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☆ TipRanks reveals the top 10 Wall Street industrial sector analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-18 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

TipRanks used its Experts Center tool to find the analysts sporting a high success rate. TipRanks' algorithms calculated the statistical significance of each rating, analysts' overall success rate, and the average return. Top 10 analysts from the consumer goods sectorThe image below shows the most successful Wall Street analysts from the industrial goods sector. The buy recommendation generated a return of 134.8% from May 14, 2020 to May 14, 2021. Christopher Glynn - OppenheimerChristopher Glynn has the 10th spot on the list, with a success rate of 60%.

Persons: CARR, Spencer Platt, TipRanks, Kenneth Herbert, Herbert, Leonardo, Stephen Volkmann, Jefferies Stephen Volkmann, Parker Hannifin, Seth Weber, Weber, Benoit Poirier – Desjardins Benoit Poirier, Keith Hughes, Stanley Elliott, Stifel Nicolaus, Andrew Kaplowitz, Julian Mitchell –, Julian Mitchell, Mitchell, Gautam Khanna —, Cowen Gautam Khanna, Christopher Glynn, Oppenheimer Christopher Glynn Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, RBC, Leonardo DRS, DRS, Wells, Herc Holdings, TFI, Truist, Caterpillar, Citi Citigroup, Julian Mitchell – Barclays, Barclays, Carrier, Johnson Locations: New York City, Wells Fargo Wells, Symbotic, Generac

☆ Exclusive: Canada bank regulator says lenders should urgently tackle risks from mortgage extensions
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Nivedita Balu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

TORONTO, June 13 (Reuters) - Canada's financial regulator is urging lenders to tackle risks from mortgage extensions at the "earliest opportunity" as many borrowers try to navigate higher mortgage costs after the Bank of Canada's surprise rate hike last week. Canada's central bank has raised interest rates to a 22-year high of 4.75% and analysts are betting on another 25 points increase next month. The regulator had warned in April that though the short-term fix to extend mortgage payment periods helped borrowers, it would keep them in debt for longer. As the interest rate rises, the mortgage payment no longer covers the interest payment portion, which results in the mortgage balance and negative amortization. "We believe risks are still elevated with the prospect of more rate hikes adding to the headwind on mortgage renewals," Rizvanovic said.

Persons: OSFI, Royce Mendes, Mendes, Mike Rizvanovic, Rizvanovic, Nivedita Balu, Denny Thomas, Nick Zieminski Organizations: TORONTO, Bank of, Reuters, Desjardins, Bank of Canada, Bank, Thomson Locations: Toronto

☆ Explainer: Why is the Canadian economy strong despite record pace of rate hikes?
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts are betting on another rate hike in July, to help the Bank of Canada bring inflation back down to its 2% range. Here are some factors that are keeping demand robust in the Canadian economy. The savings rate has halved to 2.9% in the first quarter from the fourth quarter of last year, Statistics Canada said. The central bank says the fiscal spending is not adding to inflation, but it is not helping bring it down either. ($1 = 1.3347 Canadian dollars)Reporting by Steve Scherer; Additional reporting by Nivedita Balu in Toronto; Editing by Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Randall Bartlett, Bartlett, Steve Scherer, Nivedita Balu, Paul Simao Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Desjardins, Statistics, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Statistics Canada, Provinces, Toronto

The economy shed a net 17,300 jobs in May, entirely in full-time work, while the jobless rate inched up to 5.2%, Statistics Canada said. Analysts surveyed by Reuters had forecast a net gain of 23,200 jobs and for the unemployment rate to edge up to 5.1% in May after staying at 5.0% since December. A series of surprisingly strong economic data and stubbornly high inflation led the Bank of Canada to raise its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75% on Wednesday. "While this is an ugly set of jobs data, the labour force survey is notoriously volatile," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. Reports on jobs, inflation and gross domestic product are due out ahead of the next policy announcement on July 12.

Persons: Andrew Grantham, Paul Beaudry, Beaudry, Royce Mendes, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Dale Smith, Susan Fenton, Nick Macfie, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: OTTAWA, Statistics, Reuters, Bank of Canada, Bank of, CIBC Capital Markets, Desjardins Group, Canadian, Thomson Locations: Canada, Statistics Canada, Bank of Canada, Ottawa, Toronto

☆ Analysis: Strong economy puts Bank of Canada's 4-month rate hike pause in doubt
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Inflation, which peaked at 8.1% last year, accelerated for the first time in 10 months in April to 4.4%, more than double the Bank of Canada's 2% target. The recent recovery in Canada's housing market is also putting pressure on prices, analysts say. "The Bank of Canada's penchant for surprising traders means that nothing can be ruled out," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. Mendes said there could be more than one rate hike in the cards, and Canadians should "brace themselves for a further tightening in financial conditions this summer". "The latest round of data adds weight to our view that the Bank will need to conduct an insurance rate hike at either of its next two meetings," said Jay Zhao-Murray, FX analyst at Monex Canada.

Persons: Stephen Brown, Royce Mendes, Mendes, Macklem, Jay Zhao, Murray, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas, Daniel Wallis Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Bank of Canada's, North, Capital Economics, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Desjardins Group, Monex Canada, Thomson Locations: North America, United States, States

While a federal election is not due until 2025, housing affordability is among the top concerns for Canadians who have grappled with supply shortages. The Liberal Party government's ambitious plan to welcome 500,000 immigrants per year by 2025, or about 1.25% of its population, is expected to fuel robust demand for housing. In April 2022, the Liberal government announced plans to double housing construction over the next decade. It's been 8 years (since he took power), and now, housing costs have doubled," Poilievre said on Twitter earlier this month. Speaking with the heads of Canada's municipalities last week, Trudeau said the government's next "long term infrastructure" plan will be revealed this autumn.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Randall Bartlett, Bartlett, Pierre Poilievre, Trudeau, Poilievre, Darrell Bricker, they're, Bricker, James Laird, Laird, Fergal Smith, Steve Scherer, Marguerita Choy Organizations: TORONTO, Bank of Canada, Liberal Party, Desjardins, Liberal, Housing, Canada Mortgage, Housing Corporation, Canadian Home Builders ' Association, Reuters, Conservative Party, Twitter, Toronto Area, Public Affairs, Thomson Locations: Toronto, Ottawa

☆ Bank of Canada seen holding on rates amid cooling inflation, financial turmoil
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Governor of the Bank of Canada Tiff Macklem walks outside the Bank of Canada building in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada June 22, 2020. Last month the Bank of Canada became the world's first major central bank to pause its tightening campaign, leaving its benchmark rate at 4.50%. However, bank failures in the United States and Europe have put central bankers on guard against a widespread credit crunch. All 33 economists polled by Reuters agree that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will hold its key overnight rate steady. "Hiking in this environment would put markets on high alert," said Jay Zhao-Murray, FX Market Analyst at Monex Canada, in a note.

The economy gained a net 34,700 jobs, almost entirely in the private sector, and the unemployment rate held steady at 5.0%, Statistics Canada reported. Analysts surveyed by Reuters had forecast that a net 12,000 jobs would be gained in March and the unemployment rate would edge up to 5.1%. Since December, the jobless rate has stayed just a notch above the record low of 4.9% observed in mid-2022. Thursday's jobs figures as well as robust GDP data released last week are likely to complicate the central bank's plans to avoid further rate moves. There were 18,800 full-time jobs added in the month, and 15,900 part-time jobs.

☆ Reactions: Canada 2023/24 budget deficit to jump, Ottawa to boost spending
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

JULES BOUDREAU, SENIOR ECONOMIST, MACKENZIE INVESTMENTS"The surprise was more on the revenue side more than the spending side. Prior to this budget we were not eligible for the carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) investment tax credit, but they have now broadened the eligibility parameters." "The big open question, heading into this budget was how was Canada going to react to the Inflation Reduction Act ... MARK ZACHARIAS, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF CLEAN ENERGY CANADA"We thought today's budget was generally excellent and it sets Canada on a path for prosperity. "The investment tax credits for clean tech manufacturing positions Canada as a leader, particularly in zero-emissions vehicles."

☆ Canada to ramp up clean-tech push in budget to level playing field with US
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

In Canada, there's more pressure to step up green investments to level the playing field with the United States, which passed a series of massive incentives in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) last year. Last week Freeland said Canada is at a "crucial crossroads" for the green transition and that it would be "reckless" not to make major investments in clean tech. But she has also said she does not want to fuel inflation and slowing growth means fiscal responsibility is warranted. The budget will also include an increase in federal healthcare spending promised earlier this year to the provinces, which administer the public health system. Reporting by Steve Scherer; Editing by Andrea Ricci and Chizu NomiyamaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File PhotoMONTREAL, March 23 (Reuters) - Business jet maker Bombardier Inc (BBDb.TO) on Thursday raised 2025 revenue and free cash flow targets at its investor day, and said it would produce more corporate planes, sending shares up 4.9% in morning trade. Corporate jet makers have reported swelling order backlogs on persistent strong demand for private flying in the U.S. He said Bombardier expects to produce about 150 business jets by 2025, and is targeting more than $9 billion in annual revenue, up from an earlier goal of $7.5 billion. With no announced 2025 capex target and the entry into service of its flagship Global 7500 in 2018, investors and analysts are expected to raise questions over plans for a new jet. Desjardins analyst Benoit Poirier said Bombardier's free cash, revenue and deliveries targets were stronger than expected and deemed the lack of a capex commitment less risky.

☆ Bank of Canada and Fed head for historic divergence, in a blow to loonie
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] A sign is pictured outside the Bank of Canada building in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, May 23, 2017. A lower expected peak for Canadian rates has pressured the Canadian dollar against its U.S. counterpart. ,Canadian rates have peaked below U.S. rates in the three major tightening cycles since the start of the millennium, with the gap ranging between 50 and 75 basis points. "Poring over the national accounts, it's increasingly clear that interest-sensitive demand has wilted in Canada," Warren Lovely and Taylor Schleich, strategists at National Bank of Canada, said in a note after the recent GDP data. Still, there could be a limit to how much interest-rate divergence the BoC will allow, say analysts.

☆ Bank of Canada seen leaving rates unchanged as growth stalls
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem holds a news conference at the Bank of Canada, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Ottawa, Canada, June 22, 2020. "We expect the Bank of Canada to be the first G10 central bank to hold rates," said Jay Zhao-Murray, a forex analyst at Monex Canada. Money markets expect the policy rate to be left on hold on Wednesday but are pricing in another tightening by September. "Look for the Bank of Canada to point to slowing GDP growth and inflation when justifying its decision to maintain the level of rates," said Royce Mendes and Tiago Figueiredo, Desjardins economists, in a note. "The central bank is unlikely to do much to endorse the view that further rate hikes will be necessary," they said.

☆ Canada has firepower to invest billions in green transition, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-24 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

OTTAWA, Feb 24 (Reuters) - Canada has the firepower to invest billions of dollars in the green transition over the coming years to make it more competitive with the United States, analysts said, while also ensuring its public finances stay on a sustainable path. Because nominal growth is forecast to be weak in the 2023/24 fiscal year, the ratio might creep up before heading downward again. Many in industry say Canada must do more to be a key player in the green transition as the IRA is already spurring investment in the United States. Bartlett estimates Canada could spend an additional C$20 billion ($14.9 billion) per year and keep the net debt-to-GDP ratio below 2021/22's 45.5%, which was the lowest in the G7. Promised investments in the green transition will not "be overly inflationary" and they would provide certainty for investors and businesses, Bartlett said.

The jobless rate held steady at 5%, which is just a decimal point higher than the record low, Statistics Canada (Statscan) said. Analysts surveyed by Reuters had forecast a net gain of 15,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to edge up to 5.1% in January. "However, that won't stop markets reacting to today's strong data by pricing in a greater probability of further hikes, and pricing out rate cuts," he said. Before the jobs numbers, markets had been betting that the Bank of Canada's next move would be to cut rates. When he announced a pause on rates, Governor Tiff Macklem said it was "conditional" and did not rule out further increases.

☆ Bombardier jet deliveries to rise in 2023 on private flying boost
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] An attendee exits the Bombardier Global 6500 business jet at the National Business Aviation Association (NBAA) exhibition in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. October 21, 2019. REUTERS/David Becker/File PhotoFeb 9 (Reuters) - Canada's Bombardier Inc (BBDb.TO) on Thursday forecast higher business jet deliveries for 2023, after strong demand for private flying drove its quarterly results above expectations despite persistent supply-chain snags. Cessna jet maker Textron Inc (TXT.N) had also offered a strong 2023 forecast last month. It forecast 2023 revenue of more than $7.6 billion, compared with estimates of $7.69 billion, according to Refinitiv data. Free cash flow is expected to be over $250 million, compared with last year's $735 million.

[1/2] A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto January 23, 2015. "We are turning the corner on inflation," Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem told reporters. If the economy evolves as forecast, the bank "expects to hold the policy rate at its current level while it assesses the impact of the cumulative interest rate increases," the statement announcing the rate hike said. "Governing Council is prepared to increase the policy rate further if needed to return inflation to the 2% target," the statement said. "The Bank of Canada is back to using forward guidance," said Royce Mendes, director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins.

☆ Strong Canada retail sales forecast adds fodder to rate hike argument
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Ismail Shakil | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

The November monthly sales decline was less than the 0.5% drop analysts expected. By volume, retail sales were down 0.4% in November from October, Statistics Canada said. "Ongoing economic momentum will likely prompt the Bank of Canada to raise rates another 25bps next week," Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group, said in a note. Money markets see a roughly 70% chance of a quarter-point hike by the Bank of Canada next week. Reporting by Ismail Shakil and Dale Smith in Ottawa Editing by Frances KerryOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ This global ETF is the only fund that's posted gains every year for the past decade
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An ETF tracking Canadian consumer stocks is the only major fund to have had a positive return every year over the past decade, data shows. The Canadian-dollar-based fund beat the SPDR S & P 500 ETF (SPY) by 59 percentage points in total returns over the past decade. It also outperformed the Canada-focussed iShares Core S & P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF (XIC) by about 125 percentage points over the same period. The Canadian consumer staples ETF has risen by 2% this year to 85.9 Canadian dollars ($64.15) a share. Unlike the larger index funds, the iShares S & P/TSX Capped Consumer Staples Index ETF includes just 11 stocks, with a significant weighting toward the food retail and packaged foods sectors.

OTTAWA, Dec 21 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate eased to 6.8% in November as gasoline price rose more slowly, data showed on Wednesday, leaving the door open for another interest rate increase in January. Consumer prices rose 0.1% from October, Statistics Canada said, above analysts' expectations they would be flat. Excluding food and energy, prices rose 5.4% versus a 5.3% gain in October. "Today's data will leave the door open to a 25 basis point rate hike in November," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. Gasoline prices rose 13.7% after gaining 17.8% in October, largely driven by price declines in Western Canada, Statscan said.

☆ Canada October retail sales up 1.4% on gasoline, seen down 0.5% in November
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

October retail sales gained the most in five months, though it was a notch lower than the 1.5% rise forecast by analysts. September's decline was revised downward a decimal point to 0.6% from a previously reported drop of 0.5%, Statistics Canada said. October sales were driven mostly by price increases at gasoline stations and in food and beverage, Statistics Canada said. In volume terms, retail sales were flat. "Retail sales posted a solid increase in October, though the gain came from higher prices, particularly at gasoline stations," Shelly Kaushik, an economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note.

OTTAWA, Dec 8 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada will study the most recent economic data to gauge whether to raise interest rates further, a deputy governor said on Thursday, adding it would still move forcefully if necessary. "We expect our decisions will be more data-dependent," Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki said in a speech in Montreal, adding the bank was still prepared to be "forceful" with rates if necessary. "We are moving from how much to raise interest rates to whether to raise interest rates." Asked to clarify if being prepared to be "forceful" meant the bank was still prepared to make oversized rate moves, Kozicki said it was a hypothetical. Deliberations ahead of Wednesday's rate hike centered on how supply challenges are resolving, how higher rates are slowing demand, and how inflation and inflation expectations are evolving, Kozicki said.

The bank cited still-strong growth and tight labor markets as the reason for the latest increase. But it eliminated the forward guidance it has used since it began cranking rates higher in March, dropping language that said they would have to rise further. Money markets had bet on a 25-basis-point increase, but a slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll expected a 50-bps move. Overall, however, the central bank said that data supported its October forecast that growth would stall through the middle of next year. Additional reporting by Fergal Smith in Toronto, Editing by Sandra Maler, Kirsten Donovan and Deepa BabingtonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Bank of Canada set to hike rates, may signal it is near end of tightening cycle
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"It's a close call but we're expecting a 50-basis-point rate hike from the Bank of Canada," Benjamin Reitzes, Canadian rates and macro strategist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note. In October, the Bank of Canada forecast that economic growth would stall from the fourth quarter this year through the middle of next year. "Whether or not the Bank of Canada raises rates 25 or 50 basis points, there's a separate question about whether the Bank of Canada can or should really be committing to raise rates further in 2023," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group. The bank has been providing forward guidance that it "expects that the policy interest rate will need to rise further" since it began this tightening cycle. "At some point, the Bank of Canada is going to be in a position where it's appropriate to just let rates be for a while," Mendes said.

☆ Dealmakers face pressure to clinch M&A quickly in volatile markets
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( Maiya Keidan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

HSBC wrapped up the deal in just eights weeks after saying it was considering selling its Canadian business in early October. From its first contact, RBC, Canada's biggest lender, told HSBC it could close the deal quickly if selected, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters. After the final bids went in around mid-November, RBC said it could turn everything around in a week, the person added. In the United States, deal timelines fell by almost 30% to 66 days this year from last year, where transactions took more than one day to close, the data shows. Deal announcements are one thing but getting all the regulatory approvals to close a deal are another matter altogether.

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