DIRS.INFO top alerts submit data jurnalism about API
login
Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "Dubravko"


19 mentions found


☆ 'Market instability' possible before last-minute debt ceiling deal, JPMorgan says
  + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The looming potential of a federal debt default could soon cause a sharp increase in fear in the stock market, according to JPMorgan Chase. "Our base case remains that the debt ceiling ultimately does get lifted/suspended though the journey to that end could be at the eleventh hour and drive significantly higher market instability than appreciated by the market currently," Lakos-Bujas wrote. as a consequence of partial/comprehensive debt ceiling deal and/or Federal budget negotiation in the fall of this year," Lakos-Bujas wrote. One way for investors to guard against a sharp move in stocks is to buy call spreads on the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) , often called Wall Street's fear index. .VIX 1Y mountain The Cboe Volatility Index is trading near its lowest level of the past year.
☆ Expect rotation into defensive stocks to continue, says JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect rotation into defensive stocks to continue, says JPMorgan's Dubravko LakosDubravko Lakos, JPMorgan global head of equity macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the risk of recession and his post-risk playbook.
☆ Stock futures rise slightly following Apple earnings: Live updates
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 21, 2023 in New York City. Stock futures ticked higher Thursday evening. S&P 500 futures inched up by 0.24%, while futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 46 points, or 0.14%. The S&P 500 lost 0.72%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.49%. The S&P 500 is off 2.6%, while the Nasdaq is off 2.1%.
☆ A.I. enthusiasm is responsible for the bulk of the stock market’s gain this year
  + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Digging deeper into the gains, Nvidia turns up as a big winner. Meta Platforms shares have doubled. If the Fed signals a pause Wednesday and rates fall, the market could see tech stocks rip higher. To be sure, other factors besides for AI have contributed to this year's rally in technology stocks. Jason Tauber, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman said AI stocks should start to experience bifurcation from here on out.
☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes says a 60% decline in the S&P 500 is likely as high valuations and weak investor sentiment create a 'trap door' scenario
  + stars: | 2023-04-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
The chart below shows how far the S&P 500 would have to fall to provide either a 10% return or 2% premium over Treasury bonds. He sees the S&P 500 finishing 2023 at around 3,150, he told YouTube channel Wealthion. Predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. Predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up 0.8% over the past year.
☆ 'The risk of recession is far from priced in': JPMorgan warns stocks are set up for a 'bearish outcome' as investors crowd into the top names in the market at rates last seen in the 2000 and 2008 bubb
  + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Investors are crowding into the biggest stocks in the S&P 500 at levels seen in prior bubbles. On a surface level, the S&P 500 looks like it's having a stellar start to 2023. The chart below shows crowding levels in low-volatility stocks, which investors seek in recessionary environments. If the US economy continues to avoid a recession, stocks could be well positioned to continue their gains this year. But many strategists believe a downturn — or at least a pullback in earnings — will drag the S&P 500 down to its October 2022 lows, or worse.
☆ Next week's stock market moves hinge on the longer-term outlook for earnings
  + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
Next week's market action could be dictated by how well the latest quarterly reports from corporate America are received. Expectations about the immediate earnings outlook have been down for so long, the actual numbers themselves could look like up to investors. Earnings for all financials in the S & P 500 are actually expected to expand in the first quarter by 4.3%. ET: NAHB Housing Market Index (April) Earnings: Charles Schwab, M & T Bank, State Street, J.B. Hunt Transport Tuesday 8:30 a.m. ET: Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speaks on the economic outlook Earnings: AT & T, American Express, D.R.
☆ Here's what even a 'mild' recession would look like for stocks
  + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
That is hardly an "earnings recession." More accurately: analysts are predicting a mild "earnings recession" for the first half of the year, but then a rebound in the second half. The strategists have good reason to be nervous Strategists are nervous because the market is priced for a perfect landing. It is not even priced for a "mild" recession. The difference between a "mild" recession and a "deep" recession on stocks is enormous: a "typical" recession will produce an earnings decline of 10%-20%, and a multiple compression of 20%-25%.
☆ JPMorgan says commercial real estate decline is intensifying. Beware these exposed stocks
  + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
As commercial real estate comes under even greater pressure, investors should steer clear of these stocks that are overexposed to the sector, JPMorgan said. Commercial real estate is already facing more challenges this year than other parts of real estate, such as retail or lodging. Last year, office real estate dropped 37.6%, also on a total return basis. Given this, JPMorgan screened for a basket of stocks with direct and indirect exposure to U.S. commercial real estate. JPMorgan also identified pharmacy store chains Walgreens Boots Alliance and CVS Health as having direct exposure to any slowdown in commercial real estate.
☆ Lean toward high quality balance sheets that can withstand elevated capital costs, says JPM's Lakos
  + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLean toward high quality balance sheets that can withstand elevated capital costs, says JPM's LakosJPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss elevated rates and cost of capital, margin pressure from interest expense burden and constructing a defensive portfolio.
☆ JPMorgan says the market can't keep rising on bad news — and more bad news is coming
  + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bad news has recently been good news for the stock market, but that won't be the case much longer, according to Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan. "Lately, equities have been shrugging off bad economic news and rising on weaker [economic] data and lower yields," Lakos-Bujas said in a note. The S & P 500 has risen about 2% so far in 2023 following its worst year since 2008. JPMorgan's year-end S & P 500 year-end sits at 4,200, about 8% higher than the index's current level around 3,900. The bank's forecast is slightly higher than the average target among Wall Street strategists, according to CNBC's market strategist survey that rounds up 15 top strategists' outlooks.
☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas
  + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-BujasDubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist and global head of quantitative research at JPMorgan, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his year-end price target for the S&P, why margins will be under pressure this year, and more.
☆ JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos on what to expect in the market this year
  + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos on what to expect in the market this yearDubravko Lakos-Bujas, chief U.S. equity strategist and global head of quantitative research at JPMorgan, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his year-end price target for the S&P, why margins will be under pressure this year, and more.
☆ The Fed isn't going to make things easy for the market and stocks still have at least another 7% to fall, JPMorgan's chief equities strategist says
  + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Stocks still have at least 7% more to fall before hitting a bottom, according to JPMorgan's chief stock strategist Dubravko Lakos. He told CNBC that earnings estimates for 2023 are still too high, and the Fed would likely stay restrictive on monetary policy. "I don't think the Fed is going to make it easy for the market. He predicted the S&P 500 will dip at least to 3,600, representing a 7% decline from current levels, particularly since central bankers are expected to keep interest rates restrictive. The Fed hiked interest rates by 425 basis points last year to rein in inflation, leading the S&P 500 to sink 20% for its worst losses since 2008.
☆ Stocks, bonds, housing, crypto — JPMorgan worried consumers taking hits from everything simultaneously
  + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The economic and market pressures hitting consumers are likely to show even greater impact in 2023, according to JPMorgan. "Consumers have mostly exhausted post-Covid excess savings and for the first time are getting hit by a broadening negative wealth effect from all assets simultaneously (e.g., housing, bonds, equities, alternative/private investments, crypto). The proverbial snowball should continue to gain momentum next year as consumers and corporates more meaningfully cut discretionary spending and capital investments," Lakos-Bujas said. The S & P 500 is down about 14% in 2022, even with a recent rally. Lakos-Bujas wrote that he expects S & P 500 to test its recent lows in the first half of 2023 before rebounding, if the Fed starts to change its course.
☆ 10 stocks that could be ready to rip now that inflation is easing, according to JPMorgan
  + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
As inflation eases in the U.S., certain equities are poised to outperform, according to JPMorgan. Names poised to gain on lower inflation As this happens, some equities will see more of a benefit than others, according to the note. To identify such names, JPMorgan constructed an inflation underperformer basket, "a portfolio of stocks that are likely to underperform the broader market if inflation continues to rise and is expected to outperform the broader market if inflation surprises on the downside in the future." Popular beverage makers and restaurant chains should also get a boost if inflation eases, according to JPMorgan. "As inflation normalizes to a healthy rate and the cycle turns a corner, we would expect both reflation sensitive and long-duration sectors to outperform," wrote Lakos-Bujas.
☆ Expect flat growth next year, says JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos
  + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect flat growth next year, says JPMorgan's Dubravko LakosCNBC’s ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee, Bryn Talkington, Shannon Saccocia, Jason Snipe, Steve Weiss and JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos discuss the Fed and market outlook after today's jobs report.
☆ Watch CNBC’s full jobs report market discussion with the ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee & JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos
  + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full jobs report market discussion with the ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee & JPMorgan's Dubravko LakosCNBC’s ‘Halftime Report’ investment committee, Bryn Talkington, Shannon Saccocia, Jason Snipe, Steve Weiss and JPM's Dubravko Lakos, discuss the Fed and their market outlook post jobs report.
☆ Earnings at the half: reports of their death are greatly exaggerated, so far
  + stars: | 2022-07-29 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
S & P 500 2022 earnings: No recession in earnings Q2: +7.6% Q3: +9.0% Q4: +8.6% 2022: +8.8% 2023: +8.3% Source: Refinitiv Earnings are reflecting a slowdown, but not a recession Recessions almost always produce a decline in earnings. Amazon alone is expected to see an earnings decline of 90% this year (it has posted losses for two straight quarters). Consumer Discretionary earnings 2022 April 1: +6.9% Today: +0.7% Source: Refinitiv Communication Services are also seeing a decline in earnings expectations, led by Netflix and Meta (Facebook). Meta alone is expected to see total earnings decline 25% this year. However, other stocks in the sector, such as Walt Disney, are seeing earnings estimates move higher.
<< prev 1 next >>
Total: 19