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What does Moody’s downgrade mean for markets?
  + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
CNN —Moody’s on Monday evening downgraded 10 US banks and put the credit ratings of six others on review, an indication that the agency could also eventually downgrade those institutions. Some investors say that while the Moody’s downgrade isn’t groundbreaking, it’s a reminder that the economy, and markets, still have challenges ahead. Moody’s downgraded Commerce Bank, BOK Financial, M&T Bank, Old National Bank, Prosperity Bank, Amarillo National Bank, Webster Financial, Fulton Financial, Pinnacle Financial and Associated Bank. Wall Street firms fined $549 million for using WhatsApp and other channelsWells Fargo is among a number of Wall Street firms that admitted Tuesday to using WhatsApp, Signal and other messaging platforms for “off-channel” communications in violation of federal recordkeeping requirements. The Securities and Exchange Commission said the Wall Street firms acknowledged wrongdoing and have agreed to pay penalties totaling $289 million, reports my colleague Matt Egan.
Persons: CNN — Moody’s, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Goldman Sachs, BNY, Cullen, Frost, ” Moody’s, , Kara Murphy, Fitch, Christopher Marinac, Janney Montgomery Scott, Price, Matt Egan, Houlihan Lokey, Alicia Wallace Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Banking, BNY Mellon, Northern Trust, Frost Bankers, Truist Financial, US Bank, Moody’s, Commerce Bank, BOK, T Bank, National Bank, Prosperity Bank, Amarillo National Bank, Webster Financial, Fulton Financial, Pinnacle Financial, Associated Bank, PNC Financial Services, Financial, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bank, Huntington Bank, Regions Financial, Cadence Bank, FNB Corp, Simmons, Ally Financial, Bank OZK, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Federal Reserve, Kestra Investment Management, Consumer, Wall Street, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, BNP, SG Americas, BMO Capital Markets, Mizuho Securities, SMBC Nikko Securities, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Wells Fargo, Amarillo, Marinac, Wells, SMBC Nikko Securities America, WhatsApp, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York
As inflation continued to slow last month, optimism improved among the more than 1,300 small businesses surveyed, though it remains subdued compared to pre-pandemic times. Of owners hiring or trying to hire, 92% reported few or no qualified applicants for their available jobs, also unchanged from the prior month. “With small business owners’ views about future sales growth and business conditions dismal, owners want to hire and make money now from solid consumer spending,” said Bill Dunkelberg, the NFIB’s chief economist, in a release. Despite the economy holding steady, optimism among small businesses isn’t back to where it was before the pandemic. Even though businesses are still grappling with difficulties in hiring, cooling inflation has taken some of the edge off.
Persons: , Bill Dunkelberg, they’ve Organizations: DC CNN, National Federation of Independent Business, Federal Reserve, Gross, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Labor Department, Wall Street Locations: Washington
Investors are also closely watching the path of Treasury yields, which rattled equity markets in recent days by rising to fresh year highs. The S&P 500 fell 2.27% this week, its biggest weekly decline since March 10. Janasiewicz of Natixis said a stronger-than-expected consumer price reading next week could spark a decline of up to 5% in the S&P 500. A stronger-than-expected inflation number next week could also boost Treasury yields further. Rising yields on Treasuries, viewed as among the world's safest investments because they are backed by the U.S. government, can dull the allure of stocks.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jack Janasiewicz, Natixis, Aaron Chan, Refinitiv, Tim Murray, Rowe Price, Brent, Ann Miletti, Fitch, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Carolina Mandl, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Natixis Investment, Amazon.com, Cruise, Treasury, U.S ., Advisory, Wall Street, Amazon, Google, Apple, BofA Global Research, JPMorgan, Carolina, Thomson Locations: Wall St, New York, U.S, Stocks, Refinitiv
Saudi Arabia on Thursday extended a voluntary oil production cut of 1 million barrels per day to the end of September, keeping the door open for another extension. Russia has also elected to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day next month. A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. UBS said it expects Brent prices to trade in the $85 to $90 per barrel range over the coming months. Earlier on Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that the country's crude oil inventory declined by a record 17 million barrels last week as exports and refiners' input of crude oil ramped up in the heart of summer travel season.
Persons: Brent, Alexander Novak, Maxim, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Arathy, Jason Neely, Kirsten Donovan, David Gregorio, Leslie Adler, Deepa Babington Organizations: Saudi, bbl, UBS, U.S . West Texas Intermediate, Organization of, Petroleum, REUTERS, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, U.S, Russian, OPEC, Saudi Aramco, Abqaiq, Bengaluru, London, Houston, Singapore
Brent crude futures rose 74 cents, or 0.9%, to $85.88 a barrel by 11:13 a.m. EDT (1513 GMT). Both benchmarks were set for their longest streak of weekly gains this year. Russia has also elected to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 bpd next month. A view shows branded oil tanks at Saudi Aramco oil facility in Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia October 12, 2019. UBS said it expects Brent prices to trade in the $85 to $90 per barrel range over the coming months.
Persons: Brent, Maxim, Alexander Novak, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Arathy, Jason Neely, Kirsten Donovan, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Saudi, bbl, UBS BENGALURU, Brent, . West Texas Intermediate, UBS, REUTERS, Organization of, Petroleum, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, Abqaiq, Russian, OPEC, U.S, Bengaluru, London, Houston, Singapore
The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is still expected to show a tight labor market, with the unemployment rate steady near multi-decade lows, though wage growth probably moderated. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 200,000 jobs last month, after rising 209,000 in June, according to a Reuters survey of 80 economists. Still, employment growth would be double the roughly 100,000 jobs per month needed to keep up with the increase in the working age population. Striking Hollywood writers and actors also likely had no impact on employment growth. Though annual wage growth remains too high to be consistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target, it would be the latest indication of wage pressures continuing to subside into the third quarter.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Sam Bullard, Nonfarm, Carl Riccadonna, Sung Won Sohn, Veronica Clark, Lucia Mutikani, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor, Fed, BNP, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Institute for Supply, Labor Department, Conference, Finance, Loyola Marymount University, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, Wells, Charlotte , North Carolina, New York, Los Angeles
When stripping out energy and food prices, the core PCE index showed prices increased 4.1% in June from the year before. Economists were expecting the core index to increase 4.2% on an annual basis. In May, the core PCE rose 4.6% annually. The Fed uses the core PCE index as the benchmark for its 2% inflation target. When adjusting for inflation, spending increased 0.4%, driven by a surge in goods-related purchases, specifically of new trucks and recreational products and vehicles, according to the report.
Persons: Kathy Bostjancic, , it’s, “ It’s, , “ They’re, , Shannon Seery, Wells, we’re, Seery, Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Commerce Department, Fed, Nationwide Mutual, CNN Locations: Minneapolis, May’s, Wells Fargo,
According to a Reuters survey of economists, GDP growth likely increased at a 1.8% annualized rate last quarter after rising at a 2.0% pace in the first quarter. Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, likely remained a pillar of support, although the pace of growth slowed from the second quarter's robust 4.2% rate. Further contribution to GDP growth was expected from government spending. Inventory investment is a wild card, though most economists are penciling in a contribution to GDP growth of at least five tenths of a percentage point. Business sharply reduced inventory accumulation in the January-March quarter in anticipation of weaker domestic demand, slicing 2.14 percentage points off GDP growth that period.
Persons: Dean Maki, they're, Mike Skordeles, Joe Biden's, Sean Snaith, Richard de Chazal, William Blair, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Point72, Management, Labor Department, Truist Advisory Services, Investment, University of Central Florida's Institute, Economic, Fed, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Stamford , Connecticut, Atlanta, United States, London
Powell has said that it will take more rate hikes to get inflation down to the target 2% level. Still, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell has repeatedly said, the Fed continues to have a 2% inflation target, meaning more rate hikes will likely be necessary to achieve that goal. The most recent inflation data were quite encouraging." Still, while Powell and administration officials are confident in the actions the Fed has taken to fight inflation, some Democratic lawmakers aren't convinced. "Chair Powell must maintain the Fed's pause on rate hikes and avoid further rate increases that threaten our economy and risk throwing Americans out of work."
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, we're, it's, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Janet Yellen, aren't, Massachusetts Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Warren Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, Bloomberg Locations: Wall, Silicon, Massachusetts
The Federal Reserve will make its next interest rate decision on Wednesday. Sen. Elizabeth Warren told Insider another hike could "be devastating for our economy." On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will decide whether it will raise interest rates again, or maintain the pause on hikes it implemented in June. "Chair Powell must maintain the Fed's pause on rate hikes and avoid further rate increases that threaten our economy and risk throwing Americans out of work." Still, Warren and some of her Democratic colleagues have been critical of Powell's continued rate hikes.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts Sen, Warren, Jerome Powell, Powell, we're, Democratic Sen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fed, Federal, Market Committee, Consumer, Democratic Locations: Wall, Silicon, Massachusetts
Here’s why home prices stayed high in May
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
“The ongoing recovery in home prices is broadly based.”Before seasonal adjustment, prices rose in all 20 cities in May, as they had also done in March and April. Month over month, home prices rose in May for the fourth consecutive month. “Though home prices are likely to continue to cool slightly, limited inventory relative to buyer demand will likely keep prices somewhat afloat. By 1983, partly spurred by high inflation, the price rose to $75,500, and it continued rising to $126,100 by 1993. “It is worth noting that market data are coming up on last year’s record-high prices, notched during May and June,” he said.
Persons: , , Craig Lazzara, “ It’s, Hannah Jones, Jones, George Ratiu, May’s, Ratiu, ” Ratiu Organizations: DC CNN, City Composites, Realtor.com, , National Association of Realtors, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington, Chicago, Cleveland, New York, Seattle, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Miami, Tampa , Florida, ,
While "some participants" wanted to move ahead with a rate hike in June because progress in cooling inflation had been slow, "almost all participants judged it appropriate or acceptable to maintain" the federal funds rate at the existing 5% to 5.25%, the minutes said. The minutes added detail to the policy statement and economic projections issued after the June 13-14 session, when the Fed ended its 10-meeting streak of rate hikes with a decision to hold the benchmark federal funds rate steady. Markets were little changed after the minutes, with traders in futures tied to the Fed policy rate continuing to price in a rate hike in July and about a one-in-three chance of another increase before the end of the year. "Stretching out into a more moderate pace is appropriate to allow you to make that judgment" over time, Powell said. Investors in contracts tied to the overnight federal funds rate feel the Fed is highly likely to raise the benchmark rate by a quarter point, to a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, at its July 25-26 meeting.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci, Chizu Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S
China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) fell 0.14% and the Shanghai Composite Index (.SSEC) eased 0.11%. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, pointing to continued labour market strength. The data "will have traders likely consider a greater likelihood of further interest rate hikes from the Fed." "We expect the moderate pace of interest rate decisions to continue." The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was at 4.872%, having touched more than a three-month high of 4.892% overnight.
Persons: Australia's, HSI, Economists, Ryan Brandham, Jerome Powell, Powell, Rob Carnell, YEN, Shunichi Suzuki, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Stephen Coates Organizations: Federal Reserve, Japan's Nikkei, Gross, Commerce Department, Validus Risk, Federal, Treasury, U.S, Central Bank's, Bank of Japan, Japanese Finance, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Shanghai, North America, U.S, Spanish, Madrid
Minneapolis CNN —The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled off last month, and consumers reined in some spending as the economy slows, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department. Personal spending ticked up by just 0.1%, a more moderate pace than April’s revised 0.6% growth rate. When adjusting for inflation, consumer spending was flat. Consumers refill the coffersThe data in recent months shows a gradual cooling in consumer spending, Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, told CNN. “There were no fireworks within the Fed’s favorite inflation report today,” George Mateyo, chief investment officer for KeyBank, wrote in a statement.
Persons: Diane Swonk, , Gregory Daco, “ It’s, Friday’s, Abby Omodunbi, Janet Yellen, Yellen, ” Yellen, ” George Mateyo, KeyBank, Swonk, it’s, we’ve Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Commerce Department, CNN, , PNC, Fed, Transportation Locations: Minneapolis, EY, New Orleans
Oil ticks down on interest rate hike fears
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Arathy Somasekhar | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Summary Rate hike expectations boost fears of slow economic growthWeak economic data in China weighs on sentimentHOUSTON, June 29 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged lower on Thursday, as fears that rising interest rates could dent global economic growth and crude demand offset a bigger-than-expected fall in U.S. inventories. Brent crude futures fell 38 cents, or 0.5%, to $73.66 a barrel by 1127 a.m. Investors were concerned about rising interest rates and economic growth after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that he expects the moderate pace of interest rate decisions to continue in the coming months. "Crude traders remain torn between rising interest rates with fears of a global recession against elevated travel demand and shrinking crude supplies," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial. "The lack of prospects for fuel demand growth has limited the gain in oil prices, even with supply curbs by oil producers," said Tetsu Emori, CEO of Emori Fund Management Inc.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dennis Kissler, Christine Lagarde, Tetsu Emori, Ahmad Ghaddar, Yuka Obayashi, Jason Neely, David Evans, Barbara Lewis, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Investors, Federal Reserve, BOK Financial, European Central Bank, Emori Fund Management Inc, Thomson Locations: China, HOUSTON, European, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, London
"The economy is currently displaying genuine signs of resilience," said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon in New York. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 26,000 to a seasonally adjusted 239,000 for the week ended June 24. Continuing claims covered the period during which the government surveyed households for June's unemployment rate. The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in May. GDP consumer contributionEconomists had expected first-quarter GDP growth would be raised slightly to a 1.4% pace.
Persons: Gregory Daco, Unadjusted, Rubeela Farooqi, Jerome Powell, Amira Karaoud, Scott Hoyt, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Reuters, Financial, U.S, Treasury, REUTERS, Conference Board, Gross, Commerce Department, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, EY, New York, Minnesota, Ohio, California, Texas, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, New Jersey, White Plains , New York, Spanish, Madrid, Louisville, U.S, West Chester , Pennsylvania
U.S. S&P 500 futures inched lower on Tuesday night. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.16% and 0.37%, respectively. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite jumped more than 1% each, buoyed by a resurgence in tech stocks after last week's selloff. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Wednesday morning before a policy panel at the European Central Bank Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal. Powell will be joined by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.
Persons: selloff, Jeff deGraaf, deGraaf, Jerome Powell, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Powell, Andrew Bailey, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Jeff Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones, Investors, Macro, Federal, European Central Bank, Central Banking, Bank of England, Bank of Japan Locations: New York City ., Sintra , Portugal
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House, central bank nominees are talking to the Senate, and the Washington Wizards traded away their star hooper. Powell spoke before the House Financial Services Committee yesterday following 10 consecutive interest rate hikes and one rate "skip" that the Fed chief made sure to clarify wasn't a "pause." "Given how far we've come, it may make sense to move rates higher but to do so at a more moderate pace," Powell said Wednesday. So far, the economy has been more resilient than expected, even as the fed funds rate hovers in the 5% to 5.25% range. US stock futures fall early Thursday, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said more rate hikes are likely ahead.
Persons: I'm Phil Rosen, Jerome Powell, hooper, Anna Moneymaker, Powell, that's, Patrick McHenry, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, there's, Julia La Roche, Ed Yardeni, isn't, BofA's Savita Subramanian, Apple isn't, Read, Phil Rosen, Jason Ma, Hallam Bullock, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Senate, Washington Wizards, Financial Services, Fed, Nvidia, Apple, Business, Federal, Accenture, Volex, Bank of America, . Locations: New York, Los Angeles, London
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appears Thursday on Capitol Hill for the second day of his testimony on monetary policy. The central bank leader will appear before the Senate Banking Committee after speaking Wednesday to the House Financial Services Committee. The only concession he made was that it appears the Fed won't move at the blistering pace that had characterized the prior 10 rate hikes since March 2022. Committee members questioned Powell on a variety of other topics, including the banking tumult in March. Read more:Powell expects more Fed rate hikes ahead as inflation fight 'has a long way to go'Bank of England surprises with 50 basis point rate hike to tackle persistent inflationFed holds off on rate hike, but says two more are coming later this yearSubscribe to CNBC on YouTube.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Read Organizations: Capitol, Financial Services, Bank of England, CNBC, YouTube
While noting that inflation remains very far from the Fed's target, Powell said it may make sense to move rates higher, at a more moderate pace. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.50% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.37%. The Fed is "walking a tight rope between trying to tell people they are going to fight inflation as their No. The U.S. dollar index briefly rose following the release of Powell's testimony, but was last down slightly. The dollar index fell 0.458%, with the euro up 0.67% to $1.0989.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Rick Meckler, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Medha Singh, Lawrence White, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln, Alex Richardson, David Goodman, Richard Chang, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Cherry Lane Investments, U.S . West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New Vernon , New Jersey
Dollar dips as Powell testimony disappoints hawks
  + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Powell told lawmakers the fight against inflation still "has a long way to go" and that despite a recent pause in interest rate hikes officials agreed borrowing costs would likely need to move higher. While noting that inflation remains very far from the Fed's target, Powell said it may make sense to still raise rates, at a more moderate pace. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six rivals, fell 0.43% to 102.07 following Powell's testimony to the House Financial Affairs Committee. Investors broadly expect rate hikes to resume at the Fed's July meeting, though financial market indicators reflect doubts that the Fed will deliver more increases beyond that. YEN UNDER PRESSURE, STERLING SEESAWSThe euro was 0.62 % higher against the dollar at $ 1.0985 .
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Karl Schamotta, Schamotta, Michael Brown, STERLING, Kazuo Ueda, Charles Schwab, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Tom Westbrook, Farouq Suleiman, Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill, Sharon Singleton, Alex Richardson, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, U.S, Fed, House Financial, Committee, Investors, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Fidelity, Citadel Securities, Thomson Locations: Beijing
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday affirmed that more interest rate increases are likely ahead until additional progress is made on bringing down inflation. Following last week's two-day FOMC meeting, officials indicated they see rate increases totaling 0.5 percentage point through the end of 2023. "Nonetheless, inflation pressures continue to run high, and the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go." Powell later said that the Fed has adjusted its approach to policy after implementing rate hikes at the most aggressive pace since the early 1980s. He also emphasized that rate decisions will be made based on incoming data and meeting by meeting, rather than on a preset course.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, doesn't Organizations: Financial Services, Market, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, of Michigan Locations: Washington ,
If you missed yesterday's Federal Reserve decision — and how the market reacted — you've come to the right place. In this March 21, 2018, file photo, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington. The Federal Reserve releases minutes from the March meeting of its policymakers on Wednesday, April 11. US stock futures edge lower early Thursday after the Federal Reserve paused rate hikes but hinted there were more to come. The housing market is so tight right now because 90% of homeowners are already locked into low mortgage rates.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Carolyn Kaster, it'll, there's, Powell, Dow Jones, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, it's, Martin Puddy, that's, Elon Musk's, Goldman Sachs, Musk, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Max Adams, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Bank, Fed, Bank of America Locations: Washington, Silicon, insider.com, Beijing, China, Detroit, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Jerome Powell: It makes sense to hike at a more moderate pace nowFed Chair Jerome Powell answers questions from reporters after the central bank announced a Fed rate pause on interest rates with two more hikes possible in 2023.
Persons: Jerome Powell
A passageway near the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, U.K., on Thursday, March 18, 2021. LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday hiked interest rates by 25 basis points and revised its economic projections to now exclude the possibility of a U.K. recession this year. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 in favor of the quarter-point increase to take the main bank rate from 4.25% to 4.5%, as the bank reiterated its commitment to taming stubbornly high inflation. "In the context of resilient economic activity, we think there is a good chance of the Bank Rate peaking at 5% by the August meeting. "As rates moves deeper into restrictive territory and credit conditions tighten, a policy-induced recession becomes almost inevitable."
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