder that the American economy is faring better than many expected. "I think the U.S. economy's in much better shape than people give [it] credit" for, Rieder said Tuesday at an event at BlackRock's New York headquarters. Talk of a pending recession has been building as the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate increases ripple through the economy. "When people talk about, 'We're going to a recession or a deep recession,' it's pretty unusual [or] almost impossible when you have an unemployment rate of 3.4%," Rieder said.
Insider built an org chart showing the most senior executives under BlackRock CEO Larry Fink. To provide a window into the current power structure, Insider has mapped out the roughly 150 most senior BlackRock executives. This week, the firm overhauled its alternative-investments business and made changes to the makeup of its Aladdin business, two core BlackRock offerings. "We are spending a great deal of time at BlackRock getting the firm ready for when the founders are retiring. Investment stewardship head Joud Abdel Majeid and Willie Alford, Fink's new chief of staff, are among the executives who report to Fink.
A pile of Bitcoin slugs sit in a box ready to be minted on April 26, 2013 in Sandy, Utah. And bitcoin is front-running this scenario, pointing to a future that is effectively a return to relatively low rates. A big reason why bitcoin has performed so well was that it was just really oversold during the collapse of FTX. In such a scenario, all assets would have a correlation of one with each other, including bitcoin and even gold. Big gold buyers like HSBC and JPMorgan have shunned business with Moscow — leaving billions of dollars worth of gold in need of new landing spots.
Leah Millis | ReutersAfter the rescue of First Republic Bank by JPMorgan Chase over the weekend, leading economists predict a prolonged period of higher interest rates will expose further frailties in the banking sector, potentially compromising the capacity of central banks to rein in inflation. Almost 80% of chief economists surveyed said central banks face "a trade-off between managing inflation and maintaining financial sector stability," while a similar proportion expects central banks to struggle to reach their inflation targets. Yet several leading economists told a panel at the World Economic Forum Growth Summit in Geneva on Tuesday that higher inflation and greater financial instability are here to stay. That means inflation, the impulse of inflation will be higher." She added that it "defies logic" that as the industry tries to pivot rapidly to a higher interest rate environment, there won't be further casualties beyond SVB, Signature, Credit Suisse and First Republic.
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