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☆ Trump says he wants huge tariffs if elected. That could send inflation spiking.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

But research from the bipartisan Tax Foundation suggests otherwise, and says Trump's 2018 trade war was also economically damaging. The non-partisan Tax Foundation would beg to differ. Tax Foundation estimates that the tariffs then imposed have amounted to an $80 billion tax increase on Americans. Nobody else ever did anything on China," Trump explained. More tariffs under Trump could be poorly timed, as US monetary policy is already struggling to clamp down on current inflation levels.

Persons: Trump, —, Donald Trump, Biden, Kenneth Rogoff Organizations: Time Magazine, Foundation, Service, Time, Republican, Trump, Federal Reserve Locations: China, India, Brazil, United States, Beijing

☆ Viking is the biggest IPO of the year, capping off a huge month for IPOs
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Viking Holdings Ltd. IPO, which starts trading today on the New York Stock Exchange, will be the biggest IPO of 2024 so far. Viking is only the biggest in a month of standouts. Eighteen IPOs raised a combined $5.3 billion in April, according to Renaissance Capital, the busiest month for IPOs since November 2021. The stock market had a miserable April, with the S & P 500 down 4% and, unsurprisingly, many recent IPOs were down. All of the larger, most recent IPOs remain above their initial offering price.

Persons: Del Organizations: Viking Holdings, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance Capital, IPOs, Viking, Holdings, Epic Locations: Bermuda, Del Monte

☆ Here's why we're not sweating Amazon’s light second-quarter guidance
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "There's a lot of data that's been hot, but we know there's rot underneath," Jim Cramer said, citing Tuesday's weaker-than-expected consumer confidence numbers. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Powell, Dupont, Ed Breen, Jim, Estee Lauder, We're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Fed, Dupont De, DuPont Locations: U.S, Dupont De Nemours

☆ The Fed once again holds interest rates steady — with cuts expected later this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe nation's central bank offered no surprises in its latest interest rate decision. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced that it would be holding interest rates steady, continuing the pause on rates that began in September. While the FOMC projected three interest rate cuts for 2024, inflation is not quite where the Fed needs it to be. "It looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected," Trump said. "Inflation has continued to run hot and there is no compelling need for the Fed to cut interest rates until they're comfortable with where inflation is headed," Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate, said in a statement.

Persons: —, It's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Donald Trump, Trump, Greg McBride Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, Fox News, Street Journal, Trump, Fed Locations: Washington

☆ Lock in attractive real yields with this inflation-protected investment, says UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors can lock in some juicy real yields with Treasury inflation-protected securities, according to UBS. "The result has been rising real yields further out the curve, offering the opportunity to lock in attractive real yields ahead of expected falling nominal yields later this year," she added. Treasury yields are expected to decline when the Federal Reserve starts reducing the fed funds rate. Nominal yields have been rising as the market reassesses those interest rate expectations. "Our expectation of declining nominal yields in the second half of the year will be a tailwind to performance," she said.

Persons: Leslie Falconio Organizations: Treasury, UBS, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department Locations: UBS Americas

☆ Jim Cramer blasts Starbucks CEO in a CNBC interview after horrible quarter: 'I am stunned'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Matthew J. Belvedere | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Jim Cramer on Wednesday blasted Starbucks CEO Laxman Narasimhan in a CNBC interview after the coffee giant delivered a terrible quarter and a guidance miss. The message from Narasimhan to Jim on TV: the quarter was bad due to China's choppiness and bad weather in the U.S. Jim questioned Narasimhan at every turn and strongly asked why Starbucks was still moving forward with expansion plans. Shortly after the CNBC interview, Cramer reflected on meetings he had with Narasimhan several times when he first took over as CEO from Howard Schultz. Jim's Charitable Trust, the portfolio used for the CNBC Investing Club , owns shares of Starbucks.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Laxman Narasimhan, Jim, Narasimhan, it's, China's, Tim Horton's, McDonald's, Dunkin, Cramer, Howard Schultz, that's, Jeff Marks Organizations: CNBC, Starbucks, U.S, Wednesday's, Trust, Club Locations: America, Japan, U.S

☆ Wednesday's analyst calls: Amazon draws praise, 3M finds some support, Starbucks cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

JPMorgan analyst Vivek Juneja upgraded the regional bank stock to an overweight rating from neutral, simultaneously lifting his price target to $39.50 from $37.50. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:27 a.m.: Deutsche Bank downgrades Starbucks after disappointing quarterly earnings Starbucks could feel some near-term pressure, according to Deutsche Bank. Analyst C. Stephen Tusa also raised his price target to $111 from $110, implying that shares of 3M could rally 15% from here. 3M stock has added nearly 6% so far in 2024, but the stock is still trading at an attractive valuation given the company's characteristics, Tusa said. Amongst the group, JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth has the highest price target of $240, which implies that Amazon stock could rally another 37% from here.

Persons: Vivek Juneja, Juneja, — Lisa Kailai Han, Samik Chatterjee, Chatterjee, Lauren Silberman, Silberman, Lisa Kailai Han, Stephen Tusa, Tusa, 3M's, Morgan Stanley, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, — Lisa Kailai Han — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, JPMorgan, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, Fifth, Bancorp, Logitech, 3M, Barclays, Bank of America, Amazon, Services, Wall Street, — Locations: China

☆ Masimo's billionaire CEO put shares on margin to get cash while keeping ownership ahead of proxy fight
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Rohan Goswami | In Rohangoswamicnbc | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Kiani has just under 4 million Masimo shares, or around 7.5% of the company, according to FactSet data. Masimo shares are up 15% this year, lifting the company's market cap past $7 billion. Politan controls 8.9% of Masimo shares. Kiani, 59, pledged 2.97 million Masimo shares as of April, valued at $397 million, as collateral against "personal loans." "Rather than sell his pledged shares, Mr. Kiani increased his pledge to maintain his stock ownership."

Persons: Joe Kiani, Joe Biden, Quentin Koffey's, Kiani, Masimo, Politan Organizations: Apple, Capital Management, CNBC

☆ Analysts bail on Starbucks with 2 downgrades, slashed price targets. 'Stunning across-the-board miss,' says Blair
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But Deutsche kept its $89 price target, which suggests the stock could gain just 0.6%, as of Tuesday's close. Starbucks stock hasn't logged a positive year since 2021. Bank of America's Sara Senatore maintained her buy rating and $108 price target, which implies roughly 22% potential upside — a fairly bullish aim compared with other firms. Underpinning Senatore's stance is her expectation that Starbucks' earnings growth will reaccelerate in 2025, fueled by traffic-driving initiatives, such as more menu innovation and operational improvements. JPMorgan analyst John Ivankoe kept his overweight rating but moved his price target lower to $92 from $100.

Persons: William Blair, Sharon Zackfia, Zackfia, Lauren Silberman, Deutsche, Wells, Bank of America's Sara Senatore, Laxman Narasimhan, John Ivankoe Organizations: Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan, UBS, Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: Tuesday's, U.S, China, Wells Fargo, Israel

☆ Stock market today: Indexes mixed after Fed meeting as Powell calms nerves over possible hike
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Central bankers chose to keep interest rates steady, and Powell said a rate hike was "unlikely." Fed officials chose to keep interest rates unchanged, in line with the market's expectations. Investors have been fretting over higher interest rates as inflation came in hotter-than-expected throughout the first quarter. The odds of a Fed rate hike in June are less than 1%. Calling that out in the first paragraph is tantamount to saying that interest rate cuts are not coming soon."

Persons: Powell, —, Greg McBride, Bankrate, Charlie Ripley Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Fed, Allianz Investment Management

☆ S&P 500 forming a troubling 'bear flag' pattern, Wolfe Research says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Technical analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients late Tuesday that the recent bounces for the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq-100 look suspiciously like "bear flags," an ominous chart pattern. "Equities ended the month on a sour note, as last week's dead cat bounces stalled out beneath resistance. A "bear flag" is a technical pattern that sometimes develops during short-term bounces in a broader market decline. Last week, the S & P 500 rose 2.7%, its best weekly performance since November. Ginsberg said in the note that he sees potential downside to the 4,800 level on the S & P 500, which would equal a further decline of about 4.5%.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, doesn't, Ginsberg Organizations: Wolfe Research, Nasdaq

☆ I took a FlixBus from Miami to Naples for $50. Despite small drawbacks, it was a great way to see Florida's Paradise Coast.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( India Amos | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

I took a FlixBus from Miami to Naples and back for $50. The price of the ticket seemed fair and the ride took about as long as driving would've. My seat was comfy and I had a great experience taking the bus — I'd do it again for a day trip. AdvertisementAlthough I, like many in South Florida, have my own car, I don't always want to get behind the wheel for a day trip. So, I decided to try riding with FlixBus for my day trip from Miami to Naples.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Florida's Department of Transportation, FlixBus Locations: Miami, Naples, Orlando, Tampa, Florida, South Florida

☆ Defense stocks will price higher on headlines and earnings growth, says Courtney Garcia
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDefense stocks will price higher on headlines and earnings growth, says Courtney GarciaCourtney Garcia, Senior Wealth Advisor at Payne Capital Management, discusses the new trading month, stagflation concerns, and the Fed.

Persons: Courtney Garcia Courtney Garcia Organizations: Defense, Payne Capital Management

☆ Cramer says not to second-guess Fed Chief Powell after Wednesday's remarks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer told investors to take Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell at his word when he said on Wednesday that it's unlikely there's a rate hike on the horizon, even as inflation remains stubborn. Although Powell's comments calmed many on Wall Street, Cramer said it's likely investors will become anxious again ahead of employment data set to be released Friday. Even though Powell didn't suggest there will be a rate cut in the near future, Cramer stressed that he managed to take "the dreaded rate hike scenario off the table." The Fed also decided it would slow the price of bond sales, which Cramer said is a "dovish sign." He just thinks that inflation will gradually go away on its own, making him more of a dove than a hawk," Cramer said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Cramer, Jay Powell — He's, Powell Organizations: Federal

☆ Estee Lauder is punished for its light guidance. Here's why we are not joining the sellers
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Estee Lauder tumbled Wednesday as investors focused on the company's weak fiscal fourth-quarter outlook instead of its strong third-quarter numbers. Estee Lauder Why we own it: We see profitability improving as management executes on its turnaround plan and works to improve gross margin performance. These are signs the worst should be behind Estee Lauder. While full-year adjusted earnings are still expected to decline on an annual basis, Estee Lauder encouragingly bumped up its outlook. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.

Persons: Estee Lauder, Fabrizio Freda, Freda, Estee Lauder encouragingly, we're, That's, Estee, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, L'Oreal, Chanel, Body, Street, Management, Wall, Japan, CNBC, daimaru, Getty Locations: LVMH, —, Asia, North America, Latin America, Mexico, Brazil, Hong Kong, China, Japan, Mainland China, Nanjing, Shanghai

☆ Watch Fed Chair Powell speak as markets rally on his comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Last week's GDP report that showed slowing overall growth but solid price increases raised some concern about the U.S. entering a period of "stagflation," but Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplayed that idea on Wednesday. "I don't really understand where that's coming from," Powell said. The central bank chief pointed out that, by some measures, economic growth is at 3% and inflation is below 3%. "I don't see the 'stag' or the '-flation'," Powell added. — Jesse Pound

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, — Jesse Pound

☆ Stock market today: futures drop after Starbucks and McDonald's misses
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US futures slid as traders weighed Amazon's earnings beat against Starbucks and McDonald's misses. The Federal Reserve is set to provide an update later on the likely trajectory of interest rates. McDonald's also fell short of Wall Street's revenue, earnings, and same-store sales estimates for last quarter as consumers spent less at the fast-food chain. A painful combination of historic inflation and soaring interest rates over the past couple of years have squeezed household budgets and stoked concern of a recession. Stubborn inflation in recent months has dampened Wall Street's hopes that the Fed will cut rates in the months ahead.

Persons: —, Stocks, Amazon's, Ipek Ozardeskaya, McDonald's, Jerome Powell, Ozkardeskaya, Tesla Organizations: Starbucks, Federal, Service, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon Web Services, Swissquote Bank, Consumers, Fed, Elon Musk's

☆ Amazon stock has 17% upside as earnings reveal a 'new era' of profits for the tech titan, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of America boosted Amazon's price target after earnings to $210, eyeing 17% upside from Wednesday's price levels. Amazon's Q2 guidance slightly fell short of Wall Street's expectations, but Bofa still sees upside ahead. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAmazon stock could soar as its latest earnings herald a "new era" of profits for the tech behemoth, according to Bank of America. On the guidance front, Amazon expects Q2 net sales to range between $144.0 billion and $149.0 billion, 2.5% below the estimated $150.21 billion.

Persons: Bofa, —, Justin Post, BofA Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America . Bank of America, Amazon

☆ Trump Media insider trading trial begins with co-founder testifying, 'I've never been paid at all'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The first witness in the insider trading case against Bruce Garelick was Andy Litinsky, a co-founder of Trump Media. Garelick has decided to take his chances with a jury after his two co-defendants, the brothers Michael Shvartsman and Gerald Shvartsman, pleaded guilty on April 3 to insider trading charges in the case. Garelick, Bach argued, "acted in good faith at all times." Shahabian repeatedly had Litinsky describe the confidentiality agreements in letters of intent that Trump Media signed with two prospective merger partners, DWAC and Bennessere Capital Acquisition Corp. Asked if he traded stock based on the confidential information, Litinsky likewise replied, "No," noting, "It would be against the rules."

Persons: Bruce Garelick, Amr Alfiky, Donald Trump, Andy Litinsky, Litinsky, Garelick, Michael Shvartsman, Gerald Shvartsman, Gerald, Attorney Elizabeth Hanft, Michael Schvartsman, Jonathan Bach, Bach, Bruce, Michael Shvartsman's, Matthew Shahabian, Wes Moss, Trump, Michael Kovac, Wireimage, Shahabian Organizations: Manhattan Federal Court, Reuters, Trump Media, Trump, Attorney, NBC, Hammerstein, DWAC, Bennessere, Corp Locations: Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Florida, DWAC, Providence , Rhode Island, Miami

☆ The economy needs to take one of these 2 paths before the Fed cuts interest rates, Powell says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The labor market has continued to be strong, dampening any urgency the Fed might have to cut rates. AdvertisementThe Fed's decision to hold rates steady prompted some pushback from Democratic lawmakers who are worried that continued high rates will hurt Americans. "The Fed must remember its dual mandate and avoid keeping these rates too high for too long," Boyle said. And he won't risk easing up on the Fed's restrictive policy too early. Advertisement"We believe it is restrictive, and we believe over time it will be sufficiently restrictive," Powell said.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, We've, we're, Julia Pollak, Brendan Boyle, Boyle, he's Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Business, Fed, Democratic, Rep

☆ Carlyle thinks it's a good time to move on sports teams, but investors should be careful
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Lucia Moses | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Carlyle also sees an opportunity to take advantage of sports' greater openness to institutional capital as teams get more expensive. Advertisement"Post-COVID, no content is more important than sports content," Fund said. Successfully running a team isn't as easy as investing in oneCarlyle sees openings for outside investors in teams as their valuations soar. "As teams become more expensive, you're running out of people to buy controlling stakes in teams," Fund said. Key to the Reign deal, for example, was having the Sounders, with its deep market knowledge, as a day-to-day operator.

Persons: —, Carlyle, Ben Fund, Alex Popov, cochair David Rubenstein, We've, We're Organizations: Service, National, Soccer, Seattle, FC, Seattle Sounders, Business, Fund, Baltimore Orioles, NFL, Sounders

As mentioned in our regular guide to free Champions League live streams for every round, there are multiple free options for tonight's game at Signal Iduna Park. Where to watch Dortmund vs. PSG free from anywhereAs mentioned in the box above, four European channels are showing the game for free today, including an Irish stream with Engish commentary. Then get stuck in and enjoy this free Champions League live stream. How to watch Dortmund vs. PSG live stream with a VPNSign up for a VPN if you don't have one. Where to watch Dortmund vs. PSG in AustraliaThe Champions League is a Stan Sport exclusive in Australia and you can watch every game there.

Persons: you'd, you'll, Stan, Stan Sport, ExpressVPN, you've, Stan Sport's, You'll Organizations: Business, Champions League, Paris, PSG, Un, Dortmund, League, Virgin Media, RTL Club, AWST ., BT Sport, TNT Sport, BT, TNT, Discovery, Amazon, Amazon Prime, Champions, Stan Sport, Sport, country's Champions League, Paramount Plus, Paramount, CBS Locations: Germany, Dortmund, Ireland, RTL2, Luxembourg, Belgium, ServusTV, AWST, Australia, USA

☆ Diversify your Big Tech holdings into these other stocks with similar traits, recommends Barclays
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In an effort to navigate a market that remains highly concentrated under Big Tech's dominance, but also ripe for stock pickers, Barclays has dozens of stocks that share similar characteristics to the tech heavyweights. However, some select Big Tech remained fairly strong throughout the sell-off, with stocks like Alphabet and Apple bucking the downtrend. While Big Tech valuations still appear reasonable to Barclays analyst Venu Krishna, he pointed out that they're "not the only game in town," and suggested investors diversify their portfolios to beat their benchmarks. Yet, market returns, earnings upside, and institutional investor exposure remain highly concentrated in Big Tech," Krishna said in a Tuesday note. Aside from allowing investors to diversify, these stocks come with strong fundamentals based on profitability, balance sheet strength, cash conversion, and growth-adjusted valuation characteristics that closely resemble those of Big Tech stocks, the firm said.

Persons: Venu Krishna, Krishna, Dennis Geiger, Geiger, outperformance, Adrienne Yih, Yih, Goldman, TJX Organizations: Barclays, Big Tech, Inter, UBS, Software, Oracle, Arista Networks, JPMorgan, Arista, TJX Companies, Goods Locations: Big Tech, SPX, Ulta

☆ Earnings playbook: Beware of these stocks reporting soon where analysts are slashing their earnings expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

NRG has run up about 40% this year, and is sitting within 2% of the average price target from analysts. This is especially notable given that the average analyst target has risen nearly 75% over the past six months. Match Group also made the list, with the average analyst earnings per share estimate falling more than 16% over the last three months. The average analyst price target for Match has fallen by almost 18% over the past six months given that sell-off. But that average price target still implies upside of around 40%, per FactSet, which underscores the magnitude of its recent slide.

Persons: Gordon, Haskett's Don Bilson, Bilson, FactSet Organizations: CNBC Pro, NRG Energy, NRG Locations: Texas

☆ Citi names 3 biotech stocks to play a growing $2.9 billion opportunity — giving one about 50% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The outlook is starting to look bright for biotech stocks, according to some. With markets now expecting the first rate cut to be in September rather than June or July, as previously thought, biotech stocks could start to do well. Biotech encompasses many different areas, but Citi has identified one with a $2.9 billion market — which it says is set for even more growth. It gave CSL a price target of $305, or nearly 11% potential upside. It gave Intellia a price target of $31, or 49% potential upside.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Garadacimab, Ionis, Citi Organizations: Biotech, Citi, Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Intellia Therapeutics, CSL, Intellia

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