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☆ A hedge if this tech comeback is a head fake and a correction is still in order
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Technology Select Sector Index, which the ETF 'XLK ' tracks, is down about 9% since the all-time high on July 10. This is even though the technology sector earnings have experienced a compound annual growth rate 2.7% greater than the S & P 500. The chart below reflects the earnings growth of the Technology Sector vs. the S & P 500 over the past 20 years in a log scale. Not only has the technology sector grown earnings faster, but earnings growth has also been more stable. While technology stocks are down almost 9% from their all-time highs, those all-time highs also reflected all-time high valuations.

Persons: we've, it's Organizations: Technology, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But the stock quickly dropped to find new support around $210, eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range lines up well with previous resistance from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. But if RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would mean clear skies ahead from a technical perspective. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their technical configurations suggest investors should watch this space closely leading into the November elections. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Kamala Harris, FSLR, it's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Inc, Sunrun Inc, CMT, Sierra Alpha Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A 'butterfly' options spread trade that pays off if there's an earnings-driven rally in Adobe
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The company's innovation pipeline provide long-term growth potential, with the earnings event likely serving as a catalyst for further upside. With expected EPS growth of 14% and revenue growth of 11%, Adobe maintain its leadership in the software industry. To capitalize on the potential for an earnings-driven rally, we suggest using a "broken wing butterfly," which offers a high reward-to-risk ratio. Specifically, I suggest the ADBE Sep 20, 2024 $585/630/650 Call butterfly at $10.96 Debit. This strategy entails: • Buying the Sep 20 $585 Calls @ $18.80 • Selling the Sep 20 $630 Calls (2 contracts) @ $5.53 • Buying the Sep 20 $650 Calls @ $3.22 This butterfly strategy offers a maximum reward of $3,404 per contract while limiting risk to only $1,096 per contract.

Organizations: Adobe, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Small caps are outperforming large caps. How to use charts to find buy candidates in the group
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.

Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials

☆ A trade that wins if Apple shares continue to break down following iPhone event
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Moreover, shortly after Apple introduced the iPhone 16 , Chinese smartphone manufacturer Huawei launched its tri-fold phone, the Mate XT. This device garnered significant attention, securing more than 2 million pre-orders within just a few hours of its release. The trade The trade structure I'm employing is known as a "bear put spread." THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Tim Cook, AAPL, Nishant Pant Organizations: Apple, Huawei, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: AAPL

☆ How to trade Adobe's upcoming earnings using options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

I'll break down various option trade scenarios into the earnings, focusing on one that will benefit from a big move in any direction. Adobe's Creative Cloud subscription model generates recurring revenue and maintains a solid customer base, from freelancers to large enterprises. Adobe's Document Cloud, featuring Acrobat and PDF solutions, is critical in digital document management and e-signatures. Of course, any bears out there could also use a calendar to bet on a downside move, using a $500 Sep/Jan put calendar. Combining the call and put calendar is a trade I usually refer to as a strangle swap.

Persons: Adobe Sensei, Jan, I've Organizations: Adobe, Labor, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Wall Street cheers Powell speech, but risks remain. This options trade capitalizes on a potential move lower
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech gave the stock market a jolt higher, reaffirming expectations for interest rate cuts going forward. Still, I believe the Fed will remain data dependent, which should temper euphoria and keep the S & P 500 in its 2024 range. I want to embrace this range and position accordingly for U.S. equites to again cool off going into September. Volatility has been the overarching theme for August, and I believe the recent uber-sensitivity to macro data will keep markets extraordinarily spastic. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, equites, Powell Organizations: Nvidia, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A trade that wins if the drop in Chipotle after CEO jumps to Starbucks is overdone
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) shares are getting wrecked after its CEO Brian Niccol left to try and turn around Starbucks. With a positive outlook on CMG, I see this pre-market drop as an opportunity to invest in a company that seems almost recession-proof. The trade To initiate a bullish position on CMG, I plan to use a strategy known as a "bull call spread." This trade was written assuming Chipotle was trading around $51 a share. If CMG trades at or above the short strike by the expiration date, this trade could yield a return of 100% on the amount risked.

Persons: Brian Niccol, let's, Chipotle Organizations: Grill, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Chipotle

☆ How to determine if this comeback rally is for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks have made a nice comeback after testing support last week in the wake of a violent summer swoon tied to the yen carry trade. I run four equity portfolios at Inside Edge Capital, the most actively managed is appropriately named "Active Opps." In this article I'll cover the technical formation of the resistance zone as well as the option hedge we're using. If this is an ill-fated rally, or a so-called bear market rally, my bet is it will fail around this zone. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Nvidia's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Edge, Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Traders are betting on an outsized move in Deere on earnings this week — how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Deere (DE) , headquartered in Moline, Illinois, manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, and related components. One of the oldest companies in the United States, Deere traces its history back to John Deere's "self-scouring plow" in 1837. However, even assuming 50 bushels per acre and a $5/bushel average price increase, the revenue per acre would have risen by ~$250/acre. However, while Deere & Company stock has underperformed the S & P this year, its enterprise value is nearly $100 Billion, almost double the company's valuation in January 2020, just before the pandemic. Unsurprisingly, DE options are pricing in a larger-than-average 6% move when the company reports earnings on Thursday.

Persons: John Deere's, John Deere, outperforming, Massey Ferguson Organizations: Deere, Caterpillar, Deere & Company, Nasdaq, Farmers, CNH Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~$, ~ $ $ Locations: Moline , Illinois, United States, Mexico, Holland

☆ Levels to watch on the yen, bond yields and Nvidia to know when this volatile market spell is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

S & P down 5.50% here, headlines of a Nikkei crash, and another great Yen carry unwind happening. I traded for a hedge fund and served as senior technical analyst for an foreign exchange company during the great financial crisis of 2008 that saw a severe yen carry unwind. If the line is headed south the dollar is weakening relative to the yen, and the yen is strengthening relative to the dollar. I believe that the July 11th CPI print that came 0.1% below expectations was the culprit to this whole yen carry unwind. Could this yen carry unwind move further?

Persons: it's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Nikkei, Markets, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The energy sector decline is overdone and this stock could lead the bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: DVN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Devon Energy, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Devon

☆ An options strategy that will win during a market comeback, while withstanding more volatility
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The massive resurgence in volatility (as measured by the Cboe Volatility Index - VIX ) has revealed market vulnerability coupled with significant uncertainty. With the VIX hitting a multi-year high of 65 this week, elevated options premiums offer higher risk/reward scenarios. .VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index, YTD The VIX, also known as Wall Street's "fear gauge", vaulted above 60 earlier this week, the highest since pandemic induced volatility back in March 2020. In the event you disagree with my bullish view, feel free to take the other side of this trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Lehman Organizations: Lehman Brothers, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Paris Olympics benefit from being first global event to fully emerge from pandemic's shadow
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Alex-Smith-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Alexander Smith | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

PARIS — Lighting the Olympic cauldron symbolically opened these Games — and, as much as possible, might have also taken a torch to some awful pandemic memories. The past two Games were staged in bubbles in and around Beijing and Tokyo as Covid was still a factor. And while some athletes have tested positive for Covid during the Paris Games, they have not upended competition. (NBC News is a division of NBCUniversal, which owns the U.S. media rights to the Olympic Games through 2032.) French fans have been wildly cheering for their athletes and team throughout these Games — so much so, that even Americans have taken notice.

Persons: we’ve, ”, Covid, Thomas Samson, “, Keylle Fabrino, “ It’s, Selma Attie, ” Mark Lazarus, Katie Ledecky, they’ve, Léon Marchand, ” Ledecky Organizations: PARIS, Paris Games, Getty, Brasil, NBC, Olympic Games, NBC Universal Media Group, Los Angeles, Paris La Défense, U.S Locations: Taiwanese, London, Beijing, Tokyo, Paris, Brazil, France, NBCUniversal, Los Angeles, Inglewood

☆ A bullish options trade on a tech recovery after the latest sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We saw another EMA crossover in May, signaling the end of the pullback and the start of a new bull run. July 2023 : Although the majority of the current correction unfolded in August, the EMA crossover signal had already appeared in July. For example, in May 2023, waiting for the EMA crossover would have meant missing out on 4.6% of the move. The trade setup: QQQ bull call spread To take a bullish trade on QQQ, I will be using a trade structure called a "bull call spread." For example, if QQQ is trading at $440 at the time of the EMA crossover, one could consider buying a 440-441 call spread.

Persons: bullish, Nishant Pant Organizations: Nasdaq, Corrections, Trust, EMA, ITM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ

☆ Using a 'bear put spread' to hedge against further market declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 5,350 puts I discussed are trading nearly $170 as I write this, up ~ $12,000 per contract. This is even though the S & P 500 is down only 2.3% since I wrote that article over a month ago. One could roll those options down and out to the September 5200/4500 S & P 500 put spread which costs about $100. If you didn't read the earlier article, here are the components of a long put spread, sometimes referred to as a "Bear Put Spread." In periods of high implied volatility, option premiums are generally higher because the market anticipates larger price movements.

Persons: It's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, it's, Trump Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~ $, & $ $

☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ An options trade to generate income during this market turbulence
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I want to embrace this turbulence and use options to create income and potentially get long the broader market at lower levels. Risk happens fast, and investors have recently been conditioned that markets only go up with the impressive rally grinding higher since last November in the S & P 500. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year The highly liquid ETF that tracks the S & P 500, the SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , was up nearly 35% (mid-July) from last November. This move forced many bears on Wall Street to capitulate and many malleable analysts to quickly reconfigure their end of year S & P 500 targets substantially higher. The trade With the S & P now down 5% from mid-July recent highs, I look at this acute move lower as a buying opportunity.

Persons: Warren Buffett Organizations: Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ An options trade on an oil giant before earnings with crude on the move higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Over the past couple of weeks, energy stocks have outperformed as investors have moved away from technology, consumer discretionary and, well, everything else. I'll breaking down my market view and then describe a possible trade on a big energy stock into earnings. Several energy companies, including the three largest US-based integrated oil companies, report earnings this week. Exxon is up slightly this week as oil inches higher on Middle East tensions. XOM YTD mountain Exxon, year-to-date Crude prices and energy stocks are, technically, mixed bags.

Persons: I've, Brent, that's Organizations: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Exxon, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Investors should wait before chasing Meta here, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After reaching a peak around $320 in July 2023, META spent four solid months bouncing between price support around $280 and retesting the July peak. With this week's earnings beat, we'll likely see META test the upper end of this new trading range. Here we can see the recent trading range in much better context, but we can also see weakening momentum conditions. The declining momentum on the weekly chart suggests a serious headwind to META's attempt to break out of its recent trading range. The 2023 range was finally eclipsed once we saw an upside break above a clearly defined resistance level.

Persons: we'll, David Keller Organizations: Meta, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ This energy stock is set for a breakout with oil on the rise again. How to play it with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Tony Zhang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As oil rebounds following oversold conditions, it provides an opportunity for buyers to step in, especially with the potential for geopolitical tensions to rise. And one energy stock that looks set up to potentially break out is Phillips 66 (PSX) after largely trading in a range since February. However, it is now just starting to break out from that trading range and starts to target the $170 highs as upside targets. With a higher debt to equity ratio, PSX has a higher implied leverage than its peers, which provides a higher upside potential if oil prices recover from its recent pullback. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Phillips, PSX Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ This real estate ETF is breaking out after going nowhere for a long time, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Real Estate Select Sector ETF (XLRE) is the worst performing sector ETF in 2024, up about 3.5% right now. The ETF is net-flat going all the way back to September '22. But, it has been the best sector ETF in July, with a monthly gain of nearly 8%. The answer is a resounding yes… if the breakout in the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) to new highs is any indication. And if rates are going to keep declining, then XLRE will have a strong tailwind to potentially catch up to XHB once again.

Persons: XLRE hasn't, XLRE, XHB, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The key price support levels to watch as sellers return to Nvidia
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Todd Gordon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

To start let's examine the 200-day moving average on the daily chart below shown as a dashed blue line. Looking back to the most recent correction in April, that was the support level of the price-to-moving average spread: 34%. We could be approaching a support level based on this analysis. This could occur by price continuing to move lower along with the moving average trending higher as the recent higher price readings factor into the average. The 50-day moving average of the daily volume totals is clearly in a decline since April.

Persons: Steve Eisman, Eisman, We're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, NVDA Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Jan, Edge, Inside Edge, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA

☆ Using options to try to catch the bottom in CrowdStrike
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This drop in such a short period seems overly exaggerated, and I'm on the lookout for signs of a bounce to initiate a bullish trade on CRWD. DMI (Directional Movement Index): The DMI is composed of three lines: DI+ (green line), DI- (red line), and ADX (blue line). When the DI- (red line) is above the DI+ (green line), it indicates a downtrend. Note that both DI- and DI+ are changing direction, which provides the first indication of a possible trend change. The Trade To take a bullish trade on CRWD, I'm using a trade structure called a "bull call spread."

Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: CRWD

☆ This under-the-radar drug stock is undergoing a long-term turnaround, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: drugmaker, VTRS, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

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