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Wall Street reacted Thursday to this week's Fed meeting, with forecasts scattered across a range of outcomes for where monetary policy heads next. Most economists for the biggest forecasting firms expect the central bank to lower benchmark interest rates sometime later this year. Goldman left in place its call for two rate cuts this year of a quarter percentage point each, with one in July and the other in November. "If inflation comes in stronger than in our baseline, we would expect the first rate cut to be postponed to December," he wrote. For 2025, we continue to expect four rate cuts."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Powell, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Marc Giannoni, Michael Gapen, Michael Bloom Organizations: Fed, Futures, Group, Citigroup, Barclays, Bank of America
Large technology stocks have continued to be a key driver of earnings growth. Those calls are based on the firms' expectation that the economy will continue to grow despite uncomfortably high interest rates. Bullish firms concur that elevated interest rates are a serious concern for investors. "Should the outlook for earnings growth deteriorate, the recent stretch of quality outperformance will likely continue and also expand to include stocks with stable growth," Kostin wrote. Along with each is its ticker, market capitalization, sector, 2024 expected earnings growth rate, and 10-year EBITDA growth variability rate, according to Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, That's, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, Stocks, they've, Mike Wilson, Morgan, 19.3x, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Wilson, Kostin, Russell Organizations: UBS, Business, UBS Beats, UBS Global Wealth Management, Companies, Federal Reserve
America's falling population isn't necessarily bad for the economy, Fisher Investments said. The US birth rate just fell to its lowest level in over 40 years, according to provisional CDC data. AdvertisementAmericans aren't having nearly as many kids as they used to, but that won't be the blow to the US economy that many have feared, according to Fisher Investments. Related storiesBut fewer babies being born isn't necessarily a bad thing for the economy, the firm said. "Yes, falling birth rates could have negative long-run ramifications if a true reduction in human capital and other factors don't offset this.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Fisher, Ken Fisher Organizations: Fisher Investments, Service, Centers for Disease, Bank
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Will AI make or break India?
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
But one that could foreshadow India's growth story. Can Teleperformance's stock plunge be the canary in the coal mine for what is likely to happen to India because of AI? But it's likely to be a blip for India's growth trajectory, given the macro forces at play. Besides creating jobs that are less likely to be immediately disrupted by AI, India could also be a net beneficiary of artificial intelligence. The Indian stock market indexes, Sensex and Nifty 50 , are heading for a positive week again — up by 1% and 1.2%, respectively.
Persons: Findlay Kember, Klarna, ChatGPT, K Krithivasan, Krithivasan, Narendra Modi, It's, Shilan Shah, Goldman Sachs, Vinay Dwivedi, Ashok Gulati, Nomura, League Pickleball, Karine Jean, Pierre, Jerome Powell, Raghuram Rajan, Ashish Jain, CNBC's Ayushi Jindal Organizations: AFP, Getty, India's Tata Consultancy Services, Financial Times, TCS, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, University of Oxford, Capital Economics, Investment, Nomura, Qualcomm, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, UPI, India, Commission, Agricultural, United Pickleball Association, Global Sports, PPA, League, Washington Post, White, U.S ., Federal, CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Swedish, Paris, India, Chennai, U.S, Europe, China, Singapore, South Korea, Canada, United States
In a letter to staff, McCarthy said the company needed to implement layoffs because it wouldn't be able to generate sustainable free cash flow with its current cost structure. "Achieving positive [free cash flow] makes Peloton a more attractive borrower, which is important as the company turns its attention to the necessary task of successfully refinancing its debt," McCarthy said in the memo. McCarthy had also expected Peloton to reach positive free cash flow by June — a goal the company said it reached early during its third quarter. In a letter to shareholders, Peloton said it generated $8.6 million in free cash flow but it's unclear how sustainable that number is. The company didn't provide specific guidance on what investors can expect with free cash flow in the quarters ahead but said it does expect to "deliver modest positive free cash flow" in its current quarter.
Persons: Barry McCarthy, McCarthy, Karen Boone, Chris Bruzzo, Jay Hoag, It's, John Foley, hasn't, Goldman Sachs, Boone, Barry, Bruzzo, , hadn't, Creditsafe, it's, Foley Organizations: Interactive, Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, Spotify, Netflix, JPMorgan, LSEG, outperformance, CNBC Locations: Sun Valley , Idaho, lockstep
First Solar is poised for growth as demand continues to improve with surging electricity consumption from data centers acting as a catalyst for the manufacturer, according to Goldman Sachs. The firm raised its stock price target to $268 after First Solar reported another stronger quarter, which suggests the shares could log 50% upside from Wednesday's close of $177.58. First Solar CEO Mark Widmar told analysts during the company's earnings call that he is seeing a "meaningful increase in demand expectations driven in part by data center load growth." Apple , Google, Meta , and Microsoft are committed to carbon-free energy as they hyperscale data centers, Widmar said. "We'll be ready to go as quickly as possible," Widmar told analysts.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee, Morgan, Mark Strouse, Strouse, Wall, Mark Widmar, Widmar, Alexander Bradley Organizations: First, Google, Microsoft
AI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD reported guidance that put a cloud over future AI chip demand. AdvertisementAI stocks plunged on Wednesday after AMD offered analysts 2024 revenue guidance for its AI chip that was below analyst estimates. AMD raised its 2024 revenue guidance for its MI300 AI chip by $500 million to $4 billion. While supply constraints seem to be a headwind for AMD's AI chip business, so too could be competition. The company's MI300 chip is a direct competitor to Nvidia's immensely popular H100 chip, and AMD claims that its chip outperforms Nvidia's.
Persons: , Lisa Su, Goldman Sachs, Nvidia's, Jensen Huang, Huang Organizations: AMD, Micro Computer, Nvidia, Service, Bloomberg, Nvidia's, Stanford Economic
The 10-year Treasury yield at one point in April neared 4.75% after starting the year below 4%. The anecdote, coupled with troubling inflation and economic growth data in April, helped push Treasury yields higher. More worrisome Powell commentary Wednesday after the Fed decision could further spike Treasury yields — or perhaps, he will sound confident the Fed still has a handle on inflation and rates will decline in response. However, that climb could run out of steam if Federal Reserve comments on Wednesday force Treasury yields higher. Higher interest rates constrain technology companies' ability to post the type of strong growth the sector has become synonymous with in recent years.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, worrisome Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Tesla, Micro, Treasury
Super Micro Computer — The server vendor dropped 15% after missing revenue expectations for its fiscal third quarter. However, Super Micro beat analysts' expectations for its adjusted earnings and hiked its revenue guidance for its fiscal 2024 year. Starbucks posted adjusted earnings of 68 cents per share on revenue of $8.56 billion. Pfizer now expects adjusted earnings of $2.15 to $2.35 per share for the full year, higher than its previous forecast of $2.05 to $2.25 per share. Yum Brands — The fast-food giant lost nearly 4% after it reported quarterly adjusted earnings and revenue that missed analysts' expectations.
Persons: Joseph Otting, , Cowen, Skyworks, SiriusXM, Goldman Sachs, Powell, Estée Lauder —, Estée Lauder, Kraft Heinz, Pinterest's, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Hakyung Kim, Michelle Fox Organizations: New York Community Bank, Super Micro, Starbucks, Pfizer, Apple, Amazon Web Services, CVS, Powell Industries, Wall, LSEG, Brands, KFC, Pizza, Taco, JPMorgan Locations: Houston, Taco Bell's
Barclays reiterates Advanced Micro Devices as overweight Barclays said the chipmaker is "best positioned" following earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan reiterates Apple as overweight JPMorgan said it sees an attractive entry point ahead of Apple earnings on Thursday afternoon. JPMorgan upgrades Fifth Third to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said it sees earnings upside for the regional bank. JPMorgan upgrades 3M to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said shares of the company are compelling at current levels. Bank of America reiterates Pinterest as buy Bank of America said it sees "multiple tailwinds to aid growth & margins" following earnings on Tuesday.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Tesla, JPMorgan, Wedbush, TD Cowen downgrades Skyworks, Cowen, Pinterest, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Bank of America, Amazon, Barclays, AMD, JPMorgan, Apple, Nvidia, Seagate, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Starbucks, Deutsche, Logitech, Meta Locations: China, 3QFY24, Pinner, SiriusXM
Cash App, introduced in 2013, allows users to send and receive money instantaneously among themselves and to buy stocks and Bitcoin. As of December, Cash App had 56 million active transacting accounts and $248 billion in inflows during the previous four quarters, the company said. (Merchants are considered customers at Square, while users are considered customers at Cash App.) Cash App is not a bank, but it uses external banking partners to conduct various services. On March 29, Sutton Bank settled a consent order with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. that echoed the whistleblowers' allegations.
Persons: Jack Dorsey, Block, Venezuela —, Edward Siedle, Prosecutors, Cash, OFAC, Lawrence Summers, Sharon Rothstein, Summers, Rothstein, Lord Paul Deighton, Goldman Sachs, Deighton, Dorsey, Banks, Sutton, James Booker Organizations: Twitter, Southern, of, NBC, NBC News, Securities and Exchange Commission, Block, Foreign Assets Control, U.S . Treasury, Cash, OFAC, Goldman, Financial Market, Bank of Lithuania, Payments Lithuania UAB, PayPal, Consumer Finance Protection Bureau, Sutton Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC Locations: of New York, Cuba, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, Ohio, Sutton
After graduating from Wellesley College, majoring in Chinese studies and economics, I worked at a couple of finance jobs before being poached by Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong. At Goldman Sachs, I made over $376,000 annually. I quit Goldman Sachs in 1999 and moved back home to the Bay Area, where I became lonely and incredibly sad. After about three months of traveling back and forth, I quit Goldman Sachs. Was it worth it to leave Goldman Sachs?
Persons: , Cassindy Chao, It's, Goldman Sachs, I'd, Fred, Jackie Chan, we've, We'd, Chao, Cecilia, Chao I'm, I've Organizations: Service, Wellesley College, Business, Goldman, Ivy League Locations: Oakland , California, Hong Kong, Thailand, Japan, Vietnam, Bay, California
Super Micro Computer shares are selling off at the moment, but major Wall Street firms are hopeful about the company's long-term prospects. Super Micro, one of the vendors that builds Nvidia-based servers, released quarterly results on Tuesday after market close. Super Micro also bumped up its fiscal 2024 revenue guidance above its previously estimated range and what analysts are expecting. But a revenue miss dragged shares of Super Micro 16% lower on Wednesday. On the other hand, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo maintained their neutral-equivalent ratings for shares of Super Micro.
Persons: LSEG, Samik, Chatterjee, Ruplu Bhattacharya, George Wang, Wang, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Wells, SMCI, Michael Ng, Ng Organizations: Micro Computer, Nvidia, Super, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, DELL Locations: CY25, East, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Sweden, Japan, Korea, Malaysia
Investors are focused on Apple's iPhone sales in China as competition ramps up. Here's what Wall Street expects from Apple's upcoming earnings report. Here are the quarterly figures Wall Street expects, according to data from Bloomberg. Here's what Wall Street analysts are saying about Apple's upcoming earnings report. The firm said Wall Street estimates on Apple are too high, with analysts underestimating the ongoing weakness in China.
Persons: , Wells, Wells Fargo, shouldn't, Goldman Sachs, underwhelming Organizations: Apple, Investors, Service, Bloomberg, Revenue, Huawei, Barclays, Better, JPMorgan Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Wells, C1Q, Apple's
Washington CNN —The Federal Reserve is expected to announce Wednesday that it is keeping interest rates at a quarter-century high for the sixth-straight meeting. Other Fed officials have already introduced the possibility of a rate hike, in addition to the chance of no rate cuts this year. Williams later said that another rate hike is possible if economic data warrants it. That combination eerily resembled stagflation, which triggered a broad stocks selloff on Wall Street Thursday. The threshold for a rate hike is ‘extremely high’Another interest rate hike is back in the conversation, but at the moment, it’s still not likely the Fed will do that.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Powell, John Williams, Williams, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, , can’t, it’s, Goldman Sachs, Wall, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal, Index, New York Fed, Bloomberg, Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, Commerce Department, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Nationwide, CNN Locations: New, Chicago, Wells Fargo
Skydance Media and its largest private-equity backer RedBird Capital Partners have been wooing Paramount for the better part of a year. The Skydance consortium, including fellow Skydance investor KKR, submitted a revised offer on Sunday. The deal would be worth roughly $32 billion, according to the source, with the value of Paramount and its $15 billion in debt making up the lion's share. Here's what we know about the deal, how much Redstone would get, and what a new Paramount would look like. Keeping Paramount public sets the Skydance bid apart from Apollo's potential offer, according to one of the sources.
Persons: Bob Bakish, Shari Redstone's, Tom Cruise, Mario Gabelli, Bakish, Getty, Redstone's, David Ellison, Larry Ellison, Ellison, RedBird, Gerry Cardinale, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Skydance, Jeff Shell, Ben Affleck, Matt Damon's, Axel Springer Organizations: Skydance Media, RedBird Capital Partners, Paramount, KKR, Business, Ex, CNBC, Apple, New York Yankees, NFL, Bakish, CBS, MTV, Nickelodeon, ' Equity, Amazon Studios, Sony, Apollo, Wall Street Locations: Santa Monica , California, New York City, Skydance, RedBird
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock markets are vulnerable to further rises in yields: Goldman Sachs' Peter OppenheimerPeter Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs chief global equity strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how destructive a 5% yield on the 10-year treasury would be, if robust yields are a sign of a strong economy, and much more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer Peter Oppenheimer Organizations: Email Stock
Recent commentary from policymakers and on Wall Street indicates there's not much else the committee can do at this point. But they're still hopeful that they will be in a position to cut rates later." Markets actually have held up pretty well since Powell made those comments on April 16, though stocks sold off Tuesday ahead of the meeting. Some on Wall Street, though, are still hopeful that inflation data will show progress and allow the central bank to cut. The Wall Street bank's economists are preparing for the possibility that the Fed could be on hold for longer, particularly if inflation continues to surprise to the upside.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Guy LeBas, Janney Montgomery Scott, they're, Powell, We've, there's, specter, LeBas, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, , Donald Trump, Goldman, Mericle Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Getty, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, Dow Jones, Department, Labor Department, Republican
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday praised Goldman Sachs for its ability to course-correct after making mistakes, citing a new report about a possible exit of a challenged business. Goldman Sachs is in discussions to sell its credit card partnership with General Motors to Barclays, according to The Wall Street Journal. "I continue to like the stock of Goldman Sachs because ... they make mistakes and then they change," Cramer said on " Squawk on the Street ." Shares of Goldman, where Cramer worked early in his Wall Street career, were modestly lower Tuesday. Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio used by the CNBC Investing Club, doesn't own Goldman but does own Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo .
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Goldman Sachs, Cramer, Goldman, doesn't, Morgan Stanley, Wells Organizations: General Motors, Barclays, Wall Street, Apple, Goldman, Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, The Locations: Cramer's, Wells Fargo
Washington CNN —Nowadays, it’s anyone’s guess when the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates this year — if at all. Fed officials are meeting this week, starting Tuesday, to discuss rates and set policy. That guidance will be key for market observers who clearly have divergent views on interest rates. Forecasts from major Wall Street banks on the first rate cut are all over the place: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs expect the first cut in July, while Wells Fargo is betting on September. Some Fed policymakers, meanwhile, have even floated the possibility of a rate hike, instead of a cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell, , ” Kathleen Grace, John Towfighi, That’s, nearshoring, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Morgan Stanley, Read, Cindy Westman, , Brian Fung, Jason Carroll, I’ll, , Westman, , Westman — Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Bank of America, CNN, Labor Department, Manufacturing, Commerce Department, Program, Social Locations: Washington, Wells, Mexico, , China, United States, Eureka , Illinois
Balance sheets "look healthy," cash flow generation is "attractive," and dividends and buybacks are set to be resilient, Goldman Sachs says. But not all stocks offering buybacks and dividends are equal, Goldman said. "For example, year-to-date, high buyback yield stocks have outperformed low buyback stocks. In contrast, high dividend yield stocks underperformed low dividend yield stocks," it said. It highlighted its baskets of buyback stocks for a diversified strategy.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Europe
Read previewParamount's CEO Bob Bakish was ousted on Monday night, putting the entertainment giant one step closer to accepting a merger deal. The would-be buyer, film studio Skydance Media, is owned by David Ellison, son of billionaire Oracle founder Larry. An investor in Skydance since 2020, RedBird is the media company's largest shareholder other than the Ellison family. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "I think it's my biggest competitive advantage that I don't get emotionally attached," Cardinale told Business Insider in 2022.
Persons: , Bob Bakish, David Ellison, Larry, RedBird, Ellison, Gerry Cardinale, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Shell, Skydance, " Cardinale, Goldman, Jon Winkelried, Gerry, Axel Springer Organizations: Service, Skydance Media, RedBird Capital Partners, Business, New York Yankees, Dallas Cowboys, NFL, AC Milan, Paramount, KKR, Sony, TPG Locations: Skydance, RedBird
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 29, 2024. The volatility in the bond market has had equity investors on their toes for months, but at what point will rising yields spoil stocks' 2024 rally? The answer is 5% on the 10-year Treasury yield , according to Goldman Sachs . In a new 19-page paper using market data since the 1980s, the Wall Street firm said when that threshold is reached, the correlation between bond yields and stocks turns negative. The benchmark 10-year yield jumped 5 basis points Tuesday to 4.67% after data showed employee compensation costs increased more than expected to start the year.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Peter Oppenheimer Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we examine how tough the job market is for the well-paid employee . That's the current job trend, as higher-paid employees are having trouble finding work despite a historically strong labor market. iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe so-called white-collar recession could also have a lasting impact on the job market for high earners. AdvertisementIt speaks to the broader theme of efficiency Big Tech companies have touted for the better part of a year .
Persons: , Alyssa Powell, Insider's Aki Ito, BI's Emily Stewart, Aki, Rebecca Zisser, Wall, There's, Christine Ji, Kenneth Tan, Alexander Spatari, Abanti Chowdhury, Christine Ji's, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Goldman Sachs, Elon Musk, Premier Li Qiang, Beijing . Wang Ye, Musk, Li Qiang, Jensen Huang, Douglas Sacha, Getty, Bob Bakish, Shari, David Kohl, Shopify, Changpeng Zhao, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Hamptons, Big Tech, Tech, Amazon, Bank of America, Elon, Premier, AP Elon Musk's, Federal Reserve, Paramount Locations: America, Beijing ., Xinhua, China, New York, London
Eli Lilly — Shares added 5% after Eli Lilly, maker of the Mounjaro diabetes and weight loss drug, beat analysts' expectations for first-quarter adjusted earnings. PayPal — Shares gained 3.6% after the payment company posted $7.70 billion in first-quarter revenue, beating analysts' estimates for $7.51 billion, according to LSEG. The chipmaker posted adjusted earnings of $3.24 per share, higher than the consensus estimate of $3.16 per share, according to LSEG. Earnings of 24 cents per share on $1.37 billion in revenue exceeded consensus forecasts of 11 cents and $1.36 billion, according to FactSet. Adjusted earnings of 71 cents per share topped anticipated earnings of 65 cents per share.
Persons: Eli Lilly —, Eli Lilly, drugmaker, Jefferies, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Tenet, Corning, FactSet, Sysco, Medifast, Paccar, Bob Bakish, Skydance, Needham, Macheel, Michelle Fox, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Pia Singh, Sarah Min Organizations: PayPal —, PayPal, Semiconductor, Tenet, FactSet, Technology, GE Healthcare Technologies, LSEG, Taco Bell, KFC, Paramount Global, CBS, Paramount Locations: Indianapolis, China, LSEG, FactSet, Houston
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