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One analyst suggests the market could see a repeat of the 2020 oil price war. AdvertisementRussia's wartime economy could face a tougher time securing needed oil revenue if Saudi Arabia tanks global crude prices. "Saudi Arabia is fed up," Simon Henderson, director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, told Business Insider. However, some kind of confrontation with Saudi Arabia may be stirring. "Unlike Saudi Arabia, its oil is not cheap to extract, making it poorly equipped to deal with low-price conditions.
Persons: , Luke Cooper, hasn't, Simon Henderson, Bernstein, it's, Henderson, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Novak, Cooper Organizations: Service, Organization of Petroleum, Russia, London School of Economics, Financial Times, Gulf and Energy, The Washington Institute, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Riyadh, Ukraine, Gulf, Moscow, Iran, Kazakhstan
China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday. The lack of consumer support in China's last stimulus package disappointed investors. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Chinese authorities followed up by announcing Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence.
Persons: , Lan Fo'an, China's, Mark Williams, Stephen Roach, Arthur Kroeber, Gavekal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Finance, Analysts, CSI, Reform Commission, Capital Economics, Asia, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Yale
Chinese automaker Chery is using Russian plants once owned by Western firms, Reuters reported. These factories were abandoned by firms such as Volkswagen and Mercedes after Russia invaded Ukraine. AdvertisementChinese automaker Chery has reportedly started manufacturing vehicles in three Russian plants that once belonged to Western firms, five people familiar with the matter told told Reuters. While Washington has worked to ostracize Moscow from the global economy, Chinese firms have filled the gap. AdvertisementThe pattern especially holds true for Chinese car products.
Persons: , Mercedes —, Mercedes Organizations: Chery, Reuters, Volkswagen, Mercedes, Service, Washington Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Beijing, Western, China
Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
Billionaire investor Bill Gross says the stock market's record-breaking run is set to slow. His favorite investments at the moment include MLP pipelines and municipal income funds. "No bear market, but it's not the same bull market anymore," Gross said, adding that equities are set for "low buy positive" returns going forward. He also sees municipal income funds as a worthwhile investment, as many have offered over 7% tax-free yields. Gross named the DWS Municipal Income Trust as one example but noted that there are between 20 and 30 others to choose from.
Persons: Bill Gross, , it's, Gross, MLPs, Kamala Harris, Warren Buffett Organizations: Service, Annaly Capital Management, Trust Locations: DWS
Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, , Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's
Short-seller Hindenburg Research accused Roblox of "lying to investors" and inflating user data. Hindenburg also alleged the gaming platform was unsafe for minors. AdvertisementRoblox stock dropped on Tuesday after short-seller Hindenburg Research accused the gaming platform of inflating user metrics and deceiving investors. Shares in the gaming platform company fell as much as 9.4% in early intraday trading on Tuesday. "The financial claims made by Hindenburg Research are simply misleading.
Persons: Roblox, Hindenburg, , Hindenberg Organizations: Hindenburg, Service, Wall, Hindenburg Research
Russia faces mounting economic issues that could prove "unsolvable," a think tank expert says. This will exacerbate economic imbalances at home, Alexandra Prokopenko wrote in the FT.Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. "Instead of hoping that Russia's economic combat power will soon be exhausted, the West must focus on a long-term strategy that will further constrain Putin's war machine and boost Ukraine's own economic resilience." In boosting spending to such heights, Russian President Vladimir Putin is effectively dismissing brewing economic imbalances as other parts of the budget become squeezed. By pouring more money into defense, the Kremlin is exacerbating existing economic imbalances," Prokopenko wrote, adding: "Putin faces an unsolvable trilemma of simultaneously maintaining a balanced financial system, meeting social obligations and sustaining defense spending at current levels."
Persons: Alexandra Prokopenko, , Prokopenko, Prokopeko, Vladimir Putin, Putin, bode Organizations: Service, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Financial Times, Defense, Putin, Kremlin Locations: Russia, Europe, Ukraine, Soviet, Moscow, stagflation
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.
Persons: Friday's, , it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays
AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal
The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.
Persons: , Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
Key data prints are hovering in recession territory, Megan Horneman said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves," she said. This over-enthusiasm could cost the market heavily, pushing stocks toward a 7% to 10% drop, the chief investment officer said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves as far as the what strength there is in the economy," she told Yahoo Finance. Still, these data prints have taken a backseat to labor data, which holds the spotlight on Wall Street.
Persons: Megan Horneman, , Tim Fiore, Morgan Stanley, Horneman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, Service, Conference Board, September's, PMI, US Federal Reserve
Saudi Arabia's oil minister says crude prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel. AdvertisementSaudi Arabia's oil minister says oil prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel if OPEC+ keeps overproducing, according to a Wall Street Journal report. $50 per barrel oil would drag Brent crude, the international benchmark, down 33% from current levels. The Saudi minister called out Iraq, which surpassed its quota by 400,000 barrels per day in August, according to S&P Global Ratings data. The OPEC leader caused prices to fall below $10 per barrel in 1986 after boosting output to penalize other producers.
Persons: , Prince Abdulaziz bin, Brent, That's Organizations: Service, Wall, Financial Times, OPEC Locations: Saudi, Lebanon, Iran, Kazakhstan, Riyadh, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, OPEC
Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped. On the economic data front, job openings rose unexpectedly in August. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. AdvertisementAs oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets.
Persons: , Helima Croft, Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams Organizations: Treasury, Service, Traders, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Global, LPL, Labor, Comerica Bank Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon
China is at risk of falling into a prolonged period of deflation, Yale economist Stephen Roach says. The country's monetary stimulus blitz was a move in the right direction, Roach said in an FT op-ed. The two missing pieces are fiscal support and structural reform, Roach wrote in a new op-ed for the Financial Times. AdvertisementAccording to Roach, China's projected GDP rate of 4% over the next five years virtually mirrors Tokyo's situation 30 years ago. China now needs to do the same with fiscal stimulus.
Persons: Stephen Roach, Roach, , China's, Beijing's hesitancy, Paul Krugman, Krugman Organizations: Yale, Service, Financial Times, Communist Party's Locations: China, Beijing, Japan
Stocks and bond yields fell on Tuesday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Crude oil rose more than 3% on speculation that regional conflict will hit production. Gold prices climbed as investors flocked to safe-haven assets. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy .
Persons: Organizations: Service, Israel, White, Traders, Treasury, East Locations: Lebanon, Iran, Israel, West Coasts
US electric demand is rising, fueled by everything from data centers to electrified transportation, says BofA. AdvertisementWith resources flooding into infrastructure and tech, US electric demand is charging up. Sempra will rise 13% based on the bank's $94 share target. Northwestern Energy could similarly jump over 13% to reach a $65 price target, Bofa says. TXNM Energy is set to increase 10% from current levels, reaching a price target of $48 per share.
Persons: , Entergy, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Northwestern Energy, Pinnacle, TXNM Locations: Texas, Montana
AdvertisementUS financial firms' interest in China was on its last legs, but a new stimulus package has some investors excited again. The immediate impact of China's $114 billion package, which includes cutting interest rates and reducing the amount of money banks need to keep in reserve, has been big. Traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade , signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." Our annual list of Wall Street rising stars is here. According to a new report from The Wall Street Journal, executives attempted to woo the AI researcher back before rescinding the offer.
Persons: , Andres Martinez Casares, Alyssa Powell, Linette Lopez isn't, Linette, Jon Hicks, that's, David Tepper, He's, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, BI's Filip De Mott, Wall, Natalie Ammari, Crypto, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Marc Piasecki, Tyler Le, who's, OpenAI execs, Ilya Sutskever, it's, Tara Anand, aren't, Jerome Powell, Ryan Routh, El Chapo, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Bank of China, bros, Trump, Getty, Houston Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Elon, Wall Street Journal, Netflix, Longshoremen's Association, National Association for Business Locations: China, New York, London, Chicago
China's bond traders are piling into the safe-haven asset despite recent stimulus efforts. The 30-year government bond yield hit its lowest level since 2005 last week and fell again Monday. AdvertisementWhile Chinese stocks have roared on Beijing's stimulus jolt, the country's bond market suggests there's lingering skepticism. But the bond market seemed less convinced, with the 30-year government bond yield falling the next day to close to its lowest level since 2005. Investors may be reacting to the widely held view that despite the size and scope of China's stimulus moves, they still might not be enough.
Persons: , Stocks, it's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, CNY1.85tn
AdvertisementThe large-cap real estate sector benefits from Wall Street's massive investment in data centers, a necessary infrastructure component of the artificial intelligence buildout. AdvertisementIn Subramanian's view, part of the appeal of value sectors is the high dividends they offer. As the Fed's cutting cycle pulls down short-term yields, money market investors will search for new sources of income. She previously noted that dividend yields are especially alluring in real estate. Since 2008, real estate dividends has doubled the proportion of high-quality market cap.
Persons: they're, Subramanian, , Savita Subramanian, BofA's, BofA, Scott Chronert Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CNBC, Bloomberg Locations: China, Beijing
On PBS, Jamie Dimon described the Buffett Rule as a good idea for clamping down on US debt. AdvertisementJPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has put forth a solution to unrestrained US debt: Tax the rich at the same rate as middle-class people, or at a higher rate. It earned its name from the billionaire investor Warren Buffett, who famously criticized the fact that his secretary paid a higher tax rate than he did. If debt remains unchecked amid high interest rates, the government will face higher borrowing costs. AdvertisementOtherwise, higher borrowing costs mean Washington will have less to spend on social initiatives.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Buffett, , Dimon, Warren Buffett, Peter G Organizations: PBS, Service, Congressional, Peterson, Democrats, Republicans Locations: Washington
But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.
Persons: , Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing
A major Trump Media shareholder has sold nearly all of its company shares, an SEC filing showed. It's the first known sale of Trump Media shares following a September 19 lock-up expiry. AdvertisementTrump Media shareholder United Atlantic Ventures has sold nearly all of its stake in the company, amounting to nearly 11 million shares. The sale is the first known case of company insiders ditching Trump Media shares now that restrictions have expired. AdvertisementGiven how volatile the Trump Media stock is, UAV may have received anywhere between $128 million and $170 million for its sale.
Persons: , Andrew Litinsky, Wes Moss, Donald Trump's, Moss, Trump, DJT Organizations: Trump Media, SEC, United Atlantic Ventures, Service, Social, UAV, Trump
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