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Growth will wilt under the pressure of perpetually high interest rates, Chiavarone said, though he added that rolling recessions across industries are more likely than a sudden, 2008-style downturn. Higher-for-longer interest rates are the biggest threat to the US economy, Chiavarone said. Goldman SachsEighteen months of tightening financial conditions will have a profound impact on the economy, Chiavarone said. The multi-asset solutions head is watching how corporations respond next year when they're forced to refinance debt at much higher rates. Since they have plenty of cash on hand, these companies aren't reliant on external financing and can avoid exposure to lofty interest rates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Steve Chiavarone, Hermes, Chiavarone, it's, they're Organizations: Federated Hermes, Treasury, Federated, Federal, Fed, Companies, Consumer, Vanguard Consumer, ETF, Healthcare, Utilities, Vanguard Utilities
These money market funds have yields that top 5%
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
With yields at around 5%, money market funds have been attracting investors in droves — yet not all funds are the same. Right now, prime funds yield an average 5.18%, while the average government fund's yield is 4.98%, per iMoneyNet. The weighted average maturity of retail prime money market funds is around 32 days, said Shelly Antoniewicz, deputy chief economist at the Investment Company Institute. Correction: A table in an earlier version of this report incorrectly described the listed funds as government money market funds. They are prime money market funds.
Persons: Dave Lafferty, Deborah Cunningham, Shelly Antoniewicz, Hermes, Cunningham, Crane, Peter Crane Organizations: Crane Data, Schwab Asset Management, Federated Hermes, Investment Company Institute . Retail, Federal Reserve, ICI, Government, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo market strategists discuss the outlook for stocks in a higher rate environmentSteve Chiavarone, Equity Strategist at Federated Hermes, and Alex Morris, President & Chief Investment Officer of F/M Investments, discuss the road ahead for stocks.
Persons: Steve Chiavarone, Alex Morris Organizations: Federated Hermes, Chief, Investments
The European Central Bank last week lifted rates to a record 4% and upgraded its inflation forecast for 2024, but the euro fell and has lost almost 2% against the dollar this month. Overall, Europe's central banks "would like to portray this idea of higher for longer (rates)," said Ed Hutchings, head of rates at Aviva Investors. The currency, which the central bank labeled "unjustifiably weak," barely caught a break and remains near a record low against the euro . He expected one the of big European central banks to be the first to cut rates. European central banks were "in a bind," Fiotakis added, as higher oil prices also threatened to push inflation higher.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Sterling, Kit Juckes, BoE, SocGen's Juckes, Ed Hutchings, Nathan Thooft, Bjoern, Fiotakis, Orla Garvey, Naomi Rovnick, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Sterling, LONDON, Bank of, Swiss, greenback, Societe Generale, European Central Bank, ECB, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Aviva Investors, Investment Management, Reuters, DWS Group, Nomura, ING, Barclays, Federated, Thomson Locations: Swiss, Bank of England, Switzerland, Sweden, Europe, U.S, Western Europe, United States, Britain, Swedish, Japan, European
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is going to broaden out, says Federated Hermes' Steve AuthSteve Auth, Federated Hermes Equities CIO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the future of the market, his stock picks, and more.
Persons: Federated Hermes, Steve Auth Steve Auth Organizations: Federated, Hermes
SoftBank's Arm soars in market debut to notch $60 bln valuation
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Arm executives and CEO Rene Haas gather outside Nasdaq Market site, as Softbank's Arm, chip design firm, holds an initial public offering (IPO), in New York, U.S., September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsSept 14 (Reuters) - Shares in SoftBank's Arm Holdings ARM.O opened 18% above their offer price in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, valuing the British chip designer at nearly $60 billion in its return to the public markets after seven years. The stock opened at $56.10 per American Depositary Share compared with the initial public offering (IPO) price of $51, and steadily extended gains to just over $60. "The Arm IPO is the most hyped listing we've had in the markets for a while." Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News teamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, SALMAN MALIK, ANSON, ” OWEN LAU, JORDAN STUART, , ” “, ’ ” DANIEL KLAUSNER, HOULIHAN, haven't, , ” KYLE RODDA, ANDREW Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Holdings ARM.O, OPPENHEIMER, FEDERATED HERMES, OF, PUBLIC, ROSENBLATT, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S,
Tesla stock rallied over 5% on Monday after a Morgan Stanley (MS.N) note suggested the automaker's Dojo supercomputer could bolster Tesla's market value. Hazeltree, which tracks 12,000 equities globally, said the second and third most shorted stocks last month were Charter Communications (CHTR.O) and Apple (AAPL.O) respectively. Those included investors with funds taking long and short positions in stocks: Diamond Hill, Leuthold Funds and Forum Funds. "Taking out a short position against Tesla, as Gates did, results in the highest return only if a company goes bankrupt!" Hedge funds were net short consumer discretionary stocks, which would include Tesla, for the year ending Sept. 8, according to the Goldman note.
Persons: Mike Blake, Hazeltree, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Blackstone, Federated Hermes, Elon Musk, Bill Gates, Musk, Walter Isaacson, Gates, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, I've, Dan Izzo, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Kevin Liffey Organizations: REUTERS, automaker's, Charter Communications, Apple, Securities and Exchange Commission, Funds, Capital Management, Federated, Microsoft, Thomson Locations: Mojave , California, U.S
Fundraising and deal-making have dropped sharply at European private debt funds, new data shows. Faisal Ramzan, a partner at law firm Proskauer Rose who advises private credit funds, said he was not seeing default. "There's plenty of dry powder," said Fidelity International's head of private credit strategies Michael Curtis, referring to capital raised already. Joanna Layton, managing director of European private credit at Alcentra, one of Europe's largest private debt managers, added there was "no rush" to deploy capital. High rates have also made private credit less appealing to institutional investors, analysts said.
Persons: Henry Nicholls, Francesco Sandrini, BoE, Andrew Cruickshank, Cruickshank, Pictet, Patrick Marshall, Faisal Ramzan, Proskauer Rose, Michael Curtis, Joanna Layton, Mark Brenke, Ardian, Chris Sier, Sier, Dhara Ranasinghe, Catherine Evans Organizations: City, REUTERS, Reuters Graphics Reuters, The Bank of, European Central Bank, Graphics, Deloitte, Fitch, Federated Hermes, Fidelity International, ClearGlass, Thomson Locations: London's, London, Britain, The Bank of England
Federated Hermes Can Fly as High Rates Linger
  + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Telis Demos | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
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Persons: Dow Jones
LONDON, Aug 25 (Reuters) - In an investment world trumpeting new-found ethical and sustainability guidelines, the seeming indifference of markets to democratic credentials still remains stark. There's little doubt that emerging market risks are many and rising for Western investors. What's more, there were as many emerging economies in its sample with relatively low bond spreads in the group with very low V&A scores as the group with very high V&A scores. If you removed those two wipeouts, screening just for V&A democratic values made much less difference to the bottom line. "Taking heed of these geopolitical risks could be the crucial difference between securing your returns or ending up with nothing."
Persons: Morgan's, Eamon Aghdasi, Mina Tomovska, Saker Nusseibeh, Nick Macfie Organizations: U.S ., Hermes, Financial, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Iran, UAE, Egypt, Argentina, Ukraine, Taiwan, Boston, Belarus, Washington
REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG/AMSTERDAM, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Global investors fleeing China have one simple message for the country's leadership: put prudence aside for a short while, and start spending big. "At this point there is confusion and, as long as there is confusion, then there's lack of credibility and that means investors are more likely to stay away," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Global Investors in London. Prominent examples are heavy Chinese government spending during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and its swift intervention during the 2015 market crash. But the subsidies need to come from local governments, many of which are cash-strapped or even drowning in debt and unable to pay their civil servants. The lack of concrete stimulus measures now is prompting many China watchers to downgrade their growth estimates for the next few years.
Persons: Aly, China's, Seema Shah, Chen Zhao, Zhao, hasn't, Frederik Ducrozet, Ducrozet, Principal's Shah, Yan Wang, Xi Jinping's, we’ve, Lorraine Tan, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Yoruk, Xie Yu, Ankur Banerjee, Tom Westbrook, Li Gu, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Global Investors, policymaking Politburo, Pictet Wealth Management, Local, UBS Bank, Federated Hermes, Foreigners, Asia, Morningstar, Thomson Locations: Huangpu, Shanghai, China, HONG KONG, AMSTERDAM, London, Beijing, Japan, United States, New York, Amsterdam, Hong Kong, Singapore
The upshot, some believe, is that there is now less cash on the sidelines to drive further gains and fewer skeptical investors to win over. The bank’s survey of fund managers showed cash allocations dropped to 4.8% in August, the lowest level in 21 months. Bearishness among retail investors, meanwhile, is at half the levels seen in September 2022, according to the AAII Sentiment Survey. Should the market stabilize, investors will likely reallocate more cash to stocks later in the year, she said. Of course, while optimism has grown, it is still far from extreme, and cash levels are far from historical lows.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s “, Willie Delwiche, Quincy Krosby, Steve Chiavarone, Chiavarone, , David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, BofA Global Research, Mount Research, Federal, U.S ., China Evergrande, HK, U.S, LPL, Federated Hermes, Thomson Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are chasing cash flow instead of staples and utilities, says CAPTRUST's Mike VogelzangSteve Auth, Federated Hermes Equities CIO, and Mike Vogelzang, CAPTRUST CIO, along with CNBC's Steve Liesman, join 'The Exchange' to discuss marginal increases in consumer income, resuming student loan repayments adding strain to consumer spending, and small-cap stocks with impressive cash flows.
Persons: Mike Vogelzang Steve Auth, Mike Vogelzang, Steve Liesman Organizations: Hermes, CAPTRUST
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChiavarone: Rising yields could spook markets, but we'd be buyers of that weaknessSteve Chiavarone, Senior Portfolio Manager and Equity Strategist at Federated Hermes, discusses his investment positioning and the outlook for the markets.
Persons: Steve Chiavarone Organizations: Federated Hermes
AI could transform business like the internet – or end up in the tech graveyard like the Metaverse. Companies will have a chance to show that their increased spending on AI tech helped them make more money, over the quarter in which ChatGPT fully established itself in the public consciousness. Zealots have used early success stories like Nvidia, Tesla, and other mega-cap names to argue that AI is like a new version of the internet – technology that outlasts a period of initial hype, and then transforms the way that business is done forever. But for every dot-com boom there's so-called "disruptive tech" like crypto or the Metaverse – fads that end up losing companies money, rather than boosting their profits. In other words, soon companies will have to show that AI can raise their profits like the internet did – or else it'll be consigned to the tech graveyard like the Metaverse was.
Persons: Jensen, Jordan Stuart, Federated Hermes Organizations: Morning, America, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Tesla, Federated Locations: ChatGPT
AI could transform business the way the internet did – or be consigned to the tech graveyard like the Metaverse was. Companies will have a chance to show that their increased spending on AI tech helped them make more money, over the quarter in which ChatGPT fully established itself in the public consciousness. But for every dot-com boom there's so-called "disruptive tech" like crypto or the Metaverse – fads that end up losing companies money, rather than boosting their profits. "But finding companies that can actually make money using this technology is going to be really difficult." In other words, soon companies will have to show that AI can raise their profits like the internet did – or else it'll be consigned to the tech graveyard like the Metaverse was.
Persons: Jensen, Jordan Stuart, Federated Hermes Organizations: Morning, America, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Tesla, Federated Locations: ChatGPT
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Contrast Capital's Ron Insana and Federated Hermes' Phil OrlandoPhil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes, and Ron Insana, Contrast Capital Partners co-CEO, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss the latest jobs report, what to expect from the Fed's next meeting, and more.
Persons: Ron Insana, Hermes, Phil Orlando Phil Orlando Organizations: Federated Hermes, Capital Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will raise rates two more times, says Contrast Capital’s Ron InsanaPhil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes, and Ron Insana, Contrast Capital Partners co-CEO, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss the latest jobs report, what to expect from the Fed's next meeting, and more.
Persons: Ron Insana Phil Orlando, Ron Insana Organizations: Federated Hermes, Capital Partners
Six months later, the promise of generative AI has boosted the Nasdaq Composite 31.7%, notching its best first half since 1983 . Betting on Nvidia Nvidia took Wall Street by storm this year. No matter how AI evolves, Nvidia was seen by many investors as a main beneficiary. Even with the stock's stellar performance, and recent entrance into the $1 trillion market cap club, investors aren't shying away just yet. "There will be an opportunity to get into some of these stocks at probably better levels than you're at now," Szilagyi said.
Persons: ChatGPT, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Jan Szilagyi, aren't shying, Sylvia Jablonski, Paul Meeks, Meeks, it's, Jordan Stuart, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Stuart, Szilagyi Organizations: Microsoft, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Apple, Mahoney Asset Management, Nvidia Nvidia, Nvidia —, Independent Solutions, Management, Investors, Big Tech, Federated Hermes, Novo Nordisk's Ozempic Locations: Hong Kong
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Federated Hermes CIO and Sri-Kumar Global Strategies PresidentSteve Auth, Federated Hermes Equities CIO, and Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the IPO market, pricing in a recession, and projections for core CPI numbers.
Persons: Steve Auth, Kumar Organizations: Federated Hermes CIO, Kumar Global, Hermes, Sri, Kumar
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAn IPO boom has never been a good indicator for equities, says Sri Kumar Global Strategies PresidentSteve Auth, Federated Hermes Equities CIO, and Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the IPO market, pricing in a recession, and projections for core CPI numbers.
Persons: Sri Kumar, Steve Auth, Kumar Organizations: Sri, Sri Kumar Global, Hermes, Kumar
Dollar eases after jump in U.S. jobless claims; Fed in focus
  + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee deals with U.S. one-hundred dollar banknotes at a bank on June 16, 2022 in Hai an, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province of China. The dollar retreated on Friday, dragged down by lower U.S. Treasury yields after a spike in weekly jobless claims raised hopes that a peak in U.S. interest rates was near, as the focus turned to the upcoming week packed with central bank meetings. Against the Japanese yen , the greenback dipped to a one-week low of 138.765, tracking a slide in U.S. Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield last stood at 3.7317%, after falling 7 basis points on Thursday. So that'll show up in payrolls numbers and jobless claims and these sorts of numbers," said Jarrod Kerr, chief economist at Kiwibank.
Persons: Jarrod Kerr, Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Mohammed Elmi Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federated Hermes Locations: Hai, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province, China, Asia, U.S, Kiwibank, United States
June 5 (Reuters) - Turkey's lira slid almost 1% on Monday in thin trading during the Asian day to weaken past 21 per dollar, in a shaky initial reaction to the appointment of highly-regarded Mehmet Simsek as finance minister. The lira hit 21.1 to the dollar, not far above a record low of 21.8 made last week. Simsek, 56, won markets' confidence during terms as finance minister and deputy prime minister between 2009 and 2018. Turkey's annual consumer price inflation hit a 24-year peak beyond 85% last year, and stood at 44% in April in a sign that further monetary tightening was required, according to Elmi. "A simple return to credible economic policy could see a marked change in Turkey's investment appeal," he said.
Persons: Mehmet Simsek, Tayyip Erdogan's, Mohammed Elmi, Tom Westbrook, Shri Navaratnam, Jamie Freed Organizations: Federated Hermes, Thomson Locations: Turkey
"While it appears to be a hot number on the actual number of people employed, the wage rate is not increasing as fast," said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners in Pittsburgh. The data brought relief to investors who mostly expect the Fed to pause hiking rates at its policy meeting on June 13-14. But some pointed to the much hotter-than-expected jobs data as a sign the Fed still has not yet tamed inflation. All 11 S&P 500 sectors advanced, with the materials index (.SPLRCM) leading, up 3.4%, and the consumer discretionary sector (.SPLRCD), housing Amazon, close behind, rising 2.2%. The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 74 new highs and 40 new lows.
Persons: Kim Forrest, Phil Orlando, Nobody’s, Michael Landsberg, Herbert Lash, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi, Shashwat Chauhan, Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Maju Samuel Organizations: Amazon, Nvidia, Reserve, Labor Department, Bokeh Capital Partners, Fed, Federal Reserve, Federated Hermes, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Verizon Communications Inc, T Inc, Mobile US Inc, Inc, U.S, Verizon, Mobile, Nvidia Corp, Landsberg Bennett, Wealth Management, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Washington, Pittsburgh, New York, Punta Gorda , Florida, Bengaluru
Banks typically sold these perpetual bonds - known as AT1 bonds - with five years before an option to repay was triggered. In the past, investors got their money back, and banks replaced the bonds with new ones, but some are changing tack. The banks' actions show how the wipeout of billions of dollars of Credit Suisse AT1 bonds still reverberates around this market, which is estimated at roughly $275 billion. "The AT1 market is splitting," said Alessandro Cameroni, a portfolio manager at asset manager Lemanik. SHOCK ABSORBERThe AT1 bonds were designed to help banks absorb losses, and they count towards their capital buffers.
Persons: Kai Pfaffenbach, Banks, Alessandro Cameroni, Lemanik, Peter Harvey, Federated Hermes, Italy's, Morgan Stanley, Karsten Junius, J . Safra Sarasin, Chiara Elisei, Carlo Giovanni Boffa, Jane Merriman Organizations: REUTERS, Suisse, Raiffeisen Bank, Reuters, Deutsche, Aareal Bank, Credit Suisse, Investors, Federated, Lloyds, Societe Generale, UBS, Santander, J ., Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Ukraine, Swiss, Schroders, Russia
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