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Chocolate prices have risen by 14% in the past year, according to consumer intelligence database NielsenIQ. Chetvertakov foresees that the cocoa market could be dented by another deficit in the subsequent season, which runs from October to September next year. Spike in sugar and cocoa butter prices"As chocolate is made up primarily of cocoa butter, with some cocoa liquor included in dark or milk, the price of butter is the most direct reflection of how chocolate prices would move," said Mintec's Director of Commodity Insights Andrew Moriarty. Dark and milk chocolate bars arranged with cocoa beans, cocoa powder and cinnamon sticks. Amongst the different varieties of chocolate, prices of dark chocolate will be hardest hit.
Persons: Cindy Ord, Sergey Chetvertakov, Chetvertakov, Nino, Andrew Moriarty Organizations: Getty, P, CNBC, El, Bloomberg Locations: West Africa, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Azaguie, Ivory Coast, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices could reach above $85 but stay under $90 in coming months, S&P GlobalKang Wu of S&P Global Commodity Insights says oil demand could increase by 4 million barrels a day from now to August.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAbout 70% of global oil demand growth will come from Asia this year, says S&P GlobalHerman Wang of S&P Global Commodity Insights says Asia is the "engine" of the oil market. He adds that many analysts expect a much tighter second half of the year, but "a lot of that rests on the China story."
KARACHI, Pakistan, May 9 (Reuters) - Petroleum dealers have flagged a surge in the smuggling of Iranian fuel to Pakistan, saying that up to 35% of diesel sold in the South Asian country has arrived illegally from Iran, the Pakistan Petroleum Dealers Association (PPDA) told Reuters on Tuesday. “Private dealers have been able to make decent profits by selling Iranian diesel rupees 35 ($0.1235)/litre cheaper than local dealers,” it added. The PPDA said that Iranian fuel smuggled into Pakistan was further hurting the industry, already reeling from low sales. “In the past smuggled fuel was restricted to just Balochistan, but it has now spread all over,” Khan said. Due to Iranian fuel being significantly cheaper than domestic fuel, refineries are having trouble with stock uptake.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina and the developing world seen as real drivers of oil demand this year: S&P GlobalNick Coleman of S&P Global Commodity Insights says predictions that there will be a tighter oil market in the second half of the year will continue.
Oil-index publisher S&P Global Platts is adding U.S. WTI Midland crude to its dated Brent oil price assessment for June deliveries, which is now in focus as the market trades roughly a month ahead. Dated Brent is part of the wider Brent complex including physical cargoes, swaps and futures that is used to price millions of barrels of oil each day. The companies that run the North Sea crude streams, known as the operator, issue planned cargo loading lists which the industry monitors as an indication of supply. "We see no reason for issues," said Joel Hanley, global director, crude and fuel oil, at S&P Global Commodity Insights. Thomson Reuters competes with S&P Global Platts in providing news and data about the oil market.
North America has seen the largest increase in planned hydrogen projects in the past six months, according to the Oxford-based consulting firm. Clean hydrogen is a small but fast-growing area of the transition to lower-polluting energy sources. However, low-emission hydrogen production is currently small compared with where analysts believe it will need to be. Europe’s shrinking share of hydrogen projects is “a direct consequence of the bloc’s slow response to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act and [its] delay in developing concrete regulation for renewable hydrogen,” said Dilara Caglayan, lead hydrogen researcher at Aurora. Only 1% of the one terawatt of planned hydrogen projects have begun construction, while 86% are in the early planning stages of development.
Under the federal program, states distribute a certain number of allowances to power plants annually. Reuters found dozens of other examples of coal plants using credits from closed facilities to help comply with pollution rules over the past five years. During the 2021 ozone season, New Madrid’s pollution was five times higher than average among coal plants participating in the NOx-reduction program, EPA data show. RED-STATE PROTESTSUtilities and lawmakers in Republican-controlled states have pushed hard against curbs on coal pollution, including the EPA’s latest NOx-reduction regulations. But even at that price, NOx allowances will find buyers among coal plants, including those that operate at high pollution rates.
Factbox: Red-hot copper riding a new wave of consolidation
  + stars: | 2023-04-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
[1/2] The logo for Canadian mining company Teck Resources Limited is displayed above their booth at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) annual conference in Toronto, Ontario, Canada March 7, 2023. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File PhotoApril 19 (Reuters) - Glencore Plc (GLEN.L) has offered $22.5 billion for Canadian copper miner Teck Resources Ltd (TECKb.TO), the latest in a wave of deals in the global copper industry amid surging demand and tight supply for the red metal anchoring the green energy transition. "The green energy transition has been a growth driver for many aspects of the metals and mining industry, with demand for key metals such as copper, nickel, lithium and cobalt expected to remain on an upward trajectory and supply to trend downward," S&P Global Commodity Insights analyst Aude Marjolin said in a report. Following are some of the largest copper mining deals since 2022, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Reporting by Arunima Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj KalluvilaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's 'quite possible' that oil prices will hit $100 per barrel again, says S&P GlobalKurt Barrow of S&P Global Commodity Insights says oil prices could go up by another $5 later this quarter.
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LAUNCESTON, Australia, March 28 (Reuters) - China's crude oil imports will average 10.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, matching the previous record high from 2020, according to the think tank of the country's leading energy group. What is interesting with the ETRI forecasts is that they would seem to show that China's refiners are still expecting to add crude oil to stockpiles over 2023. This is some 370,000 bpd more than the ETRI forecast for refinery throughput of 14.66 million bpd. China's crude oil imports seen rebounding to new high in 2023NEW REFINERIESIt's likely that some of the oil heading for storage will go to build working inventories for new plants expected to be commissioned this year. Flows in, or indeed out of, either commercial or strategic reserves are the biggest X-factor for China's crude oil imports.
The Golar Tundra project is a key part of Italy's plan to reduce its reliance on Russian gas following the invasion of Ukraine. Europe must carefully balance its gas and LNG systems, and avoid tipping the scale from reliability to redundancy. "This is the world's most expensive and unnecessary insurance policy," said Ana Maria Jaller-Makarewicz, energy analyst for IEEFA Europe and author of the analysis. "Europe must carefully balance its gas and LNG systems, and avoid tipping the scale from reliability to redundancy. Boosting Europe's LNG infrastructure will not necessarily increase reliability — there's a tangible risk that assets could become stranded," Jaller-Makarewicz said.
It's likely that the pace of imports has been maintained in March, with Refinitiv estimating arrivals of around 103 million tonnes, while Kpler forecasts 102.7 million. The question becomes what the risks are to the so far bullish start to 2023 for iron ore prices and volumes. The chief one is that China's economic recovery focuses more on boosting consumer spending than it does on rebuilding the residential property sector. CHINA IRON ORE IMPORTS VS SPOT PRICESTEEL DECLINE? The risk is that iron ore demand is being front-loaded into the first half of the year, and potentially will decline in the second, with the concomitant risk prices will also come under pressure.
Rystad Energy sees the global market deficit of lithium shrinking to around 20,000 to 30,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) this year, from 76,000 tonnes LCE in 2022. Out to 2025 it expects lithium supply to grow on average by 34% a year against an annual demand growth rate of 25%. MINERS UNFAZEDThe decline in lithium prices in China, the world's biggest consumer, has hit lithium producers overseas. LITHIUM CARBONATE SINKSThe price decline has been sharp. "A lithium carbonate price of 200,000-300,000 yuan per tonne is where both upstream and downstream will feel comfortable," said Rystad's Zou.
These four charts show how the war has changed global energy markets over the past year. Here are four charts that capture the most striking changes that took hold in oil and gas markets over the past year. Russia has found other oil buyersBut Russia has still managed to find other buyers for its oil. India too has aggressively ramped up its purchases of Russian oil and now imports 1.2 million barrels each day, according to Vortexa. "The natural gas market has become even more global as demand for liquefied natural gas continues to rise," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
China energy rethink can keep Europe warm
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Yawen Chen | Thomson Reuters | Beijing | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
HONG KONG, Feb 7 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Beijing's energy policy will indirectly support Europe. The European Union imported a record 131 bcm of LNG last year, 60% more than in 2021, Kpler data show. That’s why Chinese LNG imports are forecast to rise just 7% this year to 94 bcm, according to data provider OilChem China, or 14% below their 2021 peak. While strengthening its own energy security, China may accidentally help keep Europe warm. Chinese LNG imports are expected to rise 7% to 94 billion cubic metres in 2023 from a year before, according to data provider OilChem China.
In 2021, Europe's monthly LNG imports ranged from a low of 4.54 million tonnes to a high of 9.15 million. However, Europe's LNG demand eased off in January amid a milder winter than usual and ample inventories. While China does have long-term purchase agreements in place, it also buys spot cargoes. The question for the market is whether spot prices have dropped enough to tempt back Asian LNG buyers that were previously reluctant. It will be key to see if utilities in China, India and Pakistan also decide that prices have declined enough to make LNG imports economically viable once more.
U.S. farmers plan to go 'heavy on corn' in 2023
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Mark Weinraub | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Plans for the upcoming season were made even as doubts mounted about demand and price gains for soybeans outstripped corn late last year. 2 U.S. cash crop, soybeans. Hunnicutt cited the reliability of corn yields as a key reason to go big on corn in 2023. DEMAND WANESU.S. farmers alternate between soybeans and corn in a bid to maintain soil health. Last year's harvest shortfall left corn supplies at their lowest since 2013 and made farmers hopeful that prices would rally in the coming months.
But economists and CEOs warn the economy will remain on shaky ground in 2023, which could mean another turbulent year for consumers. After months of strict lockdowns that caused rolling disruptions to supply chains and greatly stifled demand from Chinese consumers, China began lifting its Covid restrictions in recent weeks. “The most important thing for 2023 is by far China’s Covid policy,” Dan Klein, the head of energy pathways at S&P Global Commodity Insights. Covid infections have continued to shut down factories around the world, aggravated by China’s loosening of Covid restrictions. In the meantime, with demand outstripping supply, car prices are up by nearly 24% over the past two years.
Given some analysts' expectations of steep declines in share prices next year, Goldman Sachs has put together a basket of high-dividend stocks that could help investors hide from any potential carnage. Goldman Sachs analysts said that only companies making "sustainable" dividend payouts are included in their list. Goldman expects Madrid-headquartered Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria to increase its dividends to 8.2% next year from its current 6.48%. The median analyst price target on the stock also gives it 30% upside from current levels, according to FactSet. Along with a big dividend, the median analyst price target gives the stock 22% upside from current levels, Factset data shows.
REUTERS/Dinuka Liyanawatte/File PhotoDec 13 (Reuters) - For the energy industry, 2022 will be remembered as the year Russia's invasion of Ukraine accelerated a global energy crisis. The world's top energy companies beat a hasty retreat from Russia and wrote off tens of billions of dollars in assets. WHY IT MATTERSRussia's invasion of Ukraine caused European countries to re-evaluate their relationship with that nation, long the continent's primary supplier of natural gas. "We are seeing nothing less than the termination of a successful 50-year partnership on gas between Russia and Europe," said Michael Stoppard, special adviser and global gas analyst at S&P Global Commodity Insights. As the year comes to a close, costs for natural gas and heating fuel have ebbed as economic activity declines.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOPEC+ may have wanted to avoid geopolitical fight with the U.S, S&P Global editor saysHerman Wang, managing editor at S&P Global Commodity Insights, discusses the decision from OPEC and non-OPEC producers to stick to its existing oil production policy.
The nickel market is also structured very differently than the market for crude oil, with private firms rather than national companies running the show. The country now accounts for more than 38% of global refined nickel supply, according to data from market intelligence firm CRU Group. People who track the nickel market are skeptical such an arrangement is workable. But other countries that have direct access to battery metals and other important minerals also want a say. “The metals market and its importance to the energy transition is something we’re all waking up to and adapting to how it’s going to work in practice,” Bronze said.
There are signs, however, that LNG demand is ticking higher ahead of winter, with commodity analysts Kpler estimating November imports in both Asia and Europe to rise. LNG imports by Asia, Europe vs JKM priceEUROPE BUYING AGAINEurope's imports are expected to reach 11.49 million tonnes in November, which would be the second-highest in Kpler's records behind the 11.55 million tonnes in January. Europe's LNG imports were 10.13 million tonnes in October, which was the first time since May they had exceeded 10 million tonnes in a month. The United States remains Europe's biggest supplier, with imports of 4.66 million tonnes expected in November, up from 4.17 million in October. Europe's imports of Russian LNG are continuing, with arrivals of 1.32 million tonnes in November, up from 1.05 million in October.
Xinhua News Agency | Xinhua News Agency | Getty ImagesSHARM EL-SHEIKH, Egypt — Fraying diplomatic tensions between the U.S. and China are a big concern at the COP27 climate summit. However, many fear tensions between Washington and Beijing could make climate cooperation at COP27 extremely difficult. We say it is just on climate change, but we know that climate change is really at the center of everything in society." Biden is expected to join a 16-member delegation of senior officials at COP27 later this week to "advance the global climate fight." "And there is no solution to the problem of climate change without China, without Russia, without India, without … large economies being at the table," Kerry said.
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