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Markets: The post-election rally on Wall Street continued into afternoon trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping 3.4%, or roughly 1,450 points, and the S & P 500 advancing 2.4%. It's worth noting, the stock market was reacting like Jim Cramer said it would in his Sunday column . The one thing markets hate is uncertainty, and Wednesday's rally can be attributed, in part, to relief that Wall Street professionals and individual investors alike know where they stand and what to expect from the country's next president. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%. "You have to be very careful to respect the bond market if you do any buying today," Jim said.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Morgan Stanley, Jim, It's, Yun Li, Trump, Harris, Jerome Powell's, we'll, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Wall, Dow Jones, Trump, Republican, NBC, Senate, NBC News, Wells, BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Honeywell, Federal, White, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Bros, Moderna, Barrick Gold, Halliburton, Hershey, Air Products, Chemicals, Warner Bros ., Jim Cramer's Charitable

S&P 500 futures ticked up 0.1% and Nasdaq 100 futures were flat. Goldman Sachs predicts that a Trump win and Republican sweep of Congress would spark a 3% pop in the S&P 500. Even a Trump win and a divided Congress would cause about a 1.5% gain, the bank predicts. On the other hand, a Harris win with a divided Congress would cause a 1.5% drop in the S&P 500, the bank told its clients. The stock market staged a broad rally Tuesday before the election results were in with the S&P 500 gaining 1.2%, bringing the benchmark's 2024 gains to more than 21%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Goldman Sachs, Harris, Trump, Jason Trennert, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, America, Investors, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Traders Locations: Kentucky, Indiana

☆ Here is the most important thing investors can do ahead of the presidential election outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

With Election Day upon us, many investors are wondering how to, or if they even should, position their stock portfolios ahead of knowing who the next president will be. Indecision will hurt the stock market, not destroy it, but bruise it because the only thing markets really hate is uncertainty." Jim also wrote Sunday that the stock market will more than likely be just fine no matter who wins the presidency. Bottom line A quick and decisive presidential election outcome — one way or the other — is what's best for the stock market. Combination with Former President and Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump (L), and Vice President and Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, That's, Joe Biden, Jim Cramer, Jim, we've, Barack Obama, Biden, George W, Bush, Richard Nixon, Jim Cramer's Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Trump, JPMorgan, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC

☆ Treasury yields little changed as the U.S. prepares to vote
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 4.3029%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also less than one basis points lower at 4.1681%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors readied themselves for the presidential election. The U.S. will head to the polls on Tuesday for the hotly anticipated presidential election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, NBC, PMI, Census, Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: U.S, Washington

☆ Americans are probably getting another interest rate cut this week — just days after the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday. It follows a 50-basis-point rate cut in September — the first cut in four years. CME FedWatch, which forecasts interest rate changes based on market predictions, estimated an all-but-certain 25 basis point cut as of Friday afternoon. Advertisement"Borrowers should understand that 'falling interest rates' are not the same as 'low interest rates,'" Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst, said in a commentary. What are your financial plans if the Fed makes another rate cut?

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Powell, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Julia Pollak, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, FedWatch, Boeing, BLS, Federal Reserve, PCE, Fed, asheffey

☆ Another jumbo Fed cut is coming by year-end with the US labor market weaker than many think, Citi economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed is going to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December, Citi economist Veronica Clark said. Labor market weakness is showing across a number of data points, she said. According to Veronica Clark, deteriorating labor dynamics will force the central bank to cut rates by 50 basis points in December. Her point has grown more evident after October's jobs report underwhelmed expectations with only 12,000 jobs added. AdvertisementThough October's unemployment rate stayed unchanged on a rounded basis, Clark noted that it was it nearly rounded to 4.2%.

Persons: Veronica Clark, It's, Clark, —, Reserve isn't Organizations: Citi, Labor, Service, Reserve, Bloomberg

In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings had predicted two additional interest rate trims by the end of 2024 and expect such reductions to continue into 2025. The CME Group's FedWatch tool puts the probability of a 25-basis-point cut at this week's November meeting at 98%. The current probability of the benchmark rate being taken down by another 25 basis points at the December meeting is 78%. "The end of financial repression, of zero interest rates and zero inflation, that era is over. Interest rates will be higher, will be challenged around the world.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Saudi Arabia —, aren't, Morgan, CNBC's Sara Eisen —, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Larry Fink, " Fink, David Solomon, Ted Pick, Pick, Francis Fukuyama Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fitch, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Standard Chartered, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Reuters RIYADH, Saudi Arabia, U.S, BlackRock

☆ Stock futures are flat as Wall Street readies for presidential election: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed in overnight trading ahead of Tuesday's high-stakes U.S. presidential electionFutures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 20 points. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures inched about 0.1% higher. The latest poll from NBC News suggests the race is "neck and neck" between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. The results could heavily affect where stocks end the year, but investors may want to brace for some near-term choppiness. Traders are pricing in 98% odds of a quarter-point cut following September's half-point reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Stocks, Dow, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Adam Parker, Jerome Powell Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NXP, U.S, Treasury, NBC News, Congress, Republicans, CNBC, Super Micro, Yum Brands

☆ Treasury yields fall as investors brace for U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on 10-year Treasury was last down by over six basis points, hovering around the 4.3% mark. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last down by more than three basis points to 4.1661%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Monday as investors braced for a busy week which will see voters head to the polls for the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. Investors are also focused on the Fed's interest rate decision at the central bank's policy meeting on Thursday. Traders are were last pricing in a 99% chance of a quarter-point interest rate cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, U.S . House, NBC, PMI

☆ Stock futures inch lower as Wall Street readies for U.S. presidential election: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election. S&P 500 futures and Nasdsq-100 futures edged lower. Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500- 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CFRA Research's Sam Stovall, CNBC's, We've, Jerome Powell, Sarah Min Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NBC, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Traders, Micro, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts

☆ Companies brace for Tuesday: Mentions of election surge on earnings conference calls
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Octavio Jones | ReutersExecutives at America's largest companies are talking publicly with investors about the presidential election more so than in recent cycles. The word "election" came up on 100 earnings calls of S&P 500 -listed firms between Sept. 15 and Oct. 31, according to FactSet. The U.S. presidential election is Tuesday Nov. 5. 'Prudent' clientsMultiple companies cited a feeling of unpredictability tied to the presidential race among consumers and business clients. To be sure, some of the "election" mentions this year were tied to unrelated events like enrollment periods for health care.

Persons: Blythe Andrews , Jr, Octavio Jones, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Richard Tobin, FactSet, John Butters, Harris, Trump, Harry Lawton, Hurricanes Helene, Andrew Watterson, Michael Bayley, Gary Hershorn, Stanley Black, Decker, Donald Allan, Decker's Allan, William Grogan, Jon Vander Ark, Eric Ashleman, hasn't, Nonfarm payrolls, Equifax, Mark Begor, Stephen Squeri, we've, Mark Parrell Organizations: Public, Reuters, America's, CNBC, U.S, Dover, Tractor Supply, Hurricanes, Southwest Airlines, Royal, Hollywood International Airport, Corbis, Republican, Republic, Boeing, Tyler Technologies, American Express, Equity Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Milton, Royal Caribbean, Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale , Florida, America, China

☆ Election next week holds big implications for stock market, especially the control of Congress
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

But the true implications for investors monitoring the election may lie in which party controls Congress, rather than who will sit in the White House. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The importance of whichever party controls Congress was highlighted by Trump's recent trips outside battleground states such as New Mexico , a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential nominee in roughly 20 years. On the other hand, Evercore ISI's Emanuel expects a Harris victory, with a Democratic sweep of Congress, could result in the S & P 500 falling to roughly 5,700. The S & P 500 slid 1%, while the Nasdaq dipped 0.5%. Earnings season continues with about 100 S & P 500 companies confirmed to report.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, I'm, Abuhoff Jacobson, hasn't, Brian Burrell, Jay Hatfield, Harris, Hatfield, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Emanuel, Jerome Powell's, Ralph Lauren, Warner, Alex Harring Organizations: NBC, Congress, House, Democratic, Republican, Hartford Investments, GOP, Thornburg Investment Management, Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Senate, Wednesday, Regional Banking, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, National, Marriott International, Diamondback Energy, Wynn Resorts, Palantir Technologies, NXP Semiconductors, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Petroleum, Brands, Technology, Computer, CVS, Howmet Aerospace, Gilead Sciences, Labor, Consumer, Moderna, Molson Coors Beverage, Halliburton, Hershey Co, Warner Bros, Expedia, Akamai Technologies, Paramount Locations: New Mexico, Albuquerque, Santa Fe , New Mexico, Hartford, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Michigan

☆ Wall Street kicks off historically strong month after wild October
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 fell 1% in October, snapping a five-month advance. Now, Wall Street is coming into what has historically proven a strong month for stocks — which could push stocks to new heights. A CNBC analysis of FactSet data showed November has been the second-strongest month for the S & P 500 going back 10 years. Going back 20 years, the S & P 500 averages a 2.2% increase in November. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, analysts reacted to the latest quarterly earnings reports from megacaps Apple and Amazon .

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, CNBC, U.S, NBC, Apple Locations: U.S

☆ Jim Cramer has these 3 stocks on his buy list in an oversold market
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said the potential rate cuts next week and possibly again in December provide a "bullish backdrop" for the overall market, favoring many of our stocks that benefit from lower rates. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, we're, Jim, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Web Services, Chevron, Exxon, Intel, AMD Locations: Thursday's, oversold, Europe, Ukraine

☆ Gold little changed ahead of U.S. payrolls data
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Twenty kilogram gold and silver bricks sit at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, on Thursday, July 2, 2020. Gold traded little changed on Friday as investors refrained from taking big positions ahead of the U.S. payrolls data that could provide further clues about the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook. Spot gold was flat at $2,746.09 per ounce, as of 0235 GMT. Gold prices gained more than 4% in October amid safe-haven flows spurred by the Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty. Zero-yield gold thrives in a low interest rate environment.

Persons: Gold, Edward Meir, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, nonfarm, Meir Organizations: ABC Refinery, Democratic, Republican, Reuters, Traders Locations: Sydney , New South Wales, Australia

☆ U.S. Treasury yields edge higher as traders await key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was less than one basis point higher at 4.27%. The 2-year Treasury note yield added one basis point to 4.16%. U.S. Treasury bond yields rose as traders reviewed the gross domestic product reading for the third quarter and looked ahead to key inflation data out later in the session. A report on weekly jobless claims and the third-quarter reading on the employment cost index are also scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Traders, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Treasury yields dip as investors await October private payrolls data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 4 basis points to 4.232%, after briefly rising above 4.3% in the previous session to notch its highest level since July. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down over 2 basis points at 4.094%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday, with investors poised to scrutinize economic data for further clues on the rate cut outlook. Ahead of the all-important October jobs report at the end of the week, investors will monitor a fresh batch of economic data on Wednesday. The Fed joined several other major central banks in easing monetary policy when it lowered rates by 50 basis points in September.

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce Department, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed

☆ The Fed is likely to disappoint markets with just one more rate cut this year amid global inflation, BlackRock CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says the Fed will cut rates just once more this year. The market sees two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of the year. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve will disappoint markets by cutting interest rates just one more time in 2024, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said. Fink said the Fed will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year amid a rise in global inflation. The central bank kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis point cut last month.

Persons: Larry Fink, —, Fink, " Fink, we're, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, Fed, Service, Reserve, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs Act, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

☆ How the Markets Are Gaming the Election With One Week to Go
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the Markets Are Gaming the Election With One Week to GoHenrietta Treyz of Veda Partners and Ben Emons of FedWatch Advisors discuss whether the markets are misreading the polls ahead of the election, and which sectors could be in favor depending on the outcome.

Persons: Henrietta Treyz, Ben Emons Organizations: Veda Partners, FedWatch Advisors

☆ 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.3% as investors look to key data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.304%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than 1 basis point at 4.146%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield continuing to trade at multi-month highs as investors looked to upcoming economic data. On Tuesday investors will be watching out for fresh consumer confidence insights and home price data as well as the latest JOLTS job openings figures. Those are the first of a series of labor market related data releases slated for the week.

Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders, Fed

☆ The one big fear that could upend the bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.

Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow

☆ Gold slips as dollar firms; market eyes crucial U.S. data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A one kilogram gold bar sits on top of silver bars. Gold prices fell on Monday as the U.S. dollar held firm, while investors awaited U.S. economic data for fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,733.01 per ounce, as of 0232 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold less appealing for other currency holders. Gold hit a record high of $2,758.37 on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties.

Persons: Tim Waterer, CME's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ali Khamenei, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, KCM, Fed, Iranian Locations: U.S

Mortgage rates for October 26, 2024, are hovering in the mid-6% range, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. High mortgage rates pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing homebuying demand and putting downward pressure on home prices. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they'll, you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Fed, Traders, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ 10-year Treasury yield dips after scaling 3-month highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was one basis lower at 4.19% after breaching 4.25% on Wednesday. The 2-year Treasury was fractionally lower at 4.063%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury eased slightly Friday after hitting a three-month high this week. Others have stated the need to be "cautious and deliberate" and "patient" with further cuts. Market pricing puts a 97% probability on the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Persons: Beth Hammack Organizations: Treasury, Traders, Federal Reserve, Cleveland Fed

☆ Dollar stands tall on bets for slower Fed cuts, potential Trump win
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. This week, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he would prefer to "avoid outsized moves", and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker backed "a slow, methodical approach" to further easing. The dollar has now "punched through key technical resistance levels" against the yen, "opening the door for higher levels", Catril said. Although opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck race with Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, cryptocurrency-prediction exchange Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in bets for a Trump win.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jeffrey Schmid, Patrick Harker, Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Trump, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde, Mario Centeno Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Kansas, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, National Australia Bank, UST, Republican, Democratic, Trump, of, Traders, European Central Bank, Wednesday Locations: Japan, Sunday's

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