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Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
Wall Street returned to its winning ways this week — and Nvidia 's blowout earnings report Wednesday night was a big reason why. Twenty-six of our 32 portfolio stocks have delivered their results this earnings season (we didn't own Abbott Labs at the time of its report). It was a muted week for macroeconomic data, but we did get a slightly better-than-expected January existing home sales report on Thursday. In the week ahead, two more Club names are set to report earnings before a market-moving economic update arrives Thursday morning. The two other reports of note are the January new home sales report on Monday and ISM Manufacturing report on Friday.
Persons: Dow, we'll, bode, We're, Li Auto, Krystal, Arcutis, MARA, Iovance, Goldman Sachs BDC, CRON, BUD, Papa, LEV, Ginkgo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Palo Alto Networks, Bausch Health, Coterra Energy, Abbott, Companies, TJX, Marshalls, TJX Companies, Berkshire Hathaway, Krystal Biotech, Alpha Metallurgical Resources , Inc, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Animal Health, ELAN, Public Service Enterprise Group, Surgery Partners, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc, Outdoor Holdings, Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd, Kosmos Energy, Playtika, Video Communications, TiRobot Corp, IRB, SBAC Communications Corporation, HEICO Corporation, FS KKR, Archer Aviation Inc, TransMedics, Sterling Construction Company, AES, Cruise Line Holdings, Lowe's Companies, American Electric Power Company, Bank of Nova, APLS Pharmaceuticals, Bank of Montreal, BMO, Devon Energy, Solar Inc, Technologies, Lab, Virgin Galactic Holdings, Splunk Inc, eBay, EBAY, Luminar Technologies, Agilent Technologies, G Foods, Masimo Corp, Baidu, Parts Inc, Icahn Enterprises, Viatris Inc, ACM Research, Golden Ocean Group, EMCOR, Industries, NRG Energy, Dycom, Editas, UWM Holdings Corporation, Vistra Energy, Marathon Digital Holdings, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Paramount Global, IonQ Inc, International, HP, Monster Beverage Corporation, Cronos, Birkenstock Holding, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Body, Brink's Company, Flags Inc, Papa John's, ACI, Hormel, Lion Electric Company, BlackRock TCP, Dole plc, DOLE, Fisker Inc, Dell Technologies, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Autodesk, Green Brick Partners, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Veeva Systems, INTTEST Corporation, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: New York City, U.S, Salesforce, Maxx, Bank of Nova Scotia, BlackRock, Cayman
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailISM Manufacturing reaches 49.1 for 15th consecutive print under 50CNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli Organizations: ISM
S&P 500 futures were little changed Wednesday night following a dismal day for the major averages, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a March rate cut is unlikely. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.14% and 0.25%, respectively. Wall Street is coming off a poor session for the major averages. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 317 points, or 0.8%, posting its worst day since December. Still, the major averages closed out January on a positive note, with each of the major indexes up more than 1% for the month.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Liz Young Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S, U.S . Federal, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Qualcomm, Dow Jones, Merck, Interactive, Royal, Apple Locations: U.S ., New York, Royal Caribbean
All three major averages posted gains for the third consecutive week, lifted by solid quarterly earnings and positive economic data. Earnings season ramps up next week, with five of the Super Six mega-cap stocks delivering results. Employment numbers are the most important economic data, with Friday's January nonfarm payrolls report carrying the most weight. The January ISM Manufacturing report on Thursday and December's factory orders report Friday are expected to show the sector still in contraction mode. But earnings and commentary this week from peer Sartorious made us encouraged about a return to growth in 2024.
Persons: nonfarm, December's, Sartorious, We've, Stanley Black, Decker, We're, We'd, Royal Philips, Crane, Woodward, ServisFirst, Cadence Bancorporation, CADE, Johnson, Phillips, Avery Dennison, Columbus McKinnon, Robinson, SIRI, Cardinal Health, Parker, DOV, Pitney Bowes, Ferrari N.V, CSW, COLM, W.W, Grainger, Dwight Co, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tim Cook, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Gross, Procter, Gamble, Gillette, Super, Consumer, JPM Healthcare, Amazon, Microsoft, Honeywell, Aerospace, Solutions, Apple Watch, Masimo, Vision Pro, Franklin Resources, Resource Partners, Bank of Marin Bancorp, Bank7 Corp, Pacific Premier Bancorp Inc, Provident Financial Holdings, Dynex, Cliffs Inc, Nucor Corp, Whirlpool Corp, F5 Networks, Capital Southwest Corp, Harbors Investment Corp, Crane Co, Payne, Equity, Heartland Financial, Cadence, FinWise Bancorp, Five Star Bancorp, PotlatchDeltic Corporation, Sanmina Corporation, Pfizer, General Motors Corp, United Parcel Service, JetBlue Airways Corporation, Smith Corp, Marathon Petroleum Corp, HCA Healthcare, Oshkosh Corporation, SYSCO Corp, Danaher Corp, Johnson Controls, M.D.C . Holdings, Commvault Systems Inc, Hope Bancorp, Hubbell Incorporated, Malibu Boats, Polaris Industries, Inc, Camden National Corp, Cambridge Bancorp, Microsoft Corp, Starbucks Corp, Devices, Electronic Arts Inc, Juniper Networks, Stryker Corp, Lending, Canadian, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Mondelez, Chubb Corporation, Modine Manufacturing, Partners, Management, Hawaiian Holdings, Manhattan Associates, Unum Group, UNM, Axos, Enova, Boston Properties, Boeing Co, Novo Nordisk, Mastercard Inc, Roper Technologies, Boston Scientific Corporation, MarketAxess Holdings, Fisher, Aptiv PLC, Hess Corp, Nasdaq, United Microelectronics Corp, Rockwell Automation, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd, Avery, Avery Dennison Corp, Extreme Networks, Otis Worldwide Corporation, OTIS, Columbus, Columbus McKinnon Corp, Central Pacific Financial Corp, Brinker International, Fortive Corporation, Qualcomm, Technology, Metlife, Hanover Insurance, Barn Holdings, CONMED Corporation, DLH Holdings Corp, Meritage Homes Corporation, Honeywell International, Eaton Corp, Altria, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Merck, Co, Enterprise Products Partners, Dorian LPG, SiriusXM Holdings, Cardinal, Hannifin Corporation, Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, Tractor Supply Company, Trane Technologies, Dover Corp, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Brunswick Corporation, Dickinson, Canada Goose Holdings, Kirby Corp, WEC Energy Group, WestRock Company, Allegro MicroSystems, Ball Corporation, Broadridge Financial, BrightSphere Investment Group, CMS Energy Corp, Lancaster Colony Corp, Rogers Communications Inc, Sanofi, Apple, Atlassian Corporation, United States Steel Corp, Corp, Adtalem Global, Homes, DXC Technology Company, Eastman Chemical Company, Gen, Post Holdings, America, Columbia Sportswear Company, Exxon Mobil Corp, Chevron Corporation, Myers Squibb Co, CIGNA Corp, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Charter Communications, AON, Cboe, Dwight, Banco Santander, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple Vision, Getty Locations: China, East, United States, Europe, Cleveland, Alexandria, California, Corning, Canadian Pacific, Teradyne, TER, Novo, Hanover, PBI, Skechers U.S.A, Bristol, Chile
Wall Street is headed into the thick of earnings season, with results on deck from the bulk of the so-called Magnificent Seven names. On top of that, the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and the January jobs report will be in focus. Federal Reserve meeting Investors aren't anticipating much out of the Fed meeting next week. Market participants say recent reports show the trends have been going in the right direction, and Friday's report is expected to confirm the softening in the jobs market. Other significant earnings in the week ahead include Boeing , a major Dow component.
Persons: Russell, we've, Shannon Saccocia, Jonathan Krinsky, Tesla, that'll, Hogan, you've, John Bailer, Jerome Powell, Tony Welch, Welch, FactSet Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, JPMorgan, Riley Securities, Newton Investment Management, Fed, PCE, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dallas, Whirlpool, Petroleum, United Parcel Service, General Motors, Pfizer, Devices, ADP, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Mastercard, Qualcomm, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Apple, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Thursday's, nonfarm payrolls, Chicago, Royal Caribbean, Michigan
A job seeker visits a Job News USA career fair in Louisville, Kentucky, on June 23, 2021. The department's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed employment listings nudged lower to 8.79 million, about in line with the Dow Jones estimate for 8.8 million and the lowest since March 2021. Openings fell by 62,000, though the rate of vacancies as a measure of employment was unchanged at 5.3%. The ratio of job openings to available workers fell to 1.4 to 1, still elevated but down sharply from the 2 to 1 level that had been prevalent in 2022. Job openings fell by 128,000 for transportation, warehousing and utilities and were off 97,000 in leisure and hospitality.
Persons: Dow Jones, Ron Temple Organizations: USA, Labor Department, Labor, Companies, Federal Reserve, Lazard, Dow Jones, CNBC PRO Locations: Louisville , Kentucky, Kentucky
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Markets are now fully pricing a rate cut by the May meeting with almost a 50% chance they move in March, according to the CME's FedWatch tool. Reuters GraphicsThe 10-year yield is down around 15 basis points and on Thursday hit its lowest level in 2-1/2 months at 4.247%. On Wednesday, the dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, touched its lowest level since Aug. 11 and dropped over 3% last month, its worst month in a year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Samuel Indyk, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Christopher Waller, Europe's, Fed's, Fed's Cook, ECB's, Fitch, Toby Chopra Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Federal, Fed, Spelman College, Reuters, COVID, P Global, PMI, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, France, Greece, Ireland, DBRS, Germany, Spain
Treasury yields are flat ahead of Powell comments
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The 10-year Treasury yield was last at 4.322% after declining by around 2 basis points. Powell could throw some cold water on that notion, maintaining that the central bank had to remain vigilant against inflation. Investors digested inflation data released Thursday in form of the personal consumption expenditures price index for October, which was in line with expectations. The central bank is set to meet later this month for the last time in 2023. Markets are pricing in an over 98% chance of interest rates being left unchanged then, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Spelman College, Fed
Stock futures fell slightly in overnight trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched a new 2023 high and capped off its best month in more than a year. Futures tied to the 30-stock index dipped 20 points, or 0.06%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures slipped 0.1% and 0.15%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 520 points, or 1.47%, to settle at 35,950.89 and top its previous 2023 high hit in August. The S&P and Nasdaq rallied 8.9% and 10.7%, respectively, to notch their best monthly performances since July 2022. Both the Dow and S&P are also headed for a winning week, with the Dow on pace to hit a fifth consecutive winning week for the first time in more than two years.
Persons: Stocks, Everyone's, Wells, Chris Harvey, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Disney, Dow, Dominion Energy, Gartner, Cardinal Health
(Treasury yields tend to move inversely to stock prices; as yields fall investors seeking better returns move money back into the stock market). The chipmaker once again came into its quarterly print with super-high expectations on the Street, but once again exceeded them . For this reason, we put more emphasis on monthly economic releases, such as the aforementioned personal spending report. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Dow, Estee Lauder, Einstein, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Locker, Jeff Greenberg Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Apple, TJX, Bank of Nova, Elbit Systems, Intuit, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Hormel, Kroger, KR, Academy Sports, TD Bank, Royal Bank of Canada, Dell Technologies, Bank of Montreal, BMO, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Universal, Getty Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, AMBA
Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said the Federal Reserve needs to consider interest rate cuts a lot sooner than expected. "I think Jay Powell has to be on high alert because we did get some weak data," Siegel said. AdvertisementAdvertisementWharton professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday that the Federal Reserve needs to stay flexible and consider interest rate cuts a lot sooner than the market expects. He ultimately expects the Fed's next interest rate move to be a cut rather than a hike, and it should come sometime in 2024. I think the next move is a cut and it might come even sooner than we think given the data," Siegel said.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jay Powell, Siegel, , I'm, he's, Powell, It's, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Service
The major averages rebounded strongly this week as quarterly earnings came in largely better than expected and interest rates fell on softer economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 5% for its best week since October 2022. The big theme next week is earnings and the four portfolio companies delivering their quarterly results. Here's the full rundown of all the important domestic data in the week ahead as we consider a number areas of our portfolio for trades next week. ET: Treasury budget statement for October (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.)
Persons: FactSet, we'll, Hulu —, Krystal, Horton, Zimmer, LEV, Armour, Ralph Lauren Corporation, CRON, Patterson, Walt Disney, MARA, Ginkgo, FREYR Battery, FREY, Arcelor Mittal, Wynn, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ISM, Services, Coterra Energy, Emerson Electric, Wall, National Instruments, Disney, Hulu, CNBC, Comcast, ESPN —, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Asia that's, Wynn, Wynn's, Wynn Interactive, United, Brookfield Asset Management, Axsome Therapeutics, Network Corporation, Krystal Biotech, Ceragon Networks, Kosmos Energy Ltd, TreeHouse Foods Inc, Air Lease Corporation, Inc, Eversource Energy, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc, Graham Corporation, Aereas Inteligentes, Hilton, Energy, Realty Income Corp, Semiconductors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc, Clover Health, Contura Energy, Diamondback Energy, FS KKR Capital Corp, Celanese Corp, Eos Energy Enterprises, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, WEN, Pall Corp, TransMedics, Emerson, Uber Technologies, Holdings, Melco Resorts, Entertainment, Zimmer Biomet Holdings, ACM Research, Lion Electric Company, Emerson Electric Co, Vertex Energy, Waters Corp, Air Products & Chemicals, Esperion Therapeutics, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Bowlero Corp, Hotels, KKR, Co, Devon Energy Corp, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Dutch Bros Inc, Gilead Sciences, ContextLogic Inc, Akamai Technologies, Viatris Inc, Technologies, Corsair, Enovix Corporation, eBay, EBAY, DaVita Inc, Pan American Silver Corp, Roblox Corporation, Fisker Inc, Warner Bros ., Nuvei Corporation, Farms, Akebia Therapeutics, Biogen Inc, 3D Systems Corporation, Gray Television Inc, BlackSky Technology Inc, Cronos, EVgo Inc, Lumentum Holdings Inc, Nexstar Media Group, UTI Energy, Starwood Property Trust, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Marathon Digital Holdings, IonQ Inc, Digital Turbine, Virgin Galactic Holdings , Inc, Arm Holdings plc, ARM, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Suncor Energy, AppLovin Corporation, B2Gold Corp, Luminar Technologies, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Bloom Energy Corporation, Li Auto Inc, Oatly, Kopin Corp, Fiverr International, YETI Holdings, YPF S.A, Ship Lease, Himax Technologies Inc, Dickinson, CommScope Holding, RBC, Agile Therapeutics, Apyx Medical Corporation, Grab Holdings, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Profire Energy, Flags Inc, Stereotaxis Inc, TransDigm, US Foods Holding Corp, Utz Brands, Valvoline Inc, Weibo Corporation, Wix.com Ltd, Trade, Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras, Growth, Aurora Cannabis Inc, Navitas Semiconductor Corp, Archer Aviation Inc, Semiconductor, Energy Fuels Corp, Illumina Inc, Spike Investment Corp, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp, AngloGold, Central Puerto S.A, Hudson Global, AirSculpt Technologies, Partners, Soho House, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Handout, Getty Locations: U.S, Macao, Asia, China, Las, Singapore, Wynn's Vegas, Boston, United Arab Emirates, Gilead, VVV, Central, Soho
S&P 500 futures inched higher Wednesday night as investors shifted focus from the Federal Reserve's policy decision to the latest batch of corporate earnings reports. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each rose around 0.2%. DoorDash climbed more than 7% on earnings that surpassed Wall Street forecasts, while Etsy fell 5% after management warned of a challenging environment for consumer discretionary spending. The moves follow a winning session on Wall Street that also marked the start of a new trading month. The Dow climbed more than 200 points on Wednesday, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each ended up more than 1%.
Persons: SolarEdge, DoorDash, Etsy, Dow, Jerome Powell, Powell, Chris Zaccarelli, payrolls, Eli Lilly Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Independent, Alliance, Fox, Apple, Paramount
But in the end, it's fundamentals that drive earnings and earnings that drive stock prices. Looking ahead to next week, we'll get several important macroeconomic updates along with nine Club earnings reports. Economic releases Next week is Jobs Friday when we get the government's monthly nonfarm payrolls report. Club stock earnings Club name Caterpillar (CAT) reports third-quarter results before the opening bell Tuesday. DuPont (DD) is set to report earnings.
Persons: it's, we'll, nonfarm payrolls, We'll, Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, BUD, Jerome Powell, Kraft Heinz, WEN, Papa John's, Dwight Co, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Caterpillar, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Bausch Health, Starbucks, Apple Watch, VF Corp, GE HealthCare, Pfizer, JetBlue, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Cruise, CVS Health, Brinker International, Yum Brands, PayPal, Qualcomm, Mondelez, Novo Nordisk, Barrick, Penn Entertainment, Paramount Global, Marriott, Ferrari, Molson Coors, TAP, Coinbase, Natural Resources, Booking Holdings, International, Monster Beverage, Health, Resources, Dwight, Restaurant Brands, Sempra Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: North America, China, New York City, U.S
The Federal Reserve meeting and October jobs report are on the docket next week as investors wrap up a brutal month for markets. Both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid into correction territory this week following some disappointing megacap tech reports. "I suspect that the Fed is not going to comfort the market," said James Camp, managing director at Eagle Asset Management. Many investors expect stocks could remain choppy until the markets gain clarity on when the Fed will start to cut rates. Jobs report Investors will get another look into the labor market next week soon after the Fed decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James Camp, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Dow Jones, Nick Galluccio, you'll, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Ripley, Galluccio, we've, Eli Lilly Organizations: Reserve, Nasdaq, Eagle Asset Management, Fed, Teton Advisors, Treasury, Asset, Apple, Investors, Allianz Investment Management, Advisors, Dallas Fed, Simon Property, Semiconductor, Western, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Pfizer, GE Healthcare Technologies, Caterpillar, ADP, PMI, Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, Qualcomm, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Labor, Factory, News Corp, Booking Holdings, Paramount Global, Moderna, Jobs, Services PMI, Health Locations: U.S, FactSet, Chicago
Morning Bid: This Fed's not for turning
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The U.S. Federal Reserve building is pictured in Washington, March 18, 2008. That thought was echoed by Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester, who said: "I suspect we may well need to raise the fed funds rate once more this year." Either way, this is not the sound of a Fed who thinks the inflation battle is won. Fed hawkishness, however, has kept futures markets pricing a 50-50 chance of another quarter point rate hike to the 5.50-5.75% range by year-end. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jason Reed, Mike Dolan, they've, Michelle Bowman, Loretta Mester, Michael Barr, hawkishness, Raphael Bostic, Susan Fenton Organizations: U.S . Federal, REUTERS, Reserve, Cleveland Fed, Institute, Supply, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Big Tech, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Treasury, McCormick, PMI, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "It's the feeling that the U.S. economy can stomach higher interest rates for a little bit longer," said Bipan Rai, North America head of FX strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto. "Implicitly it also means that the Fed might not be so quick to cut rates next year either," he said. The Japanese yen weakened 0.31% versus the greenback at 149.77, after falling to 149.90. Investors have been closely watching for signs of intervention in the Japanese currency by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
Persons: Florence Lo, Kevin McCarthy, Bipan Rai, Edward Moya, Michelle Bowman, Shunichi Suzuki, Chuck Mikolajczak, Marguerita Choy, Alison Williams Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, Congress, Democratic, Republican, Treasury, CIBC Capital Markets, Investors, Bank of Japan, Fed, Bank of Japan's, Japan's Finance, Thomson Locations: U.S, North America, Toronto, New York
A separate report from the Commerce Department showed construction spending increased 0.5% in August after rising 0.9% in July, lifted by outlays on single- and multi-family housing. Spending on private construction projects rose 0.5%, with investment in residential construction advancing 0.6% after increasing 1.6% in the prior month. The construction spending report showed outlays on multi-family housing projects rose 0.6% in August. Spending on new single-family construction projects rose 1.7%. Spending on manufacturing construction projects shot up 1.2%.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, Paul Ashworth, outlays, Freddie Mac, Biden, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, North America Economist, Capital Economics, Reuters, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Commerce Department, Thomson Locations: Normal , Illinois, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, Panama, China, United States, State
Wall Street closed out the final week of the third quarter lower as Friday's initial rally on tame inflation data ended largely in losses. The Dow , S & P 500 and the Nasdaq all fell sharply for the historically tough month of September and for the quarter. We hope it convinces the Fed to hold off on any additional hikes as we await the impact of prior rate moves. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Dow, We'd, Helen of Troy, HELE, Lamb Weston, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Payrolls, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Nick M Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Fed, Constellation Brands, Management, UAW, Big, Detroit automakers, General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, PMI, McCormick, Maine, Conagra Brands, CNBC Locations: U.S, Cal
A government shutdown looming on the horizon could dampen sentiment to start October even as Wall Street wraps up what's been a challenging month and quarter. Many market participants expect that the financial markets and economy will broadly shake off concerns from a shutdown as they have in the past. "The market's probably going to set it aside until or unless it starts to have a larger impact on behaviors." Economic impact Historically, government shutdowns have been relatively short-lived, though they have been longer and more disruptive recently. Meanwhile, Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, expects the government shutdown is "all bark and no bite" when it comes to market reaction.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Rob Haworth, Wells, Michael Pugliese, Bank's Haworth, Aditya Bhave, Jay Woods, Woods, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch, Lamb Weston Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Nasdaq, BEA, Bank of America U.S, Labor, Freedom Capital, Atlanta Fed's, PMI, Manufacturing, McCormick, ADP, Services PMI, Constellation Brands, Conagra, Consumer Credit Locations: Wells Fargo
A strong summer has given way to a volatile August, and September usually means trouble for stocks. And on Friday, we got a strong Payrolls report and a solid uptick in the ISM Manufacturing Index," Kron wrote. And while he noted that both Alphabet and Amazon announced strong earnings, it was Nvidia's earnings announcement that gripped investors. "Looking through this volatility, we find the market has rewarded investors that focus on stocks with earnings revision potential," Kron wrote. The 22 stocks below are the most differentiated buy recommendations among Goldman Sachs analysts right now.
Persons: Steven Kron, Goldman Sachs, Kron, NVDA, Macy's, there's Organizations: International, Labor, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Conference Board, Amazon, Visa, Wall Street
All three major U.S. stock indices rebounded this past week following a lackluster August, delivering their best one-week performances since July. Here's a quick update on the past week: The August ADP employment report numbers came in lower than expected. Earnings : No Club companies report next week. Over 99% of S & P 500 companies have now reported earnings results for the second-quarter season, according to FactSet. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Buster's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Labor, U.S . Labor Department, ISM Manufacturing, Broadcom, VMware, PMI, Photonics, Akoustis Tech, GameStop, Eagle Outfitters, SAIC, Brands, ABM Industries, Kroger, KR, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Asana, ASAN, New York City
Total: 25