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☆ Analysis: Wall Street's 'Magnificent Seven' face moment of truth as earnings season arrives
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Valuations have swelled, with the Magnificent Seven trading at an average forward price-to-earnings ratio of 33.5, compared with the S&P 500's P/E of 18.3. “Everybody knows these guys are going to make money," said Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute (WFII), referring to the Magnificent Seven. "The reallocation of funds going forward is going to suggest lower returns and more difficulty for the Magnificent Seven to maintain their leadership." The seven companies' combined market capitalization topped 30% of the S&P 500's overall market value earlier this month, according to LSEG Datastream. Some investors are also drawing distinctions among the seven stocks.

Persons: Aly, Tesla, Sameer Samana, Tajinder Dhillon, Tim Pagliara, CapWealth, Pagliara, Elon Musk, LSEG Datastream, Torsten Slok, Patrick Kaser, Kaser, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, U.S, Tesla, Wells, Investment Institute, Google, Facebook, Federal, Treasury, “, Global, Apollo Global Management, Brandywine Global, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Apple

☆ Hedge funds short food, beverage and tobacco stocks amid soaring bond yields -Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Global hedge funds last week sold food, beverage and tobacco company stocks at the fastest pace in 11 weeks, a Goldman Sachs note said, as these stocks, viewed as a proxy for bonds, could not match the recent surge in U.S. Treasury yields. Short sales outpaced long buys about 4 to 1, said Goldman Sachs. The selling took the form of short bets on companies that sell food, beverage and tobacco products and the exit of long positions in household products and food products. Reporting by Nell Mackenzie, Graphics by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Dhara Ranasignhe and Deborah KyvrikosaiosOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, Goldman Sachs, Nell Mackenzie, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasignhe, Deborah Kyvrikosaios Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Global, Treasury, Reuters, Graphics, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S

☆ Major US banks show profit boost, but some caution from consumers
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Consumers were starting to deplete savings, the banks said, and Citibank and Wells Fargo noted that losses on credit cards and other debts were starting to rise. Wells Fargo said it was seeing charge-offs, or loans written off, increasing in its credit card portfolio. "Currently, U.S. consumers and businesses generally remain healthy, although consumers are spending down their excess cash buffers," said JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon. JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, the first, third and fourth biggest U.S. lenders, respectively, also increased their outlook for NII. Shares of JPMorgan and Wells Fargo rose between 1% and 3%.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Wells Fargo, Jane Fraser, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Scharf, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Eric Kuby, Dimon, PNC's NII, Rick Meckler, Saeed Azhar, Nupur Anand, Lewis Krauskopf, Tatiana Bautzer, Sinead Carew, Niket, Manya Saini, Noor Zainab Hussain, Jaiveer Shekhawat, Pritam Biswas, Ann Saphir, Megan Davies, Lananh Nguyen, Michelle Price, Nick Zieminski Organizations: JPMorgan Chase's, REUTERS, JPMorgan, Federal, Consumers, Citibank, Valley Bank, Citigroup, U.S, PNC Financial Services, delinquencies, Bank, Citi, North Star Investment Management Corp, JPMorgan Chase, PNC, Cherry Lane Investments, Thomson Locations: New York, Major U.S, Wells Fargo, U.S, Chicago, Wells, Bengaluru, San Francisco

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors zero in on health of consumer with retail sales, earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Retail sales data, due out on Tuesday, may have to walk a tightrope to satisfy investors. A survey on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated in October, with households expecting higher inflation over the next year. Todd, of Greenwood Capital, is focused on insight from companies about the cumulative effect of "higher inflation and higher rates on the consumer." “The conclusions from the consumer next week, I think, is going to be bad news is good news."

Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s, Hogan, ”, Walter Todd, Todd, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Procter & Gamble, Netflix, Federal, Riley, ”, Reuters, University of Michigan, Major, Greenwood Capital, Bank of America, America Airlines Group, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Israel, Major U.S

☆ Take Five: War and peace of mind
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August as a surge in gasoline prices boosted receipts at service stations. Bar chart with data from LSEG I/B/E/S show the projected year-over-year growth in Q3 2023 earnings of S&P 500 industries. There have been reports the government is looking to increase its budget deficit to meet this year's 5% growth target. That said, inflation is still over three times the BoE's 2% target and growth isn't exactly stellar.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Kevin Buckland, Lewis Krauskopf, Naomi Rovnick, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, It's, Banks, Amundi, BoE, it's, Sumanta Sen, Prinz Magtulis, Vineet, Pasit, Jayaram, Mark Potter Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Hamas, Bank of America, Johnson, Netflix, Philip Morris International, Investors, HK, Law, Justice, Reuters, The Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Palestinian, China, Britain, Tokyo, New York, London, LSEG, Beijing, Europe's, Brussels, Europe

☆ Analysis: US stock market technicals suggest possible rebound as earnings, CPI loom
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 has slid about 5% since reaching its late-July high, but so far this month the benchmark index has rebounded. In 12 of those times the S&P 500 was higher six months later, Turnquist said. Reuters GraphicsStocks have tended to perform well at year end -- with November and December logging the second and third-biggest average S&P 500 monthly gains -- though this year the trends may portend even more favorably. That was followed by a 28% rally in the S&P 500 through late July of this year. Further, notes Delwiche, stock market breadth has been weak.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Willie Delwiche, Delwiche, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Thursday’s U.S, Ned, Ned Davis Research, LPL, Reuters Graphics, American, of, Mount Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 1.2% at $1,854.10 per ounce. Among those is the potential of a rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.

Persons: Brent, ”, Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Noel Randewich, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany

Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 0.9% at $1,849.40 per ounce. Among those is a potential rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.

Persons: Brent, ”, Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Sylvest Wealth Management, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany

☆ Take Five: Volatile start to busy week
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 9 (Reuters) - Financial markets have got off to a volatile start to the week, after Hamas militants launched an assault on Israel at the weekend, triggering violent conflict that left hundreds dead. A bond market rout last week and currency gyrations already had financial markets on edge ahead of U.S. inflation numbers and the start of earnings season. Here's your week ahead in markets from Kevin Buckland in Tokyo, Lewis Krauskopf in New York, Rachel Savage in Johannesburg, and Naomi Rovnick and Dhara Ranasinghe in London. Amid these tensions, the IMF and World Bank are trying to boost their lending.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, gyrations, Kevin Buckland, Lewis Krauskopf, Rachel Savage, Naomi Rovnick, Wells, LSEG IBES, Rishi Sunak's, Sumanta Sen, Pasit, Vineet, Karin Strohecker, Kim Coghill Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Financial, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Labour, JPMorgan, Citigroup, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, UnitedHealth, Reuters, LABOUR, Conservative, Labour Party, MOROCCO Finance, Monetary Fund, U.S, Bretton Woods, IMF, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Tokyo, New York, Johannesburg, London, Central, Morrocan, Marrakech, China

S&P 500 (.SPX) companies overall are expected to have increased earnings by 1.3% from a year ago, according to LSEG IBES. After a rough September for stocks, "we need some good news" from earnings season, said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Inflation dampened company earnings in the first half, after consumer prices surged in 2022 to their highest levels in decades. Investors will also scrutinize company fourth-quarter outlooks, with S&P 500 earnings for the fourth quarter currently expected to rise 10.8% from a year earlier. One clue could come from the consumer discretionary sector (.SPLRCD), where earnings are expected to have jumped by 23.1% from the year-ago period.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, LSEG, Matthew Miskin, You've, you've, Miskin, Rick Meckler, John Hancock, J.P, Morgan Chase, James Ragan, Davidson, Ragan, ”, Oliver Pursche, Caroline Valetkevitch, Lewis Krauskopf, Megan Davies, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, John Hancock Investment Management, Cherry, Investments, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo, UnitedHealth, Wealthspire Advisors, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Westport , Connecticut

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Surging Treasury yields upend stock market's "bond proxies"
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-06 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Such areas are often referred to as "bond proxies" for their strong, stable dividends, which over the past decade have usually exceeded Treasury yields. But surging bond yields have dulled the appeal of bond proxies. As a result, shares of bond proxies have taken an outsize hit in recent weeks. The S&P 500 utilities sector (.SPLRCU) has tumbled 13% since last month’s Fed meeting. While the sector is expected to see stronger growth than the overall S&P 500 in the third and fourth quarters, its projected 8.6% increase in 2024 lags the expected 12% rise for the overall S&P 500, according to LSEG IBES.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Irene Tunkel, LSEG, James Ragan, Davidson, Ragan, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Fed, Staples, AT, Verizon, Investors, BCA Research, Reuters Graphics, Friday's, U.S, sector's, Nextera Energy, Nextera Energy Partners, KeyBanc, Markets, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Philadelphia, VandaTrack

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Seven megacap stocks -- Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and Meta Platforms (META.O) -- have led broader markets higher this year. Their rising stock prices ballooned valuations, however, and some investors say the megacaps could be vulnerable if climbing bond yields keep pressuring stocks. "When the big tech stocks start going down ... the indexes go down," said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Still, strategists point out that the rise in implied volatility for tech stocks is no more than for the broader market.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, megacaps, LSEG, Matt Maley, Miller, ”, Matt Stucky, Chris Murphy, Rick Meckler, J, Bryant Evans, ” Evans, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, Nasdaq, Susquehanna Financial Group, Amazon, Cherry Lane Investments, Cozad Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, New Jersey

(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday as investors digested implications of a U.S. inflation report for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy and adjusted their portfolios on the last day of a weak third quarter for stocks. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoThe benchmark S&P 500 also posted its biggest monthly percentage drop of the year. The data revealed a “better than expected but still elevated inflation picture,” said Eric Freedman, chief investment officer at U.S. Bank Asset Management. Meanwhile, Freedman said, “we are at quarter end, and with quarter end comes all sorts of activities across both the stock and bond markets.”According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 11.37 points, or 0.26%, to end at 4,288.33 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 18.05 points, or 0.18%, to 13,224.52. Among S&P 500 sectors, energy and financials declined sharply.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Eric Freedman, Freedman, ” Freedman, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Morgan Organizations: Reuters, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Data, Fed, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Energy, “ Energy, Equity, Sylvest Wealth Management, Investors, Republicans, U.S . House, Traders, Nike Locations: U.S, New York City, Washington

☆ As shutdown looms, companies should go public 'before Friday'-US SEC chief
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The headquarters of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 12, 2021. Gensler said the agency would lose more than 90% of its workforce to unpaid furloughs, leaving a "skeletal" staff to perform essential functions. "If a company were deciding to go public or raise offerings, they'd want to go effective before Friday if they're ready to," Gensler said. Gensler also acknowledged that should a major disruption occur on Wall Street, "senior leadership would be there but again we'd be down to a skeletal staff." Major Wall Street indices were down markedly shortly toward 1700 GMT, adding to recent days' losses driven by investor concerns about the path of interest rates, with a possible shutdown also weighing on trading.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Gary Gensler, Gensler, we'd, Joe Biden, Douglas Gillison, Lance Tupper, Lewis Krauskopf, Paul Simao, David Holmes, Alistair Bell Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Birkenstock, Wednesday, Washington, Democratic, SEC, Republican, Clarios, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, Washington, New York

NEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters) - As the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance boosts Treasury yields and slams stocks, some investors are preparing for more pain ahead. AQR's analysis showed that trend-following hedge funds tend to outperform when rates are elevated, as they hold large cash positions that benefit from higher rates. Of course, plenty of investors believe the Fed will cut rates as soon as economic growth starts to wobble. Futures tied to the Fed’s key policy rate show investors pricing in the first rate cut in July 2024. Still, he has been holding off on adding to the firm’s holdings of small-cap consumer stocks, wary there may be more market volatility ahead as investors digest higher rates and other factors, including elevated energy prices.

Persons: ”, Jake Schurmeier, Dan Villalon, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Robert Pavlik, Schurmeier, he’s, Eric Kuby, Lewis Krauskopf, David Randall, Carolina, Ira Iosebashvili, Leslie Adler Organizations: Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Treasury, U.S ., Harbor Capital Advisors, AQR Capital Management, Advisory Services, Reuters, Dakota Wealth Management, BofA Global Research, Nasdaq, North Star Investment Management Corp, Thomson Locations: Harbor

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. Investors are grappling with the rise in benchmark Treasury yields to 16-year highs after the Fed gave a hawkish longer-term rate outlook. The S&P 500 last week posted its biggest weekly drop since March. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 17.92 points, or 0.41%, to end at 4,337.98 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 59.86 points, or 0.45%, to 13,271.66. Among S&P 500 sectors, energy (.SPNY) led the way.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chuck Carlson, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lewis Krauskopf, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Anthropic Energy, Amazon.com, Federal Reserve, Fed, Horizon Investment, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Take Five: An inflationary dilemma
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The week ahead brings more evidence of how much progress is left for developed-economy policymakers, while in the emerging world, India is set to enter the bond-market big time and a raft of central banks wrestle with a dilemma. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.3% in the 12 months through July. Line chart with data from LSEG Datastream show the U.S.'s inflation on personal consumption expenditures (PCE), core PCE inflation and the federal funds target rate from 2019 to 2023. Reuters Graphics5\ASIA'S CURRENCY CONUNDRUMAsian central banks have a dilemma: how to handle weakening economic growth and peaking inflation, while arresting the slide in currencies to maintain stability in their financial systems. But much may rest on decisions of other central banks further afield, namely the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Lewis Krauskopf, Naomi Rovnick, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, Perry Warjiyo, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, CLUB India, JPMorgan, Russell, Bank of, Bank, Thailand, Reserve, Thomson Locations: India, Vidya Ranganathan, Singapore, New York, London, Washington, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Bank of Indonesia, Philippine

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 21 (Reuters) - Arm Holdings' stock on Thursday dipped for the first time below its initial public offering price, while short sellers appeared to be betting against the chip designer just a week after its Wall Street debut. Shares of Klaviyo (KVYO.N) which debuted on Wall Street on Wednesday, finished up 2.9% at $33.72 versus the marketing automation firm's $30 IPO price. Suggesting short sellers are betting against Arm, about 14 million of its shares were on loan, equivalent to 8% of the stock's free float, data and analytics company Ortex said. Short sellers borrow stocks to short them, and the relationship between shares on loan and shorted is normally close, according to Ortex. Arm shares appear highly shorted compared to other recent IPOs.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ortex, Peter Hillerberg, Noel Randewich, Lewis Krauskopf, Lance Tupper, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Federal, U.S, Thomson

☆ Nvidia, other US chip stocks stall over valuation, industry worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The nVIDIA booth is shown at the E3 2017 Electronic Entertainment Expo in Los Angeles, California, U.S. June 13, 2017. Chip stocks soared to start the year, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index (.SOX) rising over 50% through July. With "some of the names that really have catapulted to the top, now you are starting to question valuations,” Mahn said. Of course, many chip stocks are sitting on substantial gains for the year and this month may only be a temporary setback. “I do believe there are opportunities in semiconductor stocks going forward," Mahn said.

Persons: Mike Blake, “, Lip, LSEG Datastream, Kevin Mahn, ” Mahn, Taiwan's, chipmaker, Mahn, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: nVIDIA, REUTERS, Nvidia, Philadelphia, Semiconductor, Wealth Management, Hennion, Walsh Asset Management, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Lam Research, Applied, KLA Corp, Arm Holdings, Devices, Broadcom, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, United States, China, Washington

The U.S. central bank left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, in line with market expectations. Broadly speaking, higher rates for longer could be an unwelcome turn of events for stocks and bonds. The S&P 500 lost 0.94% on Wednesday, while the yield on two-year Treasuries, which reflect interest rate expectations, hit 17-year highs. Futures tied to the Fed’s policy rate late Wednesday showed traders were betting the central bank would ease monetary policy by a total of nearly 60 basis points next year, bringing interest rates to about 4.8%. Signs of wobbling growth could bolster the case for the central bank to cut rates far sooner than it had projected.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Josh Jamner, Gennadiy Goldberg, Jerome Powell, …, David Norris, John Madziyire, ”, Norris, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Herbert Lash, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Stephen Coates Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal, U.S, Treasury, U.S ., Clearbridge Investments, TD Securities USA, TwentyFour Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S

☆ Klaviyo, Arm, Instacart wobble, raising doubts over IPO revival
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Among other companies that have been gearing up for U.S. stock market listings are German premium footwear maker Birkenstock Holding and Vietnam internet company VNG Corp (VNZ.HNO). Chip designer Arm's stock on Wednesday hit a low of $51.52, coming close to its $51 IPO price in this year's biggest IPO last Thursday. Shares of grocery delivery app Instacart, which debuted Tuesday, fell to a low of $29.96, below their $30 IPO price. Klaviyo also surrendered most of its initial gains, hitting a low for the day of $30.26, just above its $30 IPO price. Arm and Instacart were "pumped up to do the IPO," said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Robert Pavlik, Klaviyo, Jerome Powell, haven't, ”, Jake Dollarhide, Ortex, Peter Tuz, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Caroline Valetkevitch, Savyata Mishra, Niket, Lewis Krauskopf, Noel Randewich, Marguerita Choy, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Investment, Dakota Wealth, Birkenstock, VNG Corp, Federal, Nasdaq, Longbow, Management, Chase Investment, People, Thomson Locations: Fairfield , Connecticut, Vietnam, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Charlottesville , Virginia, Bengaluru, New York, San Francisco

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - Shares of Arm Holdings fell for a fourth straight session on Wednesday after the chip designer's stellar market debut last week, with short seller interest picking up. That was up from 5.12 million shares on loan, or 2.7% of the stock's free float, on Tuesday. Short sellers need to borrow a stock to short it, and the relationship between shares on loan and shorted is normally quite close, Ortex said. Arm and Instacart were "pumped up to do the IPO," said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. Arm also has a limited number of publicly traded shares, with SoftBank (9984.T) holding a roughly 90% stake.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ortex, Peter Tuz, Caroline Valetkevitch, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Lance Tupper, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Chase Investment, People, Thomson Locations: Charlottesville , Virginia

With short sellers looking to profit from the stock, it closed at $55.17 after touching a high of $69 on Friday. Arm shares underperformed the Philadelphia semiconductor index (.SOX), which closed down 0.96% on Tuesday as rising bond yields weighed on growth sectors such as technology. Short sellers need to borrow a stock to short it, and the relationship between shares on loan and shorted is normally quite close, according to Ortex. By comparison, Tesla (TSLA.O), a stock with a similar percentage of shorted shares, has a cost to borrow at 0.48%, Ortex said. Arm's higher cost to borrow "can be an indication that the demand to borrow, and short, the stock is high," Hillerberg said.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Daniel Morgan, Morgan, Thomas Martin, Ortex, Peter Hillerberg, Hillerberg, Needham, Lewis Krauskopf, Sinéad Carew, Lisa Bernhard, Mark Potter, Matthew Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, ARM, Nvidia, GLOBALT Investments, Bernstein, underwriters, Klaviyo Inc, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia, Atlanta, New York

☆ Take Five: A central bank bonanza
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Now it's the turn of the world's most important central bank. Also on Thursday, the Bank of England is tipped to hike for the 15th consecutive meeting, taking benchmark borrowing costs to 5.5%. Norway's central bank is also expected to nudge benchmark borrowing costs higher, following a 25 bps rise in August to 4%. Reuters Graphics4/ DIVERGING TRAJECTORIESThe push and pull factors on central banks are nowhere more visible than in emerging markets. But for Turkey's central bank, convening on Thursday, the only way is up.

Persons: Lewis Krauskopf, Kevin Buckland, Amanda Cooper, Naomi Rovnick, Karin Strohecker, Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, hypothesise, Tayyip Erdogan, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: U.S . Federal, ECB, Bank of England, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Japan's, of Finance, Thomson Locations: Central, Lewis, New York, Tokyo, London, United States, Europe, Scandinavia, Switzerland, Norway's, Latin America, South Africa, Egypt, Taiwan

☆ Wall St Week Ahead: Last Fed hike tends to aid stocks, but some have doubts this time
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"The market will probably cheer it a bit if it is the end of the Fed rate hike cycle," said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. Traders see a roughly two-out-of three chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged in November, CME's data showed. Odds for December show about a 60% chance rates of rates staying at current levels. Analysts at Oxford Economics forecast further downside for global earnings, noting that stocks "have typically delivered far weaker returns following the final Fed rate hike when it has coincided with an EPS downturn." "But I'm not sure how sustainable it would be given where stocks are valued relative to bonds already."

Persons: Brendan McDermid, CFRA, Brent Schutte, Schutte, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, LSEG Datastream, Jack Ablin, I'm, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Oxford Economics, Equity, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Oxford

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