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☆ Global equity funds experience notable outflows amid U.S. yield worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Investors pulled out a net $7.46 billion from global equity funds during the week, extending outflows into a sixth straight week, data from LSEG showed. European equity funds logged about $7.39 billion worth of outflows during the week, the biggest amount since Sept. 28, 2022. Investors also divested $2.69 billion worth of U.S. equity funds but poured $2.53 billion in Asian funds. Investors also accumulated $18.3 billion worth of money market funds after $108.7 billion worth of net selling a week ago. Data covering 28,654 emerging market funds showed that investors exited EM equity funds of $2.55 billion, extending outflows into an 11th straight week.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, Alison Williams Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Investors, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Commodities, Energy, Thomson Locations: outflows, LSEG, Bengaluru

☆ Earnings will 'make or break' European stocks — here's what to watch, according to analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors will look to the upcoming earnings season to see whether stocks can recover from recent losses or if more declines are ahead. "All year, we've seen the steady weakening in European soft data and, more recently, hard data. In a note titled "Q3 Earnings - Make or break," Barclays analysts echoed that sentiment, suggesting that despite resilient earnings thus far, more mixed third-quarter economic indicators hint at equally varied results. UBS analysts have identified stocks that could surprise, both positively and negatively, when their earnings results are released in the coming weeks. Fowler said UBS analysts have historically been pretty accurate at predicting surprises, especially when combined with a value investing bias, which has tended to outperform.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, we've, Fowler, CNBC's, Fowler isn't, Emmanuel Cau, Stocks Organizations: UBS, Barclays, Santander, Ryanair, Siemens Energy, Nordic, Universal Music, AstraZeneca Locations: Europe

☆ European markets open at seven-month low on stuttering global sentiment
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Hannah Ward-Glenton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index opened 0.7% down, with most sectors in negative territory. Mining stocks saw the biggest drop with a 1.5% decline, followed by household goods, which fell 1.3%. European equity markets opened at a seven-month low Friday, Reuters data shows, as investors digest comments out of the U.S. and global sentiment stutters. Powell did not lay out a specific policy path but also gave no indication that a further interest rate hike was on the cards. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index provisionally closed 1.16% lower Thursday, its lowest close since March 15, according to LSEG data.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Fed, Union, Treasury Locations: Washington, Asia, Pacific

☆ Germany is the 'sore athlete' of Europe, not its 'sick man,' Deutsche Bank strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGermany is the 'sore athlete' of Europe, not its 'sick man,' Deutsche Bank strategist saysMaximilian Uleer, head of European equity and cross asset strategy at Deutsche Bank, explains why "sick man" is "too bad" a term to describe Germany.

Persons: Maximilian Uleer Organizations: Deutsche Bank Locations: Europe, Germany

☆ Morning Bid: Equity bounce ebbs with eyes on Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Israeli soldiers stand near to a tank near Israel's border with Lebanon in northern Israel, October 16, 2023. U.S. and European equity futures were flat, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.7%. British wages data, U.S. retail sales figures and corporate earnings are the calendar items in focus. In China, where gross domestic product data is due on Wednesday, Country Garden (2007.HK) was on the brink of a possible offshore default. Reuters reported China's civil servants and state-enterprise employees face tighter travel constraints, as Beijing wages a campaign against foreign influence.

Persons: Lisi Niesner, Tom Westbrook, Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Edmund Klamann Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Israel, Investors, Tel, HK, Reuters, Bank of Australia, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: Lebanon, Israel, Tom, Tom Westbrook Asia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Russian, Beijing, China, Iran, Tel Aviv, Australia, New Zealand

☆ BMO promotes Alan Tannenbaum to head capital markets division
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Bank of Montreal (BMO) logo is seen outside of a branch in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, February 14, 2019. Tannenbaum joined BMO in 2010 and has held multiple leadership roles, most recently leading global investment and corporate banking, where he worked with corporate, government and financial sponsor clients worldwide. Before then, he headed the global corporate finance solutions group, where he was responsible for capital raising activities. CEO Darryl White said Tannenbaum is "well-positioned to capture new growth opportunities" for BMO Capital Markets. Brad Chapin will take over for Tannenbaum as global head, investment and corporate banking on an interim basis, BMO said.

Persons: Chris Wattie, Alan Tannenbaum, Dan Barclay, Tannenbaum, Darryl White, Barclay, White, Brad Chapin, Nivedita Balu, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: of Montreal, BMO, REUTERS, Companies Bank of Montreal, Bank of Montreal, BMO Capital Markets, Lehman Brothers, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, TORONTO, London, New York, Toronto

☆ Deutsche Bank strategists recommend equity overweight into 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Deutsche Bank logo is seen in this illustration taken March 12, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Strategists at Deutsche Bank have recommended an overweight in equities into 2024, as risks are now well reflected in the market and those are about to turn into opportunities. "We anticipated weaker growth, disappointing beats in earnings and disappointing central bank communication into Q3," Deutsche Bank strategists, led by Maximilian Uleer, head of European Equity- and Cross Asset Strategy, said in a note. The bank has set its 2024 forecast for the STOXX 600 (.STOXX) at 510, for the Euro STOXX 50 (.STOXX50E) at 4,850 and DAX 40 (.GDAXI) at 18,000. Deutsche Bank added it remained neutral U.S. equities versus Europe, while within Europe is underweight the Switzerland's SMI (.SSMI) due to its "defensive character into a bullish market."

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Maximilian Uleer, DAX, Uleer, Brent, Samuel Indyk, Amanda Cooper, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Deutsche Bank, REUTERS, European Equity, Europe, Thomson Locations: Europe, Israel, Palestine

Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 1.2% at $1,854.10 per ounce. Among those is the potential of a rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.

Persons: Brent, ”, Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Noel Randewich, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Murphy, Sylvest Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany

Oct 9 (Reuters) - Fears of a widening conflict in the Middle East are threatening more volatility for investors after a painful stretch in U.S. markets. Investors were on guard for the potential of the conflict spreading to embroil other countries, including Iran, and a continued spike in oil prices. Prices for gold, a popular destination for investors during uncertain times, were up 0.9% at $1,849.40 per ounce. Among those is a potential rebound in oil prices that could weigh on U.S. economic growth and endanger the so-called soft landing narrative that has helped boost stocks this year. “The worst-case scenario from a geopolitical risk perspective would be a full-scale confrontation between Israel and Iran,” said Tina Fordham, geopolitical strategist and founder of Fordham Global Foresight.

Persons: Brent, ”, Mohit Kumar, Tina Fordham, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Emmanuel Cau, Althea Spinozzi, Naomi Rovnick, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Davide Barbuscia, Marc Jones, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: Jefferies, Fordham Global Foresight, Federal Reserve, Sylvest Wealth Management, Treasury, Barclays, Mobileye, Intel, Solaredge Technologies, East, Saxo Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Gaza, Iran, Europe, London, Israel, United States, Germany

"The recent decline in European luxury stocks reflects the uncertainty over the European economy and also the uneven growth outlook for the Chinese economy," Garnry said. Reuters GraphicsTHE LUXURY GAPAlthough luxury valuations have come down, they are still well above the rest of the market. The end of the French luxury group's 2-1/2 year-long reign was widely put down to investors losing appetite for luxury stocks as well as the growth of Novo's anti-obesity drug Wegovy. Some analysts have turned cautious on the luxury sector, with UBS last week reducing its estimates to account for the risk of slowing Chinese consumption. Gerry Fowler, head of European equity strategy and global derivative strategy at UBS, said risks in luxury stocks started to become more apparent in May.

Persons: Louis, Stephanie Lecocq, Bernard Ahkong, Peter Garnry, Garnry, LVMH, Morgan Stanley, Gerry Fowler, Bernstein, Gilles Guibout, Lucy Raitano, Mimosa Spencer, Amanda Cooper, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, Paris Fashion, U.S, UBS O'Connor Global, Alpha, Saxo Bank, Reuters Graphics, GAP, Novo Nordisk, UBS, Bank of America, AXA Investment Mangers, Thomson Locations: Paris, France, PARIS, Europe, U.S, China, United States

☆ JPMorgan says the peak in yields is near, but it won't be good for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A peak in bond yields may be near but that's not necessarily good news for equity investors, according to JPMorgan. Mislav Matejka, head of global and European equity strategy at JPMorgan, expects bond yields will soon fall after their recent rise. For bond traders, that could be an opportunity to position for a long duration trade, Matejka said. "The move up in bond yields might not be sustainable; our fixed income team is looking for yields to fall from current levels in most places." "If bond yields roll over, will it help equity valuations?"

Persons: that's, Mislav Matejka, Matejka Organizations: JPMorgan, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Traders, Equity, U.S Locations: U.S, Japan, Europe

☆ Global bond funds register big outflows on rate worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

According to LSEG data, global bond funds suffered disposals of $3.25 billion on a net basis, compared with $2.29 billion worth of net purchases in the week before. High-yield bond funds booked $3.11 billion of net selling during the week, the biggest outflow in six months. Investors also shed $300 million worth of corporate bond funds while pouring about $2.35 million into government bond funds. Data showed global equity funds experienced a net $10.7 billion worth of outflow, the biggest in a week since Aug. 23. Data for emerging markets comprising 28,251 funds showed that equity funds’ outflows stood at $3.7 billion, the highest since June 7.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, outflows, ’ outflows Organizations: Reuters, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Investors, ’ Locations: New York City, U.S, outflows, outgo

☆ High oil prices don't make Europe energy stocks attractive to all
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Lucy Raitano | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The STOXX 600 European oil and gas index (.SXEP) is at its highest since mid-February, having gained around 13.5% in the past two months. In the same period, benchmark Brent crude has risen 18% and European natural gas prices have gained 50%. He said higher oil prices could prompt upgrades to earnings estimates, and potentially dividends too. "The whole energy sector should benefit, but the downstream sector is looking very cheap and offers a high dividend which is attractive given higher interest rates," said Cau. Bank of America strategists have an underweight rating on European energy stocks.

Persons: Heinz, Peter Bader, Brent, Mislav Matejka, Morgan Stanley, Emmanuel Cau, Andreas Bruckner, Lucy Raitano, Amanda Cooper, Miral Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, Reuters, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: Zistersdorf, Austria, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China

☆ Some opportunities are opening up in the luxury space, equity strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSome opportunities are opening up in the luxury space, equity strategist saysMichael Field, European equity strategist at Morningstar, discusses the outlook for consumer goods and travel.

Persons: Michael Field Organizations: Morningstar

☆ Lags starting to appear in areas of U.S. economy: UBS
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLags starting to appear in areas of U.S. economy: UBSGerry Fowler, head of European equity strategy at UBS, discusses Fed cuts, the U.S. economy and market responses.

Persons: UBS Gerry Fowler Organizations: UBS Locations: U.S

☆ Bounce in European property stocks: false start or turning point?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Danilo Masoni | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

MILAN, Aug 24 (Reuters) - It's hard to be bullish about real estate in an environment of sharply higher interest rates. Two years of steep falls have made European property a short-seller favourite as sector valuations and investor positioning plunged to levels last seen during the 2008 global financial crisis. A gauge of European real estate shares (.SX86P) has halved in value to about $131 billion since 2021, but the mood shifted in July as earnings expectations improved. "Things aren't great for real estate companies and that's why they are trading at a huge discount. Meanwhile, BlackRock's iShares European Property ETF (IPRP.L) has seen a 10% surge in inflows from late February, according to data on its website.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, Zsolt Kohalmi, BlackRock's, Natixis, Banks, Charles de Boissezon, Kohalmi, UBS's Fowler, Danilo Masoni, Sinead Cruise, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: MILAN, European Equity, UBS, European Central Bank, Pictet, Advisors, P Global Market Intelligence, Property, Bank of, Societe Generale, Equity, Thomson Locations: Europe, London, U.S

☆ Stock markets face a 'perfect storm' as high rates and China fears bite, analysts warn
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on August 16, 2023 in New York City. large scale fiscal stimulus) we acknowledge sentiment on China is unlikely to reverse sustainably on its own." Cau suggested this poses a problem for European and U.K. stocks. As such, Barclays is recommending investors should take a "barbell" approach involving allocations to cyclical and defensive stocks and a "value tilt." A value tilt refers to tipping a portfolio towards stocks perceived to be trading at a discount relative to their financial fundamentals.

Persons: Michael M, Russ Mould, bunds, Emmanuel Cau, Cau Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Bell, U.S, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Barclays, European Equity Locations: New York City, U.S ., Silicon, China

☆ Morning Bid: Soft landing fatigue
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Positive economic data tends to move stock markets, either by fueling rallies, or prompting a temporary sell-off as traders take profits. But Wall Street stock markets ended Thursday flat. Futures point to mild declines for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 on Friday. The S&P 500 has risen 16% year-to-date. Analysts have cut their estimates for S&P 500 companies' 2023 earnings by about 15% since the end of last year, Capital Economics says.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Naomi Rovnick, Emmanuel Cau, Cau, Ned Davis, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Barclays, Economics, Capital Economics, Ned Davis Research, U.S Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, University of Michigan, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Tuscany

☆ Weak guidance is overshadowing positive European earnings, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWeak guidance is overshadowing positive European earnings, analyst saysMaximilian Uleer, head of European equity and cross asset strategy at Deutsche Bank, discusses the European earnings season.

Persons: Maximilian Uleer Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ European stocks are in for a big fall — and the signs are in the economic data, UBS and BofA warn
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investment banks are bearish about European stocks because of a rapid deterioration in economic data. Strategists at UBS expect the Stoxx Europe 600 index to decline by 12.5% to 410 by the end of the year from its current level of 468. .STOXX 1Y line "The 'new orders' outlook for many of the service sectors in Europe seems to have deteriorated quite rapidly. The Wall Street bank's strategists noted that the global growth acceleration behind the recent rally in European stocks appears to be fading. Opportunities in a bleak market Despite the bleak outlook for the market, UBS' Fowler sees some opportunities.

Persons: Gerry Fowler, Fowler, CNBC's, We've, Sebastian Raedler Organizations: UBS, of America Locations: Europe, June's, Germany, France

☆ UBS: Outlook for service sectors in Europe seems to have deteriorated quite rapidly
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS: Outlook for service sectors in Europe seems to have deteriorated quite rapidlyGerry Fowler, head of european equity strategy at investment bank UBS said a significant factor behind the bank's poor outlook for European equities is the worsening outlook for new orders in many of Europe's service sectors.

Persons: Gerry Fowler Organizations: UBS, Outlook Locations: Europe

☆ Tech and luxury goods face high bar on earnings expectations, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech and luxury goods face high bar on earnings expectations, Barclays saysEmmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays, weighs in on the latest batch of corporate results in Europe.

Persons: Emmanuel Cau Organizations: Email Tech, Barclays Locations: Europe

☆ Global equity funds see first weekly outflow in four weeks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

July 21 (Reuters) - Global equity funds witnessed their first weekly outflow in four weeks in the week to July 19, reflecting concerns over slower growth in China and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week. According to Refinitiv Lipper data, global equity funds observed a net $2.67 billion worth of net selling in the week ended July 19, booking their first weekly outflow since June 21. Investors withdrew $3.04 billion from U.S. equity funds while purchasing Asian and European equity funds to the tune of $609 million and $336 million, respectively. Government and corporate bond funds attracted $627 million and $724 million worth of inflows, respectively. Meanwhile, data for 24,134 emerging market funds showed equity funds received $1.1 billion, the biggest weekly inflow since May 3, while bond funds obtained about $568 million, marking a third straight weekly inflow.

Persons: Gaurav Dogra, Patturaja, David Holmes Organizations: Global, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S . Commerce Department, Investors, Government, Thomson Locations: China, Bengaluru

U.S. stocks have made big gains this year, but the performance across global stocks has been uneven so far. So where will global stocks go in the second half of the year? Five of the strategists polled expect global markets to fall, while another five say the stocks will beat their U.S. counterparts. Global market bulls Those who expect global stocks to beat the U.S. are most bullish on the U.K., Europe and Japan. Global market bears Andreas Bruckner, European equity strategist at BofA Global Research, predicts that Europe's Stoxx 600 will end the year at 390 — a nearly 15% decline from Monday's close.

Persons: Christian Abuide, Karim Chedid, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Andreas Bruckner, Mark Haefele, Bruckner, Roger Lee, Lee, Haefele, Carrier Organizations: CNBC Pro, U.S, Lombard, iShares, BofA Global Research, UBS Global Wealth, Nasdaq, UBS, RBC Wealth Management Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe

☆ Watchdog with teeth can help EU hunt unicorns
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-11 | by ( Rebecca Christie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Yet the EU today is a long way from uniting its capital markets. By comparison, the United States has seven exchange groups, three listings exchanges and 16 trading exchanges, along with one clearing house and one depository. Bringing capital markets together through better regulation, as well as better market incentives, could keep the next generation of unicorns home. Follow @rebeccawire on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSEuropean Union leaders called for the EU to improve capital markets as part of a push for competitiveness at summits in March and June. Capital markets union is an EU endeavour launched in 2014 as a long-term project to boost investment across borders.

Persons: –, Austria’s i5invest, Backes, Magdalena Rzeczkowska, Nadia Calviño, ESMA, ” Calviño, won’t, centralisation, Francesco Guerrera, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, EU, ABC Fitness Solutions, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Canada, Berlin Brands Group, European Securities and Markets Authority, European, Central, Union, European Commission, Capital, Thomson Locations: BRUSSELS, Europe, China, Ukraine, Arkansas, London, Switzerland, United States, IPOs, Belgian, U.S, Paris, spillovers, Luxembourg, Poland, Brussels, EU, wean

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