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Japan's 10-year bond yield, trading at 0.4%, fell on Wednesday but is not far off its highest levels since 2015. Total holdings of foreign bonds by Japanese institutional investors, excluding Japan's $1 trillion reserve portfolio, reached $3 trillion at their peak. GOING HOMEThe implications of higher inflation and a possible end to ultra-low rates are not lost on Japanese investors. Still, anticipating a shift, Japanese investors sold a net 2.1 trillion yen ($15.94 billion) of foreign bonds in December, marking a fourth straight month of selling. According to Nomura, Japanese investors have been far more active buyers of global and overseas equities than domestic stocks in the last decade.

☆ Analysis: As Bank of Japan switches gears, roaring dollar hits the skids
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Reuters GraphicsThe dollar has risen 9% this year, as the Federal Reserve has jacked up interest rates to combat inflation at 40-year highs. As other central banks, from the Bank of England, to the European Central Bank, and the Reserve Bank of Australia, have raised their own rates, dollar bulls have run out of puff. The close relationship between Japanese monetary policy and U.S. Treasuries adds another twist to the story. It all boils down to whether Japanese investors have hedged their Treasury exposure or not, he said. But the stress is on "at the margin", not least because of the sheer size of Japanese investors' holdings of U.S. debt, analysts said.

☆ Sterling gains against softening dollar
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Alun John | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Sterling gained against the dollar on Tuesday as the safe-haven greenback fell against most currencies as market sentiment improved on hopes that China would ease its strict COVID-19 curbs. The pound was last 0.45% higher against the dollar at $1.2014, heading back towards last week's three-month high of $1.2153. Lower than expected inflation figures from Spain and Germany's most populous province also helped improve the mood. The pound is trying to break past $1.22 the euro $1.05, while euro/sterling has hit around 85.7 pence several times in recent months before rebounding. Reporting by Alun John; Editing by Frank Jack DanielOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Premarket stocks: Is the dollar's relentless rise coming to an end?
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-22 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

At last, however, its breakneck rally could be coming to an end. Last week, investors turned bearish on the greenback for the first time since July 2021, according to data from Societe Generale. First, there was the surprising inflation data in the United States, which showed that prices rose more slowly than expected in October. If these economies perform better than expected, the United States won’t look like the only game in town — and other currencies could look appealing again. About 261,000 positions were added in October, and by next summer, the bank expects monthly gains of closer to 50,000.

☆ Stocks pare losses, dollar falls after Biden defuses tensions over Poland blast
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON, Nov 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks pared losses and the dollar fell on Wednesday after U.S. President Joe Biden told G7 and NATO partners that a missile blast in Poland was caused by a Ukrainian defence missile, dispelling fears that it originated from Russia. This is whatever it was, but it was not an attack on Poland and Biden’s comments took the tension out of it," Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes said. When the missile struck, NATO member Poland first said a Russian-made rocket was responsible and summoned Russia's ambassador to Warsaw for an explanation after Moscow denied it was responsible. Biden said the United States and its NATO allies were investigating the blast but early information suggested it may not have been caused by a missile fired from Russia. With geopolitical tensions injecting some volatility into the broader markets, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were almost unchanged on the day at 3.807%.

☆ The dollar's blistering rally is almost over as support from US economic outperformance is fading, Societe Generale says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The rally in the US dollar this year is likely to be closer to an end and headed toward "trendless trading," Societe Generale said Thursday. The "drivers of economic outperformance are fading" for the greenback, which has risen to a 20-year high against key rivals. "So far, US rates have risen further and faster than elsewhere, on the back of economic out-performance," Kit Juckes, macro strategist at Societe Generale, said in a note. That means we are close to the end of the dollar's long rally and moving to a phase of trendless trading." As the Fed has tightened, climbing US Treasury yields relative to other sovereign bond yields has bolstered dollar demand among holders of other currencies.

☆ VIEW Bank of England lifts UK rates to 3% in historic hike
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Toby MelvilleLONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Bank of England raised UK interest rates to 3% on Thursday in its largest rate hike since 1989 and warned of a "very challenging outlook" for the economy. Money markets showed traders now expect UK rates to peak at 4.6% by next September, compared to expectations of 4.8% just two days ago. UK bank stocks (.FTNMX301010) fell 0.8%BONDS: Yields on the two-year gilt were last up 1 basis points at 3.041%, compared with 3.064% before the BoE announced its decision. Rates markets are pricing another 50bps hike at each of the December and February meetings, although still reflect a lower terminal rate than just a week ago. ANDREW ALDRIDGE, PARTNER AT DEEPBRIDGE CAPITAL, LONDON"Quelling rampant inflation and kickstarting a slowing economy left the Bank facing a difficult balancing act, with today's interest rate hike to 3% hardly surprising in this context.

☆ Dollar, bond yields rise ahead of pivotal rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Combined with news that Italy's economy grew far more strongly than expected in the third quarter, euro zone bond yields moved higher EUR/GVD although the euro succumbed to another bout of U.S. dollar strength. /FRX"A lot of data is coming out this week and lot of central banks are meeting," said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes. Palm oil futures rose nearly 5%. In the oil markets, Brent crude futures fell 1% to $94.65 a barrel, while spot gold was fractionally lower at $1,637 an ounce in the precious metals markets. Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore; Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Angus MacSwanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Stocks splutter, euro falls ahead of euro zone inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

,Euro zone October inflation numbers due shortly are seen hitting a fresh record of 10.2% year on year, in what will make for more uncomfortable reading for the European Central Bank, which is targeting 2% price growth. Combined with news that Italy's economy grew far more strongly than expected in the third quarter, euro zone bond yields moved higher EUR/GVD although the euro succumbed to another bout of U.S. dollar strength. /FRX"A lot of data is coming out this week and lot of central banks are meeting," said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes. We are now waiting for euro zone GDP and CPI. S&P 500 futures fell 0.2%, while Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the benchmark for the euro area, was up 5.5 basis points (bps) to 2.143%.

[1/2] Boards displaying buying and selling rates are seen outside of currency exchange outlets in London, Britain, July 31, 2019. read moreRishi Sunak became Britain's third prime minister in two months on Tuesday, tasked with tackling a mounting economic crisis and a warring political party. The U.S. dollar was broadly weaker amid signs that Federal Reserve rate hikes are slowing the world's biggest economy. YEN AND YUANThe yen firmed against the dollar after suspected Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention on Friday and Monday. At 147.665 yen, the dollar was down from a 32-year high of 151.94 on Friday, which appeared to trigger successive bouts of BOJ intervention.

☆ Dollar shakes off suspected Japan intervention; stocks brace for earnings
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON (Reuters) -The dollar weathered another suspected blast of Japanese intervention to rise against the yen on Monday, while European markets got a lift from hopes that U.S. interest rates could rise more slowly than previously thought. Japan likely spent a record 5.4 trillion-5.5 trillion yen ($36.16 billion-$36.83 billion) in its yen-buying intervention last Friday, according to estimates by Tokyo money market brokerage firms. Sterling, meanwhile, see-sawed in volatile trade on news Boris Johnson had dropped out of the running for British prime minister. Chinese blue chips slid almost 3%, while Hong Kong shares fell 6.4%, their biggest one-day drop since the financial crisis. Sentiment will also be tested by some major earnings with Apple, Microsoft, Google-parent Alphabet and Amazon all reporting.

☆ Dollar shrugs off suspected yen intervention, Europe clings to Fed hopes
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Wayne Cole | Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

LONDON/SYDNEY (Reuters) - The dollar weathered another suspected blast of Japanese intervention to rise against the yen on Monday, while European markets got a lift from hopes that U.S. interest rates could rise more slowly than previously thought. Japanese authorities again declined to confirm whether they had intervened, but the price action suggested they had. Sterling, meanwhile, see-sawed in volatile trade on news Boris Johnson had dropped out of the running for British prime minister. The peak for rates has also edged down to around 4.87%, from above 5% early last week. “Although we do not expect any ‘dovish’ policy signal, we maintain a bias towards a lower rate path than currently priced by markets,” said analysts at NatWest Markets in a note.

☆ U.S., European shares rise on hopes Fed will slow rate hike pace
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Chris Prentice | Amanda Cooper | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

WASHINGTON/LONDON (Reuters) -U.S. and European shares rose on Monday as signs of a cooling U.S. economy raised hopes that the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of rate hikes. “Investors are getting more confident that inflation is going to come down and that the Fed might be quick to pause. European shares rose on Monday, driven by hopes that the Federal Reserve could slow its pace of interest rate hikes, while investors braced for a busy week of earnings and key interest rate decision from the European Central Bank. Markets are still priced for a rate rise of 75 basis points next month, but have scaled back bets on a matching move in December. Chinese blue chips slid almost 3%, while Hong Kong shares fell 6.4%, their biggest one-day drop since the financial crisis.

☆ Major Asian markets drop after rocky day on Wall Street amid inflation, interest rate fears
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( Michelle Toh | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Hong Kong CNN Business —Asian stocks fell Wednesday after another turbulent day for US markets, as investors continue to sell off amid fears of global inflation, further interest rate hikes and broader economic turmoil. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei (N225) index slid 2.2% as of lunchtime local time Wednesday, while South Korea’s Kospi (KOSPI) dropped 2.8%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index (HSI) shed 2.2%, as China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) index slipped 0.9%. The dips come after another volatile day on Wall Street, with the Dow (INDU) and S&P 500 (INX) reaching their lowest levels since November 2020. That put the Dow (INDU) deeper into a bear market, as it fell more than 125 points, or 0.4%.

☆ Sterling crumbles to all-time low, euro at 20-year low
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Dhara Ranasinghe | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterBut it was sterling's slide that rippled across markets, down as much as 4.9% to an all-time low of $1.0327 . Sterling was also down 1% against the euro, having hit its lowest since September 2020 at 92.60 pence . The euro also touched a fresh 20-year trough at $0.9528 and was last down 0.5%. And the dollar index - where the basket includes sterling, the euro and the yen - reached 114.58 for the first time since May 2002, reflecting the greenback's broad strength. The risk-sensitive Australian dollar dropped to $0.64845, its lowest since May 2020, and the Canadian dollar touched 1.3638 to its U.S. counterpart, its weakest since July 2020.

☆ Sterling crumbles to all-time nadir, euro at 20-year low
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Dhara Ranasinghe | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Sterling also tumbled 1.3% against the euro, having hit its lowest since September 2020 at 92.60 pence . Kit Juckes, head of currency strategy Societe Generale in London, said markets had a tendency to overshoot but noted two points on sterling's slide. "The second is that the mini budget has allowed sterling to be the short of choice against the dollar." The euro also touched a fresh 20-year trough at $0.9528 , as the pound's slide rippled across markets. China's offshore yuan slid to a new low of 7.1728 per dollar, its weakest since May 2020.

☆ Reactions: Britain's pound crumbles to record lows in firesale of UK assets
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Wads of British Pound Sterling banknotes are stacked in piles at the Money Service Austria company's headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 16, 2017. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File PhotoLONDON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Britain's pound plunged to record lows on Monday and bonds were slammed for a second day, as investors punished UK assets after the government's mini-budget announcement last week. The presentation of the mini-budget was received quite badly by the markets – sterling literally collapsed. The significant tax cuts announced by the Treasury Secretary cause concerns for the currency markets because of rising government debt." One is the loss of confidence in UK fiscal policy and that won't help sterling.

☆ Investitorii se aşteaptă la un dolar mai slab, indiferent cine va câştiga alegerile prezidenţiale din SUA
▼ + stars: | 2020-11-13 | by ( ) www.bizlaw.md time to read: +3 min

Perspectivele slabe ale dolarului pe termen lung nu se vor îmbunătăţi indiferent cine va câştiga alegerile prezidenţiale de marţi, susţin investitorii şi analiştii, scrie agerpres.ro. De asemenea, încă un mandat de patru ani pentru Donald Trump ar putea oferi o traiectorie mai puţin clară pentru dolar. Potrivit analiştilor, principalul factor care va influenţa dolarul pe termen lung este diferenţialul de dobândă. ”Cea mai importantă tendinţă asupra cursului de schimb va fi convergenţa în jos a ratelor dobânzilor provocată de COVID. Chiar dacă poziţiile ”short” reflectă sentimentul negativ din jurul dolarului, acestea ar putea genera şi câştiguri dacă o schimbare va forţa investitorii să renunţe brusc la aceste pariuri.

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