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Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
Gold's record-breaking rally may have even more room to run, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Lina Thomas forecasts the commodity will rise around 10% by December 2025, hitting the $3,000 threshold in that period. After advancing to a fresh record last week , spot gold reached an all-time high on Wednesday. "We still see significant hedging value in long gold positions in geopolitical or macroeconomic scenarios that are less friendly for equity-bond portfolios than our soft landing base case," she wrote. That said, she anticipates demand moderation could also allow for more upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas Organizations: U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, London
Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlok: We have not seen any signs of a slowdown since the Fed started raising rates in 2022Apollo Global chief economist Torsten Slok says the data over the past several weeks and months shows the U.S. economy continues to do just fine, and this week's jobs report will go a long way towards what the Fed does next week.
Persons: Torsten Slok Organizations: Fed, Apollo Global Locations: U.S
AdvertisementIn the third quarter, US economic growth fell short of expectations but remained strong. "The increase in real GDP primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending," the news release said. Consumer spending was a particular highlight, with personal consumption expenditures growing at a strong 3.7% annualized rate. AdvertisementThe weaker-than-expected GDP growth doesn't necessarily mean the US is heading toward a recession. Investment in nonresidential equipment had another strong quarter, surging at an annualized rate of 11.1%.
Persons: , David Kelly, Hurricane Helene, Hurricane Milton, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Investment, Fed, Morgan Asset Management, Commerce Department, Hurricane Locations: Hurricane
September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.
Persons: September's, , Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI
Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Big Tech earnings start today, with roughly $12 trillion in market cap reporting over three days. Mark Zuckerberg hasn't shied away from saying his company will keep spending big on AI, and the market hasn't minded. Judging by Meta Connect 2024 and its CTO's comments , the tech giant wants to own the market for AI-powered wearables.
Persons: , We'll, Insider's Kelly Cloonan, We're, Mark Zuckerberg hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Big Tech, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, AWS, Apple, Apple Intelligence Locations: China, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe disinflationary path will be a lot slower than people anticipate, says Subadra RajappaSubadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of U.S. rate strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, what to make of the volatility in bond market, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Subadra Organizations: Societe Generale
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday lamented rising bond yields' effect on the market, saying this action could narrow the rally to tech and diminish broader sector gains. Some on Wall Street were expecting bond yields to decline after the Federal Reserve issued a hefty 50-basis-point cut and indicated there would be more to come over the next several months. Cramer said investors are drawn back to tech stocks as higher rates complicate the growth narratives for economically sensitive corners of the market. In recent months, investors were hoping that lower borrowing costs would help companies — such as those in the industrial sector and other housing-related areas — see an increase in business and, by extension, their stock prices. "If [the bond market] doesn't stop its retreat, then we're going to start questioning the idea that the Fed will keep cutting rates, ushering in a fabulous economy for 2025," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq
The U.S. Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates as much as markets expect because "embedded inflation" is too high, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink said Tuesday, speaking at a CEO-studded panel in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The Biden administration's legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, have pushed those efforts forward. "Today, I think we have governmental policies that are embedded inflationary, and, with that being said, we're not gonna see interest rates as low as people are forecasting," Fink said. The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in September, signaling a turning point in its management of the U.S. economy and in its outlook for inflation. In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings predicted two additional interest rate cuts by the end of 2024, and expect such reductions to continue into 2025.
Persons: Andrew Ross Sorkin, Larry Fink, Saudi Arabia . Fink, " Fink, onshoring, we're, Fink, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, New York Times DealBook, Jazz, Lincoln Center, U.S . Federal, Blackrock, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Biden, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Fed, Fitch, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Standard Chartered Locations: New York City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, China, U.S
Watch CNBC’s full interview with Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki
  + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Bernstein’s Dan SuzukiBernstein’s Dan Suzuki and MAI Capital’s Chris Grisanti, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the yield moves, a potential Fed pause and earnings season.
Persons: Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki, Dan Suzuki, Chris Grisanti Organizations: MAI
Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.
Persons: , Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central
There is uncertainty abound about the future direction of the stock market heading into what many say is the most important presidential election of our lifetimes. In the elevated volatility levels that began in late September heading into the election. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX in black) trades with an inverse relationship to the S & P 500. As the S & P 500 goes lower, people become fearful as they buy put option protection pushing the general level of option prices (both puts and calls) higher. This creates the inverse relationship of VIX and S & P 500.
Persons: NVDA, we'll, we're, Todd Gordon, Gordon, Schwab Organizations: Nvidia, Google, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: NVDA
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Shares of Stanley Black & Decker were pairing some of their post-earnings losses since the Morning Meeting was recorded — down about 9% now. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Larry Fink, bode, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Danaher, Horton, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Big Tech, Club, BlackRock, Home, VF Corp, Pfizer, AMD Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over 2 basis points at 4.304%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last up by less than 1 basis point at 4.146%. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Tuesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield continuing to trade at multi-month highs as investors looked to upcoming economic data. On Tuesday investors will be watching out for fresh consumer confidence insights and home price data as well as the latest JOLTS job openings figures. Those are the first of a series of labor market related data releases slated for the week.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders, Fed
The outcome of this snap election signals that Ishiba may face difficulties in getting his party's policies passed in parliament. These include "more fiscal stimulus measures," and a cut in tax rates, Okamura added. His comments come amid expectations of the Bank of Japan leaving its rates unchanged at its meeting on Oct. 31. 'High-quality companies' Okamura is now betting on "higher quality companies with good pricing power." The five are also among the top holdings in the 19.1 billion yen (124.6 million) Japan Equity Engagement Fund .
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Izumi Devalier, CNBC's, Neuberger Berman's Kei Okamura, Okamura —, , Okamura, bode Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of America, Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of Japan, Hitachi, Mitsubishi Logistics, Tokyo Marine Holdings, Japan Equity, Tokyo Marine Locations: Japan, Tokyo, shareholdings
There could be trouble ahead for consumers and the economy if interest rates don't come down, the latest financial results from D.R. "While mortgage rates have decreased from their highs earlier this year, many potential homebuyers expect rates to be lower in 2025," he said in a statement . Horton year to date The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily . Mortgage rates are tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which has recently spiked higher. For the fiscal fourth quarter that just ended, it reported earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $10 billion.
Persons: Horton, David Auld, LSEG Organizations: Wall, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Toll, Pulte, KB, Home Locations: Arlington , Texas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy is doing better than the Fed expected, says Bernstein’s Dan SuzukiBernstein’s Dan Suzuki and MAI Capital’s Chris Grisanti, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the yield moves, a potential Fed pause and earnings season.
Persons: Bernstein’s Dan Suzuki, Dan Suzuki, Chris Grisanti Organizations: MAI
Mortgage rates will remain above 6% throughout 2025, Goldman Sachs said. In the bank's 2025 Housing Outlook, the analysts forecast mortgage rates will remain elevated, even as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. They expect mortgage rates to stay above 6% next year and end 2025 at 6.1%. "Our strategists expect mortgage rates to remain elevated for the foreseeable future," the analysts, led by Jan Hatzius, said in a Monday note. AdvertisementThey pointed to a variety of technical factors, including lower rates volatility and a rebound in demand for mortgage-backed securities that will help close the gap between risk-free rates and mortgage rates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Freddie Mac, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Analysts, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury
The Commerce Department is expected to report Wednesday that gross domestic product grew at a hardy 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, adjusted for seasonality and inflation, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Along with that, the release is expected to show that inflation moved closer or perhaps even below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The Fed uses the personal consumption expenditures price index, included in the GDP estimate, as its primary inflation gauge. The report, then, should indicate a solid economy and easing inflation , the latter at least on a relative basis from how things looked a year ago. "Overall, another quarter of above-trend growth and a benign inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed."
Persons: Dow, Oliver Allen, Allen, nudging, Alice Zheng Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Pantheon, stoke, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says the Fed will cut rates just once more this year. The market sees two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of the year. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve will disappoint markets by cutting interest rates just one more time in 2024, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said. Fink said the Fed will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year amid a rise in global inflation. The central bank kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis point cut last month.
Persons: Larry Fink, , Fink, " Fink, we're, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, Fed, Service, Reserve, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs Act, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTeeter: It's important to stay the course here, even though there will be some volatilityRobert Teeter of Silvercrest Asset Management discusses the number of potential catalysts that could impact the markets in coming weeks, including the jobs report, the election, earnings, and the next Fed meeting.
Persons: Robert Teeter Organizations: Silvercrest, Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's no need for aggressive rate cuts to stimulate the economy: Advisors Capital's JoAnne FeeneyJoAnne Feeney, Advisors Capital Management partner and portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Capital's JoAnne Feeney JoAnne Feeney Organizations: Capital Management
Gold slips as dollar firms; market eyes crucial U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A one kilogram gold bar sits on top of silver bars. Gold prices fell on Monday as the U.S. dollar held firm, while investors awaited U.S. economic data for fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,733.01 per ounce, as of 0232 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold less appealing for other currency holders. Gold hit a record high of $2,758.37 on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties.
Persons: Tim Waterer, CME's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ali Khamenei, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, KCM, Fed, Iranian Locations: U.S
This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China
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