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☆ A popular China ETF is surging Tuesday. It's not time to jump in just yet, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Not surprisingly, the news has given a jolt to the most liquid Chinese ETF today, as well. The iShares China Large Cap ETF (FXI) has been trading even higher than that so far on Tuesday. The ETF was trading considerably higher in pre-market trading hours and opened a whopping 6% higher from the prior day's close. And that's exactly why we need to look beyond the last few months to a get true sense of its trend. And at that point, the ETF would be hitting its highest level since early 2022.

Persons: it's, FXI, that's Organizations: Shanghai Stock, RSI, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: China

☆ Australia's central bank keeps rates on hold, stays hawkish
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at the central bank's building in Sydney, Australia on May 2, 2022. The hawkish stance sent the Australian dollar 0.4% higher to $0.6864, the highest this year, and markets pared the chance of a December rate cut to 59% from 64% before the decision. Markets had wagered heavily on a steady outcome given underlying inflation remained sticky and the labor market held up surprisingly well. Governor Michele Bullock has used every opportunity recently to stress that the central bank does not expect a near-term rate cut. The RBA already trails other central bank in cutting rates, and the political pressure is ramping up for an easing.

Persons: Michele Bullock Organizations: Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Wednesday, Greens, Monday Locations: Sydney, Australia, Australia's

☆ Market headed for first winning September in 5 years, but don't get too comfortable
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In fact, the S & P 500 is on pace for a winning September — its first since 2019 — with a gain of more than 1%. The month is typically the worst stretch of the year on average for all three major averages and the Russell 2000, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Some of September's strength could be attributed to the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut last week . The S & P 500 notched a fresh record close on Monday and an intraday all-time high on Tuesday. The benchmark S & P 500 typically pulls back nearly 1% on average in October in election years, per the Stock Trader's Almanac.

Persons: —, Russell, Gary Pzegeo Organizations: Federal, CIBC Private Wealth Management

☆ Former Atlanta Fed Pres. Dennis Lockhart: Expect a series of 25 basis point cuts going forward
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Atlanta Fed Pres. Dennis Lockhart: Expect a series of 25 basis point cuts going forwardFormer Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's interest rate decision, the rationale behind the central bank's decision to cut 50 basis points, rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Dennis Lockhart Organizations: Former Atlanta Fed, Atlanta Fed

☆ Morgan Stanley outlines the best-case scenario for stocks in the 4th quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, —, didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board

☆ Stock futures are little changed after Dow, S&P 500 hit record highs: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were calm on Tuesday evening as Wall Street looks to extend its September gains. Nasdaq 100 futures ticked up less than 0.1%, and futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.1%. The moves come after the S&P 500 and Dow closed at record highs after gaining 0.25% and 0.20%, respectively. "I'm a buyer of this rally until unemployment claims start rising, until earnings start declining, really until growth's a problem. Investors will also be paying close attention to commentary from companies, especially as earnings season ramps up early next month.

Persons: Lauren Goodwin, We're, Scott Welch Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, New York Life Investments, CNBC Locations: New York City

☆ China bond yields hit record low after PBOC signals more easing
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty ImagesChina bond yields fell to a record low after the People's Bank of China on Tuesday announced that it would cut the reserve requirement ratio for banks. Yield on China's 10-year government bonds fell 3.75 basis points to 2.043%, data from LSEG showed, marking a record low. 30-year bond yields also dropped to a record low of 2.168%. In recent months, insurance companies and institutional investors have flocked to China's bond market, partly due to limited investment opportunities available.

Persons: Jiang Qiming, Pan Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images, PBOC, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Beijing, China, Getty Images China, LSEG

☆ Asia-Pacific markets climb with China's central bank in focus; S&P and Dow set fresh records
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Tuesday, tracking gains on Wall Street after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average touched new closing highs in Monday's trading session. The broad market index added 0.28% to end at 5,718.57, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 61.29 points, or 0.15%, to close at 42,124.65. The briefing is set to begin before Chinese markets open at 9:30 a.m. Currently, futures for the mainland Chinese CSI 300 are at 3,205.6, slightly lower than its last close of 3,212.76. As such, CBA expects a slightly less hawkish statement, but does not see a material shift in language or tone.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Traders, People's Bank of China, PBOC, CSI, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CBA Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia's

☆ Will be hard for RBA to cut rates before year-end, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWill be hard for RBA to cut rates before year-end, economist saysDiana Mousina, deputy chief economist at AMP, discusses Australia's central bank decision to keep interest rates unchanged.

Persons: Diana Mousina Organizations: AMP

☆ The stock market rally risks sparking an unsustainable 'melt-up' as the economy overheats, market vet Ed Yardeni says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The stock market runs a bigger risk of an unsustainable melt-up, according to Ed Yardeni. AdvertisementStocks run the risk of seeing an unsustainable, dot-com style melt-up, thanks to the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. That move sparked a rally in stocks to fresh records —but it's also raised the odds of a stock market melt-up, he said, meaning investors are now facing the risk of an unsustainable market boom. And while inflation has cooled from its highs several years ago, it is still a risk, Yardeni noted. Advertisement"If they get to overheat the economy and get to create a bubble in the stock market, yeah they're creating some issues," Yardeni added.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, Stocks, it's, Yardeni, Michelle Bowman, haven't Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed

☆ China just released aggressive measures to boost its economy — but some analysts say it's still not enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.

Persons: —, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China

☆ The Fed isn't going to be able to cut interest rates as much as it wants to, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed probably can't take rates as low as it would like to, according to Larry Summers. Summers pointed to the Fed's target of 2.9% for the so-called neutral rate. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Fed doesn't have the wiggle room to cut interest rates as low as it hopes to, according to ex-Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. In an interview with Bloomberg, Summers said central bankers have likely underestimated the so-called neutral rate, which is the level that neither expands nor contracts the economy.

Persons: Larry Summers, Summers, — Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business

☆ Wall Street has turned too negative on Starbucks — a turnaround is underway
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, We're, Jefferies, Brian Niccol, Piper Sandler, Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, GE Healthcare, Danaher, DuPont, Starbucks Locations: China, DHR

☆ Americans are fretting over the job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington CNN —America’s slowing job market is taking a toll on people’s moods. The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey showed that Americans became much more pessimistic about the US economy’s current health and the future of the job market. “September’s decline was the largest since August 2021 and all five components of the Index deteriorated.”The US job market is in decent shape, but it is clearly running at a much slower pace these days than it has in recent years. Peterson said the weaker-than-expected survey results “reflected consumers’ concerns about the labor market and reactions to fewer hours, slower payroll increases, fewer job openings — even if the labor market remains quite healthy, with low unemployment, few layoffs and elevated wages.”The job market’s fate is unclear. Employers might be holding back on hiring for two good reasons: Uncertainty over the upcoming US presidential election and the fate of interest rates, CNN previously reported.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, mightily, Peterson, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, Conference Board, Employers, Federal Reserve, CNN

☆ Fed's jumbo interest rate cut puts the U.S. on track for a soft landing, Goldman CFO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Federal Reserve's move to lower interest rates by 50 basis points puts the U.S. economy on track for a soft landing, according to Goldman Sachs ' chief financial officer. His comments come as market participants question whether the U.S. central bank's jumbo rate cut has been delivered in time to bring down inflation without pushing the economy into recession. Some analysts have raised concerns about the outlook for the U.S. economy, warning that similar supersized rate cuts couldn't avert the recessions of the early 2000s and the global financial crisis. One basis point equals 0.01%. It was the first time the FOMC had cut by that much since the early days of the coronavirus pandemic, and, before that, the global financial crisis in 2008.

Persons: Goldman Sachs Locations: U.S

The Chinese central bank's largest stimulus measures since Covid should provide the world's second-largest economy with a much-needed boost, which should help our portfolio companies doing business there. The Club has a broad range of companies with significant sales exposure to China, and some with none. Here's a look at the percentages in our 32 stock portfolio, as well as recent earnings call commentary, about the business climate and the potential in China. On the industrial side, DuPont has the most China exposure because of its electronics and water businesses. Eaton and Dover don't have nearly as much China exposure.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Colette Kress, Tim Cook, Brian Niccol, Gamble, Andre Schulten, Peter Arduini, Lori Koch, Stanley Black, —, Jeff Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Peng Organizations: People's Bank of China, Wall, Commodities, Republican, House, Democratic, Trump, Broadcom, Nvidia, AMD, Nvidia's, Apple, Starbucks, Investors, Huawei, Jefferies, Consumer, Procter, Barclays, GE Healthcare, GE, DuPont, Banking, Coterra Energy, Investing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Asia, China, America, U.S, Eaton, Dover, People's Republic of China

☆ CNBC Pro Talks: After the Fed cuts rates, one fund manager will reveal where to invest right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Cnbc.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a bumper 50 basis points , investors have been left wondering whether growth or value stocks are the best bet. On CNBC's upcoming Pro Talks , Silvia Amaro will ask value investor Sean Peche where he sees opportunities in the current market. Peche is portfolio manager at the U.K.-based Ranmore Fund Management and manages its $329 million Ranmore Global Equity Fund . As of Aug. 31, the Ranmore Global Equity Fund has returned 21.6% over the last year, underperforming its benchmark MSCI World Index's 24.4%. CNBC Pro subscribers can watch Pro Talks live on Wednesday, Sept. 25, at 7 a.m.

Persons: Silvia Amaro, Sean Peche, He'll, Warren Buffett, Eli Lilly, ager, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Ranmore Fund Management, Global Equity Fund, Investors, Ranmore, Equity, Petrobras, Baidu, ABN Amro, Ranmore Global Equity Fund, Decillion Fund Management, Orbis Investment Advisory, CNBC, Beyond Locations: Carrefour, China, U.S, London

☆ As interest rates drop, ultra-rich investors are giving up their cash for risk assets. Here's what they're buying.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey showed that family offices had already been moving into risk assets well before the central bank began cutting. Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey. Related storiesSo far, the move toward equities has translated into a rush for big tech's AI, which remains a favorite among family offices. AdvertisementWhen it comes to real estate, family offices often prefer private investments. AdvertisementFixed incomeThe number one goal for any family office is the preservation of capital.

Persons: —, Richard Weintraub, Bank's, haven't, Weintraub, REITs Organizations: Service, Citi, Bank's, Business, Treasury Locations: American

☆ China's central bank chief set to hold press conference days after Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The relatively rare high-level press conference was scheduled after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week. That kicked off an easing cycle that theoretically gives China's central bank further room to cut its rates and boost growth in the face of deflationary pressure. Pan became PBOC governor in July 2023. He then told reporters in March, alongside China's annual parliamentary meeting, there was room to cut the RRR further. China's government system also means that policy is set at a far higher level than that of the financial regulators speaking Tuesday.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Gongsheng, Pan Organizations: People's Bank of China, BEIJING — People's Bank of China Gov, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Shanghai, China, BEIJING

☆ China Is Striking Deals to Cement Its Role as Asia’s Trade Hub
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Keith Bradsher | More About Keith Bradsher | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Each of the efforts, in varying ways, faces obstacles. The nation’s top leader, Xi Jinping, will need close cooperation from border countries, some of which are politically volatile, like Kyrgyzstan, or internationally isolated, like North Korea. Neighboring countries that have long been wary of China, like Vietnam, will need to be reassured. But others have warned of Chinese domination of the Laotian economy. The new initiatives would also be expensive, and China has begun emphasizing smaller Belt and Road projects elsewhere.

Persons: Xi Jinping, ”, Ja Ian Chong Organizations: National University of Singapore Locations: Kyrgyzstan, North Korea, China, Vietnam, Laos, Southeast Asia, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Property stocks in Hong Kong rally on homes mortgage stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Chinese property stocks rallied on Tuesday after top financial regulators vowed a range of monetary easing measures to provide some relief for millions of families and boost a recovery in the real estate market. During a high-level press conference Tuesday morning, People's Bank of China Gov. Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index surged as much as 5% when Hong Kong markets opened shortly after the announcement was made. Chinese policymakers have been ramping up support to reduce household's financial burden and shore up the troubled real estate sector. Homeowners could also be allowed to refinance with a different bank for the first time in years, the outlet reported.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Pan, William Wu, Bruce Pang, Pang Organizations: People's Bank of China Gov, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, China Overseas Land & Investment, Daiwa, Bloomberg Locations: Beijing, Hang, Hong Kong, China, JLL

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Vaguely reassuring Fedspeak
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In an interview with CNBC, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, "We still have a strong, healthy labor market. But I want to keep it a strong, healthy labor market." Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was more circumspect.

Persons: IXIC BRBY, Jerome Powell, Michael Nagle, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, yesterday's Fedspeak, Dow, Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Alex Harring Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Market, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Minneapolis, Atlanta Fed, National Association of State, Chicago Fed, Dow, Nasdaq Locations: New York, U.S

☆ Aussie dollar near 2024 high before RBA; yen drifts as Ueda awaited
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The yen edged up to 143.45 per dollar, but remained close to the center of its September range of 147.20 to 139.58, a more than one-year peak reached on Sept. 16. The yen has retreated amid waning bets for aggressive tightening by the BOJ, particularly after governor Ueda struck a cautious tone of Friday, saying the central bank would spend some time monitoring global growth risks. The BoE kept rates unchanged last Thursday, with its governor saying the central bank had to be "careful not to cut too fast or by too much".

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, —, Pan Gongsheng, Ueda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, P Global Locations: China

☆ I moved my family from the US to Switzerland 8 years ago. The difference in our quality of life is astounding.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Amy Aves Challenger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

We folded seamlessly into our interconnected Swiss communityMy family didn't feel unwelcome or different in our new community. Amy ChallengerBecause of my husband's job, we quickly obtained resident permits to live in Switzerland and acquired health insurance. It eases our days and helps us stay connected to the beautiful nature around us. As the US continues to deal with extreme political divides, we're staying abroadWe are much more connected to nature in Switzerland. Earlier this year — almost eight years after moving to Switzerland — I returned to the US to stay in Manhattan with my youngest daughter.

Persons: —, Amy Challenger, we're, Switzerland — Organizations: Service, Sandy Hook Elementary, Business, South, Trump Locations: Switzerland, Lake Zurich, Africa, Asia, Europe, South America, Connecticut, Manhattan, Central Park

☆ Florida braces for potential heavy-hitting hurricane threatening damaging winds and storm surge
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Susannah Cullinane | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

With little time to prepare, Tampa General Hospital began erecting a 10-foot-high flood barrier around the facility Monday because of the chance for storm surge and shifts in the storm’s track. A tropical storm watch was raised Monday afternoon for Florida’s Dry Tortugas and part of the Keys and Monday evening for Bonita Beach to Flamingo, where a storm surge watch is also in effect. Strong, potentially damaging winds and storm surge are likely near where the system ultimately comes ashore. Hurricane and tropical storm watches are already in effect for parts of Mexico and Cuba. The “storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will extend well away from the center, particularly to the east of the system.

Persons: Helene, Ron DeSantis, –, Idalia, Mary Gilbert Organizations: CNN, United States ’, National Hurricane Center, Nine . Florida Gov, Tampa General Hospital, NHC, National Hurricane, Carolinas, Weather, Tennessee Locations: Florida, United, Caribbean, Tampa, Bend, Gulf, Mexico, Bonita Beach, Flamingo, Florida’s Big Bend, Louisiana, Central America, Cuba, Jamaica, United States, Florida , Georgia, Alabama, Georgia, Southern

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