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☆ Fed policy makers need to be a bit more cautious, says EY Parthenon's Greg Daco
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed policy makers need to be a bit more cautious, says EY Parthenon's Greg DacoHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: EY, Greg Daco, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: Fed, CNBC

☆ S&P 500 futures fall as Wall Street braces for Fed rate decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

S&P 500 futures slipped Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures linked to the broad market index slipped 0.22%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.42%. During Tuesday's main trading session, the Dow and S&P 500 both shed more than 1%. Bond yields jumped after the first quarter's employment cost index came in higher than anticipated, reigniting worries that the Fed will keep interest rates high. "The concern is that the Fed will definitely be slower to lower interest rates," said CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall.

Persons: reigniting, Dow, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, Kraft Heinz, DoorDash Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Dow, Traders, Fed, Pfizer, Kraft, CVS Health, Qualcomm Locations: New York City

☆ McDonald's and other big brands warn that low-income consumers are starting to crack
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Some of America's best-known corporations are saying their consumers are being pinched by inflation as prices continue rising. "Consumers continue[d] to be even more discriminating with every dollar that they spend as they faced elevated prices in their day-to-day spending." The consumer price index — a broad basket of goods and services — rose at an annual rate of 3.5% in March compared with the same month a year ago. And that tenacious 3.5% annual growth is souring economic sentiment: Even after a period of runaway inflation, prices don't actually fall. That's a problem for McDonald's and a host of other firms serving customers who are feeling sticker shock.

Persons: Chris Kempczinski Organizations: Federal Reserve, Consumers, Conference Board, Fed

☆ The stock rally is masking stagflation risk raised by the latest GDP report, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan says the recent stock rebound driven by robust earnings masks looming stagflationary risks. The soft landing narrative is challenged by the first-quarter GDP report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe recent rally in the stock market, bolstered by a wave of upbeat earnings, is glossing over a host of risks raised by the latest economic data points, JPMorgan said this week. Jamie Dimon and other experts are sounding the alarm, saying the US might be headed for a 1970s-style scenario, complete with a stock market crash.

Persons: —, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, hasn't, Jamie Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Microsoft

☆ The spring homebuying season isn’t what it used to be, thanks to the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

All that has caused the spring homebuying season to take a timeout — and could spell trouble for the remainder of the year. Since 1999, more than a third of home sales for the entire year occur between March and June on average, according to Freddie Mac data. Given the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates, Khater expects mortgage rates to remain elevated for longer. Taken together, all these factors will likely put upward pressure on home prices, Khater and his team said in the report. “Our outlook does depend on mortgage rates, which are creating their own seasonality,” she added.

Persons: That’s, ” Zillow, Nicole Bachaud, “ Buyers, Bachaud, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac, Khater, ” Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CNN, “, Fed Locations: New York, Texas, Florida

☆ Trump 2.0 would be destructive for the economy, as the former president embraces 'crank' doctrine and economic fantasy, Paul Krugman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Blame the former president's "quack" economic policy and his tendency to deny reality, according to Nobel economist Paul Krugman. Similar "destructive" policies could be re-enacted in the US if Trump is re-elected in November, Krugman said. AdvertisementSome of Trump's economic policies during his presidency were flawed, Krugman said. If re-elected, Trump has said he plans on cracking down on immigration and imposing tariffs on US imports, especially those from China. "What's really worrisome, however, are indications that a future Trump regime would manipulate monetary policy in pursuit of short-run political advantage, justifying its actions with crank economic doctrines ...

Persons: —, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Trump, he's, that's, Nouriel Roubini Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Business, Federal Reserve, Trump Locations: China, stoke

☆ Jim Grant: There's as much a chance of a rate hike as there is of two rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Grant: There's as much a chance of a rate hike as there is of two rate cutsSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley chief economist, and Jim Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer founder and editor, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting, interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Jim Grant, There's, Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley

☆ European markets head for lackluster open ahead of euro zone inflation, GDP data
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

European markets are heading for a lackluster open Tuesday ahead of a busy day of earnings and major data releases in the region. Preliminary euro zone inflation data for April and first-quarter gross domestic product figures for the single currency area are due Tuesday, while earnings come from AF-KLM, Stellantis, Capgemini, Mercedes, VW, Lufthansa, Santander, Caixabank, OMV, HSBC, Glencore and Whitbread, among others. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets largely rose on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street moves, with investors awaiting China manufacturing purchasing managers' index for April. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after a positive start to the week, as investors brace for megacap earnings, the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday, and a jobs report. The central bank is broadly anticipated to keep interest rates steady, but traders will be looking to see if Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting comments are more hawkish after the recent spate of hotter inflation reports.

Persons: Jerome Powell's Organizations: AF, KLM, Stellantis, VW, Lufthansa, HSBC, Glencore, Whitbread Locations: Santander, Caixabank, OMV, Asia, Pacific, China

☆ Interest rates: It’s a mystery when the Fed will begin to cut them
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Washington CNN —Nowadays, it’s anyone’s guess when the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates this year — if at all. Fed officials are meeting this week, starting Tuesday, to discuss rates and set policy. That guidance will be key for market observers who clearly have divergent views on interest rates. Forecasts from major Wall Street banks on the first rate cut are all over the place: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs expect the first cut in July, while Wells Fargo is betting on September. Some Fed policymakers, meanwhile, have even floated the possibility of a rate hike, instead of a cut.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell, “, ” Kathleen Grace, John Towfighi, That’s, nearshoring, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Morgan Stanley, Read, Cindy Westman, —, Brian Fung, Jason Carroll, I’ll, ”, Westman, ’, Westman — Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Bank of America, CNN, Labor Department, Manufacturing, Commerce Department, Program, Social Locations: Washington, Wells, Mexico, —, China, United States, Eureka , Illinois

☆ Fed trajectory is 'bumpy' as macroeconomy has a lot of momentum, says Dreyfus and Mellon's Reinhart
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed trajectory is 'bumpy' as macroeconomy has a lot of momentum, says Dreyfus and Mellon's ReinhartVincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon chief economist and former Fed economist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the current macroeconomic picture relative to the Fed's trajectory, how hawkish Jerome Powell will sound, and much more.

Persons: Dreyfus, Mellon's Reinhart Vincent Reinhart, hawkish Jerome Powell Organizations: Mellon, Fed

☆ Ron Insana: The 2024 inflation scare has arrived, but there are still signs of hope for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Elizabeth Frantz | ReutersIt appears the great inflation scare of 2024 is upon us. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, grew 2.8% from a year earlier in March. The recent inflation numbers have reduced the expected number of cuts down to one or two, with the first cut anticipated to arrive much later this year. Some recent signs of cooling emergeCommodity prices, like cocoa , coffee and copper , have been on a tear in 2024. Despite all the military activity in the Middle East, oil prices have been reasonably well behaved, taking into consideration the energy shocks of years past.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz, –, specter Organizations: Federal, Committee, Reuters, Fed, Hamas Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel

☆ Former Dallas Fed President: Fed shouldn't be talking about rate hikes but should keep options open
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Dallas Fed President: Fed shouldn't be talking about rate hikes but should keep options openRobert Kaplan, former Dallas Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether the Federal Reserve should be talking about a rate hike this soon, how the American Rescue Plan Act affects Fed decisions, and more.

Persons: Robert Kaplan Organizations: Former Dallas Fed, Dallas Fed, Federal, American

☆ Earnings to be a key driver of equities this year: Merrill's Marci McGregor
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings to be a key driver of equities this year: Merrill's Marci McGregorLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Marci McGregor, senior investment strategist for the chief investment office at Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the Fed, and the potential of the rally resuming.

Persons: Merrill's Marci McGregor Lauren Goodwin, Marci McGregor Organizations: New York Life Investments, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: New York, Merrill

Average 30-year mortgage rates continue to hover around 7% after spiking up earlier this month, according to Zillow data. This means we could see mortgage rates improve somewhat as we approach fall. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Lower mortgage rates will bring more buyers onto the market, putting upward pressure on prices.

Persons: decelerating, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Investors, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

☆ The global economic activity is picking up in Europe and China, says Janney's Mark Luschini
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe global economic activity is picking up in Europe and China, says Janney's Mark LuschiniMark Luschini, Janney Montgomery chief investment strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the markets, Fed, and jobs numbers.

Persons: Mark Luschini Mark Luschini, Janney Organizations: Fed Locations: Europe, China, Janney Montgomery

☆ Invesco: Expect one to two Fed rate cuts this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvesco: Expect one to two Fed rate cuts this yearBen Gutteridge, director of model portfolio services at Invesco, says "the very latest would be December, but I think there is a chance it comes before that if the wage data continues to show disinflation."

Persons: Ben Gutteridge Locations: Invesco

☆ The Fed has to 'thread the needle pretty carefully' this week, says Neuberger Berman's Joe Amato
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed has to 'thread the needle pretty carefully' this week, says Neuberger Berman's Joe AmatoJoe Amato, Neuberger Berman president and CIO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting this week, interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Neuberger Berman's Joe Amato Joe Amato, Neuberger Berman

☆ Being paid to take risks internationally, not in the U.S., says Jeff Klingelhofer
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBeing paid to take risks internationally, not in the U.S., says Jeff KlingelhoferJeff Klingelhofer, Co-Head of Investments and Portfolio Manager at Thornburg Investment Management, discusses the Fed and fixed income.

Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer Jeff Klingelhofer Organizations: Investments, Thornburg Investment Management Locations: U.S

☆ Trump could drive inflation higher with his second-term economic agenda, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Scott Olson | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFormer President Donald Trump is building a second-term economic agenda that analysts say could reheat the very inflation that he has slammed President Joe Biden for creating. We have a ring around the country," Trump said in a TIME interview released Tuesday, referring to aggressive tariffs he has promised to impose in a second term. Yet economists and Wall Street analysts agree that these plans would likely drive consumer prices higher. "A second Trump term could bring higher tariffs, attempts to weaken the dollar, even higher deficits, deportation of illegal immigrants, and other policies that could put upward pressure on inflation," Piper Sandler analysts wrote last week. Reached for comment, the Trump campaign said, "under President Trump, inflation was non-existent, gasoline was cheap, groceries were affordable, and the American Dream was alive and well."

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Joe Biden, Trump, Jay Powell, Piper Sandler, Donald Trump's, Paul Ashworth, Wells Organizations: Clinton Middle School, Getty, Wall Street, Trump, Federal, Wall, Capital Economics, North, U.S ., Wells Locations: Clinton , Iowa, China, Mexico, South Carolina, North America

☆ Jim Cramer says interest rate worries helped bring on Tuesday's end of April sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After a generally rough April, CNBC's Jim Cramer parsed Tuesday's market action, telling investors that anxiety about interest rates is a major reason stocks fell at the end of the month. All three broke a five-month winning streak, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw its worst monthly performance since September 2022. Cramer emphasized that much of Wall Street's attitude hinges on rate decisions made by the Federal Reserve, whose two-day meeting ends Wednesday. Cramer pointed to a survey released on Tuesday that suggested consumer confidence dropped to its lowest level since July 2022. Tuesday also saw data from the latest Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index, which could signal a weakening economy, Cramer added.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, we've, who're, Jerome Powell, Jay Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Chicago

☆ High Fed Rates Are Not Crushing Growth. Wealthier People Help Explain Why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

More than two years after the Federal Reserve started lifting interest rates to restrain growth and weigh on inflation, businesses continue to hire, consumers continue to spend and policymakers are questioning why their increases haven’t had a more aggressive bite. The answer probably lies in part in a simple reality: High interest rates are not really pinching Americans who own assets like houses and stocks as much as many economists might have expected. Some people are feeling the squeeze of Fed policy. Credit card rates have skyrocketed, and rising delinquencies on auto loans suggest that people with lower incomes are struggling under their weight. Their house values are mostly holding up in spite of higher rates, stock indexes are hovering near record highs, and they can make meaningful interest on their savings for the first time in decades.

Persons: haven’t Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge higher ahead of earnings deluge and Fed policy meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks jumped on Monday, extending gains from last week as investors digest Q1 earnings results. Also on the radar is this week's Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision and the April jobs report. Amazon and Apple will headline this week's earnings results, and an additional 170 S&P 500 companies are expected to report their results throughout the week. So far, about half of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings results. Apart from earnings, investors will be paying close attention to the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell Organizations: Apple, Reserve, Service, Federal, Macquarie Locations: Fundstrat, Here's

☆ Why economists who originally expected multiple deep rate cuts in 2024 now say a hike is possible
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

From deeps rate cuts to a potential rate hike in 2024, one firm has changed its forecast in a big way. Macquarie said the resilient economy means potential interest rate cuts won't happen until 2025. Assuming the central bank moves the federal funds rate down by 25 basis point increments, that would equate to nine interest rate cuts just this year. AdvertisementThat lack of economic weakness has led to a stark shift in interest rate forecasts, with even the Federal Reserve suggesting that its initial projections of three interest rate cuts this year could dwindle to one rate cut or even none. That could be a double whammy for a stock market that had been largely fixated on interest rate cuts this year.

Persons: Macquarie, —, David Doyle, Neil Shankar, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS

☆ Stock market today: futures rise as traders await interest rate clues from the Federal Reserve
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stock futures rose on Monday as investors awaited earnings and the Fed's meeting this week. The 10-year Treasury yield and US Dollar Index dropped, but have risen considerably this year. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The US Dollar Index , which tracks the greenback's value against a basket of foreign currencies, fell by 0.3% to 105.6.

Persons: —, Stocks, Ipek Ozkardeskaya Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Swissquote Bank, Investors, Paramount Global

☆ Gold retreats as dampened Fed rate cut hopes dent appeal
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. Gold prices slipped on Monday as hopes for early interest rate cuts this year dampened, while focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. non-farm payrolls data due this week for further clarity on monetary policy. "Short term, gold is facing some challenges given the likely delayed timeline for rate cuts. The Federal Reserve's policy meeting from April 30-May 1 and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday are key for markets this week. The Fed is seen holding its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.25%-to-5.5% at this meeting.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Jerome Powell, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, KCM Trade, Investors, People's Bank of, Citi Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, People's Bank of China

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