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CNBC Daily Open: Vaguely reassuring Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, "We still have a strong, healthy labor market. But I want to keep it a strong, healthy labor market." Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was more circumspect.
Persons: IXIC BRBY, Jerome Powell, Michael Nagle, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, yesterday's Fedspeak, Dow, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Market, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, National Association of State, Chicago Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York, U.S
Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was up just over a basis point at 3.745% at 3:41 a.m. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed the growth outlook following the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut last week. The 10-year Treasury yield ended last week almost 8 basis points higher after the Fed lowered rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Adriana Kugler Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Locations: U.S
The move they made is a big cut," SlateStone Wealth's Kenny Polcari told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " on Sept. 19. Calling it a "crisis level cut," he added that "people [are] scratching their heads, going, what's it really mean?" Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the big rate cut does not signal that the risk of a recession is elevated. According to FactSet data, of the 20 analysts covering the stock, 18 give it a buy or overweight rating, while two have a hold rating. Biotech play Another stock Polcari is bullish on is biopharmaceutical player Amgen , given its pipeline of new products .
Persons: Kenny Polcari, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Polcari, Amgen, — CNBC's Sean Conlon Organizations: U.S, Biotech, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Euronext, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: Federal, U.S, Amgen, Euronext Amsterdam, Dutch, ASML
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed's reaction is neutral for rates, positive for equities, strategist saysMohit Kumar, chief economist and strategist for Europe at Jefferies, discusses the Federal Reserve's first rate cut and Chair Jerome Powell's latest messaging.
Persons: Mohit Kumar, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Jefferies, Federal
But while lower mortgage rates may translate to more buying power for homebuyers, America’s housing market woes aren’t likely to be solved solely by rate cuts. But Enterprise Community Partners, the nonprofit where Donovan currently serves as CEO, estimates that the US needs 7 million new units in order to stabilize the housing market. “There are a lot of factors that have affected the housing supply and these are complicated issues to solve. “We’re not expecting mortgage rates to fall that much further, and we still think that the mortgage rate ‘lock-in’ effect will still be there,” Dougherty said. “Things will probably pick up as rates come down, but we’re not looking for a high-octane rebound,” Dougherty said of the housing market.
Persons: they’d, aren’t, , , Shaun Donovan, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ” Donovan, Harris, Trump, Donovan, Jerome Powell’s, Freddie Mac, Charles Dougherty, That’s, “ We’re, ” Dougherty, ” Powell, that’s, Dougherty, “ It’s, ” Ryan McLennan Organizations: CNN, Housing, Urban Development, National Association of Realtors, Partners, Federal, Fed, National Association of Home Builders, homebuilders, Consumer Financial Locations: America, Wells Fargo, Houston, homebuying
In today's big story, China isn't proving to be the economic promised land US companies once hoped for . US-China relations have been on shaky ground for a while, to put it mildly. But despite the growing animosity, US corporations' push to sell things to Chinese consumers has been a middle ground everyone can agree on. AdvertisementTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company makes vital hardware components for most the world's chip companies, including industry giant Nvidia. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently said his company has a backup plan if things were to kick off in Taiwan .
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, Tyler Le, Insider's Linette Lopez, It's, that's, Kiran Ridley, Stringer, Getty, Jensen Huang, Huang, Alyssa Powell, Trump, Harris, isn't, Howard Marks, Marks, Rebecca Noble, Vance, Tom Brady, Jeff Bezos, it's, Ryan Routh, Donald Trump, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Jack Sommers, Amanda Yen, Grace Lett, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Service, Business, China Xinhua News Agency, Getty, Apple, Nike, Huawei, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Billionaire, Economic Forum Locations: Washington ,, China, China . US, Washington, Beijing, Taiwan, USA, Florida, New York, London, Chicago
New York CNN —So we finally got a rate cut — and a supersized one at that. However, a recession started immediately when the Fed cut rates in July 1990 and just two months after it cut in January 2001. Unemployment rate: generally risesOn average, for those six cycles, the unemployment rate rose by 1.4 percentage points a year after the Fed cut rates. For instance, a year after the Fed cut rates in July 1995, the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5%. In the other four instances, the unemployment rate was at least a percentage point higher a year after the Fed cut rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it’s, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Fed, Consumer Locations: New York, stoke
Read previewOpenAI CEO Sam Altman is working on a new AI device startup with former Apple design chief Jony Ive and Laurene Powell Jobs, the widow of the late Apple founder Steve Jobs. Marc Newson, who cofounded LoveFrom with Ive, told The Times that they were still figuring out the product and its release date. Advertisement"I'm interested in this topic, I think it is possible," Altman told The Journal's tech columnist Joanna Stern at the event. Notably, Altman told Stern in October 2023 that he didn't think AI devices would eclipse smartphones. Related storiesFormer Apple employees Imran Chaudhri and Bethany Bongiorno cofounded their own AI startup, Humane in 2019 and launched their first product, the Ai Pin in November.
Persons: , Sam Altman, Jony, Laurene Powell Jobs, Steve Jobs, Brian Chesky, Altman, Airbnb, Emerson, Powell Jobs, Marc Newson, Joanna Stern, Stern, Imran Chaudhri, Bethany Bongiorno, Zoz Organizations: Service, Apple, The, The New York Times, The Times, Business, Apple Watch, Times, Bloomberg, Humane, Emerson, Business Insider Locations: OpenAI
In a Monday-morning appearance on CNBC, Evercore founder Roger Altman praised the Fed for delivering "nearly perfect" economic conditions, citing strength in equities, profits, and employment. Only inflation — which still hovers above the Fed's 2% target rate — is holding off an official soft landing declaration, he said. AdvertisementAlthough there are some concerns rate cuts will reignite inflation, Altman is expecting to see a slowdown this week when new consumption-expenditures data is released. Related stories"I think what essentially happened was that the Fed saw the path on inflation steadily downward as more certain than the path on labor markets, a little more uncertainty about labor markets," Altman said. "So it took a stronger step to fortify labor markets, and went for 50."
Persons: , Roger Altman, Powell, Altman, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business, Fed
Insider Today: Nike's airball
  + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. I'll be here on the weekend to break down some of the biggest stories in business and help you get ahead. The Oregon-based company last week announced Elliott Hill would return to the company as CEO, replacing John Donahue. AdvertisementAn internal "Frequently Asked Questions" document, obtained by Business Insider, outlined how the RTO plan will work.
Persons: , Matt Turner, Donald Trump, There's, It's, it's, Elliott Hill, John Donahue, Dre Waltizer, Jeff Chiu, Alyssa Powell, Larry, Wayne Osborne, Osborne, Wayne, Andy Jassy, David X Prutting, Paul Porter, Rebecca Zisser, Alexander brothers, Oren, Alon, Tal Alexander, iStock, — Mark Zuckerberg, Taylor Swift Organizations: Service, Fed, Nike, Business, Investors, Google Locations: China, The Oregon
The 'freeing' reality of living smallOne of the biggest challenges was getting rid of most of our stuff before moving into the Airstream. We held garage sales over several weekends and digitized thousands of photos onto CDs instead of keeping physical photographs. Living small made household chores quick and easy. Photo: Steve AdcockOur expenses on the roadFor the first year of travel, we spent about $35,000. A night shot of our Airstream in a small campground just west of Tucson, AZ in 2016.
Persons: Courtney, Dodge, Steve Adcock, Patti, Penny, hookups, I've Organizations: Bryce National, of Land Management, Alabama, ACs, Costco, Safeway, YouTube Locations: Bryce, Utah, RVers, Truckee , CA, New York, California, Lake Powell , Arizona, New York's, Montana, Leavenworth , Washington, Bend , Oregon, Tucson, AZ
But many people are still wondering, what does a rate cut mean for my money? For those who’ve been waiting it out, the rate cut “will instill some hope in folks,” said Elizabeth Renter, senior economist at NerdWallet. Consider your (improved) debt repayment optionsThis week’s rate cut was good news for those struggling to unload themselves of credit card debt. They’re a popular savings instrument when interest rates are high, and as most economists expected, CD rates have already started declining since the Fed’s interest rate cut. “This rate cut is not something that should trigger you to go make any drastic changes to the overall direction of your portfolio,” he added.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Elizabeth Renter, Michele Raneri, , “ It’s, Rodney Lake, It’s, cardholders, Now’s, Lake, don’t, Freddie Mac, ” Renter, they’ve, Raneri, Lee Baker, there’s, Bankrate, Baker, it’s, , “ Don’t Organizations: NerdWallet, TransUnion, Federal Trade Commission, GW Investment, George Washington University School of Business, Apex Financial Services, P Locations: U.S
You can sign up for Business Insider's daily newsletter here. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Jerome Powell Organizations: Business, Service
The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."
Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan
"Aside from any initial noise in the market, Home Depot and Lowe's should keep grinding higher as all this comes together." AdvertisementFed Chairman Jerome Powell talked about the impact on the housing market in his remarks following Wednesday's announcement. "The housing market is in part frozen because of lock-in with low rates. "As rates come down, people will start to move more, and that's probably beginning to happen already." Additionally, Home Depot and Lowe's have taken great care to manage investor expectations through the slumping sales and slimmer profits over the past year.
Persons: , Mizuho, David Bellinger, Richard McPhail, Jerome Powell, don't, that's, Powell, Scot Ciccarelli, Max Rakhlenko, We're, Marvin Ellison, Ellison Organizations: Service, Business, Home Depot, Home, Truist Securities, TD Securities
What lower rates mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
The Fed on Wednesday lowered interest rates, marking the first rate cut since March 2020. A decline in interest rates should, theoretically, mean good news for the stock market. The Fed likely won’t take rates lower as aggressively as they were raised, unless the economy takes a downturn and necessitates loose economic conditions. While mortgage rates and bond yields have begun drifting lower, companies and consumers still might not feel the effects of lower rates right away. But investors with outsized positions in Big Tech stocks should eye beaten-down areas of the market that benefit from lower interest rates, says Diton.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, , Jeff Buchbinder, Powell, Eric Diton Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, LPL, Wealth Alliance, Tech, Meta, Apple, Big Locations: New York, Big Tech
It also means lots of talk from the experts about "normalizing the yield curve" in the bond market — meaning getting back to a setup where bonds with longer maturities yield higher rates than those with shorter-term maturities. That's referred to as "yield curve inversion," which has historically signaled an upcoming recession. Currently, however, the yield curve looks more like a check mark than a gradually rising hill. An inverted Treasury yield curve messes with that dynamic. Everyone, from private citizens to multinational corporations benefits from a normalized yield curve because normal means less uncertainty, which means more predictability.
Persons: Jerome Powell, shouldn't, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, William McChesney Martin Jr, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, CNBC, Federal, Getty Locations: U.S, Washington , DC
CNBC Daily Open: One day makes all the difference
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "Recalibration" Fed Chair Jerome Powell's use of the word "recalibration" seemed to reassure investors that the central bank's 50 basis point cut wasn't that worrying. It signaled the Fed wasn't responding to a slowing economy, but shifting focus to ensuring employment doesn't dip further, wrote CNBC's Jeff Cox. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: BOE, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, of England, Monetary, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, Dinah Washington . Washington
But Wall Street was mostly clueless this week when it came to predicting how big a rate cut the Fed would deliver on Wednesday. The jumbo half-point cut the Fed ultimately rolled out was not at all what traders expected a week ago. Powell: Fed officials ‘left the size of the rate cut open’ ahead of September meetingIn a closely watched speech at the Fed’s annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, last month, Powell declared “the time has come” to cut interest rates. That data was apparently enough to spur some Fed officials to reconsider their position. “But we do not expect Fed officials to be intentionally opaque,” said Husby.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , , Price, Christopher Waller, , Powell’s, Thomas Simons, ” Simons, Michelle Bowman, “ We’re, Andrew Husby, Waller, there’s Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Fed, PPI, CNBC, Jefferies, BNP Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the week's gains. The anticipation and delivery of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the gains this week. The Fed issued a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut to "recalibrate" monetary policy, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell put it nine times during his FOMC speech on Wednesday. US stocks soared on Thursday after declining slightly on Wednesday, as investors had more time to digest the Fed's interest rate decision. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both hit record highs on Thursday.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Dow, Federal, Investors, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial
US stocks traded slightly lower as investors pressed pause on the rally to record highs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit record highs on Thursday after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Heavy trading is expected on Friday due to option expirations and S&P quarterly index rebalancing. AdvertisementUS stocks traded sightly lower on Friday as investors pressed pause on the ongoing rally to record highs. The so-called triple witching day occurs when there is a simultaneous expiration of stock options, index options, and index futures contracts.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Thursday's, Jerome, Brian Belski, Michael Reinking, Reinking Organizations: Federal, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NYSE, Here's
In a historic dissent, Michelle Bowman, a Fed governor, advocated instead for a smaller 25 basis point cut. AdvertisementLeading up to the rate cut, Fed Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly emphasized the Fed's goals of maximum employment and a 2% inflation rate. Bowman said she believes inflation could come closer to the Fed's target with more gradual easing, which would avoid a spike in demand from lower borrowing costs. AdvertisementBowman has long advocated for tighter monetary policy to rein in inflation, skewing hawkish among the Fed's members. "We should keep in mind the historical lessons and risks associated with prematurely declaring victory in the fight against inflation," Bowman said in a speech last year.
Persons: , Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Fed, Business, New York Fed
FedEx earnings miss could signal a slowing economy
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
CNN —FedEx said a weaker industrial economy produced a “challenging” quarter that caused it to trim its outlook for later this year, a sign of possible cooling in the wider economy. “The labor market is in solid condition, and our intention with our policy move today is to keep it there,” Powell said. “You can say that about the whole economy: The US economy is in good shape. The labor market is at a strong pace. Shares of FedEx had been up 21% year-to-date through Thursday’s close before Friday’s decline.
Persons: Rajesh Subramaniam, ” Subramaniam, John Dietrich, Subramaniam, , , we’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell Organizations: CNN, FedEx, Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Friday he supported a half percentage point rate cut at this week's meeting because inflation is falling even faster than he had expected. A week before the Fed meeting, markets were overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis point cut. Along with the decision, individual officials signaled the likelihood of another half point in cuts this year, followed by a full percentage point of reductions in 2025. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman was the only Federal Open Market Committee member to vote against the reduction, instead preferring a smaller quarter percentage point cut. "I was a big advocate of large rate hikes when inflation was moving much, much faster than any of us expected," he said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CNBC's Steve Liesman, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Fed, Market, Commerce Department
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell was trying to make sure the stock market didn't get disappointed: Komal Sri-KumarKomal Sri-Kumar, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies president, and Darrell Cronk, CIO of Wells Fargo’s wealth and investment management, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision, what was behind Fed Chair Powell's decision to cut by 50 basis points, and more.
Persons: Powell, Komal, Kumar Komal, Kumar, Darrell Cronk, Wells Organizations: Kumar Global
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