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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market looks sets up for good year after recent pullbacks, says Canaccord's Tony DwyerTony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity chief market strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the recent equity downturn was due to technical factors, what it all tells the strategist about the future, and more.
Persons: Canaccord's Tony Dwyer Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Organizations: Email
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
One market breadth indicator suggests that we may still be in the early phases of a market decline. We had been focused on the 5050 level for the S & P 500 as a key "line in the sand" for equities. Looking back over the last two years, you'll notice the green-shaded areas in October 2022, March 2023, and October 2023 aligned well with major market bottoms. Earlier this month, the S & P 500 bullish percent index again broke below the 70% level, indicating a major market top had likely occurred. With the strength of the S & P 500 and Nasdaq 100 off the October 2023 market low, it can be tempting to treat all pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Persons: We've, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, CMT
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Sometimes the market just wants to come down even if the bonds are better," Jim Cramer said Wednesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, we're, Abbott, We'll, Cramer, bode, Kinder, homebuilder D.R, Horton, Blackstone, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, United Airlines, UnitedHealth, Abbott Labs, Abbott Laboratories, Wall, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, Abercrombie, Fitch, Barclays, Broadcom, HSBC, Biotech, CSX, Alcoa, Alaska Air, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: what's
The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.
Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi
From late October through March, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted 27.6% rally based on better-than-expected earnings and economic data. And while it's still well below the dot-com bubble levels, it's still too close for comfort for many investors. Related story"Those higher rates are starting to push back on elevated valuations for stocks right now," Saglimbene said. "They're all much cheaper on an earnings basis than those Magnificent 7 companies," Saglimbene said. "So I think if we avoid a recession this year, the narrative will change to a broadening of companies and sectors that can participate in earnings growth this year."
Persons: aren't, Anthony Saglimbene, Rick Pitcairn, Pitcairn, it's, we've, Raheel Siddiqui, Neuberger Berman, Siddiqui, Jon Wolfenbarger, Albert Edwards, Bill Smead, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Ragan, Saglimbene, Indrani, she's, De, Davidson, Siddiqui's Organizations: Ameriprise, Business, DA, FTSE Russell, Investors Locations: Ameriprise
The energy sector has pulled up from behind to overtake nearly every other sector of the market this year and may still have room to advance, according to analysts. The energy sector has gotten a lift as crude oil prices are on a tear this year after plummeting in the last quarter of 2023. The refiners Marathon Petroleum , Phillips 66 and Valero also hit all-time highs on Friday. Diamondback Energy is trading at all-time highs Monday dating back to its IPO in October 2012, while ConocoPhillips is at levels that have not been seen since November 2022. "We think it's a theme that has more to go as well," Ginsberg said of the energy sector rally.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, it's, Rob Ginsberg, Brent, Iran teeter, Ginsberg, Valero Organizations: Energy, BTIG, Exxon Mobil, Wolfe Research, Fund, JPMorgan, OPEC, refiners, Petroleum, Phillips, Diamondback Energy, ConocoPhillips Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Iran, Occidental
Copper prices are in the midst of a sharp rally, and there are a few stocks investors could check out to play the trend, according to Strategas. In a Thursday report, he called out the "explosive move from copper" and identified stocks with exposure to the metal that are breaking out of their multi-year ranges. The average price target suggests downside of about 3% from current levels. The average price target suggests 29% downside from current levels. He also raised his price target to $130 from $91, implying that shares could rally about 17% from their Friday close.
Persons: Chris Verrone, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, Brackett, Jefferies, Alejandro Anibal Demichelis, Demichelis Organizations: Copper, Southern Locations: U.S, Freeport, McMoRan, McRoRan, Indonesia, Mexico
Despite Thursday's declines, the S & P 500 is only 2% from last week's record highs. The surprise isn't that the S & P 500 dropped Thursday. .SPX 6M mountain S & P 500, 6 months First-quarter earnings estimates for the S & P 500 have slipped to an expected gain of 5.1%, down from an anticipated increase of 7.2% on Jan. 1, according to LSEG. Since earnings are what ultimately moves stocks, the question is not "What would cause a modest 2% to 5% decline?" To do that, market participants would need to believe that earnings estimates were off significantly.
Persons: Daniel Kahneman, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel, Neel Kashkari, it's, John Butters, Charles Schwab Organizations: Economic Sciences, Israel's, Federal Reserve Bank of, FactSet Locations: Gaza, Iran, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
"Bitcoin & Nasdaq 100 reflect the speculative fever fostered by cheap money after dovish Fed pivots, such as occurred 4Q 2023," Bannister said. Shortly after, on March 28, the S & P 500 reached a new intraday all-time high . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD If was indeed its peak, that could mean a weaker Nasdaq 100 for six months, Bannister said. Additionally the S & P 500, which is cap weighted, could struggle against the equal-weight S & P 500 for about six months. "When the equal-weighted S & P 500 out-performs the S & P 500, then value tends to out-perform growth," he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Nasdaq, Big Tech Nasdaq
Ford and Costco are approaching good levels to pick up additional shares, according to Jim Cramer. "Costco shares have given back some recent gains but business is strong," said Jeff Marks, the Club's director of portfolio analysis. Ford fundamentals Shares of Club name Ford rose 2.8% to $13.65 each Wednesday after vehicle sales in the first quarter grew 6.8%. "These numbers do not show the profitability of Ford," Jim said Wednesday, suggesting investors should value the company at higher levels. Ford shares need to catch up to crosstown rival General Motors , he argued.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jim, Gordon Haskett, I'm, Craig Jelinek, Rich Galanti, Ron Vachris, Gary Millerchip, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Ford, Costco, University of Michigan, Motors, GM, Wall, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: Inwood , New York
Gold prices on Tuesday hovered below record highs hit in the previous session, as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields held firm after strong U.S. data flagged doubts on whether the Federal Reserve would deliver three interest rate cuts this year. Spot gold was unchanged at $2,250.79 per ounce, as of 0415 GMT, holding below an all-time high of $2,265.49 hit on Monday. "Gold notched up a new record price, though with that high watermark also came some overbought conditions, which has resulted in a mild pullback. Traders pared bets of a June interest rate cut to 63% after the data, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Gold tends to gain when interest rates are cut as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Jerome Powell, Waterer Organizations: U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, KCM Trade, U.S Locations: .
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Here's a scouting report covering a few relevant themes at play heading into the second quarter. The tenacious tape The behavior of the market itself is perhaps the strongest selling point for a bullish outlook from here. After the S & P has returned 10% or more in a first quarter? The index continued higher the following quarter nine of those 11 and was up the remainder of the year all but once. All but one of the previous episodes saw the market higher nine months later, which in this case would take it through 2024.
Persons: It's, YTD, we've, it's, , Joe Kalish, Ned Davis, Organizations: Federal, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Eaton Corp
Here are the responses from Jim Cramer and Director of Portfolio Analysis Jeff Marks. (Vincent, New York) Jeff Marks: Due to the elevated power needs data centers require, energy demands will be higher. (Steve, Michigan) Jim Cramer: I don't blame you for switching to CrowdStrike from Palo Alto, but I had Palo Alto CEO Nikesh Arora on last week. Jim Cramer: The numbers are no good here right now. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Vincent, Nikesh Arora, I'm, Gwen, haven't, Peter Lynch, Charlie Scharf, Wells, Nick, it's, Rich Galanti, they'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Morgan Stanley, there's, Danaher, Sam, We've, Laxman Narasimhan, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Investing Club, Coterra, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Palo Alto, PepsiCo, Coca, Nvidia, AMD, Magellan Fund, Club, JPMorgan, Broadcom, VMWare, Apple, Developers, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Vincent , New York, Eaton, China, Steve , Michigan, Palo Alto, Palo, Wells Fargo, Jim , Arizona, Costco, Elizabeth , Pennsylvania, Linda , Ohio, iPhones, Steve , Mississippi, United States
Alaska Air shares just getting started Alaska Air Group has recently broken above a key resistance level and could represent a compelling option for investors searching for stocks earlier on in their uptrends. Alaska remained below that retracement level as well as a declining 200-day moving average until this week. Now we're seeing ALK power above $42 with an initial upside target at the 61.8% retracement level around $47. The momentum characteristics are consistent with bullish phases, with Alaska becoming overbought this week after a quick rise. While overbought conditions could indicate a short-term pullback in the coming weeks, we're inclined to assume this uptrend could be just getting started.
Persons: we've, — David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, US Global Jets ETF, JETS, Alaska Air Group, Alaska Air, CMT Locations: Alaska
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWaiting to buy the dips could get you burned, warns G Squared's Victoria GreeneBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CEO and Victoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth CIO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss how to play the bull market as investors see pullbacks this week.
Persons: G, Victoria Greene Barbara Doran, Victoria Greene Organizations: BD8 Capital Partners, Private Wealth
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with BD8's Barbara Doran and G Squared's Victoria GreeneBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CEO and Victoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth CIO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss how to play the bull market as investors see pullbacks this week.
Persons: Barbara Doran, G, Victoria Greene Barbara Doran, Victoria Greene Organizations: BD8 Capital Partners, Private Wealth
Altimeter Capital's Brad Gerstner is betting on some of the first quarter's biggest technology underperformers, revealing fresh Alphabet and Tesla stakes during an interview with C NBC's "Halftime Report" on Wednesday. Both Alphabet and Tesla have lagged most of their "Magnificent 7" peers year to date as they grapple with a slew of company-specific headwinds. Despite the recent mishaps, Gerstner views Alphabet as a "super capable" company with "extraordinary resources," highlighting monetization potential within search among the reasons for diving back into shares. TSLA YTD mountain Tesla stock this year Despite some difficulties in China and the potential for Tesla to miss upcoming delivery numbers, Gerstner views much of the negativity as already priced in. "This is not for the faint of heart," he said, adding that investors need to willingly buy more shares on pullbacks.
Persons: Brad Gerstner, Tesla's, Tesla, that's, Sundar Pichai, Gerstner, Elon Musk Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Elon Locations: China, pullbacks
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday celebrated results from CNBC's most recent Delivering Alpha Stock Survey, in which a majority of investors predicted the market had run too high and that a pullback is on the horizon. He told investors to welcome a decline and to raise some cash to buy quality stocks at lower prices. "I think people are right to expect a pullback here," Cramer said. While it's wise to raise some cash to prepare for a pullback, Cramer also suggested riding out some of the turbulence. When investors are always trying to avoid the next pullback, they may end up missing the next rally, he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's Organizations: Alpha Stock Survey, Nvidia
One measure of stocks suggests it's time for investors to take some caution, according to BTIG. The 200-day moving average is a technical measure used by investors and traders to gauge an asset's longer-term momentum. On top of that, seasonal trends — which had been positive — are about to shift against investors, Krinsky noted. April is the worst month for the long/short momentum strategy, which refers to when investors snap up recent winners, while shorting recent underperformers. On average, the strategy loses 4.15% on average during the month.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky Organizations: Stocks, Federal Reserve
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 20, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Monday night, after the major averages took a breather from their rally. Month to date, the major U.S. stock benchmarks are on pace for their fifth straight month of gains. Despite some concerns that the market rally has crossed into overbought territory, investors still can't be underweight on equities as of now, according to 3Fourteen Research cofounder Warren Pies. Durable goods orders and the Richmond Fed's manufacturing survey will also provide insight on the health of the manufacturing sector.
Persons: Dow, Warren Pies, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Richmond Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S, overbought
Bitcoin jumps 7%, retakes $70,000 to start the week
  + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
MicroStrategy , which trades as a proxy for the price of bitcoin, surged 20%, while Coinbase advanced 9%. The mining sector got a lift from bitcoin, too, with Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms up 4% and 9%, respectively. Bitcoin had been in correction mode for the past week, after it hit an all-time high of $73,797.68 on March 14. Sam Callahan, lead analyst at bitcoin services firm Swan Bitcoin, said it's likely tied to the messaging coming from the Federal Reserve last week. Despite its pullbacks, bitcoin is on pace to finish March on a winning note.
Persons: CleanSpark, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Alex Thorn, Thorn, Genesis, Sam Callahan, Swan Bitcoin, it's Organizations: Marathon, Mining, Metrics, Galaxy Digital, Federal Reserve, Fed
Nvidia price target increased to $1,050 NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia YTD Coming off a bullish GTC conference where Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the case that the artificial intelligence investment cycle is still in its early innings, we are increasing price target on the chip giant to $1,050 per share from $850. We're increasing our Eaton price target to $330 per share from $290 and reiterating our buy-equivalent 1 rating. As a sanity check, Bank of America increased its Eaton price target to $340 from $330 on Thursday following a meeting with management. Wells Fargo raised to $60 WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo YTD Wells Fargo has made a string of new 52-week highs, and we think those gains can continue due to better-than-expected net interest income performance from higher interest rates, more buybacks, and ongoing cost discipline. We're increasing our Wells Fargo price target to $60 per share from $54 and reiterating our 2 rating.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Jensen, playbook, It's, Jim Cramer, Eaton, We're, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, He's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Josh Edelson Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Bank of America, CNBC, Intelligence, SAP Center, Afp, Getty Locations: Eaton, Wells, Wells Fargo, ETN, San Jose , California
Like tech stocks, bitcoin sometimes benefits from low interest rates and improved market liquidity, which can lead to better sentiment and greater investment in growth assets. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bitcoin turns higher after two days of losses"There has been an inverse relationship between rates and bitcoin price," said Oppenheimer executive director Owen Lau. "When the Fed increased interest rates in 2022, it took out liquidity from the market, which impacted bitcoin and tech stocks. When the Fed cuts rates, it provides liquidity to the market, which should benefit risky assets such as bitcoin. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all closed at record highs after the Fed meeting wrapped up.
Persons: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, Cryptocurrencies, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, It's, Ether, Solana, dogecoin, MicroStrategy, CleanSpark, bitcoin, We've, Vijay Ayyar Organizations: Getty, Metrics, Federal, Polygon's, Iris Energy, Marathon, JPMorgan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC
Investors should disregard concerns over high valuations and focus on growth in what is now a "stockpicker's market," according to Matt Orton, chief market strategist at Raymond James Investment Management. The S&P 500 closed out a two-week losing streak on Friday, but Orton told CNBC that stock market gains are broadening and brief pullbacks should be used "opportunistically." Much of the significant rally over the last 18 months has been driven by the so-called "Magnificent 7" megacap tech stocks, but they have begun to diverge. "We're back to a stockpicker's market – idiosyncratic risk is finally being rewarded again and that, to me, is most important. It means that you have the opportunity to diversify your portfolio and actually lean into what works and lean out of what's not," Orton told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday.
Persons: Matt Orton, Orton, Tesla, CNBC's Organizations: Raymond James Investment Management, CNBC, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia
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