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Why Biden worries about a third-party rival in 2024
  + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
This would normally be the part of the story where I’d tell you that a third-party candidate has little chance of winning next year – and I am telling you that. It’s also true, however, that 2024 is shaping up to be the kind of election Biden could lose primarily because of a third-party candidacy. This year it’s pretty clear that such a portion of third-party voters probably already exists for a simple reason: Biden and Trump are historically unpopular. The headlines and the fears Democrats have about a third-party candidate are, at least partially, a tacit acknowledgement that Biden is unpopular. So why aren’t we hearing Republicans worry about a third-party candidate?
Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden’s, , Cornel West’s, Joe Manchin, It’s, Biden, Let’s, Donald Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Ralph Nader’s, Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Nader, Trump, Hillary Clinton, don’t, FiveThirtyEight’s Geoffrey Skelley, We’re, Gary Johnson Organizations: CNN, , Democratic, Trump, Democrat, Florida –, Green Party, Republican, Biden, Republican Party, Quinnipiac University, Independent Locations: New Hampshire
Trump has long accused it and the U.S. Justice Department of being out to get him. Trump's closest rival for the nomination, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, decried the "weaponization" of federal bureaucracy after Trump's indictment. Haley said Trump had acted recklessly, although she also said the FBI and Justice Department had "lost all credibility with the American people." None of the Republican president campaigns responded to requests for comment about their criticism of federal law enforcement and calls for an overhaul. A spokesman for the Justice Department, which oversees the FBI, declined to comment.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kyle Kondik, University of Virginia Center for Politics . Trump, Trump's, Hillary Clinton, James Comey, Clinton, Hunter Biden, Joe Biden, Biden, Christopher Wray, Timothy Naftali, Naftali, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Nikki Haley, Haley, Bill Bowen, Bowen, Tim Reid, Nathan Layne, Gram Slattery, Ross Colvin, Alistair Bell Organizations: Republicans, Republican, Trump, U.S . Justice Department of, University of Virginia Center for Politics ., Reuters, White, FBI, Justice Department, Democratic, Department, New, South Carolina, Republican National Committee, U.S . Capitol, Thomson Locations: Russia, Florida, New Jersey, Arkansas, Portsmouth , New Hampshire
Special counsel John Durham slammed the FBI over its Trump-Russia investigation in a new report. DeSantis said the report showed "I was right," because he'd defended Trump as a US congressman. "What I would do is clean house top to bottom in these agencies," he said of the FBI and others. The report was published Monday and overseen by Special Counsel John Durham — who was appointed by former President Trump's attorney general Bill Barr — and was the conclusion of a four-yearlong investigation into the 2016 election. The FBI opened its investigation in July 2016 and Special Counsel Robert Mueller took over in 2017.
The special counsel who spent four years investigating the Trump-Russia probe accused the FBI of acting negligently by opening the investigation based on vague and insufficient information in a sweeping 300-page report made public Monday. The FBI responded to the report, indicating that the missteps identified by Durham have already been addressed. Durham's report examines in painstaking detail various aspects of the now infamous FBI investigation code-named "Crossfire Hurricane," which led to the appointment of Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Durham's investigation found that at the time, neither the FBI nor CIA had any intelligence suggesting an improper relationship between Trump and Russia. Durham appears to suggest that the intelligence information should have given the FBI pause in its pursuit of allegations involving the Trump campaign.
watch nowFormer President Donald Trump is charged with 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in connection with a scheme that directed hush money payments to two women before the 2016 presidential election. The 16-page indictment against Trump was unsealed Tuesday as he became the first former U.S. president ever to be arraigned on criminal charges. Follow CNBC.com's live coverage of former President Donald Trump's surrender and arraignment at the Manhattan criminal courthouse. Falsifying business records normally is a misdemeanor but can become a felony if done to cover up another crime. The checks first were issued by the Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust, while later ones came from Trump's bank account, prosecutors said.
"They've done nothing but harass this guy," said Gregg Hough, chair of the Republican party in Belknap County, New Hampshire, predicting the prosecution will boost Trump support "to the moon" if it fails to deliver a convincing conviction. In a statement on Thursday, Trump called the indictment "Political Persecution and Election Interference at the highest level in history," without providing evidence. John Feehery, a Republican strategist, described the Manhattan case as "silly" compared to the other probes hanging over Trump's campaign. At a campaign rally in Waco, Texas on Saturday, Trump likened the criminal investigations against him to a "Stalinist Russia horror show." Trump remains the front-runner in the 2024 Republican field, with the support of 44% of Republicans in a March Reuters/Ipsos, ahead of DeSantis' 30% support.
Trump has denied having an affair with Daniels, whose legal name is Stephanie Clifford. "I think this will strengthen the resolve of his supporters," said Ford O'Connell, a Republican strategist who represented Trump in many media appearances during the 2020 presidential campaign. "It’s not good for Trump, the question is how bad for Trump it is," said Sabato. Trump has defied predictions of his demise numerous times since he launched his bid for the White House in 2015. Trump remains the front-runner in the 2024 Republican field, with the support of 44% of Republicans in a Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Monday, ahead of DeSantis' 30% support.
Maryland ex-governor won't run for U.S. president
  + stars: | 2023-03-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Hogan, who served eight years as Maryland governor ending in January, is considered a moderate in a party that has moved rightward. Trump won his party's 2016 nomination after facing off against 16 other Republican candidates. "The stakes are too high for me to risk being part of another multicar pileup that could potentially help Mr. Trump recapture the nomination." He has one major opponent announced for the Republican nomination - former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley - though activist investor Vivek Ramaswamy also has entered the race. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo are among those considering challenging Trump for the nomination.
The last Republican to have won a U.S. presidential election as well as the popular vote was George W. Bush in 2004. Bush left office 14 years ago, in 2009, but social media users are claiming that the last Republican president who also won the popular vote left office nearly 30 years ago. During the 2004 presidential election, Bush defeated Democrat John F. Kerry and won the presidency with 286 electoral votes and 50.73% of the popular vote (page 4) (here). In all three elections, the winning candidate also had the popular vote. The last Republican president who also won the popular vote was George W. Bush in 2004, who left office 14 years ago.
"Donald Trump right now is a distraction for the Republican Party in trying to go forward. Yet the willingness of Republican party members to criticize Trump in conversations with Reuters is striking. She worked on his New Hampshire primary campaign, knocked on doors for him, urged anybody she met to vote for him. Despite signs of weariness with Trump, he will still be a formidable candidate in the New Hampshire primary, some party strategists said. His influence is still fairly significant," said Jim Merrill, a veteran New Hampshire Republican strategist.
[1/2] Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Ronna McDaniel reacts after being reelected at the winter meeting of the Republican National Committee in Dana Point, California, U.S., January 27, 2023. REUTERS/Mike BlakeDANA POINT, Calif., Jan 27 (Reuters) - The Republican National Committee reelected Ronna McDaniel to a fourth term as chairwoman, giving a mandate that would keep the Donald Trump-backed candidate in the top party post through the 2024 U.S. presidential elections. McDaniel beat challenger Harmeet Dhillon by 111 votes to 51 for another two-year term at an RNC members meeting in Dana Point, California, according to a party official. During her first three terms as Republican party chair, McDaniel has overseen Trump's 2020 presidential election defeat as well as a weaker-than-expected performance in the mid-term elections last November. Trump endorsed McDaniel for RNC chair in 2017 after she helped deliver her home state of Michigan in the 2016 presidential election in which he defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Trump’s campaign didn’t threaten a lawsuit, as some sources close to Trump thought he would. Trump has slightly more than 4.8 million followers on the platform, compared to nearly 88 million on Twitter and 34 million on Facebook. But Facebook subsequently changed its rules — including a limitation on high-volume advertising — and Trump's campaign protested. Twitter was credited with abetting Trump’s political rise, but his freewheeling style came across as unhinged even to many Republicans who started to oppose his Twitter use. “Moreover, every day that President Trump’s political voice remains silenced furthers an inappropriate interference in the American political and election process.”
Robert Mercer and Rebekah Mercer attend the 2017 TIME 100 Gala at Jazz at Lincoln Center on April 25, 2017 in New York City. Rebekah Mercer gave nothing to any pro-Trump group or Trump campaign entity during his last run for president, according to the filings. The 2016 Trump campaign then reportedly used that data to conduct some digital advertising. The Trump campaign paid Cambridge Analytica over $5.9 million for its services during the 2016 election cycle, according to the nonpartisan OpenSecrets. The pro-Trump super PAC funded in part by Robert Mercer also paid Cambridge Analytica just over $5.6 million that cycle, OpenSecrets says.
Mail-in and absentee ballot numbers in Pennsylvania’s Allegheny County and Philadelphia County have been misleadingly portrayed as proof of Democrats committing election fraud by social media users. They falsely claim that more Democrats requesting to vote by mail in Allegheny County than in Philadelphia County, despite there being more registered Democrats in Philadelphia County, is evidence of “cheating”. In both 2016 and 2018 Allegheny County had more mail in requests overall than Philadelphia County did. Reuters was unable to determine the reason for higher mail in voting in Allegheny County in 2016 and 2018. Of those, Democrat voters in Philadelphia requested 368,940 mail-in ballots while Allegheny received 288,044 applications by Democrat voters.
Trump took a dig at DeSantis on his social media platform, Truth Social, a day after the election. Trump won Florida in 2020 by a 3.4-percentage point margin. In this election, Trump did not endorse DeSantis, but the governor made huge inroads in the state. The weekend before the election Trump mocked DeSantis publicly as "Ron DeSanctimonious" and then did not invite the governor to campaign alongside him in Miami. He didn't all-out endorse the governor at the event, instead telling the crowd only to "reelect Ron DeSantis as your governor."
Ron DeSantis won Florida by wide margins — a turnaround from four years ago. In contrast, Trump twice won Florida, but his margins in 2020 against President Joe Biden were substantially smaller at 3.4-points. He didn't all-out endorse the governor at the event, instead telling the crowd only to "reelect Ron DeSantis as your governor." During the 2018 gubernatorial run, DeSantis leaned heavily on Trump's endorsement, which helped him win the GOP nomination. DeSantis raised an astounding amount of cash for a gubernatorial race, setting a record with more than $200 million raised through his political action committee, Friends of Ron DeSantis.
Ron DeSantis won Florida by wide margins — a turnaround from four years ago. In contrast, Trump twice won Florida, but his margins in 2020 against President Joe Biden were substantially smaller at 3.4-points. He didn't all-out endorse the governor at the event, instead telling the crowd only to "reelect Ron DeSantis as your governor." During the 2018 gubernatorial run, DeSantis leaned heavily on Trump's endorsement, which helped him win the GOP nomination. DeSantis raised an astounding amount of cash for a gubernatorial race, setting a record with more than $200 million raised through his political action committee, Friends of Ron DeSantis.
Philadelphia is demanding that Joe Biden's campaign pay up following a campaign event in November left the city cleaning up a water-logged FDR Park. Liza Acevedo, a spokesperson for the Biden presidential transition committee, confirmed Friday evening that the final payment is on its way. The rainy drive-in campaign event at FDR Park on November 01, 2020 left a water-logged muddy mess that the city had to clean up. Philadelphia City Hall has already raised taxes, cut some services, and laid off hundreds of government workers to balance its books. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is hoping that Biden's team will pay up faster than Democrat Hillary Clinton, who conducted a campaign event near Philadelphia City Hall in 2016.
Dozens of zombie congressional campaign committees together are sitting on nearly $200 million, NBCLX reported. More than half of the Romney presidential committee's remaining $92,000 was transferred to his US Senate committee, which reported about $325,000 cash on hand as of June 30. Asked why it took so long for Romney's campaign to shut down, a former Romney campaign official said it's a "several years' long process to shut down a presidential campaign committee." Obama terminated his 2012 presidential campaign committee more than two years ago, on July 15, 2018. Santorum's 2012 presidential committee owes about $450,000, while his 2016 presidential committee remains about $520,000 in arrears.
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