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☆ Everyone is getting less productive, and that's a big problem for the economy
  + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Joe Ciolli | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Even though the economy feels largely fine right now, such a decline has been a leading indicator of past recessions. Labor productivity has fallen for five straight quarters on a year-over-year basis, the longest such streak on record. Productivity is important to the economy because it's the primary input for a population's standard of living. As Insider reported in March, major retailers like Walmart, Target, and Kroger are locked in a labor-hoarding war over hourly employees that's pushed pay higher. In the meantime, the decline in productivity is setting off alarm bells for the economy.
Persons: —, Taylor Swift, they're, Larry Summers, Summers, Mark Zuckerberg, Marc Benioff, OpenAI's, there's, It's, Paul Tudor Jones, Ed Yardeni, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Airlines, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Washington Post, Walmart, Target, Kroger, Stanford, MIT, Fortune, Brookings Institute
☆ We just got 2 alarming signals that an economic slowdown is upon us
  + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Joe Ciolli | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Dollar General cut its profit estimate for 2023 on Thursday. The first of two jarring pieces of evidence comes in the form of first-quarter earnings from Dollar General. The fact that they're not immune to a broader pullback in consumer spending is a big red flag for the US economy. Speaking of which, a bit further up the affluence scale, Macy's turned in an earnings stinker of its own. The department-store giant offered disappointing second-quarter projections and — like Dollar General — slashed full-year projections.
Persons: It's, Macy's, —, Jeffery Owen, Kelly Dilts, it's, Jeff Gennette, Paul Tudor Jones, Larry Summers —, Target Organizations: Service, Dollar, Federal Reserve, Walmart, Target Locations: Wall, American
☆ Why ChatGPT could spark a new bull market
  + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Phil Rosen here, still poking around OpenAI's new ChatGPT iPhone app. The rise of ChatGPT and subsequent AI boom could solidify the recent strength in stocks as a new bull market, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. In a recent note, the strategist said equities' strong start to the year isn't just a bear market rally, but that it indeed marks a new bull regime. If the Fed mistakenly pauses and then resumes hiking as inflation persists, the music could stop for high flying AI stocks. Mega-cap tech stocks are "overbought" and their rally could stall out soon.
☆ The biggest home buyers in America are now selling more property than they're buying
  + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Commercial property headwinds aside, today we're looking at the residential housing market, which is undergoing its own shifts, but not exactly in the same direction. Tell someone that the housing market is so unfavorable right now that the biggest home buyers in the country are actually net sellers now. American Homes 4 Rent, for example, bought 312 single-family homes and sold 666 to start the year. Similarly, Invitation Homes, the largest owner of single-family rentals in the US, bought 194 homes and sold 297 in the first quarter of 2o23. Naturally, the housing market has slowed down for everyday Americans, too, given the steep mortgage rates and lack of affordability.
☆ AI could boost S&P 500 profits by 30% or more over the next decade, Goldman Sachs' strategist says
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
AI technology could boost S&P 500 profits by 30% or more over the next decade, a Goldman strategist said. "The real source of optimism now is productivity enhancements through artificial intelligence," Ben Snider said. download the app Email address By clicking ‘Sign up’, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider as well as other partner offers and accept our Terms of Service and Privacy PolicyArtificial intelligence technology could boost S&P 500 profits to new highs over the next decade, according to a senior strategist at Goldman Sachs. And that could increase S&P 500 profits by 30% or more over the next decade," the Wall Street bank's Ben Snider told CNBC on Thursday. "A lot of the favorable factors that led to that expansion (of S&P 500) earnings seem to be reversing," Snider said.
☆ Big-name investors are going all-in on AI
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
Some of the best-known names in investing are betting big on artificial intelligence stocks. Bill Ackman recently revealed a $1 billion bet on Google parent Alphabet, while Stanley Druckenmiller pumped a combined $430 million into Microsoft and Nvidia. Tiger Global founder Chase Coleman, billionaire trader Paul Tudor Jones, and Ark Invest CIO Cathie Wood are all bullish on AI. Billionaire investors including Bill Ackman, Stanley Druckenmiller and David Tepper are betting big on firms at the forefront of the AI race - such as Microsoft, Alphabet and chipmaker Nvidia. Here's how seven top players are responding to the AI trend:
☆ Tether buys $222 million worth of bitcoin to back its USDT stablecoin
  + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Ryan Browne | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Cryptocurrency giant Tether on Wednesday said that it's going to purchase hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of bitcoin to back the world's largest stablecoin. The company said it would invest 15% of its net profit into bitcoin to "diversify" the reserves that back its USDT token, which aims to stick to a 1-to-1 peg to the U.S. dollar. That would amount to roughly $222 million, based on the company's last attestation report, which provides a breakdown of the assets that make up its USDT reserves. Tether began revealing it was making gains from its USDT operation in February, declaring a net profit of $1.48 billion in March and taking its total excess USDT reserves to $2.44 billion. USDT is the largest stablecoin in the market, with a circulating supply of more than $82.8 billion, according to CoinGecko data.
☆ The AI boom shakes up stocks, disrupts tech, and could be on the brink of its 'iPhone' moment
  + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Over the last several months, I've turned to ChatGPT for research, book summaries, and even pasta recipes. It was only in March that Bank of America strategists declared that AI was on the brink of its "iPhone moment," and that it was about to change the world forever. In the stretches he's referring to, stocks appreciated 15% on average, and inflation's also declined, something that would be welcome news for the Fed right now. The giant's quarterly iPhone sales slowed last quarter, and shareholders may have to brace for another snag. Apple's "base business is stagnating and its high-margin apps platform could be disintermediated by ChatGPT plugins," Wood said.
☆ Paul Tudor Jones says he's always going to keep a small amount of bitcoin in his portfolio
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Legendary hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones said he's still hanging on to his bitcoin and always will. "So I'm sticking with it, and I'm going to always stick with it as a small diversification in my portfolio." Bitcoin has a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, as designed and mandated by the Bitcoin code. "They've done so well recently because of the fact that we have had these great risk premiums," Jones said about bitcoin and gold. Jones has also previously said on CNBC that buying bitcoin is like investing in an early tech company .
☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones on markets and economy
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones on markets and economyLegendary trader Paul Tudor Jones joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his thoughts on the economy, the Fed, markets, and more.
☆ Paul Tudor Jones says A.I. will spark the next 'productivity boom'
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The adoption of artificial intelligence and large language models could usher in a rare period of immense productivity, according to billionaire hedge-fund manager Paul Tudor Jones. Jones expects more division in this next market period, expecting big winners and big losers ahead. He sees the booming AI industry that's grown in popularity following ChatGPT's debut and contributed to a hefty chunk of this year's market gains as one of those major opportunity areas. If history is any guide, this AI-driven productivity cycle could foster solid gains for the market. Previous cycles cultivated productivity gains between 1% and 3%, PE expansions, stock market appreciation of 15% per year, and easing inflation, he noted.
☆ Paul Tudor Jones says the Fed is done raising rates, stocks to finish the year higher from here
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones believes the Federal Reserve has finished raising interest rates in its fight against inflation, and the stock market could grind higher this year. "I definitely think they are done," Jones said on CNBC's "Squawk Box" of the Fed's rate-hiking campaign. The central bank has hiked interest rates 10 times since March 2022, taking the fed funds rate to a target range of 5%-5.25%, the highest since August 2007. Jones shot to fame after he predicted and profited from the 1987 stock market crash. "We have no IPOs, no calendar, no secondaries, valuations are at 19 but nobody's rushing to offer so clearly, something is going on internally in the stock market," Jones said.
☆ Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones: 'Really good chance' we'll be on the verge of recession in Q3
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLegendary trader Paul Tudor Jones: 'Really good chance' we'll be on the verge of recession in Q3Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the U.S. economic and market outlook, recession fears, and shares his thoughts on bitcoin.
☆ The top commentators in markets say the bank crisis isn't anywhere close to over.
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Today we're looking at what some of Wall Street's top investors and commentators say has to happen to curb the banking tumult. The shuttered bank had disclosed in its first-quarter earnings report that customers pulled over $100 billion of deposits in three-months. But even if the regulator did insure more money, former FDIC chair Jelena McWilliams said Thursday a move like that would only cost banks' customers more. A stock market portfolio created by ChatGPT is outperforming the top UK investment funds. Stock market investors should keep an eye out for five key indicators with volatility set to ramp up through the end of the year.
☆ Contrarian investor Mike Dever shared with us 2 vital lessons he learned from his highly profitable association with legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Starting in the 1980s, he crossed paths with leading investors, including Paul Tudor Jones. Dever says Jones delivered huge returns for Dever's clients, and explains what he learned from Jones. He also invested for several years in the 1980s with Paul Tudor Jones, now a billionaire hedge fund manager. While Dever remembers being very impressed by the returns Jones delivered, he also recalls what he learned from the approach that went into them. Shortly after Dever invested with Jones, Jones had a bad run in the bond market.
☆ FTX's venture backers included Patriots owner Robert Kraft and billionaire Paul Tudor Jones, new filings show
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Rohan Goswami | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The roster of high-profile investors who lost money betting on crypto exchange FTX also included New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft and billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones, according to court filings released late Monday. FTX's venture investors included a host of luminaries. Dan Loeb controlled over 6.1 million preferred shares through Third Point-connected venture funds. Rival exchange Coinbase held nearly 1.3 million preferred shares. CNBC has compiled and analyzed the following preferred share ownership using Delaware bankruptcy court filings.
☆ How Paul Tudor Jones is looking at the stock market this year and the chances for a comeback
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
"You've probably got something just under a trillion dollars of excess demand in U.S. stocks," Jones said Tuesday on CNBC's "Squawk Box." Ceteris paribus, everything being the same, the stock market would be up 7% or 8% this year." The founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment said he believes the Fed will stop short of breaking the economy. "It'll require something negative to happen to create the stock market to go down meaningfully," Jones said. Absent that, the stock market is going to stay strong."
☆ Paul Tudor Jones: Your company's stock performance will be rewarded if you do what Americans want
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPaul Tudor Jones: Your company's stock performance will be rewarded if you do what Americans wantJust Capital co-founder Paul Tudor Jones and T-Mobile CEO Mike Sievert join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the '2023 Just 100 rankings,' markets, and economy.
☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Just Capital's Paul Tudor Jones and T-Mobile's Mike Sievert
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Just Capital's Paul Tudor Jones and T-Mobile's Mike SievertJust Capital co-founder Paul Tudor Jones and T-Mobile CEO Mike Sievert join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the '2023 Just 100 rankings,' markets, and economy.
☆ Wall Street's biggest investors are all but sure of a recession next year. Here’s where they are hiding out
  + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
For investors looking for a way to ride out the storm in one piece, here are where the biggest investors are hiding out. Emerging markets Bond King Gundlach said it's time to buy emerging market stocks as the dollar has likely hit its peak. Cash Cash, one of the most hated corners of the market for years, has gotten some newfound love as risk assets remain stuck in a rout. Buying safe government bonds allows investors to shop for riskier, more opportunistic credits in the market, Gundlach said. Spreads on non-Treasurys have widened, including guaranteed mortgages, junk bond yields, emerging market debt and asset back securities, he added.
☆ FTX flameout showed investors bought crypto for the wrong reasons. Why most are hoping that'll change in 2023
  + stars: | 2022-12-18 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
In some ways, disgraced FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried helped bring more legitimacy to crypto, pushing it further into the mainstream. Decentralized finance has exploded in popularity, but there are other uses for digital assets that people are excited about. Now is a good time for investors to gain knowledge, and doing so would help them solidify their crypto investment thesis in 2023, he said. Specifically, Blumberg added, leaving funds on centralized exchanges is far more dangerous than keeping custody of funds yourself. "The smart investors are seeing this and remembering that what we have here is a fixed supply and, growing demand."
☆ FTX flop evokes history’s great financial swindles
  + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( Edward Chancellor | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
As Walter Bagehot wrote in “Lombard Street” in 1873, “The good times too of high price almost always engender much fraud. As cryptocurrencies declined in value, FTX provided a line of credit to BlockFi, a stricken crypto-lender. He talked about Three Arrows Capital, the failed crypto hedge fund, as engaged in “punting”. His firm launched a product based on a basket of crypto assets that it called Shitcoin Index Perpetual Futures, with the unsubtle ticker SHIT-PERP. He commissioned an advertisement, aired during the Super Bowl, in which the comedian Larry David casts doubt on the viability of FTX.
☆ Carl Icahn, David Einhorn, and Dan Loeb bet big on Elon Musk ultimately buying Twitter - and likely raked in profits when the deal closed
  + stars: | 2022-11-15 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Carl Icahn, Dan Loeb, and David Einhorn built sizeable stakes in Twitter last quarter. Icahn and his team amassed 12.5 million Twitter shares, valued at $549 million on September 30. Similarly, Einhorn's Greenlight Capital scooped up 4.3 million shares, worth $188 million at the end of last quarter. It snapped up 5.5 million shares worth $241 million on September 30. It also purchased bullish call options on 34,000 shares, and bearish put options on 1.1 million shares.
☆ Stock pickers are still positioned for a Fed 'soft landing,' mutual fund holdings show
  + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Professional stock pickers are still betting that the U.S. economy could skirt a recession, according to Bank of America analysis. Actively managed mutual funds have maintained their pro-cyclical stance with overweights in consumer discretionary and industrials, while having a sizeable underweight in consumer staples, Bank of America's monthly analysis of fund holdings showed. "Long-only mutual funds appear to be expecting a soft landing," Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, said in a note. Still, mutual funds are not well positioned to hedge against stubborn inflation or a strong dollar. So far this year, 39% of large cap active funds are outperforming their benchmarks, higher than the 35% average over the past decade, Bank of America said.
☆ A Goldman Sachs alum turned crypto exec breaks down why Wall Street's next push into digital assets will be through bitcoin
  + stars: | 2022-10-15 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
John Haar, a managing director at digital asset services platform Swan Bitcoin, previously had a 12-year stint at Goldman Sachs. He says bitcoin is the biggest contender to gain traction in legacy finance and pull institutional interest in further. Investors saw the first wave of institutional interest in crypto through bitcoin as well. First, the value prop of bitcoin, Haar says, is the concept of "sound money," a currency that isn't prone to a sudden depreciation or appreciation in value. "I think Bitcoin is an easier sell, but I think we're still very early in terms of them potentially getting on board.
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