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Here's what Yun expects for mortgage rates, home sales, and home prices in 2023. A one percentage point rise in mortgage rates may not sound like much, but it's a monumental shift. And while it's not his base case, Yun said that 8% mortgage rates can't be ruled out if already-high inflation "gets out of hand." "If mortgage rates moderate and the economy continues adding jobs, then home buying should also stabilize." Expensive markets like San Francisco, Los Angeles, New York City, and Seattle are among the cities that are most sensitive to higher mortgage rates, Yun said.
A reverse currency war is underway, with central banks around the world struggling to keep pace with an aggressive Fed and a soaring dollar that's climbing like it's got somewhere better to be. Rather than trying to devalue currencies like in traditional "currency wars," policymakers are doing the reverse in trying to engineer gains. The thinking behind a reverse currency war goes something like this: Central banks want to make their currencies stronger — via monetary policy tightening — so that the US dollar doesn't leave them in the dust. And with central banks focused on monetary tightening, these reverse currency wars raise the odds of a widespread economic downturn. Last week's rate-hike blitz showed that central banks will trigger a downturn, the asset manager said.
The US housing market is firmly in a recession as existing home sales keep sliding. Nadia Evangelou of the National Association of Realtors shared what's next for the housing market. The trajectory of the housing market is heavily dependent on mortgage rates, Evangelou noted. But that's no guarantee as the Federal Reserve's interest rate-hiking cycle affects US Treasuries, which in turn sway mortgage rates, she said. So for that reason, we think that mortgage rates usually are pricing some of these upcoming rate hikes."
"This means the monthly mortgage payment remains the same during the loan period. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage calculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and have increased significantly so far in 2022. Inflation remains elevated, but has started to slow, which is a good sign for mortgage rates and the broader economy.
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