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General view of the City of London skyline, the capital's financial district, in October. LONDON — The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its 2024 growth outlook for the United Kingdom, saying declines in interest rates and inflation would boost domestic demand. The IMF now sees 1.1% growth for the U.K. economy this year, up from a July forecast of 0.7%. Inflation in the U.K. came in at 1.7% in September, a decline from 11.1% in October 2022. Economic growth has been tepid so far this year, coming in at 0.2% in August after flatlining in June and July.
Persons: flatlining Organizations: LONDON, Monetary Fund, IMF, Bank of England Locations: London, United Kingdom
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with the Brazilian central bank governorRoberto Campos Neto, governor of the Central Bank of Brazil, speaks to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF Meetings in Washington, D.C.
Persons: Roberto Campos Neto, Karen Tso Organizations: Central Bank of Locations: Brazilian, Central Bank of Brazil, Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economic stimulus measures 'going in the right direction,' IMF chief economist saysPierre-Olivier Gourinchas, chief economist of the IMF, discusses global inflation and growth and weighs in on economic stimulus measures in China.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: IMF Locations: China
The head of the International Monetary Fund cautioned on Thursday that high debt and low growth remained major impediments to the global economy. "When we look into the challenges ahead of us, the biggest one is low growth, high debt. "It is successful major economies that have done really well … and there are pockets in the world where inflation is still a problem," she said. Georgieva warned that international trade would no longer be the "engine of growth" it once was, highlighting the proliferation of restrictive policies among many economies. Earlier on Thursday, Georgieva also pointed to wider geopolitical tensions as one of the key risks to global financial stability.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Karen Tso, Georgieva, Ukraine — Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC, Washington DC, World Bank Group, European Union, Ukraine Locations: Washington, U.S, China, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina must reform pensions and support property sector if consumer confidence is to return, says IMF MDKristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, discusses Chinese fiscal policy, and explains what measures the IMF believe can be introduced to stimulate economic growth.
Organizations: China
Global government borrowing is set to hit $100 trillion this year, the International Monetary Fund said. In a report, it warned mushrooming public debt raises the chances of a "broader financial crisis." AdvertisementGlobal public debt is on track to surpass $100 trillion this year for the first time — and the increase threatens a wider financial crisis, the International Monetary Fund warned. The IMF also warned of a "severely adverse scenario," in which global debt could balloon to 115% of global GDP by 2026 because of "weaker growth, tighter financing conditions, fiscal slippages, and greater economic and policy uncertainty." The debt looks set to grow further with both presidential candidates, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, pledging to spend big if they enter the White House.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Service, IMF, Treasury, Social Security Locations: China, United States, Israel, Ukraine
The International Monetary Fund called for continued tight, data-driven monetary policy in Turkey until inflation converges to target as it concluded an Article IV consultation. The policy turnaround has reduced economic imbalances and revived confidence the IMF said on Saturday, adding that improved market sentiment caused foreign and domestic investors to shift into lira-denominated assets. In a statement containing the executive board assessment of Turkish economic policies, the IMF said the central bank needs to ensure that the path of disinflation stays on track.
Organizations: Monetary, IMF Locations: Turkey
The Middle East is anticipating strikes on the anniversary of the October 7 terror attacks. Israeli offensives have targeted several Middle Eastern regions, including Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. AdvertisementThe Middle East is on high alert for military strikes timed to coincide with the first anniversary of the October 7 terror attacks on Israel. AdvertisementThere are fears the conflict could escalate into a full-blown war in the Middle East. AdvertisementIn June, the IMF said that the long-term economic effects of conflict on real GDP per capita in the Middle East would be particularly severe.
Persons: , Yuval Baron, Keith Siegel, Adm, Daniel Hagari, Israel, Khader Ali Tawil, Kfar Yuval, Georgios Petropoulos, Jake Oubina, Piper Sandler Organizations: Service, Gaza Health Ministry, Reuters, Military, UN Humanitarian Affairs, CNN, Hamas, Health Ministry, BBC, Bank of Israel, Fox Business Locations: Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Haifa, Israel, Iran, Tiberias, Beirut, Kfar, suboffice, Rafah, Yemen
The terror attack has helped push the Middle East to the brink of a wider regional war. One year after the massacre, the Middle East has only plunged deeper into violence and is on the brink of a broader war. Globally, the immediate concern is that oil supplies will diminish significantly should conflict spill over to the rest of the Middle East. Everyone but Biden can see this," wrote Andrew Exum, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for Middle East policy, in The Atlantic last week. The global economy on edgeWhen the conflict began a year ago, there were fears that wider conflict in the Middle East could impact the global economy.
Persons: , Israel, Chuck Frielich, Frielich, Yemen's Houthi, Mohammed Hamoud, barraged, Ammar Safarjalani, Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Fuad Shukr, Hasan Nasrallah, Qasem Soleimani, JOSEPH EID, JALAA MAREY, Nasrallah, bode, Benjamin Netanyahu, Carmel Gat, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Biden, Andrew Exum, Brent, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, The Washington Institute for Near East, Getty Images Iran, Getty, Israel's, United Nations General Assembly, Citigroup, Iranian, US, Middle, Business, Bank of Israel, Reuters, IMF Locations: Israel, Iran, Gaza, Suez, Aden, Red, Palestine, Syria, Damascus, Xinhua, Tehran, Beirut, Haniyeh, Shukr, Lebanon, AFP, Hezbollah's, United States, Ukraine
Not long ago, Tunisia was hailed as the Arab Spring’s only success story. He advanced to a runoff promising to usher in a “New Tunisia” and hand more power to young people and local governments. Seventeen potential candidates filed paperwork to run and Tunisia’s election authority approved only three: Saied, Zouhair Maghzaoui and Ayachi Zammel. That includes the 83-year-old leader of Tunisia’s most well organized political party Ennahda, which rose to power after the Arab Spring. People stand in line outside a polling station during the presidential election in the capital Tunis, Tunisia, on October 6, 2024.
Persons: Press — Tunisians, Kais Saied, El, Ben Ali —, Zouhair Maghzaoui, Saied, Saied’s, Zouhair, Ayachi, Jihed Abidellaoui, Rached Ghannouchi, party’s, Abir, Ennahda —, Tunisians, Zoubeir Souissi, Yassine Mahjoub, who’ve, Tunisia won’t Organizations: Press, Abid, Authorities, Reuters, Free Destourian Party, World Bank, European Union, Today, International Monetary Fund, Reuters Economic, Tunisia's, Independent Authority, Elections, Getty, Initiative, Saied Locations: TUNIS, Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Tunis, Europe, Saharan Africa, Africa, AFP, , Iran, Russia, Saied, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIMF's Kristalina Georgieva: I pray my second term is more boring than my firstKristalina Georgieva, IMF managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Georgieva handles the 'new world' we are living in, what U.S. tariffs would mean for the global economy, and much more.
Persons: Georgieva
Incoming President Subianto has promised to continue the charge toward making Indonesia a high-income economy. Economic reforms passed through by the outgoing president will make the achieving Indonesia's grand vision easier. "Widodo put in place a bunch of economic reforms, the most noticeable being making it easier to hire and fire new workers. Indrawati hopes to avoid "the middle-income trap" — an economic development situation where growing economies stagnate at middle-income levels and are unable to advance to the ranks of high-income countries. Major policy reforms, she believes, will help Indonesia sidestep that.
Persons: Sri Mulyani Indrawati, CNBC's, Joko Widodo, Prabowo Subianto, Subianto, Widodo, Gareth Leather, Indrawati Organizations: Afp, Getty, country's Finance, International Monetary Fund, Defense, Capital Economics, CNBC, Lowy Institute Locations: Jakarta, Indonesia, Washington, Australian, China, Asia
COLOMBO — Sri Lanka’s leftist leader Anura Kumara Dissanayake took office as president on Monday, promising change in the island nation long led by powerful political families which is emerging from its worst economic crisis in more than seven decades. Supporters of Sri Lanka's newly elected President Anura Kumara Dissanayaka, celebrate in Colombo. Before Monday’s swearing-in, Prime Minister Dinesh Gunawardena resigned to make way for the new prime minister and his cabinet. Sri Lanka’s sovereign dollar bonds shed 2.88 to 3.28 cents on the dollar in early trade on Monday to bid between 49.14 and 49.77 cents. Sri Lanka’s close neighbors India, Pakistan, and the Maldives also congratulated Dissanayake on his win, along with China, the largest bilateral creditor.
Persons: Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Lankans, , ” Dissanayake, Sri Lanka's, Anura Kumara Dissanayaka, Ishara, Ranil Wickremesinghe, , beautician, Dinesh Gunawardena, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Dissanayake, Sri Lanka’s Organizations: Sri, Kodikara, Getty, International Monetary Fund Locations: COLOMBO, Colombo, AFP, India, Pakistan, Maldives, China
This is Sri Lanka’s first election since the Indian Ocean nation’s economy buckled in 2022 under a severe foreign exchange shortage, leaving it unable to pay for imports of essentials including fuel, medicine and cooking gas. Marxist-leaning Anura Kumara Dissanayake leaves a polling station after casting his vote in Sri Lanka's capital Colombo on Saturday. Grinding poverty for millionsButtressed by the IMF deal, Sri Lanka’s economy has posted a tentative recovery. The younger Premadasa polled 42% of the votes in 2019 to finish second, behind Rajapaksa, in the last presidential election. Support from farming communities in north and central Sri Lanka helped him close the gap on Dissanayake as counting progressed.
Persons: Kumara Dissanayake, Sajith Premadasa, Sri Lanka’s, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Dissanayake, Premadasa, Lanka’s, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, , Pradeep Peiris, ” Dissanayake, Eranga, Ranasinghe Premadasa, Rajapaksa Organizations: Sri, Sunday, University of Colombo, Monetary Fund, Marxist, IMF, National People’s Power, JVP Locations: , Sri Lanka's, Colombo, Sri, Sri Lankans, Premadasa’s, Sri Lanka
A man waves Sri Lanka's national flag after climbing a tower near presidential secretariat in Colombo on July 11, 2022, after it was overrun by anti-government protestors. (Photo by ARUN SANKAR/AFP via Getty Images)Sri Lanka's Marxist-leaning leader, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, grabbed a commanding early lead on Sunday in his bid to become the next president of the debt-ridden country seeking to elect a leader to bolster its fragile economic recovery. Dissanayake won about 53% of a million votes counted so far in the election, Sri Lanka's Election Commission data showed. "Though I heavily campaigned for President Ranil Wickremasinghe, the people of Sri Lanka have made their decision, and I fully respect their mandate for Anura Kumara Dissanayake." This was Sri Lanka's first election since the economy buckled in 2022 under a severe foreign exchange shortage, leaving the country unable to pay for imports of essentials including fuel, medicine and cooking gas.
Persons: ARUN SANKAR, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, Dissanayake, Sajith Premadasa, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Peremuna, Ali Sabry, Ranil Wickremasinghe, Kumara Dissanayake, Lanka's, Gotabaya Rajapaksa Organizations: Getty Images, Marxist, Sri, National, Power, JVP, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Colombo, Sri Lanka's, Saturday's, Sri Lanka
For me this is not a position, it is a responsibility,” Dissanayake told reporters after his victory which was confirmed after a second tally of votes. Dissanayake polled 5.6 million or 42.3% of the votes, a massive boost to the 3% he managed in the last presidential election in 2019. Anura Kumara Dissanayake of the National People's Power party leaves a polling station after casting his vote in Colombo, Sri Lanka, on Sept. 21, 2024. Grinding poverty for millionsButtressed by the IMF deal, Sri Lanka’s economy has managed a tentative recovery. Dissanayake ran as a candidate for the National People’s Power alliance, which includes his Marxist-leaning Janatha Vimukthi Peremuna party.
Persons: Kumara Dissanayake, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sajith Premadasa, , ” Dissanayake, “ Mr, ” Wickremesinghe, Dissanayake, Premadasa, Eranga, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, , Pradeep Peiris, Dissanayake’s, Janak Dias Organizations: COLOMBO Reuters, Marxist, National People's, Monetary Fund, University of Colombo, IMF, National People’s Power, JVP Locations: Lankans, Sri Lanka, Colombo, , Sri
A man waves Sri Lanka's national flag after climbing a tower near presidential secretariat in Colombo on July 11, 2022, after it was overrun by anti-government protestors. Rathnayake, the head of Sri Lanka's election commission, told Reuters. Buttressed by a $2.9 billion bailout programme from the International Monetary Fund, Sri Lanka's economy has posted a tentative recovery but the high cost of living remains a core issue for many voters. "Use your vote wisely so Sri Lanka can continue its recovery and move forward towards a sustainable and prosperous future." Sri Lanka's ranked voting system allows voters to cast three preferential votes for their chosen candidates.
Persons: ARUN SANKAR, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sajith Premadasa, Kumara Dissanayake, Sri, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Ali Sabry, Lanka's Organizations: Getty, Citizens, R.M.L, Reuters, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Colombo, Lanka's, Sri Lanka's, Sri, Sri Lanka
How Fed rate cuts affect the global economy
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Carlos Waters | In Carloswaters | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions can influence the trajectory of the U.S. economy. Changes to the Fed's interest rate can influence the cost of loan products such as mortgages and the value of cash, bonds and stocks. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rate comes after months of shaky labor market data in the U.S. Fed decisions can also impact foreign exchange markets given their effect on the value of U.S. dollars, the global reserve currency. Economists at the Fed write that China's central bank has managed the value of the yuan to help the country achieve its goals on trade.
Persons: Gregory Daco, Federal Reserve Board they're, Reena Aggarwal, they've, Freya Beamish, Beamish Organizations: Federal, Market Committee, International Monetary Fund, U.S, European Central Bank, IMF, Federal Reserve Board, Georgetown, Psaros, CNBC, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, TS Lombard Locations: U.S, EY, United States, People's Bank of China, China
Punit Paranjpe | Afp | Getty ImagesIndia can achieve sustainable economic growth of up to 8% over the medium term, according to the country's central bank governor. The figures have ratcheted up pressure on the central bank to launch its own rate-cutting cycle sooner rather than later. Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), speaks during the Global Fintech Fest 2024 in Mumbai, India, on August 28, 2024. Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesIt comes as major central banks have started to ease monetary policy in recent months, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Women (silhouetted) walk past Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo displayed at Global Fintech Fest exhibition in Mumbai.
Persons: Punit Paranjpe, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Shaktikanta Das, Das, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reserve Bank of India, International Monetary Fund, Nurphoto, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, The U.S . Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of India, Global Locations: Mumbai, India, Japan, Germany, U.S, China
New York CNN —It’s easy to dismiss many presidential candidates’ campaign promises as empty, because Congress would need to approve them. Alex Durante, an economist at the Tax Foundation, a right-leaning think tank, told CNN that 100% tariffs would threaten the economy. It’s possible he is floating 100% tariffs as just a threat designed to change the behavior of other countries. ‘No question it’s inflationary’The Trump campaign did not provide an explanation to CNN about how Trump would implement 100% tariffs nor what the trigger would be. He said Trump’s tariff plan, if enacted, would risk setting off a market panic like former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss did in 2022.
Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Trump, , you’re, ” Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, ” Obstfeld, Christine McDaniel, George W, Bush, , McDaniel, George Mason University’s, Alex Durante, ” Durante, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, , Harris, Kamala Harris, ” Kent Smetters, Smetters, Wharton “, it’s, ” Wharton, Liz, Joe Brusuelas, ” “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, Brusuelas, Liz Truss, Matt Priest, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Peterson Institute for International Economics, CNN, International Monetary Fund, Trump, United States Trade Representative, Commerce Department, Tax Foundation, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, Wharton, ABC, RSM, Democratic, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America Locations: New York, Wisconsin, United States, China, Russia, , American
Saudi Minister of Investment Khalid al-Falih pushed back against skepticism over the country's economic diversification plan, as Riyadh touts "green shoring" investment opportunities to woo foreign financing. The Saudi minister on Saturday said that, eight years into manifesting Vision 2030, the kingdom is now "more committed, more determined" to the program and has already implemented or is about to complete 87% of its targets. The number of foreign investment licenses issued in Saudi Arabia nearly doubled in 2023, the IMF noted, with government data pointing to a 5.6% annual increase in net flows of foreign direct investment in the first quarter. Concerns have nevertheless lingered over the potential uncertainty and unpredictability of the kingdom's legal framework and its dispute resolution system for foreign investment. Al-Falih insisted that Saudi Arabia boasts predictability, as well as domestic political and economic stability.
Persons: Khalid, Falih, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick, Mohammed bin Salman's Organizations: International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: Saudi, Riyadh, Cernobbio, Italy, U.S, Saudi Arabia
Cooling global growth, continued geopolitical risks, and uncertainty around US election outcomes mean it could be a choppy ride for the next few months. But if US economic data stabilizes while global growth slows, as Bharadwaj expects, European currencies could be set for a violent snapback. "I do think that global growth right now is not holding up from our data trackers. "And in fact, we actually track global growth upgrades versus downgrades. And after a very long time, global growth downgrades are outpacing global growth upgrades, which indicates to me that even the global growth is not as rosy as markets are currently pricing it to be."
Persons: Jayati Bharadwaj, it's, Bharadwaj, you've Organizations: Service, TD Securities, Business, International Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: China, Europe, India
Desmond Lachman, a former IMF deputy director, says there are "plenty of reasons to worry" about the US economy in the months ahead. Another risk is the prospect of a second Trump presidency, given his proposed policies around tariffs and taxes, Lachman said. Advertisement"There are a huge number of risks," Lachman said. "The Fed could cut interest rates midmeeting but that would be because the sky was falling. But if the sky is not falling, the Fed doesn't want to give the impression that the sky is falling," Lachman said.
Persons: Desmond Lachman, Lachman —, Lachman, Trump, , France Organizations: Service, Business, Lachman, American Enterprise Institute, AEI, Trump, EU Locations: China, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Palestine, Iran, France, Italy, Europe
Caracas CNN —It would be easy to dismiss this Sunday’s presidential election in Venezuela as a fait accompli. The opposition campaign has re-energized its bases, and the candidature of Edmundo González has attracted widespread support in Venezuela and abroad. A chance to rebuild Venezuela’s economic power“On the ballot is how long it’ll take to fix Venezuela’s economy,” said Asdrubal Oliveros, founder of Caracas firm Ecoanalitica, in his weekly podcast on July 8. Once the fifth-largest economy in Latin America, today Venezuela’s economy has shrunk to the equivalent of a medium-sized city, smaller than say, Milwaukee, according to data from the IMF. As Venezuela’s economy has crumbled, around eight million Venezuelans have already fled their country, many of them scattered across South America.
Persons: Nicolas Maduro, , , Laboratorio de Paz, Edmundo González, Asdrubal Oliveros, Andres, Maduro, Edmundo Gonzalez, Maria Corina Machado, Gabriela Oraa, Gonzalez, Consultores, Putin, Xi Jinping, who’s, , Donald Trump Organizations: Caracas CNN —, Laboratorio, IMF, Andres Bello Catholic University, Central University of Venezuela, of American, World Bank, Inter, American Development Bank, Supreme, CNN Locations: Caracas, Venezuela, Ecoanalitica, Latin America, Milwaukee, AFP, United States, Americas, South America, Venezuelan, America, China, Iran, Russia, Miami, Cuba, Maduro, of American States, Mercosur, Algiers, Brussels, Buenos Aires, Spanish, Washington, Brexit, neofascism, Europe, India, Turkey, Philippines
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewBank of America's latest Global Fund Managers survey found that shadow banking has surpassed commercial real estate as the likeliest culprit of a future credit event. In June's survey, commercial real estate held the top spot. Related storiesMeanwhile, BofA's survey indicates that fund managers are still keeping their eyes on commercial real estate, a sector that has wobbled under the weight of high interest rates. Between tighter monetary policy and a significant pullback in office demand, worry has mounted regarding whether commercial real estate entities can pay off their debt.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, BofA Organizations: Service, America's, Global Fund, Business, Bank of America Global Fund, Survey, JPMorgan Locations: H2'24
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