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The RNC set a number of benchmarks a campaign needs to hit to make the August 23 debate. Candidates must poll at 1% or higher in three polls with over 800 likely Republican voters. Not many polls have over 800 likely Republican voters, so that'll be harder to hit than some expect. That's a high bar for some campaigns in the increasingly busy bottom of the race, but that's not even the number that's going to screw them. Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, and Doug Burgum will all in the GOP primary by the end of the week.
Persons: , That's, that's, Gallup, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, Wade Vandervort, Andrew Caballero, Getty, Scott Olson, Stephen Yang, Nate Cohn, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich, Geoffrey Skelley, Nikki Haley, South, Tim Scott, Sen, Jim DeMint, Ehrhardt, Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy — Organizations: RNC, Republican, Service, Republican National Committee, Republicans, Morning, New York Times, GOP, South Carolina, AP, North Dakota Gov Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, FiveThirtyEight, Columbia
The former president said he was "pleased" to see entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy doing so well. A political newcomer, Ramaswamy performed very well in a recent poll. "I am pleased to see that Vivek Ramaswamy is doing so well in the most recent Republican Primary Poll, CBS YouGov," Trump wrote on his social media platform, Truth Social. RealClearPolitics' more raw average has Ramaswamy in fifth behind DeSantis, Pence, and Haley respectively. In response to Trump's praise, Ramaswamy senior adviser Tricia McLaughlin told Insider, "We're 10 weeks in and just getting warmed up."
Already this month, DeSantis has seen more fellow Florida Republicans back Trump instead of him. April was supposed to be the crescendo for the Florida governor before his widely expected presidential announcement. Instead, DeSantis has been pummeled on all sides, including by many of his fellow Florida Republicans. "Floridians want him focused on Florida," Rep. Greg Steube, yet another Florida Republican who endorsed Trump, told Politico, "which is the job they elected him to do." Last month, DeSantis began to punch back at Trump in a feisty Piers Morgan interview where he stressed that he was a "winner."
His State of the Union address will likely highlight his administration's wins thus far. Biden has some real wins to tout — but he's running out of timeTonight, Biden will have the best opportunity of the year to bridge this divide. True, fewer Americans are watching State of the Union addresses than in the past. Presidents are supposed to say the state of the union is strong, while the opposition party casts a more dour outlook. Even as Americans are largely satisfied with their quality of life, they're still pessimistic about the general direction of the country.
The Supreme Court's reversal of Roe v. Wade this summer pushed Pennsylvania women to action. Fetterman, have worked to keep abortion rights in the conversation. "The future of abortion rights and women's freedom is on the line in this race," Fetterman wrote in a letter he posted online on October 30. Canvasser Toth said she's encountered supporters across generations, billing women and men in their 20s as "very engaged" on abortion rights. Toth told Insider, adding that the 27-year-old woman said, "It's hard to think about any other issue until this one is addressed."
Chuck Schumer was caught on a hot mic dishing about Democrats' chances of holding the Senate. Schumer was overheard telling Biden that Georgia looks increasingly bad for the party. "The state where we're going downhill is Georgia," Schumer said of Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock's highly charged reelection bid. The top Senate Democrat was also overheard telling Biden that Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. "Schumer believes the Democratic candidates will win," Justin Goodmnan, a Schumer spokesperson, said in a statement.
Anyone on his team who agreed to a debate should be fired, or never work again, because that debate may have tanked his campaign,” said Chris Kofinis, a veteran Democratic campaign strategist. John Fetterman, the Democratic Senate nominee in Pennsylvania, debates Republican challenger Mehmet Oz on Tuesday. And Fetterman’s campaign, eager to project strength, said Wednesday that it had raised $2 million since the debate ended“There’s always second-guessing,” Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., said on MSNBC Wednesday. Fetterman’s debate performance took some Republicans by surprise, too. But another top Pennsylvania Democrat, who believes Fetterman’s debate performance was devastating and requested anonymity to offer candid thoughts on the party’s nominee, fears the race is over.
Republican candidates appear to be making gains in the final sprint to the November midterms, with new election forecasts in key swing states and partisan strongholds flashing warning signs for Democrats. Republican Senate hopeful J.D. Even in reliably blue states, Democrats' slim congressional majorities are under threat. The pollster surveyed 649 likely Texas voters between Oct. 16 and Oct. 19, and carries a plus or minus 5.1 percentage point margin of error. Accordingly, Democrats' chances of holding the Senate now look much tighter, according to FiveThirtyEight's tracker.
Bush stored documents at a former bowling alley turned Chinese restaurant. Trump said many other presidents stored millions of pages of documents in warehouses, "some of them without front doors that worked." Bush, "took millions and millions of documents to a former bowling alley pieced together with what was then an old and broken Chinese restaurant. Michael Cohen, a former lawyer for Trump, recently said the former president held onto documents for his own personal gain. Representatives for the George and Barbara Bush Foundation and Trump did not respond to Insider's request for comment.
A seemingly dormant Mehmet Oz campaign has struggled to unify the MAGA base in Pennsylvania. "Since Dr. Oz's victory remarks on June 9th, he has been to over 75 events," Oz campaign spokesperson Brittany Yanick told Insider in a statement. The Oz campaign would not say when it has plans to launch new TV ads. The Vance campaign responded to Insider's request for comment by attacking Rep. Tim Ryan. "It's why Democrats have a chance of holding onto the Senate," he told Insider, "is just the horrible class of candidates they've nominated."
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