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Chips Need More Bad News
  + stars: | 2022-12-23 | by ( Dan Gallagher | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
A plant at Micron, which saw its inventory jump 26% during the most recent quarter to a record high $8.4 billion. The irony is that things may need to get worse before they get better. Micron ‘s rough fiscal first-quarter results late Wednesday added more pressure to the group that is facing its worst annual performance since the financial crisis. The PHLX Semiconductor Index slid more than 4% on Thursday and is now down 36% for the year. That follows three barnstorming years, where the index has averaged a market-trouncing gain of 51% annually.
E-commerce Meeks is avoiding the e-commerce space altogether, citing concerns about "lackluster" online Christmas spending in the United States and the return of Covid shutdowns in China. Among the world's major e-commerce stocks, Meeks said he prefers JD.com to Alibaba and Amazon , though he suggested that "investors wait to buy any of them." Cyber stocks Cyber stocks, like nearly everything else in the broader tech sector, haven't been spared from this year's tech rout. The First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) and the iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF (IHAK) are both down by about 22% this year, less than the Nasdaq's 30% drop. The semiconductor sector has, however, recovered slightly, with the SOX up 14.9% since the end of the third quarter.
One-time Wall Street darlings tarnished in 2022's bear market were among Thursday's strongest performers, with Nvidia (NVDA.O) jumping about 14%, Meta Platforms (META.O) climbing 10% and Alphabet (GOOGL.O) rising 7.6%. Growing recession worries have hammered Wall Street this year. The S&P 500 (.SPX) remains down about 17% year to date, and it is on course for its biggest annual decline since 2008. S&P 500's busiest tradesThe S&P 500 climbed 5.54% to end the session at 3,956.31 points. All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rallied, led by information technology (.SPLRCT), up 8.33%, followed by a 7.74% gain in real estate (.SPLRCR).
"It takes off the table the risk that the Fed will have to overtighten and break the economy." The inflation data prompted traders to adjust their rate hike bets, with odds of a 50-basis point rate hike in December jumping to more than 80% from 52% before the data was released. The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, fell to a near two-month low of 23.4 points. Wall Street's main indexes have suffered sharp losses this year as investors feared the U.S. central bank's aggressive rate hikes to tame decades-high inflation will tip the economy into recession. The S&P index recorded 13 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 70 new highs and 93 new lows.
The U.S. central bank is likely to raise rates by 75-basis points for the fourth straight time this year in November. "That probably won't be coming until we start to see some weakness in the labor market, which is helping fuel inflation pressures." Dow components Procter & Gamble Co and Travelers Companies Inc (TRV.N) rose 3.4% and 2.6%, respectively, after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.56-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.92-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 18 new highs and 100 new lows.
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