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☆ Treasury yields rise after two-day slide
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Friday, reversing some of the sharp declines seen over the last two sessions on the back of cooler-than-expected consumer and wholesale inflation prints. ET, The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose 3 basis points to 3.795%, while the 2-year yield climbed 6 basis points to 4.675%. At the longer end of the curve, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond gained 2 basis points to 3.915%. Investors were reacting on Thursday to the June producer price index, which showed a weaker-than-expected monthly rise of 0.1% on both the headline and core metrics. That followed Wednesday's consumer price index, which came in at an annualized 3% for June, below consensus expectations and its lowest level since March 2021.

Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Fed, Traders, University of Michigan

☆ Morning Bid: Relief over US inflation keeps Asia upbeat
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] A woman shops for groceries at El Progreso Market in the Mount Pleasant neighborhood of Washington, D.C., U.S., August 19, 2022. Indeed, Friday's rise in the yen put it within striking distance of its converging 100-day and 200-day moving averages near 137.00 to the dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia was also in the spotlight in Asia, with the much-anticipated announcement of its next governor. The rest of the day is light on economic data with euro zone May trade, U.S. export and import prices and University of Michigan consumer sentiment the main releases. But it's a bumper day for bank earnings as JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N), Citigroup (C.N), Wells Fargo (WFC.N) and BlackRock (BLK.N) are all due to report second-quarter results.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Sonali Desai, Michele Bullock, JPMorgan Chase, Luis de Guindos, Edmund Klamann Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Treasury, Bank of, People's Bank of China, The Reserve Bank of Australia, University of Michigan, JPMorgan, Citigroup, BlackRock, Hollywood, Central Bank, JPMorgan Chase, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, Asia, Japan Asia, U.S, Wells Fargo, Brussels U.S

☆ Stock futures are little changed ahead of big bank earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as investors awaited earnings reports from a slate of big banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were down by 0.04%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures inched lower by 27 points, or 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. In regular trading, the S&P 500 climbed 0.85%. The S&P 500 is up 2.5% on the week, while the Dow is up 1.9%.

Persons: Bill Merz, we'd, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Dow, Wells, UnitedHealth Organizations: Futures, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow, Investors, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Citi, BlackRock, University of Michigan Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Why the Fed is still likely to raise rates after cooler June jobs data
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But beneath the surface, the jobs market remains hot. What’s next: The June Consumer Price Index report, a key inflation reading, is due on Wednesday. The Producer Price Index report for June is due on Thursday. Wednesday: Consumer Price Index report and housing starts for June. Thursday: Producer Price Index report for June.

Persons: ”, Joseph Davis, What’s, That’s, James Ragan, DA Davidson, Candice Tse, Price, Chris Isidore, Biden, Julie Su Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Vanguard, Traders, DA, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, UPS, Teamsters, NY, Reserve’s Survey, University of Michigan

Recessions haven't always resulted in declining stock markets, and good opportunities can be found amid them. Sectors for recession naysayersThe best sectors for recession disbelievers are the most economically sensitive ones: industrials, materials and financials. Well-positioned companies with good growth prospects currently include: Corteva, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp., PPG Industries and Sherwin-Williams. Currently buyable names include: Campbell Soup Co., General Mills, The Hershey Co., Kellogg's, Kimberly-Clark Corp., Kroger, Procter & Gamble and Walmart. Sector names with reasonable risk levels and good growth prospects include: Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc., Veeva Systems Inc., IQVIA Holdings Inc., Cigna Group and Zoetis Inc.

Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Mayur, Martin Marietta, JPMorgan Chase, Rowe Price, Willis Towers Watson, Campbell, General Mills, Clark, Willie B, Thomas, Digitalvision Organizations: Westend61, University of Michigan Consumer, Investors, Westinghouse Air Brake Co, Cummins Inc, CSX, Emerson Electric, Otis Worldwide, Carrier, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Illinois Tool, Lockheed Martin Corp, Dow Chemical, Ecolab, Linde plc, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials, Nucor Corp, PPG Industries, XLF, JPMorgan, Rowe Price Group Inc, American International Group, Allstate, The, McLennan, Sectors, Co, Hershey Co, Clark Corp, Kroger, Procter, Gamble, Walmart, Getty Images Health, iShares U.S, Medical Devices, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, IDEXX Laboratories, DaVita Inc, Veeva Systems Inc, IQVIA Holdings Inc, Cigna, Zoetis Inc Locations: American, The Hartford, Marsh, Kimberly

☆ Powell expects more Fed rate hikes ahead as inflation fight 'has a long way to go'
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday affirmed that more interest rate increases are likely ahead until additional progress is made on bringing down inflation. Following last week's two-day FOMC meeting, officials indicated they see rate increases totaling 0.5 percentage point through the end of 2023. "Nonetheless, inflation pressures continue to run high, and the process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go." Powell later said that the Fed has adjusted its approach to policy after implementing rate hikes at the most aggressive pace since the early 1980s. He also emphasized that rate decisions will be made based on incoming data and meeting by meeting, rather than on a preset course.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, doesn't Organizations: Financial Services, Market, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, of Michigan Locations: Washington ,

☆ 2-year Treasury yield climbs as investors assess interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 2-year Treasury yield traded about 4.1 basis points higher at 4.686%. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year rate was flat on the day at 3.728%. Shorter-term Treasury yields rose on Friday as investors considered the path ahead for interest rates and awaited data that could provide hints about the state of the economy. Investors considered what could be next for interest rates and the economy after the Federal Reserve decided against another rate hike earlier this month, but indicated rates could still go higher later this year. Before this month's Fed policy meeting, many investors had been hoping for rate hikes to be halted as concerns about elevated rates dragging the U.S. economy into a recession had spread.

Persons: Louis, Jim Bullard, Christopher Waller Organizations: Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Fed, Louis Fed Locations: Michigan

☆ Wall Street is placing its bets for a big Fed meeting and inflation reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The betting is also that the latest inflation reading for May that will be reported Tuesday, just as the two-day Fed meeting gets underway, will show additional progress in the fight against higher prices. Those views have helped power a broader stock market rally on Wall Street this month. In fact, the combination of the narrow stock market rally in 2023, until this month at least, plus the low VIX reading, leads Demmert to expect a 10% stock market correction at some point. "The stock market at large is in overbought territory and investors are very complacent, which was the case prior to the past three major declines within this 18-month bear market. Between the June and September meetings, the Fed would get three more inflation and three more payrolls reports.

Persons: Russell, Scott Ladner, Ladner, James Demmert, that's, Demmert, Jerome Powell's, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Jerome Powell, John Wiley, CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox Organizations: Fed, CME Group, CPI, Horizon Investments, Street Research, Investors, North, Capital Economics, Capital, UBS, Federal, Philadelphia Fed, Adobe, University of Michigan Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, SPX, downtrends, North America

☆ Cramer says don't be complacent ahead of Fed meeting: 'I do not trust a benign market like this one'
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"No surprise to regular viewers, I do not trust a benign market like this one," Cramer said. On Monday, Cramer will be watching out for software company Oracle 's report, which is expected after market's close. Cramer asked, "Because they don't want to lose those low mortgages they got over the last five years." Wednesday will bring news from the Fed, and Cramer isn't convinced Chairman Jay Powell has completely lost his hawkish streak. Friday will hopefully bring investors more clearly into the minds of consumers, Cramer said, with the release of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, market's, Cramer isn't, Jay Powell, Lina Khan, we've, —, Wall Organizations: Oracle, Kroger, Albertsons, Federal Trade, University of Michigan, Fed Locations: Florida

☆ Restaurants expect strong sales this summer. Consumers aren't so sure
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-29 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Warmer weather usually boosts restaurant sales, but diners may hold back for the second straight summer as inflation weighs on consumers' minds — and wallets. In addition to higher restaurant bills, diners were also paying more at the gas pump and in grocery stores. Restaurant sales snapped back in August, which Black Box Intelligence attributed to higher consumer confidence levels as gas prices fell. Nearly half of operators surveyed by Datassential anticipate higher sales or improved traffic this summer season. Summer typically ushers in a wave of seasonal restaurant jobs to meet higher demand, particularly in the Northeast and tourist destinations.

With the end of another earnings season in sight, Wall Street's attention has turned to Washington and the debt ceiling deadline. Republican negotiators on Friday walked out of talks on raising the debt limit , abruptly ending a positive week of discussions that appeared to be leading toward a deal. Democrats and the White House have been pushing for a "clean" hike to the debt limit that would push the next deadline past the 2024 presidential election, while Republicans are pressing for spending cuts. Many investors believe this ongoing game of chicken over the debt limit is largely for show, since the U.S. has never defaulted on its debt obligations. U.S. President Joe Biden hosts debt limit talks with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and other congressional leaders in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, U.S., May 9, 2023.

☆ Dollar notches biggest weekly rise since February
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar rose against the euro and sterling on Friday, and notched its biggest weekly gain since February, as investors shifted to safe havens after consumer sentiment data fueled concern about the U.S. debt ceiling and monetary policy. A University of Michigan survey on Friday showed May U.S. consumer sentiment slumped to a six-month low on worries that political dispute over raising the federal government's borrowing cap could trigger a recession. "Rate differentials are continuing to tilt in the dollar's favor," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist of Corpay in Toronto. Recent data showing a slowing economy has boosted the case that the Fed will pause hiking rates at its June meeting. That left the dollar index up 0.63% at 102.70, notching a weekly gain of 1.4% — its biggest weekly rise since February.

☆ Wall Street’s still worried despite Friday’s fakeout
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

In other words, Wall Street still has concerns about the banking sector’s health, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and the possibility of recession. Key inflation reports aheadThe April Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index are on deck for next week. The Fed on Wednesday raised interest rates by a quarter point and opened the door to a pause later this year. Wednesday: April Consumer Price Index and earnings report from Disney (DIS). Thursday: April Producer Price Index, mortgage rates and jobless claims.

☆ Regional bank stocks could be a market afterthought in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

For the immediate economic and earnings and growth outlook, it almost seems irrelevant whether regional bank stocks rally, steady or sell off more next week. Regional banks were top of mind for investors this past week, as First Republic failed , the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF tumbled more than 10% — twice the five-day loss in the S & P 500 Energy Index, the hardest hit S & P sector — and lenders such as PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp lost billions in market value. And, for all that, the S & P 500 only fell about 0.75% this week. Now the conventional wisdom on Wall Street is that regardless of how the regional bank stocks trade, it's a given that bank lending officers are going to pull in their horns and risk management desks will grow more risk averse. But stocks still face a host of issues, none of which are going away next week.

☆ US dollar gains as inflation data backs Fed rate hike; yen sinks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 101.54 . Friday's data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.

☆ U.S. dollar firms as inflation data backs Fed hike; yen plunges
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.2% to 101.65. Friday's data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.

☆ INDIA RUPEE Rupee to weigh robust US activity data, support at 82.25/USD
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( Nimesh Vora | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, April 24 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed to the U.S. currency on Monday, amid upbeat U.S. data and expectations that the local currency will manage to hold a near-term support level. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open nearly unchanged to the previous session's level of 82.09. The local currency declined last week, halting a four week winning streak and was in a 81.88 to 82.25 range. "The U.S data may have dampened thoughts about Fed rate cuts later this year," ING Bank said in a note. There is a slew of data this week to help investors assess the likely direction for U.S. rates.

☆ Big Tech earnings are on deck this week. Why that matters
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —With Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta Platforms all slated to report earnings this coming week, investors are turning their attention away from bank earnings to Big Tech. Another major theme for tech earnings is the race toward artificial intelligence. Earnings reports from Meta Platforms (META), Boeing (BA) and ServiceNow (NOW). Earnings reports from Amazon (AMZN), MasterCard (MA), T-Mobile (TMUS), Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and Capital One (COF). Earnings reports from Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), Colgate-Palmolive (CL) and New York Community Bancorp (NYCB).

☆ Treasury yields hold steady as investors digest inflation data, await bank earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%. ET, the 10-year Treasury was trading at 3.443% after falling by less than one basis point. The 2-year Treasury yield was last down by less than one basis point to 3.9707%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Friday as investors assessed the latest economic data, which indicated that inflationary pressures could be easing, and braced themselves for earnings season. As the data suggested that inflation is easing, many investors now believe the Fed could pause interest rate hikes sooner.

☆ Marketmind: Banks to test soft landing thesis
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets have surged this week on renewed hopes of disinflation, peak interest rates and a soft economic landing - and earnings from Wall Street's biggest banks now test the thesis. Markets will be most focussed on bank guidance on how much the March bank failure will crimp lending going forward. Next month's expected interest rate rise from the Federal Reserve is now expected to be the last and futures see up to 70 basis points of cuts from that point to year-end. And with China's booming trade numbers for last month also suggesting the world economy at large will comfortably skirt recession this year, "soft landing" hopes are back in vogue. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ Wall Street says bad news is no longer good news. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —There’s been a seismic shift in investor perspective: Bad news is no longer good news. Markets teetered after a slew of economic reports signaled that the red-hot labor market is finally cooling (more on that later), flashing warning signals across Wall Street. Now that Wall Street is in “bad news is bad news and good news is good news” mode, it will be looking for signs that the economy remains resilient. President Joe Biden said in a statement Friday that the March data is “a good jobs report for hard-working Americans.”The March jobs report revealed that US employers added a lower-than-expected 236,000 jobs last month. The jobs report was also the first one in 12 months that came in below expectations.

☆ Key inflation data and earnings reports loom as labor market signals a slowing U.S. economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Fed officials have been pointing to the tight labor market as an area of concern for inflation, using it as evidence that it hasn't tightened rates enough. After months of strategists and investors complaining that earnings estimates are too high, they've started to fall — but with a catch. If the trough in earnings is close, then the stock market could be in for a big year. ET - Producer price index Friday: Earnings: UnitedHealth, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Citigroup, PNC Financial 8:30 a.m. ET - Fed H.8 data on assets and liabilities of U.S. commercial banks

☆ First came bank failures. Now comes the House hearing
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-26 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Federal regulators are being called to testify before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday about the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. What lawmakers are saying: Elected officials want a review of what happened at Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank earlier this month, as well as stricter regulations to prevent it from happening again. Regulators on March 12, just days after SVB collapsed, announced a guarantee of all deposits at the bank and Signature Bank. What to expect: It’s unclear what will come of the hearings on SVB and Signature Bank. Wednesday: The House Financial Services Committee’s hearing on the banking crisis continues for a second day.

☆ Treasury yields mixed as investors consider outlook for bank stocks, monetary policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last up by just under one basis point to 4.1384%. U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Friday as investors weighed the outlook for stock markets and considered what the Federal Reserve's next policy moves might be. Major international banks also had a volatile week after Credit Suisse's biggest backer said it could no longer support the Swiss bank financially. A 25 basis point rate hike rather than a 50 basis point rate hike is now expected.

☆ Consumer sentiment comes in higher than expected
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumer sentiment comes in higher than expectedCNBC’s Rick Santelli breaks down the preliminary Michigan consumer sentiment report for February.

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