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Inflation data in the week ahead could determine whether a stock market that surged to all-time highs after Donald Trump 's decisive victory can continue to push higher. Meanwhile, the October producer price index, which excludes shelter, is set to have risen 0.3%, consensus estimates show, up from a 0.0% reading the prior month. Initial Claims (11/09) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (October) Earnings: Applied Materials , Walt Disney Friday, Nov. 15 8:30 a.m. Export Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (October) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hogan, We've, Nancy Tengler, Bitcoin, Harker, Tyson, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, FactSet, Laffer, Investments, Trump, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Philadelphia Reserve, Carnegie Mellon, Occidental Petroleum, Nation Entertainment, Tyson Foods, Mosaic, Treasury Budget NSA, Cisco Systems, Walt Disney, Price, Retail, Manufacturing Locations: China, U.S
The JPMorgan Asset Management's U.S. fund, already the largest active ETF in the world, returned 21.5% in 2021, including 8.15% as income. In 2022, when the S & P 500 index nearly fell into a bear market, the fund lost just 3.5% in value. Over the past couple of years, the fund has returned 7% to 9% in income on top of capital appreciation. Spence stressed that JPMorgan did not intentionally time its entry into Europe on one of the most volatile weeks of the year for global markets. One such fund is Global X's covered call ETF XYLD , which marginally outperformed JPMorgan's JEPI over the past two years.
Persons: Donald Trump's, JEPI, Hamilton Reiner, Travis Spence, Spence, Reiner Organizations: JPMorgan, JPMorgan Asset Management's, CNBC, London Stock Exchange, Deutsche Borse, Six Swiss, Asset Management, U.S, Presidential, Global Locations: Europe, Germany, U.S, London, Netherlands, Italy, Switzerland
While the Federal Reserve is still concerned about inflation, "we're seeing these signs of weakness in the labor market," Scanlon said. "This suggests that the labor market remains firm despite signs of weakening," J.P. Morgan noted. 'What the bond market is telling us'The stock market rallied after the presidential election results. That's what the bond market is telling us." Depending on what policies are enacted under Trump's second term, the inflation problem might get worse, experts say.
Persons: Brett House, Scanlon, There's, Mark Hamrick, J.P, Morgan, Hamrick, Trump Organizations: Columbia Business School, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Trump Locations: U.S, China
Online election betting platform Polymarket plans to bring its prediction markets back to customers in the United States, on the heels of accurately forecasting the electoral win of President-elect Donald Trump. "I want to give a lot of credit to the people who fought the battle to go and legalize political prediction markets in America," Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan told Andrew Ross Sorkin on "Squawk Box," in his first live TV interview Thursday. Polymarket's betting platforms are currently only available to customers outside of the United States. In 2022, it halted U.S. operations and paid a $1.4 million penalty to settle charges with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that it had failed to register with the commission. In October, the U.S. Appeals Court for the District of Columbia Circuit lifted a freeze on competitor Kalshi's election contracts that was put on by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission.
Persons: Donald Trump, Shayne Coplan, Andrew Ross Sorkin, Patricia Millett, Kalshi, Robinhood, Thomas Peterffy Organizations: Futures Trading Commission, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, Commodities Futures Trading Commission, Interactive Locations: United States, America, U.S
Thursday, November 7, 2024: The Club is buying this asset manager as bank stocks soarGo behind the scenes with Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks of the CNBC Investing Club as they talk candidly about the market's biggest headlines, analyst calls and holdings in the Charitable Trust—and see up close how they decide when, and if, to take action on stocks.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks Organizations: CNBC, Trust
Market moves: The stock market tacked on some additional gains after the Federal Reserve on Thursday afternoon cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Bond yields, which move inversely to bond prices, have been on the rise since the Fed cut rates in September. Stick to discipline: The stock market especially liked the idea of a pro-business environment and de-regulation expected in the future Trump administration. It's not surprising to see Wells Fargo down 3% after the Club stock surged more than 13% on Wednesday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Thursday's, Jerome Powell, hasn't, Bond, Donald Trump, Trump, industrials, It's, Wells, Mogan Stanley, Morgan Stanley, Bloomin, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Bond, NBC News, Club, DraftKings, Arista Networks, Azon Enterprise, Trade, Baxter International, NRG Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells
Wondering what stocks might do well the rest of this year as America awaits Donald Trump take office for a second time in January? Others were high-beta growth stocks that can ride a broad market rally and benefit from corporate tax rates. Most analysts surveyed by LSEG hold buy ratings, but they expect KeyCorp shares to slide by more than 5% after their rally this year. Between Nov. 7 and the end of that year, KeyCorp shares ran up more than 25%. CarMax is a cyclical stock that should benefit from both deregulation and the rising tide for high-beta stocks.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Ebrahim Poonawala, financials, Poonawala, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, there's, Citigroup's Andrew Kaplowitz, Kaplowitz, Wednesday's, LSEG, Keycorp, Keith Horowitz, KeyCorp, CarMax Organizations: CNBC, Trump, White, Bank of America, Energy, Dow, Targa Resources, Citigroup Locations: Cleveland
Investors boosted stocks after Donald Trump won a second term. But investors shouldn't depart from their long-term investing plan, Morningstar's Dave Sekera says. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But even as prices soar, it's important not to get caught up in the mania beyond your normal risk tolerance, warns Morningstar Senior US Market Strategist Dave Sekera. "The small-cap space, even with today's bump, it's still the most undervalued part of the market in our view," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, shouldn't, Dave Sekera, , Morningstar, Sekera, Trump, aren't, Goldman Sachs, shouldn't overreact, John Rekenthaler, Joe Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, White Locations: bullishness
Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.
Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, , Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
While many Silicon Valley VCs and founders aren't huge Trump fans, their industry thrives when startups are getting acquired or going public quickly. The Biden administration clamped down heavily on tech M&A, so Trump's win could be a financial boon for the sector. Stephen Hays, the founder and managing partner of What if Ventures, said money is already moving again. AdvertisementBig Tech returns to the tableAs president, Trump could roll back some of the antitrust policies that his opponent would have continued. "People are keeping to themselves and just getting on with their business," said Conrad Burke, a managing partner of MetaVC Partners.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Reid Hoffman, Laurene Powell, Vinod Khosla, Harris, Donald Trump's, aren't, Biden, There's, Jordan Nof, Stephen Hays, Trump, Elon, Lina Khan's, Lulu Cheng Meservey, Y, Lina Khan, Kevin Dietsch, Brandon Brooks, — Trump's, JD Vance —, Chris Farmer, Mason Angel, Louis Lehlot, Lardner, Michael Greeley, Crypto, hasn't, Gary Gensler, Bitcoin, Brian Garrett, Garrett, Jenny Fielding's, Fielding, Conrad Burke, Leslie Feinzaig, bundlers, Kamala, I've Organizations: Democrat, White House, Trump, Tusk Venture Partners, Ventures, Tech, Federal Trade, Investors, Foley, Big Tech, Markets, Flare Capital, Biden, SEC, Crosscut Ventures, Google, Microsoft, MetaVC Partners Locations: Europe
The Federal Reserve likely will stick to the business at hand when it wraps up its meeting Thursday with another interest rate cut, but will have its eye on the future against a backdrop that suddenly has gotten a lot more complicated. The focus, though, will turn to what's ahead for Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues as they navigate a shifting economy — and the political earthquake of Donald Trump's stunning victory in the presidential race. So while the immediate action will be to stay the course and enact the cut, which equals 25 basis points, the market's attention likely will turn to what the committee and Powell have to say about the future. The fed funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but often influences consumer debt as well, is currently targeted in a range between 4.75%-5.0%. Market pricing currently favors another quarter-point cut in December, followed by a January pause then multiple reductions through 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Powell, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI
The S&P 500 has an outstanding track record after major rallies in the first 10 months. Here's why history and other key catalysts are on the market's side, according to Truist. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMore than seven decades' worth of data suggest that US stocks will end 2024 on a high note. Drawdowns are inevitable, as Lerner noted that the S&P 500 typically pulls back by 5% or more three times per year.
Persons: Stocks, , that's, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Federal, Fed
Luke Sharrett | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesU.S. oil producers are looking forward to less regulations on crude production under a Donald Trump presidency, meaning higher oil supply and consequently lower prices. At the same time, the increased likelihood of trade wars under Trump could dampen global economic growth and slow oil demand. "But medium-term downside risk to oil demand and thus oil prices from downside risk to global GDP from a potential escalation in trade tensions." watch nowTrump expressed his enthusiasm for increased U.S. oil production while giving a speech from the Republican campaign headquarters in Florida on Wednesday, just hours before his victory was confirmed. "The only thing that will cause drill baby drill to happen is higher oil prices based on these margins."
Persons: St, Luke Sharrett, Donald Trump, it's, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Bobby, Biden, Cole Smead, Smead, Patrick Pouyanne Organizations: Chevron Corp, Bloomberg, Getty, Trump, Republican, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Smead, Energy Information Administration, CNBC, doesn't Locations: Malo, Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana, U.S, Iran, Florida, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Abu Dhabi
A French trader profited $48 million betting on Trump's election win via Polymarket. The trader, known as Théo, wagered heavily on Trump winning the Electoral College and the popular vote. AdvertisementThe Polymarket "whale" who bet about $30 million on a Donald Trump election win saw about $48 million in profits, according to data from the crypto-based betting platform. As of Wednesday morning, the Theo4 Polymarket account is sitting on about $22 million in profits. Related VideoMeanwhile, the three other accounts controlled by the whale — Fredi9999, PrincessCaro, and Michie — have a combined $26 million in profits.
Persons: wagered, , Donald Trump, Michie —, Trump, Théo Organizations: Polymarket, Trump, Electoral College, Service, Wall Street Journal Locations: France
I decided to take a job across the country in Alaska because I thought it would help my career. It was a huge mistake, and I lost most of my friends, but I learned not to put my career first. Near graduation, an exciting opportunity arose to pursue an internship in my dream field halfway across the country in Alaska. I said yes, moved to Alaska, and lost many of my friends in the process. While I regret the friends I've lost because of my past choices, I'm grateful that I've learned what matters now instead of years later.
Persons: , I've Organizations: Service Locations: Alaska
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices rely on geopolitics regardless of who wins election, says RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Market's head of global commodity strategy weighs in on how the energy sector would be impacted by a Trump victory.
Persons: RBC's Helima Croft Helima Croft, Trump Organizations: RBC Capital
Goldman Sachs has modeled out some election outcomes, along with how the S & P 500 will react, ahead of the results. Trump wins and Republicans sweep A 25% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to rise 3%. Trump wins, but the government is divided A 30% likelihood, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5%. This scenario will still be positive for markets, with the S & P 500 set to gain 1.5% afterward, the note read. However, investors could step in and buy the dip on the S & P 500, the firm said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Trump, Republican, Nasdaq, Democratic Locations: Wednesday's, cyclicals
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bond, it's, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal Open Markets, Treasury, DuPont, Rogers Corporation, Devon Energy, Novo Nordisk, CVS Health, Howmet Aerospace, Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Celanese
Investors are expecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average to get a boost from the inclusion of the biggest artificial intelligence beneficiary of the last year. The 30-stock Dow has underperformed this year and last after failing to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom that helped bolster the comparatively tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. By comparison, the S & P 500 has surged 20% in 2024, after climbing 24% last year. Nvidia shares have gained 179% this year, and last advanced 1.8% in midday trading. Meanwhile, Intel shares have tumbled more than 55% in 2024; on Monday, it was last off by another 3.5%.
Persons: Dow Jones, CFRA Research's Angelo Zino, Dow, Nvidia doesn't, Ned Davis, Zino, bullish Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Blackwell, Intel, Amazon, Walgreens, Alliance, Walgreens Boots Alliance
U.S. homeowners are sitting on a record amount of equity, but higher interest rates over the past two years have made them reluctant to tap into it. While mortgage rates don't exactly follow the Fed's rate, home equity lines of credit, or HELOCs, are tied to it. "Over the past 10 quarters homeowners have extracted $476B in equity, exactly half the extraction we'd expect to see under more normal circumstances. Homeowners tend to use equity for home repairs, renovation projects and large expenses, such as college tuition. More supply is coming on the market, and primary mortgage rates are higher than they were over the summer.
Persons: Andy Walden, Walden Organizations: Los Angeles , California ., ICE Mortgage Technology, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Chatsworth, Los Angeles , California, Los Angeles , California . U.S
CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Monday's market action, saying the session's moves reflect investors who feel Vice President Kamala Harris could win the presidency, even as the race remains deadlocked in the polls on the eve of Election Day. "I'm not sure the market's right about what a Harris presidency would mean for business, but at least now we have a blueprint for what Wall Street thinks it'll mean," he said. Traders, Cramer said, are looking to get ahead of election results, and they're looking for signs that someone knows something that others don't. The poll showed Harris leading Trump 47% to 44%, and Cramer said it has led investors to question whether other red states could turn blue. "I like the idea that you can now get a jump on what traders think," he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Kamala Harris, I'm, Harris, Cramer, Donald Trump, Lina Khan Organizations: Traders, Trump, Toll, Companies, Constellation Brands, Biden, Federal Trade Locations: Iowa, Lennar
Here's how Bank of America suggests trading a variety of Election Day outcomes. Split Republican control A Trump White House with a largely Democratic Congress is overall neutral for equities, Kwon said. Split Democratic control The status quo would be maintained with a Harris White House and a Republican Congress, Kwon said. Over the past seven election cycles, the two-week price direction for stocks was identical to one day after election day every single time. Outside of the election, Kwon said that the Fed could have ample reason to cut further.
Persons: Ohsung Kwon, Kwon, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: Bank of America, Trump, Republican, Trump White House, Democratic, Harris White, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket's set up for a very good rally into year-end no matter who wins election: Fundstrat's Tom LeeTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors managing partner and head of research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the 2024 election, and more.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee Tom Lee Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors
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