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Against the yen , the dollar bottomed at a roughly one-month trough of 148.94 in early Asian trade on Thursday. The euro and sterling held near one-month highs struck in the previous session and last bought $1.0902 and $1.2738 respectively. Market bets for imminent cuts also kept U.S. Treasury yields under pressure, with the two-year yield which typically reflects near-term rate expectations — last at 4.5640%. All of that left the greenback pinned near a one-month low against a basket of currencies. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.05% to $0.6133, while the Australian dollar edged 0.11% higher to $0.6572.
Persons: bitcoin, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, Powell, Simon Harvey Organizations: U.S, Federal, Treasury, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Fed, Canadian, Bank of Canada, BoC, Wednesday, New Zealand
CNBC Daily Open: Inflation's stubborn staying power
  + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders work the floor during morning trading at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) ahead of the US Federal Reserve's decision on lending rates, in New York on January 31, 2024. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nvidia closed at $721.28 per share, with a market value of $1.78 trillion to Amazon's $1.75 trillion market cap. Bitcoin retreatsCryptocurrencies fell on Tuesday tracking the broader market sell-off. [PRO] Japan's bull caseJapan is fast emerging on investors' radar, and this has been reflected in the stock market's recent bull run.
Persons: Russell, Bob Bakish, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Jurrien, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock, Federal, CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Amazon Nvidia, Amazon, Paramount, Paramount Global, Metrics, Fidelity Investments Locations: New York, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation's 'last mile' remains most difficult part of the walk, says State Street's Michael AroneCNBC's Bob Pisani interviews Michael Arone, chief ETF strategist at State Street Global Advisors, about the state of the exchange-traded fund industry, the debate over active versus passive strategies, and more.
Persons: Michael Arone, Bob Pisani Organizations: State Street Global Advisors
The US economy is in a better-than-Goldilocks state, economist Paul Krugman wrote for The New York Times. "We have an economy that is both piping hot (in terms of growth and job creation) and refreshingly cool (in terms of inflation)." It places the Fed in a tough position, as it has reasons to cut or keep interest rates steady. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Fundstrat's Tom Lee remains confident of a March turnaround, citing that Powell generally indicated a readiness to start slashing rates.
Persons: Paul Krugman, , Krugman, Powell, Wednesday's, Bankrate's Mark Hamrick, Fundstrat's Tom Lee Organizations: The New York Times, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed
Fortunately, we'll get useful information in the coming weeks as earnings season ramps up and updated inflation data is released. We really want to see more supply come into the market to provide some relief on shelter costs. Looking to next week, we'll get a several key economic updates and a ramp up of earnings releases. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, we'll, Procter & Gamble, we've, We're, we're, We'll, Forex, Brown, BRO, Zions, CrossFirst, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Horton, ERIC, Baker Hughes, Abbott, ABT, Clark, BOK, Monro, Simmons, United Community Banks, Lam, Ethan Allen Interiors, Raymond James Financial, Sherwin, Williams, Northrop, Murphy, Arthur J, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Booz Allen, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, John Gress Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Bank of America, Reserve, Procter, Gross, Citigroup, of Hawaii, United Airlines, Logitech International S.A, AGNC Investment, Agilysys Inc, Great Southern Bancorp, Enterprise Financial Services, Independent Bank, Home Bancorp, RBB Bancorp, TrustCo Bank Corp, Gamble Co, Verizon Communications, 3M Company, General Electric Co, GE, RTX Corporation, Halliburton Company, HAL, Lockheed, Ericsson, Bank, GATX Corporation, MakeMyTrip, National Bancorp, Synchrony, Webster, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation, Invesco PLC, Peoples Bancorp Inc, Sandy Spring Bancorp, Netflix, Texas Instruments Incorporated, Steel Dynamics, Canadian National Railway Company, NBT Bancorp, East West Bancorp, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc, Hanmi, National Bank Holdings Corporation, Premier Financial, QCR Holdings, Renasant Corporation, Triumph, Veritex Holdings, ASML, SAP, Textron, Oriental Education, Technology Group, First BanCorp, General Dynamics, OFG Bancorp, Prosperity, TE Connectivity, United Community, Blue Foundry Bancorp, Capitol Federal, HBT, Teledyne Technologies, Business Machines, IBM, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Lam Research, United Rentals, Berkley Corp, Crown, International, Packaging Corporation of America, Seagate Technology plc, CACI, Swift Transportation Holdings, Ameriprise Financial, Concentrix Corporation, First Bank, Liberty Energy, Pathward Financial, Columbia Banking, CSX, American Airlines Group, NextEra Energy Inc, Alaska Air Group, Dow Chemical Co, Valero Energy, Southwest Airlines Co, Nextera Energy, Williams Co, Union Pacific, Applied Industrial Technologies, Mobileye, Northrop Grumman, Comcast, Nokia, TAL Education, McCormick & Company, Intel, Visa Inc, Gallagher, Co, KLA Corporation, Western Alliance, Mobile, L3Harris Technologies, Western, Olin Corporation, American Express Co, Booz, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Colgate, Palmolive Co, Norfolk Southern Corporation, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Gamble's Locations: Procter &, U.S, China, ZION, Freeport, Kimberly, Las, W.R, Chicago
So far this month, mortgage rates have been holding relatively steady after dropping down to an average of 6.43% in December, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. This is good news for mortgage rates — as inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down as well. Fannie Mae researchers expect prices to increase 3.2% in 2024, while the Mortgage Bankers Association expects a 4.1% increase in 2024.
Persons: homebuyers, Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Organizations: Strategic Research, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
Read previewLarry Fink expects US inflation to prove stubborn, but economic growth to get a boost if interest rates fall this year. AdvertisementRapid inflation has spurred the Fed to hike interest rates from nearly zero to over 5%. Higher rates are also associated with slower growth, increased unemployment, and lower asset prices, raising the prospect of a market downturn or a recession. GDP growth was nearly 5% in the third quarter, unemployment remains at a historic low of below 4%, and resilient corporate earnings have buoyed stock prices. He struck a similarly optimistic tone on the long-term outlook for the US stock market and wider economy last year.
Persons: , Larry Fink, " Fink, Fink, Jamie Dimon, Gary Gensler Organizations: Service, Business, BlackRock, Fox Business, Wall Street, JPMorgan, SEC Locations: bitcoin
The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.
Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewInvestors positioning for sharp interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year may be disappointed, according to BlackRock. Increased geopolitical risks will also fuel price pressures in the coming years, according to BlackRock, reducing room for the Fed to ease monetary policy. "We think the Fed may not be able to deliver the rate cuts markets expect, even with growth moderating," analysts led by Jean Boivin wrote. "We think that means inflation is set to rollercoaster back up near 3% in 2025 as the goods price drag fades.
Persons: , Jean Boivin Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Investors, UBS, Fed, NatWest Locations: BlackRock
Periods of high inflation would offset those when inflation was low as occurred between the financial crisis and the pandemic. Those concerns may not matter anymore if the pandemic has driven inflation and interest rates chronically higher. Speaking at a Boston Fed labor market conference in November, Kohn said the new framework showed the risks of not keeping inflation at bay to begin with. "Probing" for maximum employment "can't ignore...inflation risks," Kohn said, calling for a return to a strategy disavowed in the last review. "I think preemptive tightening is best-practice central banking, and I hope they return to allowing that."
Persons: Joshua Roberts, Jerome Powell, There's, Miesha Williams, Powell, Charles Evans, Evans, Fed, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Donald Kohn, Kohn, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, Spelman College, Reuters, Chicago Fed, Chicago, Cleveland Fed, Boston Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Atlanta
"Having come so far so quickly, the (Federal Open Market Committee) is moving forward carefully, as the risks of under- and over-tightening are becoming more balanced." But his remarks also reflected increased confidence that the current 5.25%-5.50% policy rate may well be adequate to complete the job. The Fed meets on Dec. 12-13 and is expected to leave its benchmark rate unchanged for the third meeting in a row. "The pace at which the economy is creating new jobs remains strong, and has been slowing toward a more sustainable level ... Shortly before Powell delivered his remarks, a key reading on the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector showed activity there remained subdued and factory employment declined.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Powell, Helene Gayle, Lisa Cook, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Monetary Fund's, REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Spelman College, Fed, Spelman, Institute, Supply Management's, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Atlanta
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday went through the top ten performers on the Russell 1000 index during November, explaining why these smaller stocks saw success. "If you think we're going to have a soft landing, if you believe inflation's coming down, if you believe that interest rates have peaked, then you need to be a little more optimistic about life and stocks – or at least stocks," he said. "The Russell 1000 is a list with a growth stock bias that can produce some real winners."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Russell
Tokyo and Hong Kong fell while Shanghai, Seoul and Sydney gained. U.S. futures and oil prices edged higher. Meanwhile, the broader economy has remained strong enough in the face of rising interest rates and inflation to avoid a recession. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 0.8% to 17,381.14. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences interest rates on mortgages and other loans, fell to 4.38% from 4.47% late Friday.
Persons: ” Robert Carnell, Min Joo Kang, Sensetime, Grizzly, Kospi, Australia's Organizations: Sydney, Conference, FactSet, Federal, Federal Reserve, U.S, ING Economics, Nikkei, Grizzly Research, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, Investors, U.S . Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul, China
A street cleaning operative walks past the London Stock Exchange Group building in the City of London financial district, whilst British stocks tumble as investors fear that the coronavirus outbreak could stall the global economy, in London, Britain, March 9, 2020. The exporter-heavy FTSE 100 (.FTSE) fell 0.6% touching a two-week low intraday, while the more domestically-oriented FTSE 250 midcap index (.FTMC) also shed 0.6%. Personal goods (.FTNMX402040) led declines among the major FTSE 350 sectors, with Burberry Group (BRBY.L) falling 2.7% after HSBC reduced the stock's price target. Investors will look ahead to UK mortgage data, inflation prints across the eurozone, and a Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report in the U.S. - the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge - later this week. Man Group (EMG.L) fell 3.2% after Morgan Stanley downgraded the hedge fund manager's stock to "Equal-Weight" from "Overweight".
Persons: Toby Melville, inflation's, Andrew Jones, Janus Henderson, Dave Ramsden, Jonathan Haskel, Pearson, Morgan Stanley, Shashwat Chauhan, Sonia Cheema Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, REUTERS, Royce, Burberry Group, HSBC, PT Pearson, Man, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of England's, Thomson Locations: City, London, Britain, U.S, Bengaluru
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is declining but that doesn't matter for low-income Americans, says Fmr. Wells Fargo CEODick Kovacevich, Former Wells Fargo CEO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk inflation's impact on Americans, the state of the economy and more.
Persons: Wells, Dick Kovacevich Organizations: Wells Fargo
Japan cuts view on economy for first time in 10 months
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
TOKYO, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Japan's government on Wednesday slashed its view on the economy for November in its first such downgrade in 10 months, as weak demand weighed on capital spending and consumer expenditure. The new assessment by the Cabinet Office came after data last week showed the economy shrank in July-September for the first time in three quarters as demand waned. "The economy is recovering moderately, although some areas showed stalemate recently," said the report issued by the Cabinet Office on Wednesday. It was the first time the government has cut its view on the overall economy since January. The government expects the economy to continue to recover moderately but there are risks such as those from global monetary tightening and the Chinese economy.
Persons: inflation's, Fumio, Kaori Kaneko, Sam Holmes Organizations: Cabinet, Thomson Locations: TOKYO
“Any time we’ve had a serious cut to the inflation rate, it’s come with a major recession," Goolsbee said in an interview with The Associated Press. “And so the golden path is a ... bigger soft landing than conventional wisdom believes has ever been possible. Last week, the government reported that inflation cooled in October, with core prices — which exclude volatile food and energy prices — rising just 0.2% from September. The year-over-year increase in core prices — 4% — was the smallest in two years. The Fed tracks core prices because they are considered a better gauge of inflation's future path.
Persons: Goolsbee, we’ve, ” Goolsbee, , Susan Collins, ” Collins, hasn't Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Associated Press, Wall, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Yet according to a raft of polls and surveys, most Americans hold a glum view of the economy. Polls consistently show that most Americans disapprove of Biden's handling of the economy. I hear that from my family.”That's particularly true for some of the goods and services that Americans pay for most frequently: Bread, beef and other groceries, apartment rents and utilities. “Partly because the country is more polarized.”Even so, many Americans, like Charles, are still feeling the pain of inflation. Even if it does, the higher pay may come with a time lag.
Persons: they’re, Joe Biden, Lisa Cook, Cook, , Wendy Edelberg, Katherine Charles, Charles, , ” Charles, Maximus, Eileen Cassidy Rivera, ” Rivera, Karen Dynan, George W, Bush, Obama, Edelberg, ” Edelberg, haven't, Brad Hershbein, Anthony Murphy, Murphy, Aparna Jayashankar, ” Hershbein Organizations: WASHINGTON, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, Duke University, , Brookings Institution, Medicare, Affordable, Teamsters, Biden, House, Republicans, University of Michigan's, Harvard, Upjohn Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Locations: U.S, Tampa , Florida, autoworkers,
Valerie Plesch | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wholesale prices in October, as measured by the producer price index, fell 0.5% for the month against the expected 0.1% increase. And that, to put it mildly, "may be at least a tad optimistic," Cox wrote. Expectations of a rate cut forced down Treasury yields Tuesday (though they rose again yesterday).
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Jeff Cox, Cox, Quincy Krosby, Henry Allen, Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Major, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury, LPL, Deutsche Bank, Fed Locations: Washington , DC, Major U.S
While many experts don't see inflation getting back to normal just yet, it could in a year or two. Consumer price inflation has been mostly slowing this year. Some experts see inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index being around 2% — the Fed's target year-over-year rate of price growth — by some time in 2024. Advertisement"We foresee headline and core CPI inflation around 2.2% y/y in Q4 2024," Daco said in his commentary. Goldman Sachs forecasts that measure is expected to cool off and see a 2.4% year-over-year increase in December 2024.
Persons: J.P, David Kelly, , Gregory Daco, Daco, Kelly, ING's James Knightley, Sarah Foster's, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick Organizations: Morgan, Service, Consumer, CPI, Morgan Asset Management, Bankrate, Federal Reserve, Federal, Business
Valerie Plesch| Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wholesale prices in October, as measured by the producer price index, fell 0.5% for the month against the expected 0.1% increase. And that, to put it mildly, "may be at least a tad optimistic," Cox wrote. Expectations of a rate cut forced down Treasury yields Tuesday (though they rose again yesterday).
Persons: Valerie Plesch, Jeff Cox, Cox, Quincy Krosby, Henry Allen, Organizations: Eccles Federal, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Major, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury, LPL, Deutsche Bank, Fed Locations: Washington , DC, Major U.S
Markets are probably overreacting to the October inflation data, according to Jamie Dimon. The JPMorgan CEO told Bloomberg that he's "afraid inflation may not go away that quickly". AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve shouldn't call time on its inflation fight just yet, according to Jamie Dimon. "I'm afraid inflation may not go away that quickly," Dimon added. AdvertisementThe JPMorgan boss isn't the only big name on Wall Street telling markets not to put too much stock in Tuesday's CPI print.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Stocks, Dimon, El Financiero, that's, Dimon –, they've, isn't, Ken Griffin Organizations: JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Service, JPMorgan Chase, El Financiero Bloomberg, CPI, Billionaire Citadel
CNBC's Jim Cramer examined Wednesday's market action, saying the continued rally has eager buyers searching for promising stocks. Cramer said many on Wall Street may find new reasons to own different stocks that lagged behind in the past, but he cautioned against buying just anything. He added that the company may look more attractive to Wall Street if inflation cools and consumers have more money to spend. Estee Lauder does a significant amount of business in China, and Cramer suggested the stock's rally could be fueled by hopes surrounding President Joe Biden's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. "I think it's worth breaking down today's move because it shows how much people want to own stocks here, buy stocks here," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden's, Xi Jinping, They've Locations: China
Price growth is slowing, but high inflation could still persist through most of 2024 and beyond. Inflation dropped from a year-over-year rate of 3.7% to 3.2% in October, according to the latest consumer price index report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Tuesday morning. Perhaps more importantly, core inflation — which excludes volatile food and energy prices — dropped from 0.3% in September to 0.2% in October, which was lower than expected. At an annualized rate of 2.4%, core inflation is trending closer to the Federal Reserve's overall year-over-year target rate of 2%. "We still have a long way to go" before core inflation is under control, Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate, tells CNBC Make It.
Persons: That's, Kurt Rankin, Greg McBride Organizations: U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Tuesday, Federal, PNC Financial Services Group, CNBC
A worker walks pasts the logo of the Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) inside its headquarters building in Lima, Peru June 16, 2017. The bank's third consecutive cut comes as the rate of rising consumer prices has been coming down. But the latest decision to cut rates does not necessarily imply a cycle of successive rate reductions, the monetary authority said in a statement. It added that future adjustments to the key lending rate "will be conditioned on new information on inflation and its determinants." Earlier on Thursday, Peru's government announced a package of measures aimed at boosting investments in the country's critical mining sector.
Persons: Mariana Bazo, El, Peru's, Alex Contreras, Marco Aquino, David Alire Garcia, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Central Reserve Bank of, REUTERS, Rights, El Nino, Thomson Locations: Central Reserve Bank of Peru, Lima , Peru, Lima
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