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This historic weakness is well-enshrined in stock market lore and encapsulated in the old chestnut, "Sell Rosh Hashana and buy Yom Kippur." Triple witching refers to each quarter's simultaneous expiration of stock index futures and options and individual stock options. It may be true we are in a bull market, but it is certainly not a typical one. Instead of trying to pick winners, Marks sensibly proposes the opposite: You might also achieve that goal — of producing alpha, or outperformance — by holding fewer of the losers. That is why the vast majority of active stock pickers continue to underperform the market, and why money continues to flow into passive index funds.
Persons: Rosh Hashana, Jonathan Krinsky, Lowry, Howard Marks, Oaktree, Marks, FAANGs, Jesse Livermore, It's Organizations: Triple, Bulls, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Facebook, Netflix Locations: Yom, Yom Kippur
For investors who had expected more economic strife, sticking to those calls has become increasingly difficult. "It's going to take longer for rates to rally," said John Madziyire, senior portfolio manager and head of U.S. Treasuries and TIPS at Vanguard Fixed Income Group. "Recession or no recession, we think the probability of higher-for-longer interest rates is far greater than the likelihood of near-term cuts," credit investment firm Oaktree Capital said in a recent note. A re-acceleration in inflation could lead to higher rates than the market has priced in. Some are navigating the uncertainty by combining exposure to higher-yielding short term bonds with long-term bonds in case of a downturn.
Persons: , Felipe Villarroel, John Madziyire, Oaktree Capital, Danielle Poli, Anthony Woodside, Woodside, Stephen Dover, Chip Hughey, Davide Barbuscia, Richard Chang Organizations: Bond, Federal Reserve, TwentyFour Asset Management, Bank of, Fitch's U.S, Treasury, Oaktree, Fund, Reuters, U.S, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Truist Advisory Services, Vanguard, Thomson Locations: U.S, Oaktree
Companies BioXcel Therapeutics Inc FollowAug 14 (Reuters) - BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI.O) said on Monday it will reduce its workforce by more than 50% to 80 employees from about 190, as the drugmaker shifts its focus towards developing its agitation treatment. The drug, sold under the brand name Igalmi in the U.S., is already approved for use in hospital settings to treat agitation in adult patients with schizophrenia or bipolar disorder. The company plans to reduce in-hospital commercialization expenses, and suspend trials that it no longer deems core to its business. With the job cuts, BioXcel aims to reduce more than 50% of its cash burn to about $80 million on a go-forward annualized basis. Its cash and cash equivalents totaled to $127.5 million as of June 30, compared with $165.5 million as of March 31.
Persons: Sriparna Roy, Krishna Chandra Organizations: BioXcel Therapeutics, BioXcel Therapeutics Inc, Oaktree Fund Administration, Qatar Investment Authority, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
Employees knew they were getting promoted if Pick told them to wear a tie the following day, an ex-managing director recalled. While Morgan Stanley currently trades at a premium among its Wall Street peers, its enviable success isn't thanks to Pick. Succession has traditionally been a bloody sport on Wall Street, and Morgan Stanley is no exception. Gonzalo Marroquin/Patrick McMullan via Getty Images Show less Morgan Stanley investment management head and dark horse in the race for CEO, Dan Simkowitz. Despite enjoying the stock price gains under Gorman's reign, plenty of longtime employees want another dyed-in-the-wool Morgan Stanley loyalist, according to a former senior executive.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Pick, Gucci loafers, Blackstone, Tony James, Morgan, James Gorman, Gorman, Andy Saperstein, Dan Simkowitz, John Mack, Ted, James, Phil Purcell, Mack, Purcell, Merrill Lynch, Paul Taubman, Colm Kelleher, coheads, Gonzalo Marroquin, Patrick McMullan, Saperstein, Euromoney, Parker Gilbert, He's, John, cohead, Bolu, Goldman Sachs, Pablo, tony, Betsey Kittenplan, Smith Barney, James cochairs, Jim Breyer, Anna Wintour, John Mack pranking Pick, John Waldron, Goldman, I'm, Howard Marks, Bill Parcells, atta, Brian Moynihan, aren't, David Solomon, Jamie Dimon's, Eaton Vance, he's, you've, Richard Drew, Organizations: Employees, Archegos Capital Management, Blackstone, McKinsey, Getty, Middlebury College, China Construction Bank, Harvard Business School, Mitsubishi, Wall, Autonomous Research, Anguilla, Agricultural Bank of China, Capital Management, Metropolitan Museum of Art, Vogue, New York Rangers, Oaktree Capital Management, Bloomberg, Staten, Disney, JPMorgan, Trade, AP Locations: China, Beijing, Manhattan, New York City, Caracas, Venezuela, Brookville, tony Long
All three major averages advanced for the week, powered by strong mega-cap earnings and favorable inflation data. Looking to next week, earnings season enters its second half with the last of our mega-caps — Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) — set to report on Thursday. We'll get a better read on the employment picture on Wednesday with the ADP report and then, more importantly, on Friday's nonfarm payrolls report for July. Thursday after the close brings us to the main events of the week: Earnings from Apple and Amazon. For those looking to review first quarter performance ahead of these releases, be sure to keep our first-quarter earnings report card handy.
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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOaktree: It's hard to imagine how a recession would be avoided with rates this highArmen Panossian, Head of Performing Credit and the incoming Co-CEO of Oaktree Capital Management, discusses the markets, the Fed, and private credit.
Persons: Armen Panossian Organizations: Performing Credit, Oaktree Capital Management
REUTERS/Jan LopatkaPRAGUE, June 30 (Reuters) - Cyanide maker Draslovka is considering an equity fundraising worth hundreds of millions of dollars support the roll out of new technology that could help miners slash use of cyanide, its CEO said in an interview on Friday. The privately-held Czech company is the world's leading sodium cyanide maker. It acquired Australian Mining & Process Solutions last year, which developed innovative glycine leaching technology that can cut cyanide usage in mining by about half, depending on the circumstances. Draslovka hopes the technology will spearhead a transformation of the industry, raising its effectiveness and reducing environmental impacts. Bruzek said Draslovka had another 10 similar potential projects lined up by year-end, including a top nickel and cobalt miner.
Persons: Pavel Bruzek Jr, Jan Lopatka, Draslovka, Bruzek, JP Morgan, Barrick, Emma Rumney Organizations: Draslovka, REUTERS, Australian Mining, U.S, Oaktree Capital Management, Partners, Thomson Locations: Prague, Czech Republic, Jan Lopatka PRAGUE, Czech, London, United States, Sasol, South Africa
ICYMI: This is the last week of 10 Things on Wall Street. Insider's Rebecca Ungarino has more details on how long the beef between Overdeck and Siegel has been brewing behind the scenes. What stands out to me about the drama at Two Sigma is how it all seems to be so petty. The Two Sigma cofounder was included only as an example of the type of managers Haider had eclipsed. The asset manager tapped two internal executives to serve as co-CEOs of the firm, succeeding CEO Jay Wintrob, The Wall Street Journal reports.
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, I'm, Billy Joel's, , we've, Goldman, Cofounders David Siegel, John Overdeck, David Siegel, cofounders, Insider's Rebecca Ungarino, Siegel, Rebecca, Haidar Capital's Said Haidar, Haider, Penny, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Scott Olson, Ruobing Su, Michael Broadbery, Goldman Sachs, Maza, Andreessen Horowitz, Seth Klarman, Jay Wintrob, Robert O'Leary, Armen Panossian, Everybody's, they're, Joey Hadden, Jeffrey Cane, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Sigma, Baupost, Oaktree Capital, Street, Wall, LinkedIn Locations: Omaha, New York, London
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Persons: Dow Jones
Private equity is often seen as the Holy Grail of finance jobs — but breaking in can be challenging. We also have data on private equity pay and the industry's top recruiters. Here is what we found about pay at private equity firms, including Blackstone, Apollo, and Bain Capital. Private equity recruiting has been starting earlier than ever Getty ImagesPrivate equity firms like to recruit young talent from investment banks. These days, the private equity recruiting process has started earlier than ever, resulting in middle-of-the-night interviews with offers being made — and blown up — all before Labor Day.
Persons: , bymuratdeniz, Blackstone, Samantha Lee, Drew Angerer, Skye Gould, Jon Gray, Grace Koo, Read, Carlyle, Alex Crisses, Thoma Bravo, Warburg Pincus, Wharton's, Axel Springer Organizations: Blackstone, KKR, Service, Apax Partners, Oaktree, of Foreign Labor, Apollo, Bain Capital, Labor, General Atlantic, PJT Partners, Partners, dealmakers, Wall, University of Michigan Locations: Carlyle, Blackstone, Axel
In 2020, Bain Capital set up a previous global fund after securing $3.2 billion in commitments. The program was previously called Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations Fund and used to sit within Bain Capital's credit business. Bain Capital's special situations strategy is now a standalone business, after being carved out with an independent team outside the umbrella of the credit unit. Globally, Bain Capital currently has $16 billion of assets under management as part of its special situations strategy. Last year, Bain Capital closed a $2 billion "special situations fund" for Asia Pacific to cover a range of asset types, which included a focus on real estate.
Arguably the biggest financial conference of the year just wrapped in Beverly Hills. Insider's Dakin Campbell, who was on the ground at Milken, has a report on the five biggest topics discussed this year. Dakin's report got me thinking about how Milken stacks up against another high-profile conference: Davos. Milken is also designed, thanks to its namesake, with a keen eye on what the finance industry wants, he added. Click here to read more about the biggest topics being discussed at the Milken Conference.
Howard Marks told clients that he is taking a leave of absence after a throat cancer diagnosis. Marks, who cofounded Oaktree, said he expects to be "fully back in action around mid-summer." Marks, 77, does not expect "any negative consequences from the treatment, or any lasting limitations on my activities." Billionaire investor and Oaktree Capital Management co-chairman Howard Marks said in a note to Oaktree clients on Wednesday that he is taking a leave of absence while he undergoes treatment after a recent throat cancer diagnosis. "I'm writing to let you know I was recently diagnosed with a relatively common form of throat cancer.
David’s needs bachelorettes, not just brides
  + stars: | 2023-04-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
NEW YORK, April 18 (Reuters Breakingviews) - With marriage rates on the decline, David’s Bridal has once again tied itself in a knot. Last time this happened in 2018, David’s courted a group of lenders led by Oaktree to save it. loadingFunding for nuptial-related companies has been on the decline since, as has business at David’s. Modern brides are opting for cheaper casual and secondhand dresses over fancy getups, but they appear more reticent to compromise on pre-wedding soirees. It suggests perhaps that David's fresh start should embrace an old saying, with a twist: always the bachelorette, never the bride.
Market veteran Howard Marks is sounding the alarm on commercial real estate, with an anticipated wave of mortgage defaults set to add stress to the financial system. The longtime investor called commercial real estate loans "one of the biggest worries" U.S. banks face today in the face of higher interest rates and a looming recession. "Higher interest rates call for higher demanded capitalization rates, which will cause most real estate prices to fall," Marks said. To be sure, Marks said he's not sure if banks will suffer losses on their commercial real estate loans, or what the magnitude will be. "Mortgage defaults generally don't signal the end of the story, but rather the beginning of negotiations between lenders and landlords," Marks said.
Howard Marks says interest rates won't return to zero anytime soon. The billionaire investor warns the ballooning US federal debt may cause problems in the future. Marks says AI won't replace the best investors, and the banking fiasco shone a light on bitcoin. (Marks was warning that continued growth in the US federal debt will likely have serious consequences down the line.) It should be harder and harder and harder to run money and be paid highly for producing inferior.
Guest view: Direct lending may be entering new era
  + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Armen Panossian | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Challenges in the banking system are expanding the opportunities available to direct lenders. I believe direct lenders’ market share will increase significantly in the future due to the substantial mismatch of supply and demand that has emerged in the market for funding large-scale LBOs. Direct lenders, including funds at Oaktree, are now seeking to fill this gap. Not all direct lenders will be able to take advantage of this opportunity, though. This, in turn, is attracting interest and capital from those direct lenders able to fill the massive gap.
But the momentum already behind the secretive private credit space has picked up — fast. He was witnessing a new willingness from borrowers to turn first to private credit, a market that has grown yet generally remains more opaque than its public-market counterparts. "Borrowers used to look at these banks and say, 'Look, the banks, they've been around forever. The private lenders say that privacy is all part of the pitch. Money managers smell opportunityThe momentum already behind the secretive private credit space has gained steam as the SVB collapse pushes companies to consider alternate sources of debt and, on the other side, private credit managers seek out new targets.
March 14 (Reuters) - Infinera Corp (INFN.O), a U.S. manufacturer of semiconductors for the telecommunications industry that competes with China's Huawei, is exploring options that include a sale of the company, according to a person familiar with the matter. The San Jose, California-based company, which has a market value of $1.6 billion, is working with investment bank Centerview Partners on a sale process that will launch in a few weeks, the source said. There is no certainty that Infinera will reach any deal, added the source, who requested anonymity because the deliberations are confidential. Infinera and Centerview did not respond to requests for comment. Infinera makes optical semiconductors and networking equipment for fixed line and mobile telecommunications networks.
[1/2] The main entrance of Silicon Valley Bank is seen in Menlo Park, California U.S. March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Michaela Vatcheva NO RESALESMarch 11 (Reuters) - Hedge funds are offering to buy startup deposits stranded at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) for as little as 60 cents on the dollar, Semafor reported on Saturday, citing people familiar with the matter. Traders from investment firm Jefferies are also contacting startup founders with money stuck at the bank, offering to buy their deposit claims at a discount, The Information reported separately. Jefferies is offering at least 70 cents on the dollar for deposit claims, the report said, citing several people with direct knowledge of the matter. Silicon Valley Bank imploded after depositors, concerned about the lender's financial health, rushed to withdraw their deposits.
A California ranch owned by entertainment mogul Bob Daly and his wife, songwriter Carole Bayer Sager, is coming on the market for $24.95 million. Known as Oaktree Ranch, the roughly 19-acre Calabasas property includes a main residence, a stable, a caretaker’s house, a pool and a tennis court, according to marketing materials. “People buy a ranch in Montana,” Mr. Daly said, but “I didn’t want to fly anywhere.” He keeps a pony, miniature horses, goats, and dozens of chickens and pigeons on the ranch, he said.
Private equity firms lend less as demand cools
  + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Chibuike Oguh | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The amount of loans disbursed by direct lenders so far in 2023 has not shown any pickup, the Refinitiv data shows. Also weighing on deal volumes is the cost of borrowing from private equity firms. This has dampened demand for loans from private equity firms. For their part, private equity firms have also become more risk-averse when it comes to lending, as the economic slowdown and sticky price inflation erode the credit worthiness of some borrowers. To be sure, major deals using private equity firms as lenders are still getting done as banks have continued their retrenchment from risky debt.
The unraveling of fintech darling Vise
  + stars: | 2023-03-03 | by ( Stephanie Palazzolo | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +28 min
It was April, and more than two dozen salespeople who worked for the fintech startup Vise had been ordered to a multiday off-site at the W Hoboken hotel in New Jersey to share exhaustive reports on their performance. Even salespeople at bigger, established, top-tier investment-management firms typically wouldn't close $250 million in a year, multiple sales employees said. (K-means clustering is an unsupervised machine-learning algorithm often referred to as a form of AI, Vise's founders said). (Vise's founders disputed this, saying the company received updated financial data only once a day for its portfolio-construction engine.) And to address its "leaky funnel" of overestimating prospective sales, Vise was to stop outreach to new clients while it onboards and upsells to existing clients, the document said.
David Solomon at Goldman Sachs' 2023 investor day. All eyes were on Goldman Sachs yesterday as the bank held its second-ever investor day. The biggest news of the day was Solomon, along with other key executives, acknowledging the bank was exploring "strategic alternatives" for its consumer business. Hinting at "strategic alternatives" was something people would want to hear more about. And click here to read more about Goldman exploring "strategic alternatives" for its consumer biz.
Frederick, the President of Howard University, at a press conference February 29, 2016, in the university's Founder's Library. Frederick is the 17th president of Howard University, one of 107 historically Black colleges and universities in the U.S., serving some 11,000 students across its undergraduate, graduate, and professional student programs. Frederick is the distinguished Charles R. Drew Professor of Surgery at the Howard University College of Medicine. He is also a practicing cancer surgeon at Howard University Hospital, where he continues to see patients and perform surgeries. CNBC: The Department of Defense recently announced its selection of Howard University as the 15th university, and first HBCU, to lead a University Affiliated Research Center.
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