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First Republic's demise was the third regional bank failure since early March, when Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank folded within days of each other. There is cautious optimism on Wall Street that First Republic will be the last failure of this period. However, reports from other regional banks weren't nearly as dire, with many reporting that deposits had stabilized and were growing again. However, the failure of First Republic could cause some more turbulence, at least in the short-term, for both deposits and bank stocks. "We don't believe that regional banks are completely out of the woods," Wolfe Research chief investment strategist Chris Senyek said in a note to clients on Monday.
First Republic 's quarterly update left investors with major questions about whether the bank can repair itself after massive withdrawals, but the regional bank troubles appear to now be limited to just a small corner of the industry, according to Wall Street analysts. The troubled regional lender reported its first-quarter results Monday, showing a 40.8% drop in deposits that was steeper than analyst estimates. The bank said deposits have stabilized in recent weeks and that it was taking steps to cut expenses and shrink its balance sheet, while also exploring strategic options. Results from regional banks over the last two weeks demonstrated the stickiness of the deposit customer base. ... We expect FRC to embrace a new approach and a different business model, as it adjusts to operating with a smaller balance sheet.
The opening days of the first-quarter earnings season have spurred a sigh of relief among investors, especially when it comes to the regional banks whose future seemed seriously in doubt just a month ago. A quick glance at the early reports from the biggest regional banks show only modest deposit declines in the first quarter. One deposit drop that caught some analysts off-guard among the larger regional banks was a nearly $20 billion decline at US Bancorp , but the bank still has more than $500 billion in deposits. Longer term outlook However, the stabilized funding may not be enough for the regional bank stocks to catch up to their larger competitors, which are viewed as safer and have more diversified businesses. A potential recession could cause credit losses at regional banks in the coming months, and commercial real estate exposure is particularly concerning for investors.
Commercial real estate is widely seen as the next shoe to drop after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. A wave of CRE debt is coming due and will need to be refinanced at higher interest rates at a time when occupancy rates are low. Interest rate cuts from the Fed would provide some relief to the CRE space, but not if they come alongside a recession, according to Bank of America. Commercial real estate has been in a world of pain ever since the COVID-19 pandemic started. But could interest rate cuts from the Fed — which the market expects will happen in the second half of this year — help alleviate ongoing concerns in the commercial real estate market?
UBS ' acquisition of Credit Suisse could lead to big gains for the Swiss bank. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs, or around $3.2 billion, in a forced deal announced Sunday. As part of the deal, Credit Suisse shareholders receive 1 UBS share for every 22.48 Credit Suisse shares they hold. But Barclays analyst Amit Goel wasn't so sure, cutting his view on European banks to neutral from positive on Monday. Wells Fargo's Mike Mayo, meanwhile, sees opportunity for U.S. banks coming out of the UBS takeover of Credit Suisse.
NEW YORK, March 16 (Reuters) - U.S. regional banks are expected to pay higher rates to depositors to keep them from switching to larger lenders, banking analysts said, following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The potential for stricter regulation aimed at regional banks will also make it more expensive for them to operate, posing a drag on earnings, he said. Silicon Valley Bank, based in Santa Clara, California, collapsed on Friday, followed by New York-based Signature Bank, in the second and third largest bank failures in U.S. history. BofA on Monday cut target prices for regional bank stocks including Ally Financial (ALLY.N), Citizens Financial Group (CFG.N), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB.O) and First Republic Bank (FRC.N), partly because of the expected increase in deposit pricing. Rating agency Fitch put some regional banks on negative credit watch because of a "rapidly changing funding and liquidity environment," it said in a report on Monday.
The sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has caused panic in the banking sector. One of the biggest scares for the banking sector since the financial crisis came late last week when Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB), which was the 16th-largest bank in the nation just days ago, imploded nearly overnight. Stocks swooned and market volatility spiked when it became clear that Silicon Valley Bank was going under. Although the US government pledged to protect individuals and businesses who made deposits at Silicon Valley Bank, fears about the potential for widespread collapse carried into this week. Shares of small- and mid-sized regional banks got crushed on Monday in what seemed to be a crisis of confidence.
The events of the past few days have shown that regional banks with large amounts of uninsured deposits, like SVB, and New York's Signature Bank, which was closed Sunday, are at risk of deposit flight. KRE 5D mountain Regional bank stocks were under pressure again on Monday after sliding last week. In the case of SVB, the bank had mostly large deposits from companies and wealthy individuals. That can make a bank run worse because smaller retail deposits are seen as more "sticky" than big uninsured accounts. "Unfortunately, one of the first consequences of SIVB's collapse is probably that it will cause a flight of uninsured deposits from smaller, less diverse banks to larger, more diverse ones.
The capital issues at SVB Financial sparked a sell-off among bank stocks on Thursday, but the tech-focused bank's woes will likely not be a preview of wider issues in the banking system, according to Wall Street analysts. KBWB 5D mountain Bank stocks fell sharply on Thursday. Morgan Stanley analysts Manan Gosalia and Betsy Graseck echoed that sentiment, saying in a note that the issues at hand appeared to specific to SVB. "Current pressures facing SIVB are highly idiosyncratic and should not be viewed as a read-across to other banks we cover. RBC analyst Gerard Cassidy said that banks without large retail customer bases could be in for a rocky period.
NEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) is embarking on a tough sales pitch to investors for assets in its troubled consumer business, which has dragged on earnings and may lack appeal for potential buyers. In an unexpected move, Chief Executive Officer David Solomon said on Tuesday the bank is looking at 'strategic alternatives' for the consumer business, a signal of a possible sale. Solomon had championed Goldman's foray into consumer banking since taking the reins at the Wall Street powerhouse in 2018. The consumer operations largely failed to gain traction against well-established consumer banks and lost billions of dollars due to credit provisioning. Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo, wrote in a note that the key question about Goldman's consumer business is: "who would be willing to buy it, and at what price?"
Texas-based Cullen/Frost Bankers is one of the best "pure-play" stocks for investors looking to bet on growth in the Lonestar state, according to Bank of America. Analyst Ebrahim Poonawala upgraded the under-the-radar bank stock to buy from neutral, saying in a note to clients Thursday that the recent pullback in the stock creates an attractive opportunity for investors to gain exposure to a company dominating deposit market share in Texas. "We view CFR as ap high-quality bank with a proven history of conservative balance sheet management, high quality franchise, and attractive Texas footprint," he wrote. Poonawala also cited the company's deposit franchise, along with its underwriting standards and below average credit losses as reasons for liking the stock. The bank's $155 price target suggests shares stand to gain 18% from Wednesday's close price.
Banks finally got a long-awaited boost to interest rates this year after a decade of toiling in a low-rate environment. A year ago, big lenders including Bank of America and Wells Fargo were the top picks of the analyst community because they were expected to benefit from higher rates . Loan growth coupled with vast deposit bases would drive gains in interest income as the Federal Reserve hiked rates, the thinking went. In a downturn, banks are exposed to surging loan defaults, reduced loan demand and write-downs on assets. Veteran analyst Mike Mayo of Wells Fargo said that bank stocks could pop 50% in 2023 by proving their resilience in a recession.
Analysts at Bank of America unveiled this week a slew of must-own stocks for 2023. CNBC Pro combed through recent research to find Bank of America's 'best-in-class" stocks heading into next year. "Although 2022 has been a year of modest growth for Lilly, shares have outperformed based largely on tirzepatide's peak potential," he wrote. Eli Lilly "Although 2022 has been a year of modest growth for Lilly, shares have outperformed based largely on tirzepatide's peak potential. Given this backdrop, Lilly remains a top pick, as we see its new product cycle / LT growth as clearly best-in-class."
''Cinci persoane au murit'' în incendiu, a declarat pentru presă primarul oraşului Pune, Murlidhar Mohol, iar directorul general al companiei, Adar Poonawala, a prezentat ''condoleanţe'' familiilor victimelor pe contul său de Twitter. Serum Institute se pregăteşte să producă de asemenea un vaccin dezvoltat de compania americană Novavax. incendiul declanşat la Serum / Sursa:Sursa:agerpresCu toate acestea, potrivit canalelor de televiziune, incendiul a izbucnit la un sit în construcţie, departe de instalaţiile de fabricare a vaccinurilor. Nu avem alte informaţii cu privire la amploarea incendiului sau dacă cineva este în pericol", a declarat pentru AFP un oficial al serviciului local de pompieri. "Echipaje de poliţie au ajuns la faţa locului", a declarat pentru AFP poliţia din Pune, fără a oferi alte detalii.
Organizations: Universitatea Oxford, Serum, Novavax Locations: India
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