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The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.8444% after rising by around one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Wednesday as investors awaited the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy guidance, and looked to key inflation data. Policymakers have frequently said that they would not cut interest rates until they are confident that inflation is sustainably toward this target. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday as its latest meeting concludes. But investors will be closely watching the central bank's guidance and the post-meeting press conference for fresh clues about what the path ahead for interest rates could look like.
Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: U.S
Investors cheered a soft May inflation report, which could pave the way for Fed easing this year. Rate cuts in September are "overwhelmingly likely," one economist said. AdvertisementSome Wall Street analysts predict the Fed's first cut could come as soon as July, though most see a rate cut in September as the most likely scenario. "But rate cuts starting by September should now be cemented as overwhelmingly likely." Investors are waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to speak later Wednesday afternoon, which should give markets more guidance on the path of rate cuts.
Persons: , Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Ryan Severino, BGO, Jerome Powell, Weinand, David Russell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed
CNBC screened for stocks that were on the verge of forming a dreaded death cross chart pattern. A death cross occurs when a stock's 50-day moving average slips below its downward-trending 200-day counterpart. Northrop Grumman Aerospace and defense stock Northrop Grumman has pulled back roughly 9% in 2024 and is closing in on a death cross chart pattern. The stock's 50-day moving average broke above its 200-day counterpart earlier this year, a short-lived sign of improving momentum. Other stocks on the list signaling a death cross chart pattern include Pool Corporation and Fortive Corporation .
Persons: Dow Jones, Northrop Grumman, Northrop, Zimmer, Zimmer Biomet, IDEX, , Nick Wells Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, CNBC, Northrop Grumman Aerospace, . Navy, Zimmer Biomet Holdings, IDEX Corporation Laboratory, Corporation, Fortive Corporation
Federal Reserve officials insist that they are “data dependent” as they craft interest rate policy. There is little chance that the inflation data will change the Fed’s plans for this month. Officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, no matter what happens. Policymakers came into the year expecting to lower interest rates three times in 2024, but economists expect the Fed on Wednesday to change those projections to predict two cuts. Some see a small chance officials could project just one rate reduction.
Persons: Organizations: Federal, Fed
US stocks rose to fresh records Wednesday as traders took in cool inflation and Fed comments. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as investors took in cool inflation data and the Federal Reserve's latest guidance on rate cuts, helping the S&P 500 to another record close. The 10-year Treasury fell seven basis points to 6.33%, rising from steeper losses earlier in the day after the central bank updated its outlook to include fewer rate cuts than previously expected. FOMC members said they didn't believe it was "appropriate" to cut rates until they had gained more confidence inflation is trending back to 2%. Fed fund futures show that investors see a 62% chance the Fed will cut rates three times or more by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: , FOMC, Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Comerica Bank Locations: April's
Gold treads water ahead of U.S. inflation test, Fed decision
  + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy announcement for insights into how soon it will cut interest rates this year and the May inflation report due later in the day. "Gold prices have been treading lightly amid the waiting game for greater cues on the Fed's policy path. Any lean towards two rate cuts could be perceived as a more dovish take, which may see gold prices head higher," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Demand for gold in Asia is surging despite prices hovering near the record highs it hit in May, industry officials said.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Jerome Powell's, Tim Waterer Organizations: Co, U.S, Investors, Fed, Strong U.S, People's Bank of, U.S ., KCM Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S . Federal, China, People's Bank of China, Asia
Oil prices edge up on optimistic demand outlook
  + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. U.S. crude oil stocks fell by 2.428 million barrels in the week ended June 7, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Inventories were expected to have fallen by slightly over one million barrels last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed. Data from the EIA, the U.S. government's statistics arm, is expected later on Wednesday.
Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, EIA, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, Investors, Consumer, Federal Locations: China, U.S, Friday's
CNBC Daily Open: Apple shares pop, Musk drops OpenAI lawsuit
  + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Musk drops OpenAI suit Elon Musk dropped his lawsuit against OpenAI, CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman, which alleged breach of contract and fiduciary duty. Apple pops Apple 's shares rose to a record high a day after it announced its push into artificial intelligence. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. For more, CNBC's Jeff Cox explains there could be a huge impact from the consumer price index and the Fed meeting.
Persons: Paul Jacobson, Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Siri, OpenAI, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, David Malpass, Dennis Lockhart, Jeff Cox, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring, Spencer Kimball, Hayden Field, Samantha Subin, Ashley Capoot, Michael Wayland Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, General Motors, GM, OpenAI, Microsoft, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Federal Reserve, Brent, Bank, Biden, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, San Francisco
Economists polled by Reuters expect headline consumer price inflation to ease to 0.1% from 0.3% last month, and core price inflation to remain steady on the month at 0.3%. Powell is likely to strike a relatively dovish tone at the press conference, however, given disappointing growth indicators since the last Fed meeting, Williams said. Japanese wholesale prices rose 2.4% in the year to May, Bank of Japan data showed on Wednesday, beating market forecasts for a 2% increase. The yen held steady at 157.16 per greenback after slipping to its lowest since June 3 at 157.40 the previous day. While Japan's central bank will likely discuss bond buying cuts to pre-empt yen selling pressure, dollar/volatility this week largely depend on Wednesday's U.S. CPI and Fed meeting, he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Kieran Williams, Powell, Williams, Emmanuel Macron's, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Consumer, Fed, Reuters, Asia FX, InTouch, Bank of Japan, Bank of, DBS, CPI Locations: Czech, U.S, Asia, Bank of Japan
The inflation rate the government arrives at also impacts how much you receive in Social Security benefits and likely is a factor in determining your pay. The government also has a much longer history of producing inflation reports with extremely thorough standards. Like PCE and CPI, Truflation assigns relative importance values to categories to mirror how an average consumer’s income is allocated. That’s why small increases in the cost of housing can end up having big impacts on the overall inflation rate. How Truflation data is being usedWall Street traders were the first group drawn to Truflation, Rust said.
Persons: Truflation, Hilton, Stefan Rust, Rust, , ” Danielle DiMartino Booth, Richard Fisher, Booth Organizations: New, New York CNN, Index, Federal, Social Security, PCE, CPI, Amazon, Walmart, Nielsen, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, CNN, Dallas Fed, QI Research Locations: New York, Zillow
While challenges are mounting for consumers, Goldman Sachs still has some names that it sees as smart picks. The latest indicator of how shoppers are faring came Wednesday morning with the May consumer price index reading. The majority of analysts surveyed by LSEG also have a buy rating and price target suggesting the stock can gain another 6%. Their price target reflects the potential for almost 5% in upside. Goldman is not the only firm that sees the stock as a wise idea given the current backdrop.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, LSEG, JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers, Horvers, Goldman, Jefferies Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Royal, Consumer, Colgate, Palmolive, Wednesday Locations: Royal Caribbean
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on June 03, 2024 in New York City. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday ahead of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve decision and inflation reading. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen 29 points higher at 8,169, Germany's DAX 36 points higher at 18,408, France's CAC 40 up 13 points at 7,803 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 66 points at 33,946, according to IG. Investors have grown increasingly concerned that the recent strong jobs report and sticky inflation support a higher-for-longer interest rate environment. U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday night, while Asia-Pacific markets were mixed as investors assessed inflation data from around Asia.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, Federal, CAC, IG, U.S Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during the conference celebrating the Centennial of the Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington D.C., United States on November 08, 2023. None of those numbers are dramatically different from the April readings, and still show inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Central bankers prefer the Commerce Department's measure of personal consumption expenditures prices, a broader measure that also accounts for changes in consumer behavior. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release the CPI report at 8:30 a.m. The Fed meeting
Persons: Jerome Powell, Celal Gunes, Jonathan Pingle, Pingle, tinker, Jack Janasiewicz, , Janasiewicz Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, of Research, Statistics, Governors, Federal, System, Washington D.C, Getty, Anadolu, Federal Reserve, UBS, CPI, Investment, Labor Statistics Locations: Washington, United States, Anadolu
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched new highs Tuesday as investors geared up for the Fed's policy decision. Shares of Apple soared as much as 7% as Wall Street cheered its WWDC event. AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting all-time highs as traders looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. If so, that will be below the recent highs of 3.7% from September and October, but still well above the 3% recorded last July, and way above the Fed's own 2% target. The firm's unveiled developments were met with fanfare on Wall Street, and the stock jumped as much as 7%.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, David Morrison, Apple Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, Service, Federal
.SPX YTD mountain SPX year to date Here's what they expect, based on six scenarios: 40% chance: CPI rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, according to JPMorgan. Under this scenario, the S & P 500 could fall as much as 0.75% and gain as much as 0.75%. The S & P 500 would pull back between 1% and 1.25% under this scenario. 12.5% chance: CPI rises between 0.2% and 0.25%: The S & P 500 would jump 1.25% to 1.75% as September rate cut expectations surge, JPMorgan traders said. "Given the acceleration higher in inflation, rate cut bets for 2024 would evaporate and we will see the return of views of a rate hike."
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan Locations: U.S
Broadly speaking, market observers expect that investors have already priced in how the Fed may proceed with interest rates. So long as this week's Fed meeting sticks to the consensus view, many observers expect stocks will breathe a sigh of relief. "This is one of the busiest of the days on Wednesday," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B.Riley Financial. Possibility for surprise Of course, the Fed meeting still has the potential to surprise investors. ET Wednesday while the Fed meeting wraps up at 2:00 p.m. and Powell's press conference starts a half hour later.
Persons: shrugging, Hogan, Dave Sekera, it's, Riley's Hogan, ChairJerome Powell, Powell, hasn't, Brian Nick, Nick, , I'd, Jeff Klingelhofer, Klingelhofer, Joshua Roberts Organizations: Federal Reserve, B.Riley, Morningstar, Fed, Macro, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Nvidia, Thornburg Investment Management, Federal Locations: U.S, Washington ,
Gold slips as markets eye outcome of Fed meet, CPI data
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
India is one of the largest markets for gold as the precious metal plays an important role in the country's culture. Gold prices fell on Tuesday with investors awaiting key U.S. inflation data and the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting for details of the central bank's plans to cut interest rates against its inflation target. And that could see gold take another dent or two amid rising yields and the U.S. dollar," said City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson. The May consumer price index inflation report due on Wednesday will be the next major data point along with the Fed concluding their two-day meeting on the same day. "The fact that we'll see inflation data just hours ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision means we might see a last-minute panic and elevated levels of volatility should inflation come in hot," Simpson said.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Simpson Organizations: U.S ., Index Locations: India
Stock markets slipped as investors prepare for the Fed's June policy meeting. The FOMC meeting will end Wednesday, and will help determine where interest rates are going. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors are convinced that interest rates will remain unchanged, futures markets data shows. Upcoming inflation data on Wednesday should also help determine where interest rates are headed beyond in the coming months.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, eyeing, Brent, Bitcoin Organizations: Service, Federal, Apple, West Texas, Treasury
Despite the rare event, it’s unlikely the stock market will swing widely because of the economic two-fer, some investors say. Inflation showed signs of cooling in April after staying worryingly warm during the first quarter of this year. America’s rural hospitals keep getting attacked by cybercriminals. Microsoft said in a statement to CNN that it would provide free security updates for eligible rural hospitals, as well as security assessments and training for hospital staff. Google will provide free cybersecurity advice to rural hospitals and start a pilot program to match the firm’s cybersecurity services with the needs of rural hospitals.
Persons: Powell, , Dave Sekera, Alicia Wallace, Sean Lyngaas, Michelle Watson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, Morningstar, Investors, Traders, Fed, UBS, Federal Reserve Bank of New, The, Consumer, cybercriminals, Microsoft, Google, White, CNN, White House National Security Council Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York, United States
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. "Notice where Stanley Black & Decker is when you have a good day for the bonds," Jim Cramer pointed out. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, you'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Dupont, Ed Breen, Jim, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly Alzheimer's, Banks, Wells, Michael Santomassimo, Santomassimo, Morgan Chittum, We've, Tom Jorden, Coterra, Jorden, Jerome Powell, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Longtime, Apple, Treasury, Club, DuPont, GE Healthcare, Huntington, Investing Club, Coterra Energy, Broadcom, VMware, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Americans shouldn't expect interest rate cuts to head their way anytime soon. Related stories"It may be bad, partly, because it is driven in part by uncertainty and fear and high interest rates holding back activity," Pollak added. "And if I had to bet, I bet that we will get two rate cuts, one in September and one in December." Some Democratic lawmakers have been pushing the Fed to cut rates and give Americans some breathing room, especially after the European Central Bank cut rates earlier in June for the first time in five years. "The Fed's decision to keep interest rates highs continues to widen the rate gap between Europe and the U.S, as the lower interest rates could push the dollar higher, tightening financial conditions," they wrote, adding: "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates."
Persons: there's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, It's, Pollak, Nick Bunker, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, we're, David Kelly, Kelly, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Reserve, Business, North America, Morgan Asset Management, Democratic, European Central Bank Locations: United States, Amsterdam, Sens, Europe
An offshore oil platform is seen at sunset on February 9, 2024 near Huntington Beach, California. Oil prices rose on Tuesday, extending the previous day's rally on hopes of higher seasonal fuel demand and potential U.S. crude purchases for its petroleum reserve, though gains were capped by a firmer dollar. Brent crude futures climbed 28 cents, or 0.3%, to $81.91 per barrel by 0038 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 31 cents, or 0.4%, to $78.05. "Since WTI is near its 200-day average, we expect oil prices to remain close to current levels for a while," he said. U.S. crude oil stockpiles were expected to have fallen while product inventories likely rose last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
Persons: WTI, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Jennifer Granholm, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, . Federal Reserve, NS, Nissan Securities, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Energy, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, U.S . Energy Information Administration, International Energy Agency Locations: Huntington Beach , California, U.S, .
Treasury yield fall as Fed meeting kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
U.S. Treasury yields fell Tuesday as the Federal Reserve meeting is set to begin, with investors awaiting the central bank's monetary policy decision and key economic data. The June Federal Reserve meeting is set to begin Tuesday, before concluding with the central bank's latest interest rate decision and policy guidance on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged this month, with the first rate cut being priced in for later this year. Many investors will be hoping for the data to show that the economy is cooling, as this could suggest the Fed will cut interest rates sooner. Investors will therefore also be closely following economic projections released by the Fed on Wednesday alongside its interest rate decision.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Fed, Investors Locations: U.S
Stock futures oscillated near the flatline Tuesday night as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and May's consumer inflation data. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.01%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were little changed. During Tuesday's trading, investors' rotation into Apple helped lift the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite to fresh closing highs. Investors are looking to Wednesday's conclusion of the Fed's two-day policy meeting, which will feature an rate policy decision and a subsequent press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Investors have grown increasingly concerned that the recent strong jobs report and sticky inflation support a higher-for-longer interest rate environment.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, Quincy Krosby Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Oracle, Google, Apple, LPL
That’s why it is crucial for central bankers to insist on 2%. “By communicating an explicit inflation target — and then delivering inflation consistent with that target — central banks earn credibility with the public,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a recent speech. Stripping away highly volatile categories such as food and energy — a measure referred to as “core” inflation — won’t quell central bankers’ concerns. The Fed can’t ignore CPIAlthough CPI isn’t the inflation gauge the Fed targets, central bankers don’t write it off. It was, however, welcome news to Fed officials that Consumer Price Index-measured inflation fell to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in March.
Persons: Frank Robinson, , they’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Ben Bernanke, they’ll, John Williams, hasn’t, , Tom Barkin, don’t, Christopher Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal, Fed, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, ” Richmond Fed, CPI Locations: New York
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