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Countdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to know
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCountdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to knowJames Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it could be wise to cut sooner but slower, whether the Fed will stick with higher for longer, and if the Federal Reserve is keying in on rival central banks.
Persons: James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed, Federal
That’s why it is crucial for central bankers to insist on 2%. “By communicating an explicit inflation target — and then delivering inflation consistent with that target — central banks earn credibility with the public,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a recent speech. Stripping away highly volatile categories such as food and energy — a measure referred to as “core” inflation — won’t quell central bankers’ concerns. The Fed can’t ignore CPIAlthough CPI isn’t the inflation gauge the Fed targets, central bankers don’t write it off. It was, however, welcome news to Fed officials that Consumer Price Index-measured inflation fell to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in March.
Persons: Frank Robinson, , they’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Ben Bernanke, they’ll, John Williams, hasn’t, , Tom Barkin, don’t, Christopher Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal, Fed, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, ” Richmond Fed, CPI Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs' Luke Barrs on Nvidia: In the short term, we remain very optimisticLuke Barrs, Goldman Sachs global head of client portfolio management, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how other central banks will influence the Federal Reserve, whether the commentary from the week's Federal Reserve meeting will be important, and how Barrs advises clients.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Luke Barrs, Barrs Organizations: Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Reserve
New York CNN —Another month, another hot jobs report that has Wall Street wondering when the Federal Reserve will finally cut interest rates. On the other, it puts long-awaited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on the back burner. Before the Bell: Do you think the Fed could lower its projection for three quarter-point rate cuts this year? Is it concerning that the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have begun cutting rates before the Fed? A Samsung spokesperson told CNN that, “there is no impact on production and management activities” as a result of the one-day walkout.
Persons: Bell, Nate Thooft, I’m, that’s, Yoonjung Seo, , Son Woomok, Matt Egan, Lina Khan, Beam, Robinson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Manulife Investment Management, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, Workers, Samsung Electronics, Nationwide Samsung Electronics Union, CNN, Reuters, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Southern, Biden, FTC, Politico Locations: New York, South Korea, Miami, United States
The European Central Bank began easing interest rates on Thursday, cutting its benchmark rate by 0.25%. Investors and economists expect the Federal Reserve to follow suit and cut interest rates in September. This combination means there's a good chance that the September cut Wall Street is praying for may never materialize. The US already has somewhat higher interest rates than other countries — the Fed's benchmark rate is 5.25%- 5.50%. And in Asian economies, where interest rates are already significantly lower than in the US, things could get even messier.
Persons: Tamara, Vasiljev, Peter Schaffrik, Nigel Green, Green, we're Organizations: European Central Bank, Investors, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, JPMorgan, UBS, Bloomberg, of International Finance, Markets, RBC Capital Markets, deVere, Fed, We're, ECB, Bank of, EU, Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada's, Bank of England Locations: stagflation, China, Europe, Japan, South Korea, It's, America, United States, EU, Bank of England, Canada, East Asia
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, April 11, 2024. The European Central Bank is widely expected to announce a reduction in interest rates at its meeting in Frankfurt on Thursday, despite lingering inflationary pressures in the 20-nation euro zone. The central bank's key rate has been at a record 4% since September 2023. A cut would be the ECB's first since September 2019, when the deposit facility was in negative territory. Canada on Wednesday became the first G7 nation to cut interest rates in the current cycle, while Sweden and Switzerland's central banks already announced their own rate reductions this year.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wednesday Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Canada, Sweden
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeither wages nor job growth will be what moves the Fed, says Morgan Stanley's Seth CarpenterSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley global chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve as both Canada and Europe's central banks cut interest rates.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Seth Carpenter Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Canada
Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.3006%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than one basis point higher to 4.7449%. U.S. Treasurys rose slightly on Thursday as investors considered the latest economic data and weighed the outlook for interest rate cuts. Elsewhere, the European Central Bank is set to announce its first interest rate cut since 2019, even as inflationary pressures in the euro zone have lingered.
Persons: nonfarm Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Investors, European Central Bank, Federal Locations: Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, U.S
Citi's top investment ideas if the ECB cuts rates as expected
  + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's top investment ideas if the ECB cuts rates as expectedBeata Manthey, Global Equity Strategist at Citi, discusses how to invest as central banks around the world start cutting rates.
Persons: Beata Manthey Organizations: ECB, Global Equity, Citi
ECB: Interest rates are coming down in Europe
  + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
London CNN —The European Central Bank cut interest rates Thursday, moving before the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England to lower borrowing costs as inflation recedes following years of rate hikes. Central banks in Switzerland and Sweden have also cut interest rates this year. Analysts doubt the central bank will cut rates again at its next meeting in July. It added that it would keep interest rates “sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary” to return inflation to the 2% target. Higher interest rates tend to attract more international capital flows into a country, lifting demand for its currency.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Cyrus de la Rubia Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, ECB, Bank of Canada, P Global, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Fed, Traders Locations: Ukraine, United States, United Kingdom, Switzerland, Sweden, Hamburg, Frankfurt, Europe
Gold rangebound as traders seek more U.S. data for Fed cues
  + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Friday, Oct. 13, 2023. Gold prices rose slightly on Wednesday helped by lower Treasury yields, but were stuck in a tight range as investors waited for more U.S. data to gauge the Federal Reserve's next step on monetary policy. U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,354.50. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields lingered near their lowest level in almost three weeks hit on Tuesday, making bullion more attractive to investors. The U.S. services data is due at 1400 GMT.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Federal, Index, Gold Locations: Seoul, South Korea, U.S
European Central Bank officials are expected to cut interest rates this week for the first time in more than five years, drawing a line under the worst of the eurozone’s inflation crisis and easing the pressure on the region’s weak economy. But as policymakers in the eurozone move ahead, they leave behind their counterparts at the U.S. Federal Reserve, who are grappling with a seemingly more persistent inflation problem and warning that it will take longer to cut rates there. Lowering interest rates in Europe before the United States does would create a gap between the policies of two of the world’s largest and most influential central banks. to ease its policy could weaken the euro, while higher interest rates in the United States would continue to tighten financial conditions there and in other countries because of the global role of the dollar. can split from the Federal Reserve, while others say a divergence is not unusual and reflects two different economic situations.
Organizations: European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe, United States
The prominent OPEC+ oil producers' alliance is awaiting concrete central bank action on interest rates before factoring in the potential impact on the energy demand landscape, according to Saudi Arabia's energy minister. The production strategy decisions come at a time when OPEC's own forecasts show a 2.25 million barrel-per-day increase in demand, according to the Monthly Oil Market Report of May. Energy costs spiked worldwide in the wake of Russia's full-fledged invasion of Ukraine, aggravating the economic downturn that followed the Covid-19 pandemic. Global institutions have previously mentioned energy prices as underpinning inflationary concerns. In turn, the piled-on inflation has muzzled oil demand.
Persons: Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Monthly Locations: OPEC, Saudi, China, Ukraine
Thomas Coex | Afp | Getty ImagesThe oil-producing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies could extend existing output cuts this week, delegates and analysts told CNBC, even as focus shifts from Middle East tensions to summer demand. OPEC+ producers are currently implementing a combined 5.86 million barrels per day of supply cuts. And then August is the peak month for tightness," Viktor Katona, lead crude analyst at Kpler, told CNBC. "However, I think that the market right now has priced in a full extension of the voluntary cuts. A high-inflation environment and tight monetary policy in turn reined in oil demand, but central banks have signaled readiness to lower interest rates in the second half of the year.
Persons: Thomas Coex, Viktor Katona, overproducers, Jorge Leon, Yemen's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Energy, Market Research, PVM Oil Associates, United Arab Emirates Locations: OPEC, Vienna, China, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Paris, Ukraine, Gaza, Red, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Guyana, Brazil, Canada
Record high gold prices are in the spotlight — but it's really the yellow metal's poorer cousin, silver, that's outperforming in the price rally. Spot silver prices have gained 35% this year-to-date to 12-year-highs. In comparison, spot gold prices are at around $2,350 per ounce, but have just gained 14% so far this year. Silver is used in solar panels and also in general industryIn particular, silver is a key raw material for solar panels. Other than solar panels, silver is also used in electronics, as catalysts in industrial processes, and in car parts.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Daniela Hathorn, Hathorn, Silver, overcapacity Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg, East, Global, Silver Institute Locations: China, West, Europe, Beijing
LONDON — The Federal Reserve should wait for significant progress on inflation before cutting interest rates, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari told CNBC Tuesday. Asked what conditions were needed for the Fed to cut rates once or twice this year, Kashkari said: "Many more months of positive inflation data, I think, to give me confidence that it's appropriate to dial back." He said the central bank could potentially even hike rates if inflation fails to come down further. He noted that the central bank may consider raising its target rate in the future, but said it was not appropriate to "move the goal posts" at this stage. The Bank of England is also broadly expected to cut rates this summer.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of England Locations: U.S
Governor of the Bank of Italy Fabio Panetta (L), Italy's Minister of Economy and Finance Giancarlo Giorgetti (R) and President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde pose on the sidelines of the G7 Finance Ministers meeting in Stresa on May 24, 2024. Earlier this week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Sky News she saw the "possibility" that G7 nations could assist Ukraine with as much as $50 billion in loans linked to frozen Russian assets. "The Russian assets are not earning interest anymore, but they are generating returns for Euroclear. That alone could be given to Ukraine that would be repaid over several years by that flow of interest," Yellen added. It remains to be seen whether G7 nations can strike consensus on such a loan and what final sum will be extended to support Kyiv's military effort.
Persons: Bank of Italy Fabio Panetta, Finance Giancarlo Giorgetti, European Central Bank Christine Lagarde, Janet Yellen, Yellen Organizations: Bank of Italy, Italy's, Economy, Finance, European Central Bank, Ukraine, Treasury, Sky News, Euroclear Locations: Stresa, Italy, Ukraine
China sold a record $53.3 billion worth of Treasurys and agency bonds in the first-quarter, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementChina unloaded a record volume of US bonds in the first quarter, escalating the country's pivot from dollar-denominated assets. AdvertisementBy last year, China was already discarding US debt to prop up its yuan, given considerable declines against the dollar. Now, the metal makes up a 4.9% of Chinese reserves, the highest since at least 2015, Bloomberg said. China is also de-dollarizing its reserves as part of a broader movement to diversify global finance, and chip at dollar dominance.
Persons: , Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, US Treasury, greenback, Biden Administration, West Locations: China, Beijing, Russia
Practically no one is phasing out the dollar for trade or foreign reserves, he said. No one is dumping dollars," Christian said of de-dollarization in a recent presentation. Its closest competitor, the euro, accounted for just 19% of all central bank reserves in 2022, down from around 29% several decades ago. Advertisement"There has been a diversification of central bank foreign exchange holdings, but it's not at the expense of the dollar, and it's not away from the dollar," Christian said. "Clearly people are buying dollars in a much greater volume than they are selling dollars," Christian said.
Persons: Jeffrey Christian, , Christian, it's, Chris Wallace, Wallace Organizations: CPM, Service, Bank of International Settlements, Monetary Fund, Federal Locations: Russia, China
Read previewCentral banks around the world have been snapping up gold, sending prices of the metal to record highs. The country's gold stash accounted for nearly three-quarters of its reserves as of March this year, according to WGC data. In 2022, Uzbekistan produced 110.8 tons of gold, making it the 10th top gold producer in the world, per WGC. Uzbekistan gold mining in March 2024. The country legalized private gold digging in 2019, and any gold found must be traded via its central bank.
Persons: , it's, VYACHESLAV OSELEDKO, Shavkat Mirziyoyev Organizations: Service, Business, World Gold, Central Bank of, Uzbek, AFP Locations: China, Saudi, Central Bank of Uzbekistan, Thailand, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakh
Gold reached a new record of $2,454.20 per ounce on Monday as markets price in Fed rate cuts. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGold set another record high on Monday as Wall Street readies for monetary policy to ease this year. Given that gold is a safe haven asset, rising international face-offs have prompted more investors to buy the bullion. Meanwhile, US sanctions on Russian reserves sparked central banks to snap up the metal at record pace.
Persons: Gold, , Grzegorz Drozdz, David Miarrions Organizations: Service, P, Trade
And simultaneously, we are referring to geopolitical risks. I think that, you know, markets sometimes are underestimating the potential impact of geopolitical risks that are there," Luis de Guindos told CNBC's Annette Weisbach. Rising geopolitical risks present "considerable downside risks," the ECB warned in the report. The report attributes the rally in financial markets to analyst expectations of interest rate cuts from major central banks this year. "And that's the element that you cannot ignore, you cannot overlook this potential impact that could affect risk aversion, risk attraction, commodity prices, growth, overall growth in the global economy."
Persons: Luis de Guindos, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, De Guindos Organizations: European Central Bank, Stock, U.S, ECB Locations: U.S, Europe, East, Ukraine
Central banks accounted for one-quarter of gold demand in 2022 and 2023, as the institutions bought over 1,000 tons of gold each year, according to the World Gold Council in a recent report. Related storiesThe world's central banks continued buying gold, snapping up 290 tons of gold in the first quarter of this year — the strongest start to any year on record, according to the council. AdvertisementThis suggests that gold purchases by some central banks may have been driven by concerns about sanctions risk, Gopinath said. Central banks will keep buying, despite high pricesWhile China's central bank gold buying has been hogging the headlines, other central banks are also loading up on gold. The World Gold Council wrote in its recent report that other big gold buyers included Turkey and India.
Persons: , Gita Gopinath, it's, Gopinath, IMF's Gopinath Organizations: Service, Monetary Fund, Business, World Gold, US Treasury, Agency, JPMorgan Locations: Ukraine, Central, Russia, China, Turkey, India
Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesEuropean stocks are now more attractive than their U.S. counterparts, according to Swiss Bank UBS , with factors such as economic data, interest rates and earnings playing a key role. In a note entitled: "A U-Turn: Favouring Europe over US equities," the bank's strategists said European stocks excluding the U.K. now outrank the U.S. on its "regional scorecard." UBS outlined a number of reasons for its "U-turn," especially given U.S. markets tend to outperform European ones. Indicators tracked by the bank — such as purchasing managers' index (PMI) data — suggest an upside risk to European GDP, and a downside risk to U.S. GDP, the bank said. Some of Europe's central banks have already begun easing, and the European Central Bank is expected to do so as soon as June.
Persons: Michael M Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Swiss Bank UBS, UBS, U.S, European Central Bank Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Japan, Swiss
AccelVenture capital firm Accel said Tuesday it's raised $650 million for its eighth fund targeted at investing in European and Israeli early-stage startups, in a sign the venture capital market may be showing signs of a recovery. "The environment has dramatically changed since then," Nelis told CNBC. Climate-focused VC firm World Fund closed a 300 million euro fund in March. "We're lucky that with DeepMind here in London and with Fair [Facebook AI Research] in Paris, there's at least two big centers that have great AI expertise," Nelis told CNBC. "My expectation is Europe is going to generate some really interesting AI application companies," Nelis told CNBC.
Persons: Harry Nelis, Sonali de Rycker, Andrei Brasoveanu, Luca Bocchio, Philippe Botteri, it's, Nelis, UiPath, Russia's, Wise, Magnus Grimeland, Grimeland, there's, Victor Riparbelli, Synthesia, Riparbelli Organizations: Accel, Accel Venture, Spotify, CNBC, Skype, U.S, Nvidia Locations: Europe, Israel, Lithuania, Romania, Ukraine, New York, U.S, London, Paris, Synthesia
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