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The Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the week's gains. The anticipation and delivery of the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2020 helped drive the gains this week. The Fed issued a jumbo 50 basis point interest rate cut to "recalibrate" monetary policy, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell put it nine times during his FOMC speech on Wednesday. US stocks soared on Thursday after declining slightly on Wednesday, as investors had more time to digest the Fed's interest rate decision. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both hit record highs on Thursday.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Dow, Federal, Investors, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Dow Jones Industrial
Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty ImagesNew data shows a surge in trade between China and Mexico at a time of tough tariff talk during the presidential campaign. This nearshoring of manufacturing enables companies to change a product's origin of goods, also referred to as the "economic nationality" of a product. Data from freight analytics firm Xeneta shows China to Mexico container trade up by 26.2% from January to July 2024, after growing by 33% in 2023. Mexico is also a member of the Pacific Alliance, a trade bloc formed by Mexico, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. "Bilateral tariffs should be expected to lead to trade diversion, and that's exactly what happened in the aftermath of the trade war.
Persons: Patrick T, Fallon, Jordan Dethwart, Mary Lovely, Anthony Solomon, Simon Cohen, Peter Sand, Donald Trump, Trump, John Piatek, Biden, Piatek, Lovely, Moody's, Elon Musk, Musk, Tesla, Sand, Charles Van der Steene, Van der, Mexico —, Freightos, Erica York, York, Tim Robertson, Ian Arroyo, Arroyo, Saul Loeb Organizations: El, El Paso Sector, AFP, Getty, U.S, Companies, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Henco Logistics, European Union, European Free Trade Area, Pacific Partnership, Pacific Alliance, GEP, Motive, BMW, Ford, GM, Kia, gigafactory, Volvo, Pirelli, Michelin North America, Hyundai, SFK USA, Maersk, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, CNBC, United, Pacific, Port, U.S ., ITS Logistics, Tax, DHL Global, Dana, Afp Locations: El Paso, Mexico, New Mexico, Chihuahua, Sunland Park , New Mexico, China, Redwood Mexico, United States, Canada, U.S, Japan, Israel, Latin America, Chile, Colombia, Peru, USA, propping, Laredo , Texas, El Paso , Houston, San Diego, Monterrey, Fremont , California, Austin , Texas, Americas, Mexican, Monterrey . Mexico, East, lading, Maersk North America, Tijuana, El Paso , Texas, Pacific Coast Port, Lazaro, Laredo, Monterrey , California, U.S . West, U.S . East, Gulf, West Coast, Asia, Mexico City, Warren , Michigan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Commodity price movements Stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed's rate cut. The S&P climbed 1.7% to end at 5,713.64, the first time the broad-based index has broken through the 5,700 ceiling. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: Stocks, it's, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citi, HSBC, People's Bank of, Bank of, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, China, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Dinah Washington . Washington
US stocks traded slightly lower as investors pressed pause on the rally to record highs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit record highs on Thursday after the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut. Heavy trading is expected on Friday due to option expirations and S&P quarterly index rebalancing. AdvertisementUS stocks traded sightly lower on Friday as investors pressed pause on the ongoing rally to record highs. The so-called triple witching day occurs when there is a simultaneous expiration of stock options, index options, and index futures contracts.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Thursday's, Jerome, Brian Belski, Michael Reinking, Reinking Organizations: Federal, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NYSE, Here's
Indexes rallied to record highs as investors cheered Wednesday's rate cut from the Fed. Jobless claims reinforced the Fed's message of a strong labor market, with last weeks's claims down 12,000. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday, a day after a jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates for the first time in four years, slashing its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. The Fed's dot plot shows the central bank will likely cut another 50 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year.
Persons: , Dan Ives, Ives, Jerome Powell, Powell, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Fed . Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, ASML, Labor Department, Treasury, Fed, Trump Media Locations: Here's
Indexes rallied Thursday as investors continue to digest Wednesday's jumbo rate cut from the Fed. The Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in its first rate cut in over four years. AdvertisementUS stocks soared on Thursday in a late reaction to the Federal Reserve's jumbo interest rate cut. On Wednesday, the Fed issued its first interest rate cut since 2020, cutting its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. Bank of America analysts said after the meeting that they see 75 basis points of cuts in the fourth quarter and 125 basis points next year.
Persons: , Jerome Powell's, Dow, today's 50bp, Goldman Sachs, Powell, Gen Z's Organizations: Fed, Service, Federal, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Labor Department, SEC
U.S. crude oil fell Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's pivotal decision on interest rates later this afternoon. The oil market has been rattled this month by worries about a growing imbalance between supply and demand. Bulls are hoping that a decision by the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in years could put a bid into the market. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said a 25 basis point cut is probably already priced into the oil market. Traders are also waiting for the latest data on U.S. crude oil inventories at 10:30 am ET.
Persons: Matt Smith, Andy Lipow, Lipow Organizations: Federal, Americas, Kpler, Brent, Bulls, Fed, Lipow Oil Associates, Hezbollah, Traders Locations: U.S, China, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, Israel, Iran, Lebanon
What a Fed rate cut could mean for the world
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
watch nowThe U.S. Federal Reserve is on Wednesday heading for its first interest rate cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic — and despite the move being widely forecast, global investors are braced for impact. Global impactA key concern is the pressure interest rate differentials put on currencies. Oil and other commodities, usually priced in dollars, often receive a boost with a rate cut as a lower cost of borrowing can stimulate an economy and increase demand. "Interest rate cuts reduce the cost of borrowing in U.S. dollars, thereby creating easier liquidity conditions for companies around the world," Quilter Cheviot's Richard Carter continued via email. That includes whether the initial cut will reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points below its current 525 to 550 range.
Persons: , Richard Carter, Cheviot, Cheviot's Richard Carter Organizations: U.S . Federal, Turkish, U.S ., Fed, Federal, Equity Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland, Sweden
US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, , John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment
"We estimate that Brent could fall to roughly $50 per barrel in a moderate [U.S.] recession … We have a fairly benign view on the global economy," Struyven said during the conference. en Luckock global head of oil at Trafigura"Things are slowing down. Trading Giant Trafigura raised concerns about China's weak demand, and the global oil consumption tied to it. China's slowdown has spurred some to scour for alternative oil demand drivers, with a few eyeing India as a potential candidate. India is the third largest consumer of oil at around 5 million barrels of oil per day, 5% of the world's oil consumption.
Persons: Andrey Rudakov, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Struyven, Torbjörn Törnqvist, Ben Luckock, we're, Bing Chen, Gunvor Organizations: Tuapsinsky, Rosneft Oil, Bloomberg, Getty, Global Commodities, Daan, CNBC, Global, Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: Tuapse, Russia, China, U.S, Ukraine, India, Japan, Germany, Hong
Tuesday's retail sales data boosted soft landing outlooks. AdvertisementIndexes were mixed on Tuesday with investors still split on the potential size of an interest rate cut, with less than 24-hours to go before the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. Unanticipated strength in Tuesday's retail sales data convinced investors that the economy remains robust, and the S&P 500 briefly hit a record high before paring gains. Bond yields edged up ahead of the Fed decision, nodding to the possibility that the odds of a jumbo rate cut fell after retail sales surprised to the upside. AdvertisementStrong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.
Persons: , LPL, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, bitcoin, Treasury
Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday as the market eyed U.S. output concerns in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine and expectations of lower U.S. crude stockpiles. The market is keeping a close watch on the upcoming decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on the interest rate cut. A lower interest rate will reduce the cost of borrowing and can potentially lift oil demand by supporting economic growth. "Growing expectations of an aggressive rate cut boosted sentiment across the commodities complex," said ANZ analysts in a note, adding that ongoing supply disruptions also supported oil markets. China's oil refinery output fell for a fifth month in August amid declining fuel demand and weak export margins, government data showed on Saturday.
Persons: Hurricane Francine Organizations: Brent, Federal, U.S . Bureau of Safety, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ, Investors Locations: U.S . Gulf, Mexico, U.S, China
Stocks pushed higher as positive retail sales surprised investors. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's likely interest rate cut on Wednesday. AdvertisementStocks moved higher after stronger-than-expected US retail sales boosted confidence in consumer health, as the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting is set to kick off. Retail sales increased 0.1% last month, compared to consensus estimates of a 0.2% decline. Strong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.
Persons: Stocks, , That's, Scott Helfstein Organizations: Service, Federal, Investment, Global
Gold's rally to records shows no signs of slowing
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices just won't stop rising. Year to date, gold is up nearly 26% — outpacing the S & P 500's 18% gain. Since ETF holdings only increase gradually as the Fed cuts, this upside is not yet fully priced in." Investors seeking exposure to gold can obtain it through exchange traded funds, such as the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) . The fund, which tracks gold prices and charges 0.4% in fees, is up nearly 25% in 2024.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas, Christopher Danely Organizations: Reserve, Goldman, Miners, Gold Miners, Citigroup, Micron Technology
US stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of the Fed's expected rate cut later in the week. Fed fund futures show markets see odds of a 50 basis point cut as more likely than a 25 basis point move. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday ahead of a major Federal Reserve meeting that's expected to deliver the first interest rate cut in four years. Treasury yields dipped, with the 10-year bond down about one basis point to 3.64%.
Persons: , it's, Dan Ives, Powell, Ives Organizations: Treasury, Service, Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Wedbush Securities, Nvidia, Broadcom, Oracle, Here's
US stocks ended mixed on Monday ahead of the start of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points at the end of its meeting on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementStocks close mixed on Monday as traders and investors prepared for the start of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's rate-setting group, is expected to deliver an interest rate cut at 2 p.m. on Wednesday.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Z Organizations: Apple, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Bank of America, Tech, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Micro, Micron Technology Locations: Here's
US stocks jumped on Friday as S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 aimed for a five-day win streak. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cut announcement next week. The Fed is expected to cut rates for the first time since 2019, with about even odds for a 25- or 50-basis point cut. Based on probabilities from the CME's FedWatch Tool, there's a 49%/51% split on whether the Fed will deliver a 50-basis point or 25-basis point interest rate cut, respectively. AdvertisementNext week's expected interest rate cut from the Fed will represent the first time the central bank has lowered rates since 2019.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, it's, Aditya Bhave Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Locations: Here's
The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones all posted gains amid rate cut speculation. Odds of a 50 basis point cut rose sharply this week from about 30% to 49%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notched a five-day win streak, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged almost 300 points. Odds are split 49% / 51% for a 50 basis point or 25 basis point rate cut, respectively. Advertisement"A less aggressive Fed rate outlook could spark some volatility given market expectations," Adam said.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Raymond James, Larry Adam, Adam Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Open, Fed, Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIron ore the 'last domino to fall' in commodities, strategist saysIan Roper, commodity strategist at Astris Advisory Japan KK, discusses the outlook for the global iron ore market.
Persons: Ian Roper Organizations: Astris Advisory Japan KK
Indexes rose Thursday as investors digested new inflation and labor market data. Jobless claims last week rose slightly following two weeks of consecutive declines. The producer price index logged a 0.2% monthly rise, in-line with expectations. In the second inflation reading of the week, the producer price index rose 0.2% from July to August, in line with expectations. This corner of the stock market is set to outperform once the Fed starts cutting interest rates, Goldman Sachs says.
Persons: , Harris, Ed Yardeni, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Here's, Trump
It means that, in aggregate, the average prices of goods and services are rising, just more slowly. Where prices have deflatedFor example, prices have declined by about 5% for furniture and bedding and 3% for appliances since August 2023, according to CPI data. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Airline fares have declined about 1% over the past year, according to CPI data. Grocery prices have fallen for items such as apples, potatoes, ham, coffee, rice, seafood and bananas, according to CPI data.
Persons: Stephen Brown, it's, Sarah House, They've, women's outerwear, Brown Organizations: North, Capital Economics, Finance, Social Security, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, International Air Transport Association Locations: U.S, North America, Wells Fargo, China
What people say about growth and inflation doesn't matter much anymore – even as the latest consumer inflation report shows a cooling trend. That means a notable drop in both wholesale and consumer prices is coming down the road. Now, it appears that the U.S. is slipping behind the rest of the world, turning its policy actions toward growth risks rather than inflation risks. It's also important to remind Fed policymakers that there is ample evidence of slower consumer spending among middle-to-lower income families. Further, recent revisions to job growth in the 12-month period through March 2024 confirm that a soft landing is at risk.
Persons: Stocks, that's, We're, It's, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, U.S ., CNBC Locations: China, U.S
Core inflation rose 0.3% in August, slightly above economists' expectations. Meanwhile, investors dashed their hopes for a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed next week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday as investors took in last month's inflation report, which showed an unexpected increase in the monthly core consumer price index. Bond yields rose as traders readjusted expectations for a jumbo rate hike of 50 basis points at next week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. AdvertisementThe surprise increase led investors to almost completely discount the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting.
Persons: , Josh Jamner, Jack McIntyre Organizations: Fed, Service, Dow Jones, ClearBridge Investments, Brandywine Global Locations: Here's
US stocks traded mixed as traders reacted to a mixed inflation report. Core consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing chances of a 50 basis-point rate cut. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, with investors staging a recovery after taking in a mixed inflation report. Odds for a 50 basis-point cut have been slashed by more than half to just 15%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Markets will assess August producer price inflation data and weekly jobless claims on Thursday and fresh retail sales data next Tuesday.
Persons: , Bill Adams, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Traders, Comercia Bank, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Here's
Investors are waiting for the consumer price report on Wednesday. JPMorgan led a slide in bank stocks after easing its earnings optimism. AdvertisementUS stocks ended mixed Tuesday ahead of the August consumer price index report due out Wednesday morning. Most investors anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut, but any shock in the inflation data could shift that outlook in favor of a steeper cut. Ahead of each report, Tuesday's presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could also sway markets.
Persons: Dow, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq, Ally Locations: Here's
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