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Morning Bid: ECB to follow Fed hike, Meta surges
  + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Fed Chair Jerome Powell remained equivocal about whether there was one more policy rate rise left this year and said Fed staff were no longer forecasting a recession - but futures markets continue to see a less than 50% chance of another move. Global stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) hit their highest since April last year on Thursday, with European stocks up more than 1% ahead of the ECB decision. The euro pushed higher against a softer dollar ahead of the announcement and press conference from ECB chief Christine Lagarde. The yen also firmed as the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its easy policy unchanged on Friday. The euro zone's biggest bank BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA), by contrast, beat Q2 estimates and the stock jumped 4%.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Meta, Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, Christine Lagarde, Willis Towers Watson, Giorgia Meloni, Joe Biden, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Fed, Treasury, Boeing, Dow, Wall, ECB, Bank of, Shell, Barclays, BNP, Central Bank, Intel, Ford, Boston Scientific, Myers Squibb, Honeywell, Xcel, Eastman Chemical, Pentair, Mastercard, P Global, Hershey, Digital Realty, Northrop Grumman, Weyerhaeuser, Cincinatti, Verisign, Comcast, Southwest Airlines, HCA, . Federal Reserve Board, Washington Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Exxon, Chevron, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Asia, Hong Kong, China, Abbvie, Bristol, Edison, Kansas, Basel III, Washington
Here's an unusual derivative play off the A.I. boom
  + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
One liquid cooling stock could be an unexpected beneficiary of the artificial intelligence boom as datacenters power stronger workloads, according to RBC Capital Markets. Liquid cooling demand could add one percentage point of annual growth for the company over the next five years, according to RBC. "Rising electricity prices, cost-effectiveness, space optimization through higher densities, AI growth, and ESG considerations are among the key market drivers," Dray said. "As the digital landscape continues to evolve, liquid cooling is poised to play a pivotal role in meeting the escalating cooling demand of modern datacenters." He also highlighted Dover , Eaton and Wesco as names with exposure to liquid cooling.
Persons: Deane Dray, Dray, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, RBC, datacenters, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Pentair, Dover, Eaton
A surge in demand for artificial intelligence at Oracle should have a positive effect on Digital Realty Trust , Deutsche Bank said. Analyst Matt Niknam pointed to commentary from Oracle CEO Safra Catz around "exploding AI demand" and "unprecedented" demand for the company's cloud services. Niknam has a $112 price target on Digital Realty, which implies shares could rally about 8% from Tuesday's close. As a real estate investment trust, Digital Realty also pays a dividend yield of about 4.6%. Demand is picking up for AI offerings from Digital Realty despite the company not doing much related leasing activity to date, Niknam said.
Persons: Matt Niknam, Safra, Niknam, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Oracle, Digital Realty Trust, Deutsche Bank, Safra Catz, Digital Realty Locations: Tuesday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDigital Realty CEO Andrew Power: A.I. technology will live in a data centerCNBC's Diana Olick and Digital Realty CEO Andrew Power join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's growth drivers, the impact of A.I., rising interest rates, and more.
Persons: Andrew Power, Diana Olick Organizations: Digital, Digital Realty
The S & P 500 is up 1.8% week to date, on pace for a third consecutive week in the green. Cruise companies Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line also had a strong week, gaining 7.8% and 9.3%, respectively. The consensus price target for shares implies just 7.2% additional upside, per FactSet data. Another cruise line on the list is Carnival , which saw shares rise 6.7% week to date. Dish could soar an additional 124.1% based off the average price target on shares.
Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Match, Cruise, Royal, Royal Caribbean, Dish, Bloomberg News, Enphase Energy, Intel, Netflix, Digital Realty Trust Locations: Royal Caribbean
The boom in artificial intelligence should create a big winner in one of the economic areas investors are most worried about, according to Jefferies. Analyst Jonathan Petersen said in a Tuesday note to clients that Digital Realty Trust, a real estate company focused on housing data centers, will gain pricing power because of the extra demand for computing power created by AI. Digital Realty is part of the broader commercial real estate sector, which many investors are trying to avoid with higher rates and signs the economy is slowing. "DLR's stock is up +14% since NVDA 's earnings release, but the stock only trades at a 15.6x [adjusted funds from operations] multiple. Jefferies has a buy rating and a price target of $129 per share for Digital Realty, or about 28% above where the stock closed Tuesday.
Persons: Jonathan Petersen, Jefferies, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Jefferies, Digital Realty Trust, Digital Realty Locations: Petersen
The S&P 500 (.SPX) index closed flat but remained near its highest level since August 2022, just above 4,200 points. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were still set for monthly gains in May. Over the weekend, U.S. President Joe Biden and Republican House of Representatives Speaker Kevin McCarthy agreed to temporarily suspend the debt ceiling and cap some federal spending. But I firmly believe a debt ceiling agreement will be approved before the June 5 drop dead date." Only four of the S&P 500's 11 sectors were higher, while declining stocks outweighed advancing shares on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Sam Stovall, Anthony Saglimbene, Thomas Hayes, FEDWATCH, Elon Musk, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Republican, Republicans, Nvidia Corp, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Digital, Federal, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Great, Capital, Labor, Thomson Locations: New York, Troy , Michigan, Philadelphia, China's, Beijing, Bengaluru
A stock is considered overbought if its 14-day RSI goes above 70, meaning investors should consider easing their exposure. Meanwhile, a stock with a 14-day RSI under 30 is considered oversold, meaning it may want more to that name. CNBC Pro screened for S & P 500 stocks in overbought territory, based on their relative strength index. Oracle topped the list with a 14-day RSI of 95.6. FRC 1M mountain FRC this past month Other stocks approaching oversold territory are Charles Schwab , Digital Realty , Applied Materials , AMD , C.H.
"I don't think there's any denying that AI is going to be the future," Jankowski said. 6 AI stocks to buyJankowski answered his own question by sharing six AI-focused stocks he's bullish on. "I don't think people realize or fully appreciate the sheer amount of computing capability it requires to run these programs and run AI," Jankowski said. Lastly, chipmakers whose silicon powers data centers will be among the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom, Jankowski said. "We're looking at semiconductor companies — companies that focus on data centers," Jankowski said.
Financial stress stemming from Silicon Valley Bank's collapse could spread, a top fund manager said. But that in itself is becoming an under-the-radar issue, he noted, as large banks' strength is now coming at the expense of regional banks — even those without issues. Since most regional banks aren't classified as "systemically important," their clients would be out of luck in the event of a bank failure, Hatfield noted. Unless the FDIC insures all deposits at all banks, Hatfield said that there will be no reason to put money in a non-protected regional bank. So they'll have a negative interest margin, they'll lose money, they'll get downgraded, and they'll go out of business."
Morning Bid: Growth trumps rates
  + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
While there were some questions about seasonal adjustments in the data, economists were impressed that sales growth was pretty broad based and have scrambled to re-crunch first quarter U.S. output forecasts as a result. There may be a more mixed picture from Thursday's data slate on producer prices, housing starts and weekly jobless claims. Even though rates futures and Treasury yields ticked back a bit today, pricing now has Fed policy rates moving as high as 5.25% and staying above 5% all year. And while full-year earnings growth estimates for S&P500 companies have sunk to zero, consensus forecasts are now pencilling in a rebound of almost 12% next year. Uncertainty about the pace of growth and annual tax receipts in April makes it difficult for government officials to predict the exact "X-date", it said.
Looking forward The January consumer price index (CPI) , which calculates the average change over time in prices that shoppers pay for goods and services, is slated for Tuesday. Economists and investors will use the number to gauge the odds of a soft landing or hard landing for the economy. The producer price index (PPI) for January, which calculates the change in selling prices received by producers of goods and services, is out on Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
With a majority of S & P 500 companies having posted their quarterly results, investors' focus will turn toward inflation and the consumer price index reading in the upcoming week. The three major indexes are on pace to end the week down, with the S & P 500 poised to post its worst performance since December. Sharp declines for Alphabet , which is off by more than 9% this week, dragged the tech-heavy index. January's consumer price index With the latest Powell speech in the books, investors are now looking ahead to the consumer price index for insight into the pace of inflation. "Retail sales and CPI is really driven by the consumer, and a lot of eyes are on how the consumer doing," Bruno said.
Dividend stocks may take center stage during rough economic conditions in 2023. Morningstar's Dave Sekera recently listed 10 cheap, high-quality dividend-paying stocks to buy now. As equity valuations slumped into an official bear market last year, high-quality dividend-paying stocks took center stage to rise above their more speculative peers. According to Morningstar chief US market strategist Dave Sekera, it's no coincidence that dividend stocks stole the show in 2022. 10 high-quality dividend payersIn the video, Sekera identified 10 high-quality stocks that are currently trading below their fair values, have high upside potential, and have a "relatively decent or healthy" dividend yield payout.
The S & P 500 is currently at around 3,839. Based on the current yield of 3.75%, the S & P 500 is "fairly valued" at 3,800 — implying no upside. 'Conviction themes' in 2023 Hatfield highlighted the "conviction investment themes" he expects to be very attractive in 2023. One asset class he highlighted was preferred stocks, which have the characteristics of both stocks and bonds . "We believe that preferred stocks are extremely attractive now as most are trading at more than a 20% discount to par.
The decline in issuance of data-center debt comes as chief financial officers across industries evaluate their funding options amid the Fed’s rate-hike campaign. Within the data-center sector in particular, that calculus for some companies involves assessing whether the timing is right to tap the securitization market despite the higher costs. What’s more, while the data-center sector is much bigger now than it was during the 2007-09 recession, it hasn’t been tested. The securitization market has historically provided Vantage with more money than it has needed to pay down its loans, Mr. Metwalli said. Digital Realty Trust Inc., a publicly traded company in the sector with an investment-grade rating, has avoided the securitization market.
With this in mind, CNBC Pro set out to find Wall Street's favorite stable stocks. If a stock has a beta of less than 1, it tends to be less volatile than the broader market. Health care names Bio-Rad Laboratories and Zoetis have the highest potential upside of any stock on the list, FactSet data shows. The tech giant has a five-year beta of 0.94 and has buy ratings from 82% of analysts covering it. The video game maker has a five-year beta of 0.76 and has buy ratings from 55% of analysts covering it.
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