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Potential buyers and sellers are also being deterred by the long wait for deal approvals by regulators, the experts said. The uncertainty over capital rules has created a "chilling effect" that could put a lid on mergers, while rising interest rates and a looming economic downturn could also damp activity, Adams said. That compares to $3.9 billion in bank deals for non-stressed institutions, the lowest seen over the first half of a year since 2010. "Instead of evaluating mergers based on competition and the needs of the community, political factors have become too important," she said. Regional banks will "have incentives to merge and reach larger scale since they will be subject to more regulatory scrutiny and capital,” Johnson said.

Persons: ”, Timothy Adams, Adams, Michael Barr, “, Meg Tahyar, Davis Polk, Janet Yellen, Tim Johnson, ” Johnson, Tatiana Bautzer, Saeed Azhar, Nupur Anand, Pete Schroeder, Lananh Nguyen, Deepa Babington Organizations: YORK, Institute of International Finance, Global, Federal, Treasury, Dominion Bank, First, KPMG, Thomson Locations: U.S, Canada's Toronto

☆ The bond and stock markets might finally agree on Fed expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —The bond and stock markets are finally seeing eye to eye when it comes to the Federal Reserve. Stocks and the 10-year Treasury’s real yield have begun moving inversely again, according to a research note from Morgan Stanley. That’s a reversal from earlier this year, when yields and stocks both moved higher. A concurrent rally both in bond yields and stocks is atypical. The Consumer Price Index report for June showed that annual inflation slowed to 3%, marking its lowest rate since March 2021.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, George Cipolloni, they’re, ”, Price, Michael Kushma, We’re, Laura He, Read, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Stocks, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Penn Mutual Asset Management, Nasdaq, Cyberspace Administration, Financial Services, Bank of America, US Bancorp, Ally, American Express Locations: China

☆ These are the 3 key things that will impact the stock market in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-15 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

A lot was riding on these important measures of inflation after the scorching-hot ADP jobs report last week. Here are 3 things you need to know for the week ahead: 1. Industrial production and capacity utilization, also out Tuesday, shines a light on manufacturing, which attributes about 12% to U.S. GDP. Six months is generally considered to represent a balance between supply and demand in the housing market. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Stocks, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Jeff Miller, Lockheed Martin, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Goldman, Baker Hughes, Ally, Kinder Morgan, Zions, Philip Morris, Abbott, ABT, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Olson Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Housing, CPI, Halliburton, HAL, Johnson, of America Corp, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Corp, Novartis International AG, PNC Financial Services Group, Inc, PNC, Charles Schwab Corp, Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, BK, Synchrony, Interactive, Goldman Sachs Group, U.S . Bancorp, ASML, Citizens Financial, T Bank Corp, Northern Trust Corporation, Horizon National Corp, Business Machines Corp, IBM, United Airlines, Netflix, Steel Dynamics, Alcoa, Discover Financial Services, Crown, International Corp, Equifax Inc, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Liberty Energy Inc, Philip Morris International Inc, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, American Airlines Group Inc, Travelers Companies, SAP, Nokia Corp, Truist Financial Corporation, Company, McLennan Companies, Infosys Technologies Ltd, Newmont Mining Corp, Fifth Third Bancorp, Pool Corporation, Alfa Laval, Webster Financial Corp, Blackstone, Financial Corp, PPG Industries, CSX Corp, CSX, Berkley Corp, Swift Transportation Holdings Inc, American Express Co, AutoNation Inc, Interpublic, of Companies, Autoliv Inc, Huntington Bancshares, Financial Corporation, Roper Technologies, Comerica, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Getty Locations: U.S, Las, ZION, Horton, Freeport, Marsh, ALFVY, W.R, Lemont , Illinois

☆ Why any M&A boom in banks will mirror shale oil in 2020 — all-stock offers and small premiums
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Pioneer Natural bought Parsley Energy at an 8% premium. Devon Energy bought WPX Energy at a 3% premium. Bilson points to Yellen last week highlighting a likely decline in earnings when banks report second-quarter earnings next month. That's already reflected in plenty of well-known banks "now trading with mid-single digit forward EPS multiples" as they are suddenly forced to pay more for their deposits, Bilson wrote. There are other hurdles standing in the way of bank deals, Bank of America analysts led by Ebrahim Poonawala said Monday.

Persons: Janet Yellen, there'll, Don Bilson, Gordon Haskett, Bilson, Ebrahim Poonawala, dealmaking, Poonawala, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, Federal Reserve, Dominion, Chevron, Noble Energy, ConocoPhillips, Concho Resources, Energy, Devon Energy, WPX Energy, Yellen, Bank of America, Regulators, U.S . Department of Justice, Federal Trade Commission, MTM Locations: U.S, Wall, Silicon, Toronto, Concho

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Tesla, Ulta, FedEx, Roblox, Netflix, Oracle & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Goldman Sachs upgrades Devon Energy to buy from neutral Goldman said the energy company's valuation is attractive. Morgan Stanley initiates BAE Systems as buy Morgan Stanley said the aerospace and defense company has an "attractive capital deployment policy." Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it expects Tesla to build a "full-scale captive financing subsidiary as the market matures." Morgan Stanley upgrades Urban Outfitters to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of the stock that it has an attractive valuation. Goldman Sachs reiterates FedEx as buy Goldman said it's standing by its buy rating on FedEx heading into earnings next week.

Persons: it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Salesforce, Piper Sandler, Piper, AIZ, Morgan Stanley, Canaccord, Roblox, Stone, Tesla Organizations: Bank of America, Netflix, Devon Energy, PayPal, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, BAE Systems, HSBC, Stone, Urban, Oracle, FedEx, UBS, Apple Locations: Devon

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Oracle, Urban Outfitters, Apple & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A sign is posted in front of Oracle headquarters on December 09, 2021 in Redwood Shores, California. Meanwhile, CEO Safra Catz said she expects adjusted earnings in the fiscal first-quarter of $1.12 to $1.16 per share. Urban Outfitters — Shares rose 3.4% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight by Morgan Stanley. Apple — Apple declined 0.7% in the premarket after UBS downgraded the stock to neutral from buy late Monday. Home Depot is also slated to hold an investor day at 9 a.m.Ulta Beauty — The beauty stock rose 0.8% after Loop Capital upgraded Ulta Beauty to buy from hold.

Persons: Safra Catz, Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley, Apple —, Bunge, —, Brian Evans, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound Organizations: Oracle, —, Apple, Apple — Apple, UBS, JPMorgan, Bunge, Target Locations: Redwood Shores , California, Rotterdam, Netherlands

☆ JPMorgan downgrades this regional bank stock, says earnings power looks challenged over the near term
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Rising expenses denting earnings growth create a murky near-term setup for shares of First Horizon , according to JPMorgan. Analyst Steven Alexopoulos moved to a neutral rating on the regional bank stock after a non-rating period, saying that the company's recent investor day failed to improve near-term confidence. The Wall Street firm previously held an overweight rating on shares and $20 price target. Shares of First Horizon faced significant pressure this year as the regional banking crisis unraveled and led to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, and takeover of First Republic. Amid this backdrop, the stock's tumbled nearly 52%, with the firm's $13 price target suggesting 10% upside from Monday's close.

Persons: Steven Alexopoulos, Alexopoulos, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Street, Horizon, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Locations: Silicon, First Republic

☆ Canadian banks see earnings risk from commercial property loans, TD in focus
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Nivedita Balu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

TORONTO, May 22 (Reuters) - Canadian banks are expected to report a rise in bad debt provisions and highlight risks from commercial property loans when they report earnings this week, with the country's No.2 bank TD (TD.TO) in focus after its acquisition of First Horizon (FHN.N) failed. Bay Street analysts have lowered their second quarter earnings expectations for Canadian banks, anticipating higher expenses and slowing loan growth as turmoil south of the border weighs on the broader banking sector. Still, investors view Canadian banks as safer bets than their U.S. counterparts due to their strong capital levels. BMO and Scotia Bank (BNS.TO) are due to report earnings on Wednesday, while TD, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM.TO) and Royal Bank of Canada (RY.TO) report on Thursday. Canadian bank stocks have largely underperformed TSX Canadian bank stocks have largely underperformed TSXEmpty offices in big cities have raised concerns among investors about banks' commercial property loan exposure, since about 10% of the lending portfolio of the Big-6 banks is tied to commercial real estate.

☆ PacWest, Western Alliance lead rebound in US regional lenders
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

May 18 (Reuters) - Battered shares of PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp edged higher premarket on Thursday as the U.S. midsize lenders looked to sustain a recent rebound powered by bets that the worst of the regional banking turmoil was over. PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O), which is currently exploring strategic options, climbed 7.2% and was set to build on a 22% gain recorded for the week till Wednesday. Shares of Western Alliance (WAL.N) climbed 7.2%, also poised to extend their near 27% surge this week after the Phoenix-based lender reported strong deposit growth in an attempt to reassure investors of its financial health after three regional lenders failed in recent months. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) jumped 7.2% on Wednesday, recording its biggest percentage gain in nearly two years. Among other movers on Thursday, Zion Bancorp (ZION.O) climbed 2.6% and First Horizon (FHN.N) added 2.4%.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: PacWest, Disney, Robinhood and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

PacWest — Shares plunged 20% after the regional bank stock said deposits fell 9.5% for the week ended May 5. Other regional banks stocks moved lower on the news, with Western Alliance and First Horizon down 7.3% and 3.2%, respectively. The company also reported revenue and profit that was roughly in line with Wall Street's expectations. AppLovin — Shares soared more than 16% in premarket trading following the company's first-quarter revenue and-second quarter guidance beat after the bell Wednesday. Analysts had anticipated a loss of $1.01 per share on revenue of $90.8 million, according to Refinitiv.

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: PTN, BYND, GOOGL, PACW and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The entertainment giant also reported revenue and earnings in line with Wall Street's estimates, according to Refinitiv. AppLovin — Shares popped 23.53% following the company's first-quarter revenue beat. Unity Software's revenue of $500 million beat the $480 million expected from analysts polled by Refinitiv. Tapestry — Shares of the Coach parent jumped 8.27% after the company reported stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue for its latest quarter. Its first-quarter revenue came in at $441 million, versus analyst estimates of $425 million, according to Refinitiv.

☆ PacWest leads losses in regional bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

May 9 (Reuters) - Shares of PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) looked set to lead declines in U.S. regional lenders at market open on Tuesday as investors feared the ongoing banking crisis could deepen. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) hit a 30-month low last week after the collapse of First Republic Bank and PacWest's decision to explore strategic options. PacWest and Western Alliance, which have been at the heart of the sell-off in regional banks, saw the steepest decline in deposits in the first quarter after First Republic, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data. Western Alliance (WAL.N) dropped 1.5%, while First Horizon Corp (FHN.N) and Zion Bancorp (ZION.O) dipped 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively, with Arfstrom noting that the pullback in banks shares overall have made their valuations attractive. Wall Street executives and bank analysts last week called on regulators to quickly provide more protection for bank deposits and consider other backstops, arguing only an intervention could stop the crisis.

☆ PacWest, Western Alliance lead slide in regional bank stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

May 9 (Reuters) - Shares of regional lenders PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) and Western Alliance (WAL.N) resumed their slide in premarket trading on Tuesday as investors feared the ongoing banking crisis could deepen. PacWest dropped 13.6%, a day after the Los Angeles-based lender's decision to cut its quarterly dividend failed to stem worries about its financial stability. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) had last week touched 30-month lows after the collapse of First Republic Bank and PacWest's decision to exploring strategic options. PacWest and Western Alliance, which have been at the heart of the banking selloff, saw the steepest decline in deposits in the first quarter after First Republic, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data. Reporting by Medha Singh in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Concern Over TD Anti-Money-Laundering Practices Helped Scuttle First Horizon Deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Justin Baer | Vipal Monga | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Toronto-Dominion Bank said it works diligently to prevent criminals from using the bank for illegal activity. Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesToronto-Dominion Bank ’s handling of suspicious customer transactions was behind regulators’ refusal to bless the Canadian lender’s $13.4 billion bid to buy First Horizon , people familiar with the matter said. The banks called off the proposed union Thursday, citing uncertainty over whether and when they could receive regulatory approvals, without being more specific. The reluctance by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Reserve to give TD a clean bill of health on its anti-money-laundering practices proved to be the biggest obstacle, the people said.

May 8 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) shares pared early gains on Monday, dragging down other U.S. regional banking stocks, as the Los Angeles-based lender's decision to slash its quarterly dividend failed to stem worries about its financial stability. Other U.S. regional banks also retreated. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo 1 2The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) fell 2.82% after gaining nearly 4.7%. But hedge funds, which often engage in short selling, pushed back on Monday, saying in a letter to Gensler that a ban would be counterproductive. Yellen said it is in the SEC's purview to regulate short selling although there is a high bar for any controls if evidence of market manipulation was found.

May 8 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) shares pared early gains on Monday, dragging down other U.S. regional banking stocks, as the Los Angeles-based lender's decision to slash its quarterly dividend failed to stem worries about its financial stability. "The dividend cut is not a good sign," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. Other U.S. regional banks also retreated. The KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) fell 1.5% after gaining nearly 4.7%. "I have a general fear that smaller banks are going to disappear, and we're going to end up with just a few large banks."

☆ Regulators' concern over TD anti-money-laundering practices helped scuttle First Horizon deal - WSJ
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

TD had pledged to regulators that it would make its anti-money-laundering policies more comprehensive and timely, but the assurances were not enough to sway regulators, the WSJ reported. TD and First Horizon did not immediately respond to Reuters requests for comment. The banks ended their proposed merger last week, citing a lack of clarity on when they would get regulatory approvals. At the time, a spokesperson for First Horizon said the termination was solely related to TD and had nothing to do with ongoing banking turmoil. Reporting by Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ PacWest rallies on dividend cut to bolster capital
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

May 8 (Reuters) - Shares of PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) jumped 39% in premarket trading on Monday and led a recovery in the battered U.S. banking sector after the lender sharply cut its quarterly dividend to shore up its finances. "Given the extreme volatility in the stock recently ... we believe this dividend reduction makes sense and can help the pace of capital building," RBC Capital Markets analysts wrote in a note. PacWest shares, which soared nearly 82% in their last trading session, were currently trading at $7.96. U.S. federal and state officials are assessing whether "market manipulation" caused the recent volatility in banking shares, Reuters reported on Thursday, citing a source familiar with the matter. Billionaire Warren Buffett, whose views are closely watched by investors, said on Saturday his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) was cautious around the banking sector.

☆ Banking turmoil is far from over. Bill Ackman, Jeffrey Gundlach, and Mohamed El-Erian have renewed their warnings about unresolved risks.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-06 | by ( Zinya Salfiti | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bill Ackman, Jeffrey Gundlach, Mohamed El-Erian and others are warning the banking turmoil is far from over. That's prompting top economists and investors to once again warn that the banking turmoil is far from over. Below is a selection of the most recent warnings on US banking risks from high-profile investors, analysts and other experts. Bill Ackman, billionaire investor"The FDIC's failure to update and expand its insurance regime has hammered more nails in the coffin," Ackman said Wednesday on Twitter. He was raising doubts about Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's suggestion during a Wednesday press conference that the worst of the banking turmoil is over.

☆ Biden’s Big Bank Contradiction
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Today the roles have reversed, with Democrats refusing to negotiate, preferring to smear the 'MAGA Republican' opposition as 'extreme.' Images: Zuma Press/AFP via Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyRegional banks took another market drubbing on Thursday, as the financial panic rolls on despite regulatory assurances that all is well. The turmoil wasn’t helped Thursday when midsize TD Bank and First Horizon Bank called off their merger, blaming regulatory impediments. The merger cancellation followed the Biden Administration’s decision on Monday to give JPMorgan a sweetheart deal to acquire failed First Republic Bank . It’s good to be a really, really big bank these days.

☆ Davos vs. Milken: Battle of the high-profile conferences
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Arguably the biggest financial conference of the year just wrapped in Beverly Hills. Insider's Dakin Campbell, who was on the ground at Milken, has a report on the five biggest topics discussed this year. Dakin's report got me thinking about how Milken stacks up against another high-profile conference: Davos. Milken is also designed, thanks to its namesake, with a keen eye on what the finance industry wants, he added. Click here to read more about the biggest topics being discussed at the Milken Conference.

☆ Morning Bid: Apple comforts as payrolls loom
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Apple upped its dividend and authorized another $90 billion share repurchase program, same as a year ago. Apple's stock has outperformed most of Wall Street in 2023, up 28% year-to-date. After a torrid 2022, that narrow index is up 35% so far this year - far outstripping the Nasdaq 100's (.NDX) 18% gain and accounting for the bulk of the more modest 6% rise in the S&P500 <.S&P500>. And after three hefty daily retreats in a row for the S&P500 this week, futures are up 0.4% ahead of Friday's open. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

The latest case in point: The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) chose JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) as the winning bidder in an auction to buy collapsed lender First Republic Bank on Monday. FDIC officials, however, say would-be buyers risk losing out if they allow the value of an acquisition target to deteriorate over time while waiting for an FDIC receivership. SWEETENERSU.S. bank mergers were already sluggish as interest rates rose and recession loomed, analysts at Raymond James wrote in an Apr. The first quarter was the quietest opening to a year for bank deals in a generation, they said. Market volatility stops bank buyers from pulling together enough money to cover writedowns on struggling assets, which would be triggered by a traditional acquisition, said David Sandler, co-head of financial services investment banking at Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR.N).

☆ Short sellers pocketed nearly $400 million in a single day from the regional bank stock sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Ryan Hogg | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Short sellers made $378.9 million in just one day betting against embattled regional banks, data show. Such traders have been selling borrowed bank stocks before buying them back at lower levels once their price falls. Traders profited as fresh turmoil embroiled regional banks this week following First Republic's failure and its takeover by JPMorgan. According to ORTEX, short sellers have made $816 million from the three bank stocks since the start of the year. Last month, ORTEX reported that short bets against Canada's Toronto-Dominion had swollen to $6.1 billion, having become the world's most shorted bank in early April.

☆ Yen set to snap 3-week losing streak on bank jitters, dollar slides
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Although ECB President Christine Lagarde signalled more tightening to come, markets pared back their expectations on how much further rates would rise. Traders have since priced in more aggressive rate cuts from the Fed, with Fed funds futures implying a small chance that cuts could come as soon as June and through to the end of the year. The Aussie and the kiwi were among the largest beneficiaries of the sliding dollar, each rising more than 0.5% and touching multi-week highs. "For the Fed's June decision, inflation data and employment indicators ... along with bank lending standards will be key to watch. The Australian dollar was last up 0.62% at $0.6735, after touching a two-week peak earlier in the session.

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