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Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index rose 0.3%, after edging up 0.1% in August. The so-called core PCE price index rose 3.7% on a year-on-year basis in September, the smallest gain since May 2021, after increasing 3.8% in August. Stripping out housing, the core PCE price index rose by a mild 0.2%. The super core PCE price index advanced 4.3% year-on-year in September. Policymakers are watching the super core PCE price index to try and gauge their progress in combating inflation.
Persons: Bing Guan, Sal Guatieri, James Knightley, Chris Low, Pooja Sriram, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal, BMO Capital Markets, Commerce Department's, Economic, Reuters, Consumer, ING, FHN, Treasury, Fed, Barclays, Thomson Locations: SoHo, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, New York
US economic growth accelerates in third quarter
  + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Gross domestic product increased at a 4.9% annualized rate last quarter, the fastest since the fourth quarter of 2021, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its advance estimate of third-quarter GDP growth. The economy grew at a 2.1% pace in the April-June quarter and is expanding at a pace well above what Fed officials regard as the non-inflationary growth rate of around 1.8%. While the robust growth pace notched last quarter is unlikely sustainable, it was testament to the economy's resilience despite aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Growth could slow in the fourth quarter because of the United Auto Workers strikes and the resumption student loan repayments by millions of Americans. Since March, the U.S. central bank has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 525 basis points to the current 5.25% to 5.50% range.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Lucia Mutikani, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Gross, Commerce Department's, Reuters, Federal Reserve, United Auto Workers, Labor, Labor Department, Treasury, Group's, Thomson Locations: Brooklyn , New York City, U.S
While the anticipated robust growth pace notched last quarter is probably not sustainable, it would demonstrate the economy's resilience despite aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. According to a Reuters survey of economists, GDP likely increased at a 4.3% annualized rate last quarter, which would be the fastest since the fourth quarter of 2021. Others are not too concerned, noting the labor market continues to churn out jobs at a solid clip. Growth last quarter was also seen lifted by a smaller trade deficit, thanks to strong exports and increased inventory investment. But the labor dispute, which is costing auto makers millions of dollars per week, could weigh on growth in the fourth quarter.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Joe Biden's, Sal Guatieri, Luke Tilley, it's, Yelena Shulyatyeva, Brian Bethune, Lucia Mutikani, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Business, WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, United Auto Workers, BMO Capital Markets, Consumer, Wilmington Trust, Labor, Labor Department, U.S, Treasury, Financial, Group's, BNP, Boston College, Thomson Locations: Brooklyn , New York City, U.S, Toronto, American, Wilmington, Philadelphia, New York
The larger-than-expected increase in sales last month reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday showed that the new housing market continued to be supported by a chronic shortage of previously owned houses. That is leading to very different dynamics in different parts of the housing market." New home sales are counted at the signing of a contract, making them a leading indicator of the housing market. The National Association of Home Builders reported last week that about a third of builders reported cutting home prices in October, a 10-month high, with the average price discount at 6%. The housing market likely stabilized in the third quarter, thanks to strong homebuilding and new home sales.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Bill Adams, resales, Freddie Mac, Dan Hnatkovskyy, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Commerce Department, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Midwest ., National Association of Home Builders, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, WASHINGTON, Dallas, Northeast, West, Midwest
Writing on Instagram, Nguyen said he learned at 3 p.m. that the event had been canceled by the 92NY. "Their language was 'postponement,' but no reason was given, no other date was offered, and I was never asked," Nguyen wrote. "I spoke about my book, yes, but also about how art is silenced in times of war and division because some people only want to see the world as us vs them," Nguyen wrote on Saturday. And writing is the only way I know how to grieve." Reporting by Lucia Mutikani, David Ljunggren and Joseph Ax; Editing by Daniel WallisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Viet Thanh Nguyen, Christopher Lightfoot Walker, Nguyen, I've, 92NY, Lucia Mutikani, David Ljunggren, Joseph Ax, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Hamas, REUTERS, New York City, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Palestine, Israel, Palestinian, Mineola , New York, U.S, New York, Gaza, Nguyen, American, Manhattan
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting another month of strong job growth as the labor market remains tight. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 198,000 for the week ended Oct. 14, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims hovering in the lower end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Labor Department, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S
US weekly jobless claims hit nine-month low
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Though the labor market is gradually cooling, conditions remain tight, with claims at the very low end of their range of 194,000 to 265,000 for this year. The Fed's Beige Book report on Wednesday said "labor market tightness continued to ease across the nation" in early October and implied cooling wage pressure. The labor market is driving consumer spending and the overall economy, ultimately keeping inflation elevated. The claims report covered the week during which the government surveyed business establishments for the nonfarm payrolls component of October's employment report. The so-called continuing claims increased 29,000 to a still-low 1.734 million during the week ending Oct. 7, the claims report showed.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell's, Jay Hawkins, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Financial, Treasury, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, U.S, Economic, of New, National Association of Realtors, realtors, BMO Capital Markets, Philadelphia Fed, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Texas , New York , New Jersey, Georgia, California, Tennessee, Michigan, of New York, Toronto, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware
US existing home sales drop to 13-year low in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - U.S. existing home sales dropped to a 13-year low in September as surging mortgage rates and tight supply combined to reduce affordability for many first-time buyers. Existing home sales fell 2.0% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million units, the lowest level since October 2010, the National Association of Realtors said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast home sales slipping to a rate of 3.89 million units. "Higher mortgage rates are really hampering activity." At September's sales pace, it would take 3.4 months to exhaust the current inventory of existing homes, up from 3.2 months a year ago.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Lawrence Yun, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Association of Realtors, Reuters, Mortgage, Association, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Midwest, West, U.S
In addition, the jump in housing starts partially recouped the decline in August. The rebound in homebuilding probably reflected permits approved several months ago before mortgage rates broke above 7%. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, increased 3.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 963,000 units last month, the Commerce Department said. Single-family starts rose in the Midwest, West and the densely populated South, but plunged 19.0% in the Northeast. Though permits are a leading indicator, economists cautioned against being too optimistic about homebuilding prospects, citing the soaring mortgage rates and souring builder sentiment.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, homebuilding, homebuilders, Conrad DeQuadros, Christopher Rupkey, Colin Johanson, Lucia Mutikani, Dan Burns, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Brean, Commerce Department, Data, Mortgage Bankers Association, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Reuters, Realtors, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, WASHINGTON, homebuilding, New York, Midwest, West, Northeast, U.S
Retail sales rose 0.7% last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. Retail sales are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales rose 0.6% in September. Data for August was revised up to show these so-called core retail sales gaining 0.2% instead of 0.1% as previously reported. Core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of GDP.
Persons: Eduardo Munoz, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Commerce Department, Reuters, Federal, Gross, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Retail sales increase 0.7% in SeptemberCore retail sales rise 0.6%; August sales revised upManufacturing production increases 0.4%WASHINGTON, Oct 17 (Reuters) - U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in September as households stepped up purchases of motor vehicles and spent more at restaurants and bars, cementing expectations that economic growth accelerated sharply in the third quarter. Retail sales rose 0.7% last month. Economists defended their forecast for tepid retail sales growth, which they said was based on softening consumer confidence. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales rose 0.6% in September. Data for August was revised up to show these so-called core retail sales gaining 0.2% instead of 0.1% as previously reported.
Persons: Eduardo Munoz, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Rupkey, James Knightley, Jay Hawkins, Veronica Clark, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Fed, Reuters, Commerce Department's, ING, BMO Capital Markets, Treasury, Financial, Amazon, Commerce Department, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Toronto
US manufacturing output rises solidly in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Manufacturing output rose 0.4% last month, the Federal Reserve said on Tuesday. Durable goods manufacturing output rose at a 2.3% annualized rate, which was offset by a 2.4% pace of decline in nondurable manufacturing. Motor vehicle and parts output rose 0.3% last month after declining 4.1% in August. Mining output rose 0.4% after gaining 0.2% in August. Overall industrial production rose 0.3% in September after being unchanged in August.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, Institute for Supply, Utilities, Thomson Locations: Normal , Illinois, U.S, Kentucky
US import prices rise less than expected in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
REUTERS/Hannah Beier/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 13 (Reuters) - U.S. import prices increased less than expected in September as a strong dollar depressed prices of non-petroleum products, which over time will help to lower domestic inflation. Import prices edged up 0.1% last month, the Labor Department said on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast import prices, which exclude tariffs, gaining 0.5%. In the 12 months through September, import prices dropped 1.7% after falling 2.9% in August. Annual import prices have now declined for eight straight months.
Persons: Hannah Beier, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: Reading, REUTERS, Rights, Labor Department, Reuters, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, United States
The so-called core CPI was also lifted by a 3.7% rise in the cost of lodging away from home, which ended three straight monthly declines. The core CPI gained 4.1% on a year-on-year basis in September, the smallest rise since September 2021, after advancing 4.3% in August. Over the last three months, the core CPI increased 3.1%. Still-strong demand in the economy, marked by labor market tightness, which is driving core services inflation excluding rents, imply that the higher rates could last for some time. Reuters GraphicsThere is no sign yet that the United Auto Workers (UAW)strike, now in its fourth week, is having a major impact on the labor market.
Persons: Olu Sonola, Stephen Juneau, Bing Guan, Seema Shah, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Higher U.S, Treasury, Fitch, CPI, Reuters, Bank of America Securities, Mobil, REUTERS, Fed, Financial, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Beverly Boulevard, West Hollywood , California
Gasoline prices rose 2.1% after accelerating 10.6% in August. Year-on-year consumer prices have come down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Reuters GraphicsExcluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI rose 0.3%, matching August's gain. Still-strong demand in the economy, marked by labor market resilience, suggests borrowing costs could remain elevated for some time. Reuters GraphicsThere is no sign yet that the United Auto Workers (UAW)strike, now in its fourth week, is having a major impact on the labor market.
Persons: Bing Guan, Olu Sonola, Seema Shah, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Mobil, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Higher U.S, Treasury, Fitch, CPI, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Beverly Boulevard, West Hollywood , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York
The so-called core PPI increased 2.8% on a year-on-year basis in September after climbing 2.9% in August. Wholesale goods prices increased 0.9%, with a 3.3% rise in the cost of energy products accounting for nearly three-quarters of the increase. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, core goods prices edged up 0.1% for the second straight month. This mostly reflected the normalization of supply chains, whose disruption fueled goods inflation in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Though core inflation is cooling, higher gasoline and food prices could hamper progress by raising the cost of other goods as well as causing consumers to expect inflation to rise.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Christopher Rupkey, Will Compernolle, Alex McGrath, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: El Progreso Market, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Reuters, PPI, Reuters Graphics, Trade, Fed, Thomson Locations: Mount Pleasant, Washington ,, WASHINGTON, New York, East, Greenville , South Carolina
Moderate US job growth slowdown expected in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show wage gains remaining elevated. Eighteen months after the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates, the labor market is only gradually easing. Labor market resilience, which is underpinning demand in the economy, raises the risk that the U.S. central bank could hike rates again by year end. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 170,000 jobs last month after rising 187,000 in August. Wage growth likely remained solid, with average hourly earnings forecast to have risen 0.3% after climbing 0.2% in August.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Nick Bunker, Nonfarm, payrolls, Veronica Clark, Clark, Megan Way, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Labor, Federal Reserve, Citigroup, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Hollywood, Babson College, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, y WASHINGTON, Tampa , Florida, Payrolls, New York, Washington ., Wellesley , Massachusetts
US job growth sizzles; wage inflation cooling
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
The report followed news this week that job openings jumped in August and first-time applications for unemployment benefits remained low in September. "Moreover, it underscores that they will be in no hurry to cut rates - higher rates for longer." The economy needs to create roughly 100,000 per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population. Monthly wage growth also remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August. But as fewer people quit their jobs in search of greener pastures, wage growth could moderate, though recent hefty union contracts pose a risk.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Kathy Bostjancic, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Financial, Treasury, Nationwide, Reuters, United Auto Workers, UAW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Manufacturing, Labor, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, payrolls, Washington .
Further Fed rate hike comes into view as job growth soars
  + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
An employee hiring sign with a QR code is seen in a window of a business in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., April 7, 2023. Implied yields on contracts tied to the Fed policy rate pointed to a nearly 50% chance the Fed will lift the benchmark short-term borrowing rate a quarter of a percentage point to the 5.50%-5.75% range at its December meeting. Before the jobs report, traders had given a quarter-point rate hike then about a 34% chance. The report, expected to show non-farm payrolls increased by 170,000 in September but in fact showing employers added 336,000 jobs, also had traders paring bets on Fed rate cuts next year. Futures contracts now price in a Fed policy rate of 4.69% at the end of next year, up from the 4.59% seen before the report.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Tim Ghriskey, Ingalls & Snyder, Ann Saphir, Sinead Carew, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Ingalls &, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S
Trade balanceExports of goods and services increased 1.6% to $256.0 billion. Goods imports dropped 0.9% to $256.0 billion amid declines in imports of consumer and capital goods, potentially flagging softening domestic demand amid higher borrowing costs. Cell phones and other household goods accounted for the drop in consumer goods imports. The decrease in capital goods imports reflected declines in semiconductors and electric apparatus. Services imports increased $0.1 billion to $58.4 billion, supported by travel and other business services.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, nonfarm payrolls, Oscar Munoz, Goldman Sachs, Veronica Clark, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Reuters, Employers, Institute for Supply Management, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Treasury, Challenger, Labor, Securities, Commerce Department, Goods, Services, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Ohio, California
US services sector growth slows moderately
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
The survey's measure of new orders received by services businesses dropped to 51.8, the lowest level since December, from 57.5 in August. PRICES REMAIN ELEVATEDDespite the slowdown in new orders, services businesses continued to face higher prices. A gauge of prices paid by services businesses for inputs was unchanged at 58.9. Some economists view the ISM services prices paid measure as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation. The ISM's gauge of services sector employment dipped to 53.4 from 54.7 in August, which mostly reflected supply issues.
Persons: Amira Karaoud, Kurt Rankin, tightens, September's, Goldman Sachs, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci, Will Dunham Organizations: REUTERS, PMI, Institute for Supply Management, Federal Reserve, PNC Financial, United Auto Workers, Retailers, Treasury, Fed, ADP, Conference Board, Stanford Digital Economy, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Goldman, BLS, Thomson Locations: Louisville, U.S, WASHINGTON, Pittsburgh
Private payrolls rose by 89,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment would rise by 153,000. The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, was published ahead of the release on Friday of the Labor Department's more comprehensive and closely watched employment report for September. The ADP report has not been a reliable gauge in trying to predict the private payrolls count in the employment report. According to a Reuters survey of economists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report that private payrolls increased by 160,000 jobs in September.
Persons: Amira Karaoud, payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, ADP, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Stanford Digital Economy, Labor, of Labor Statistics Locations: Louisville, U.S
US service sector slows modestly in September -ISM survey
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Despite the slowdown in new orders, services inflation remained elevated. The services sector is at the center of the Fed's battle to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Services prices tend to be stickier and less responsive to rate hikes. Some economists view the ISM services prices paid measure as a good predictor of personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation. A measure of services sector employment fell to 53.4 from 54.7 in August.
Persons: Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Institute for Supply Management, PMI, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S
US factory orders beat expectations in August
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Factory orders rebounded 1.2% after falling 2.1% in July, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. Orders rose 0.5% on a year-on-year basis in August. Civilian aircraft orders fell 15.9%, while motor vehicle orders rose 0.3%. Manufactured goods inventory rose 0.3%, while unfilled orders increased 0.4%. Shipments of these so-called core capital goods rose by an unrevised 0.7%.
Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Commerce Department, Reuters, Manufacturing, Federal Reserve, Machinery, Civilian, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S
US job openings jump in August; quits rate unchanged
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The jump reported by the Labor Department in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, on Tuesday snapped three straight monthly declines in job openings. There were 1.5 job openings for every unemployed person in August and the quits rate was unchanged. Data for July was revised higher to show 8.920 million job openings instead of the previously reported 8.827 million. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 8.800 million job openings in August. The job openings rate increased to 5.8% from 5.4% in July.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Labor, Survey, Fed, LPL Financial, Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, Charlotte , North Carolina, State, Hollywood
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