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The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged higher to 4.0694%. The 2-year Treasury yield rose by around 5 basis points to trade at 4.278%. Treasury yields were higher early Wednesday, with the 10-year yield holding above 4%, as investors focused on fresh data and commentary from Federal Reserve members. On Tuesday, yields jumped after comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that while the central bank will likely cut rates this year, it may take its time. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, more European Central Bank members indicated that markets were getting ahead of themselves on rate cut projections.
Persons: FactSet, Christopher Waller, Klaas Knot, Jeff Cox, Pia Singh Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Economic, Central Bank, CNBC Wednesday Locations: Davos, Dutch
As the Fed is able to start lowering its benchmark rate, mortgage rates should go down further in 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Drop Slightly (-0.17%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.18%, down 17 basis points since this time last week. 20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Fall (-0.27%)The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is down somewhat from last week, and is sitting at 5.69%. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Decrease (-0.27%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.39%, also down 27 points from last week.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brookings Institution, Federal, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron
Dollar at one-month high as rate cut expectations ease on Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar index hovered at a one-month high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller dampened expectations for a March rate cut. "I will need more information in the coming months confirming or (conceivably) challenging the notion that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our inflation goal," before backing rate cuts, he said on Tuesday. Market expectations of a rate cut in March have eased to a 62.2% chance versus an 76.9% view in the prior session, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. "Rate cuts are coming but not as soon as some might be hoping for," Sycamore said. Meanwhile, the euro was hanging near a one-month low at $1.0875 after its steepest one-day percentage drop in two weeks, following comments from several ECB policymakers this week that maintained uncertainty over the timing of rate cuts.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CME's, Tony Sycamore, Christine Lagarde, Sycamore, Sterling, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Federal Reserve, IG, European Central Bank, Treasury, Bank of Japan, National Australia Bank Locations: U.S, Asia
CNBC Daily Open: Fed's reality check
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. European stocks ended the session lower, with fashion brand Hugo Boss tumbling 9% after lower than expected earnings. More Big Bank earningsGoldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley reported earnings on Tuesday, wrapping up results for Wall Street's biggest six lenders. Quality stocks are defined as those that have robust earnings, low debt and a stock price that's less likely to be impacted by a broad market selloff.
Persons: Hugo Boss, Christopher Waller, Li Qiang, Li, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wall, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal, Economic, Reuters, Big Bank, Wall Street's Locations: New York City, U.S, Davos, Switzerland, Beijing, China
CNBC Daily Open: The Fed's rude awakening
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on December 13, 2023 in Washington, DC. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. China shares also fell after the country missed fourth quarter GDP estimates but met its year-end growth target of 5%. [PRO] 'Buy the dip'Morgan Stanley highlights its key picks in Europe's technology hardware sector after a "rollercoaster year" in 2023.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wall, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, CNBC, Federal, Big Bank, Wall Street's Locations: Washington ,, Asia, Hong Kong, China
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller acknowledged Tuesday that interest rate cuts are likely this year, but said the central bank can take its time relaxing monetary policy. "When the time is right to begin lowering rates, I believe it can and should be lowered methodically and carefully," he added. "In many previous cycles ... the FOMC cut rates reactively and did so quickly and often by large amounts. I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly as in the past." In fact, traders had further ramped up expectations for 2024 to seven cuts, but brought it back to six following Waller's remarks.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Federal, Washington , D.C, Brookings Institution Locations: Washington ,
Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, on Tuesday, Jan. 3, 2023. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading following a losing session to kick off the holiday-shortened trading week. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline, along with S&P 500 futures . Interactive Brokers lost nearly 3% in extended trading after posting fourth quarter adjusted earnings that fell short of expectations. The Federal Reserve's beige book and business inventories for November are also slated for Wednesday, along with remarks from New York Federal Reserve Bank President and CEO John Williams.
Persons: Stocks, Christopher Waller, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Dow Jones, Charles Schwab, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Interactive, Federal Reserve, Dow, Bank of America, LPL, U.S . Bancorp, New York Federal Reserve Bank Locations: New York, New
European stocks are heading for a mixed open Wednesday as regional markets struggle to build positive momentum and assess comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve board members. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he was growing more confident that policy was in a place now to bring inflation back under control. Waller also said the Fed might start lowering rates if inflation continues to ease over the next three to five months. U.S. stock futures ticked up on Tuesday night, as investors held out hope that the Federal Reserve is done raising benchmark interest rates. Asia-Pacific markets largely fell overnight, led by losses in Hong Kong.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong
The sails of the Opera House are illuminated with projections on the opening night of Vivid Sydney 2023 in Sydney, Australia, on Friday, May 26, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets were set to open lower as investors assess comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve board members and await Australia's October inflation figures. On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he was growing more confident that policy was in a place now to bring inflation back under control. Waller also said the Fed might start lowering rates if inflation continues to ease over the next three to five months. In contrast, Governor Michelle Bowman said more rate hikes will likely be needed as evolving dynamics keep inflation elevated.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Michelle Bowman, Bowman Organizations: Opera, Vivid, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific
The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 4 basis points lower at 4.296%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last down by more than 3 basis points at 4.703%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Wednesday as investors considered the outlook for interest rates and awaited fresh data that could provide hints about the state of the economy. Concerns about the state of the economy and whether higher rates will lead to a recession have also continued. Data published Tuesday suggests that consumers still expect economic contraction, however their overall confidence in the economic outlook rose in November.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve
OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, is due to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday to discuss 2024 production targets. The market tumbled last week when OPEC+ pushed back the original date for its meeting to iron out differences on production targets for African producers. "According to delegates, Saudi Arabia is demanding lower production quotas from the other OPEC+ countries. Oil also found support from a weak dollar, an expected decline in U.S. crude inventories and the drop in Kazakh output. A weaker dollar typically bolsters oil demand, making dollar-denominated oil less expensive for buyers using other currencies.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Waller, Phil Flynn, Commerzbank's Carsten Fritsch, Christopher Waller, Stephanie Kelly, Alex Lawler, Natalie Grover, Kim Coghill, David Goodman, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Price Futures Group, United, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, The U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Russia, Chicago, Angola, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates
Fed's Bowman says she still expects another interest rate hike
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman poses at a conference on monetary policy at The Hoover Institution in Palo Alto, California, U.S., May 3, 2019. Earlier this month, the Fed kept its benchmark overnight lending rate unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range for the second consecutive policy meeting. However, Bowman has repeatedly been among a small minority of policymakers who have said they don't think the Fed's job is yet done. Likewise, some signs of interest rate insensitivity among businesses could dull the effects of tighter monetary policy and financial conditions on economic activity and inflation, Bowman said, and overall longer-term economic conditions might mean the Fed's policy rate may need to be higher than pre-pandemic norms. Earlier on Tuesday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he is "increasingly confident" the central bank's current policy setting will prove enough to return inflation to the Fed's target.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Ann Saphir, Bowman, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Hoover Institution, REUTES, Fed, Thomson Locations: Palo Alto , California, U.S, Salt Lake City , Utah
Stock futures flickered near the flat line on Tuesday, as investors held out hope that the Federal Reserve is done raising benchmark interest rates. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked higher by 16 points, or 0.04%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.03% each%. Indeed, fed funds futures pricing suggests a chance that the central bank could cut rates as early as next spring, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. On the earnings front, Hormel Foods and Dollar Tree are expected to issue quarterly results before the opening bell.
Persons: Miriam Adelson, NetApp, Christopher Waller, Waller, Adam Crisafulli Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Las Vegas Sands, Dow, Hormel Locations: Las Vegas
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Tuesday he's growing more confident that policy is in a place now to bring inflation back under control. "But I am increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2 percent." During the central bank's ongoing battle against inflation, Waller has been one of the more hawkish members, meaning he has favored tighter policy and higher rates. He also noted easing in supply chain pressures that were largely responsible for the initial jump in inflation, but he said that factor can't be counted on to help bring inflation down further. Waller noted easing in inflation gauges such as the consumer price index, which was flat in October and "what I want to see."
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller's, he's, Michelle Bowman, Waller, Bowman Organizations: Federal, Washington , D.C, CNBC PRO Locations: Washington ,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJay Powell wants to be remembered as Paul Volcker not Arthur Burns: Former Fed Governor KrosznerRandy Kroszner, former Federal Reserve governor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the latest economic data, the Federal Reserve's upcoming playbook, and whether the Fed will weigh the weaker economic data even more.
Persons: Jay Powell, Paul Volcker, Arthur Burns, Kroszner Randy Kroszner Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve, Federal
"Under plausible assumptions the size of the balance sheet could decline considerably further before reserves reach the level consistent with the ample reserves operating framework," Jefferson wrote in response to a series of questions from Scott about the roughly $8 trillion balance sheet. The senator also wrote letters to Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Adriana Kugler at the same time. Fed officials who have spoken on the matter have said the balance sheet can be reduced for an extended period. Speaking after the central bank's Oct. 31-Nov. 1 policy meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was "not considering changing the pace of balance sheet runoff. Many market participants are eyeing next year or maybe 2025 as a potential time to end the drawdown of the balance sheet.
Persons: Philip Jefferson, Jefferson, Rick Scott, Scott, Lisa Cook, Adriana Kugler, Cook, Kugler, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester, General, Michael S, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Republican U.S, Fed, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Jefferson
"I believe that a 'soft landing' is possible, with continued disinflation and a strong labor market, but it is not assured," Cook said in remarks prepared for delivery to a San Francisco Fed conference on Asian economic policy. "I see risks as two-sided, requiring us to balance the risk of not tightening enough against the risk of tightening too much." Meanwhile, Cook noted, other global central banks have also tightened policy rapidly. "But in a world of uncertainty it is hard to judge the exact size of these spillovers." Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lisa Cook, Jonathan Ernst, Cook, bank's, there's, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Governors, Capitol, REUTERS, FRANCISCO, Federal, San Francisco Fed, U.S, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S
In today's big story, we're looking at a fascinating deep dive into the state of Goldman Sachs, including an interview with CEO David Solomon. The big storyLong live GoldmanJon Krause for InsiderDid Goldman Sachs need to die to survive? The prestigious Wall Street bank has drawn plenty of bad headlines over the past few years, often focused on CEO David Solomon. AdvertisementMichael Kovac/Getty ImagesMcLean's story provides a fascinating look at not just Goldman Sachs' evolution but Wall Street's. Goldman COO John Waldron told McLean it's a "big, big issue" at the bank.
Persons: , we've, it's, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, What's, Goldman Jon Krause, Solomon, Bethany McLean, McLean, he's, hasn't, Michael Kovac, Banks, Goldman, John Waldron, McLean it's, wouldn't Goldman, Jerome Powell, Carlos Barria, Mark Zuckerberg, Jeff Bottari, Mark, TikTok, Ian Grandjean, Chatbots, Frederick Banting, Travis Barker, King Charles III, Yuna, Condoleezza Rice, Claude Monet, Ina, Terri Peters, Ina Garten, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Business, Enron, Brookings Institution, UBS, Moody's, Facebook, Google, Meta, Apple Locations: Washington, Roman, New York City, San Diego, London, New York
REUTERS/Ken Cedeno/Pool/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDUBLIN Nov 8 (Reuters) - A rise in geopolitical tensions across the world could aggravate already subdued growth in Europe and China and the spillover may alter the path of the U.S. economy, Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said on Wednesday. "We are not only watching subdued growth, we're watching the geopolitical tensions that we're all talking about, and that could change the outlook both in the United States and the global economy." Cook added that geopolitical tensions may in particular destabilize commodity markets and access to credit in the current higher interest rate environment. "Any shock could make the situation worse that we're already (in)... and could be destabilizing to commodity markets, could be destabilizing to the system of credit," Cook said. "More broadly, escalation of geopolitical tensions could lead to lower economic activity and increased fragmentation of global trade flows and financial intermediation, raising financing and production costs and contributing to more sustained supply chain challenges and inflationary pressures," Cook said.
Persons: Lisa DeNell Cook, Ken Cedeno, Lisa Cook, Cook, We're, Padraic Halpin, Conor Humphries, Ann Saphir, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Leslie Adler, Mark Potter Organizations: Governors, Federal Reserve System, Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, DUBLIN, Federal, Central Bank of Ireland, Thomson Locations: Michigan, Washington ,, Europe, China, U.S, Dublin, United States, Ukraine, Russia, East, San Francisco
The Fed last week left its policy rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range, and though Fed Chair Jerome Powell left the door open to another interest-rate hike, he said that recently tighter financial conditions could slow the economy on their own. The 10-year Treasury yield has fallen since then, but at around 4.58% remains about 75 basis points higher than it was in late July, when the Fed last raised the policy rate. The economy has been strong in the face of the Fed's rate hikes so far, she said, though frequent and large data revisions make tracking conditions challenging. Much of Bowman's speech was a rundown of her criticisms of recent Fed regulatory proposals and rule-making on bank capital, community lending requirements, and climate risks. Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Jerome Powell, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Ohio Bankers League, Fed, Treasury, Thomson Locations: U.S
"But I would say that an expectation of higher near-term policy rates does not appear to be causing the increase in longer-term rates." The interest rate on the 10-year Treasury bond has risen roughly a percentage point since the summer, breaching the 5% level late last month before dropping in recent days to its current level around 4.64%. The Fed has not raised its policy rate since July. Cook did not comment on her specific view of the Fed's policy rate, focusing instead on an overview of financial stability issues. In her overview of financial stability, Cook said she felt that the banking system had weathered the stresses of last spring, and "remains sound and resilient overall."
Persons: Lisa DeNell Cook, Ken Cedeno, Lisa Cook, Cook, Jerome Powell, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: Governors, Federal Reserve System, Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Rights, Federal, Duke University, Thomson Locations: Michigan, Washington ,, U.S
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday indicated the central bank can afford to hold off on interest rate increases while it watches progress unfold in its efforts to bring down inflation. "As of today, it is too soon to tell," he said in prepared remarks for a speech in London. "Consequently, I believe we can wait, watch and see how the economy evolves before making definitive moves on the path of the policy rate." In recent days, multiple Fed officials have said rising Treasury yields are indicative that financial conditions are tightening, possibly making additional rate hikes unnecessary. Indeed, Waller noted the backup in yields and said that economic reports over the past several months have been "overwhelmingly positive" regarding inflation.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Treasury Locations: London, New York
Oct 11 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Wednesday said higher market interest rates may help the Fed slow inflation, and let the central bank "watch and see" if its own policy rate needs to rise again or not. We will see how those higher rates feed into what we do on policy in the coming months." Waller's comments added weight to similar statements this week by Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Still, Waller offered some of the most optimistic reads yet on the path of inflation. "We're finally getting very good inflation data," he said.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, Paul Ryan, Philip Jefferson, Lorie Logan, We're, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci Organizations: . Federal, Republican, Wisconsin, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Utah
Fed will stay 'on the job' to reduce inflation, Waller says
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Oct 10 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday reiterated the U.S. central bank's determination to bring inflation down to its 2% target, but did not comment on the economic outlook or his view on the best immediate course for monetary policy. "Price stability is a primary responsibility of the Federal Reserve," Waller said in remarks prepared for delivery to a conference at George Mason University's Mercatus Center in Virginia. "This is why we have taken forceful steps aimed at reducing inflation - and why we will stay on the job to achieve our objective." "In considering the appropriate monetary policy response needed to return inflation to 2 percent, I find it useful to draw on the findings of the policy rules literature," Waller said. Waller has been a forceful advocate of the Fed interest rate hikes that have brought the short-term policy rate to its current 5.25%-5.50% range.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, George Mason University's, John Taylor, Taylor, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Stanford, Thomson Locations: U.S, Virginia
London CNN —Claudia Goldin, a professor at Harvard University, was awarded the Nobel Prize in economics Monday for her research into women’s income and employment. Jakob Svensson, chair of the committee for the prize in economic sciences, added: “Understanding women’s role in the labor market is important for society. Thanks to Claudia Goldin’s groundbreaking research we now know much more about the underlying factors and which barriers may need to be addressed in the future.”Claudia Goldin Harvard UniversityGoldin was born in 1946 in New York. She is the author of several books and is best-known for her work on the history of women in the US economy. The economics prize is officially known as the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.
Persons: London CNN — Claudia Goldin, Goldin, , Jakob Svensson, Claudia Goldin’s, ” Claudia Goldin Harvard, ” Claudia Goldin Harvard University Goldin, Henry Lee, Alfred Nobel, Ben Bernanke, Douglas Diamond, Philip Dybvig Organizations: London CNN, Harvard University, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, ” Claudia Goldin Harvard University, National Bureau of Economic Research, Sveriges, Economic Sciences, Federal Locations: New York, United States, Swedish
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