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☆ Gold steady as focus turns to U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates. Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates. Spot gold was flat at $2,350.85 per ounce, as of 0350 GMT, after rising about 1% in the previous session. Fed meeting minutes released last week showed that the policy response, for now, would involve maintaining the benchmark policy rate at its current level but also reflected discussions of possible further hikes. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Persons: Kelvin Wong, Wong Organizations: Asia Pacific, Fed Locations: U.S, OANDA

☆ Stock futures are little changed after the Nasdaq Composite posts a record close: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed Tuesday night after the Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record. S&P 500 futures ticked down 0.06%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. The tech-heavy index was an outlier, however, as the S&P 500 edged higher by just 0.02%, and the 30-stock Dow slid nearly 0.6%, dragged lower by a decline in Merck shares. The S&P 500 is up 5.4% this month, while the Dow has advanced 2.7%. Indeed, fed funds futures trading data suggests a nearly 54% chance that rates will hold steady in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Dow, Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, . American Airlines, JetBlue, Southwest Airlines, Nvidia, Merck, Dow, Federal, Fundstrat Global Advisors

☆ Gold recoups from 2-week low as traders eye U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold are placed in a workroom at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia on Sept. 15, 2023. Gold prices on Monday drifted higher from a two-week low hit in the previous session as traders gauged fading hopes of U.S. interest rate cuts ahead of a key inflation report due later this week. The core personal consumption expenditures price index, the preferred inflation measure for the U.S. Federal Reserve, is due on Friday. Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting published last week showed the central bank's path to 2% inflation could take longer than expected.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Bullion, Index's Simpson Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Index, U.S . Federal, Traders Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia

☆ The key for markets next week will be inflation as stocks try to maintain record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The news will come with stocks on pace to close out a strong month that included all-time highs. Stocks are poised to end an impressive month of gains after some softer inflation data released earlier in May and stronger-than-expected corporate earnings revived investor exuberance in the market rally. On Friday, the 30-stock Dow was on pace to snap a five-week win streak, falling by 2% for the period. Pesky inflation, consumer weakness The April personal income and expenditures report, which includes the PCE inflation reading, could confirm the recent trend of cooling inflation. Pending Home Sales (April) Earnings: Costco Wholesale , Ulta Beauty , NetApp , Best Buy , Dollar General , Hormel Foods Friday, May 31 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Dow, Mike Dickson, Dickson, FactSet, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Steph, it's, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, Mueller Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Horizon Investments, Fed, PCE, Robinhood, Costco Wholesale, Software, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hormel, Chicago PMI Locations: Chicago

☆ Gold price gains, but set for first weekly fall in three
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices rose on Friday, but were headed for their first weekly fall in three as expectations for interest rate cuts began to fade following the hawkish tone adopted in the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest minutes. Spot gold rose 0.54% to $2,340.90 per ounce, after earlier hitting its lowest since May 9. While the policy response for now would "involve maintaining" interest rates at current levels, the latest Fed minutes reflected discussions of possible hikes. Higher interest rates make non-yielding gold a less appealing investment. Previous expectations were for a likely first rate cut in September.

Persons: Ross Norman, Ricardo Evangelista Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Federal, Traders Locations: U.S .

☆ Stock market today: Indexes end the week mixed after inflation scare and Nvidia earnings boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks ended the week mixed on Friday after an inflation scare and Nvidia's earnings report. Investors will look ahead to next week's PCE data to gauge which direction inflation is headed. Nvidia earnings helped push up tech stocks and drove the Nasdaq 100 to an overall gain this week. AdvertisementUS stocks traded higher on Friday, but finished the week mixed after an inflation scare following strong economic data and the release of Nvidia's solid first-quarter earnings report. AdvertisementInvestors will look to next week's release of PCE data to gauge which direction inflation is moving.

Persons: —, LPL, Quincy Krosby, Nvidia's, Blackwell Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones, PMI, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: Dow plunges 605 points as fresh economic data clouds outlook for rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Nvidia's solid earnings and guidance boosted its stock but the broader market saw a sharp dip. Rate cuts bets faded after services and manufacturing data pointed to still-sticky inflation. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The drop came after new services and manufacturing PMI data topped economists' estimates, hinting at more inflation pressure for the US economy. AdvertisementThursday's data pressured the outlook for rate cuts later this year.

Persons: Dow, — Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Here's

The 30-stock Dow slid 605.78 points, or 1.53%, and closed at 39,065.26 for its worst session of the year. The S&P 500 dropped 0.74%, closing at 5,267.84, and the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 0.39% to end at 16,736.03. Stocks fell Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average registering its worst day of 2024, as a post-earnings rally in Nvidia failed to lift the broader market. With its market cap of more than $2.5 trillion, Nvidia also has considerable sway over the broad S&P 500 . More than 400 names in the S&P 500 were lower, and information technology was the only positive sector for the day.

Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, it's, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow, Boeing, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Nvidia, . Services, Global, Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: New York City

☆ Stock market today: Indexes slip as traders await Nvidia's earnings report
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks traded lower as investors waited for Nvidia's first-quarter earnings report after the close. Investors also took in comments from Fed officials, which suggested rate cuts weren't imminent. AdvertisementUS stocks slid lower on Wednesday as traders took looked ahead to Nvidia's highly anticipated first-quarter earnings report and took in the latest commentary from Federal Reserve speakers. All three benchmark indexes traded lower, while bond yields ticked higher. Markets have been dialing back their expectations for Fed rate cuts all year.

Persons: Nvidia's, —, Susan Collins, Loretta Mester Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Bloomberg, Boston, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Here's

Mortgage interest rates have moved lower amid signs that persistently high inflation may be starting to cool. The 10-year Treasury yield fell following the release of this data, and mortgage rates followed suit. Once inflation slows enough that the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates and other consumer rates should trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ U.S. inflation data fuels bets of Fed rate cuts as early as September — but analysts aren’t convinced
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders appear increasingly confident that the U.S. Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates as early as September, after inflation data cooled more than expected in April. Traders are currently pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Jerome Schneider, head of short-term portfolio management at PIMCO, said on Thursday that the latest U.S. inflation data confirmed to investors that the potential for a near-term rate hike was now "off the table." "I think more contextually, we have to really understand that we have celebrated a lower inflation rate, the market has. But, in context, at PIMCO we're specifically thinking about the longer-term trajectory of how the Fed is going to react to this data," Schneider told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe."

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Schneider, we're, Schneider, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, U.S . Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, PIMCO

☆ Buckle up America: Powell says interest rates will likely stay higher for longer as inflation stubbornly refuses to come down
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewInflation and interest rates are still high, but Americans shouldn't count on any relief just yet. Advertisement"The status of the battle against inflation requires that interest rates remain elevated in the near-term," Hamrick said. "The first quarter in the United States was notable for its lack of further progress on inflation," Powell said during the panel. But while job seekers and workers may find this cooldown concerning, that moderation is also welcome and the labor market is still strong. "Paired with high borrowing costs — like high interest rates on your credit cards — and the current economy can feel quite uncomfortable," Renter added.

Persons: —, That's, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joanne Hsu, Nick Bunker, Ted Rossman, Rossman, Elizabeth Renter, Renter, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Business, Federal, University of Michigan, North America Locations: Amsterdam, United States, —

☆ Why investors shouldn't be clamoring for rate cuts this summer
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe market should be careful what it wishes for when it comes to rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Ed Yardeni, a longtime market veteran, has warned of a stock market "meltup" if the Fed were to cut interest rates this summer. High interest rates on risk tipping the economy into recession, but lowering rates too quickly risks a resurgence in inflation, which could slam American consumers. Fed officials have said they're looking for more evidence inflation is on track to fall to its 2% price target before mulling rate cuts. AdvertisementFor the most part, investors aren't expecting interest rates to come down before September.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, meltdowns, Yardeni, —, they're Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Yardeni, Fed

☆ Stock market today: Stocks jump on cooler April inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as traders took in slightly cooler inflation figures. Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-per-year in April, down from the prior month's 3.5% increase. Still, investors have muted expectations for Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders took in the latest inflation report, which showed prices cooled slightly in April. Falling inflation has fueled some hope the Fed is set to issue several interest rate cuts this year, which is bullish for stocks.

Persons: —, Seema Shah, Sonu Varghese Organizations: Service, Treasury, Asset Management, Traders, Carson Group

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 closes at a record high as stocks rise on cooler April inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks soared on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 notching an all-time high. The benchmark index surpassed 5,300 for the first time after April inflation came in cooler than expected. AdvertisementUS stocks surged on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 breaking its all-time record as traders took in cooling inflation numbers. On a monthly basis, inflation rose 0.3% in April, less than 0.4% in March. Slower economic activity helps lower inflation, though it could also indicate a slowdown in economic growth.

Persons: —, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, LPL

☆ The stock market is about to see a 10% correction, with further disinflation a 'pipe dream' and Fed rate cuts coming much later, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 could fall around 500 points in a swift correction, Stifel strategists warned. The investment firm said falling inflation was a "pipe dream," and Fed rate cuts could be delayed. Markets see just one or two rate cuts by the end of the year, per the CME FedWatch tool. "We have been wary of a broad S&P 500 correction in the middle quarters of 2024. Markets have already dialed back their outlook for Fed rate cuts this year, which drove a sell-of in stocks in April.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, Fed, PCE, Traders

☆ The US may be 'sleepwalking' into a recession as cracks form in the labor market, top economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe US could be "sleepwalking" into a recession, and signs of a downturn in key areas of the economy are starting to show, according to top economist David Rosenberg. That's a strong sign the economy is weakening, as manufacturing has only contracted on two occasions since 1997 without the economy later slipping into recession, Rosenberg noted. The 2-10 Treasury yield curve, a notoriously accurate recession indicator, has signaled a coming downturn since July 2022. The labor market is cracking, a slowdown in services activity is dragging on real-time growth, and forward looking financial signals still point to a coming slowdown," Rosenberg said. Rosenberg has been warning of a coming recession for months — and fears of a downturn are rising as investors anticipate the Fed keeping interest rates higher-for-longer.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, We're, That's Organizations: Service, Business, Treasury

Average 30-year mortgage rates dropped this week and have been hovering in the upper 6% range, according to Zillow data. As inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.18%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.11%, 18 basis points lower than last week. Mortgage Refinance Rates30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall (-0.28%)The average 30-year refinance rate is 6.99%, 28 basis points lower than last week.

Persons: you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

☆ There’s a surprising bit of good news lurking in the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Traders fear that elevated rates will uphold painfully high borrowing costs for consumers, squeeze corporate profit and weigh down the market. The labor market has stayed strong, consumers have continued spending and stocks have notched repeated record highs. The April jobs report was a welcome sign that the labor market is cooling without cratering. The labor market added just 175,000 positions last month, marking its lowest tally since October 2023 and a sharp cooldown from the upwardly revised 315,000 jobs added in March. First-time applications for unemployment benefits climbed last week to 231,000, the highest level since last August, in another sign that the labor market is cooling.

Persons: “, ”, Jeff Buchbinder, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, April’s, David Russell, Matt Egan, Wally Adeyemo, Read, Diksha Madhok, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Ambani, Ji, ” Modi, Rahul Gandhi Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Traders, CNN, Fed, LPL, ” Treasury, Treasury, Reliance Industries, Adani, Indian National Congress Locations: New York, Thursday’s, ’, India

It turns out that a long pause between Federal Reserve rate actions is historically good for stocks, according to LPL Financial. The pause, which has reached 280 days, is the second-longest in modern market history, LPL noted, behind only the 2006-07 pause that reached 446 days. "Long pauses are typically good for stocks, and the gains achieved since the Fed's last hike in July 2023 are consistent with recent history," said Jeff Buchbinder, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial. "The pace and rise of the S & P 500 during that time are in line with what we are seeing now." Still, the strategist observed that the sectors that have historically outperformed during long pauses are financials and energy, which generally return 15% for the period.

Persons: LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder Organizations: Financial, Investors, LPL

☆ Stock market today: Rally wavers but Dow edges higher for 6th straight session
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks wobbled on Wednesday but the Dow managed to notch its sixth winning session in a row. Tech stocks slid. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed Wednesday, with a sell-off in tech names causing a broader stock rally to waver after a streak of gains. Tech stocks slid, with downbeat Uber earnings sparking a 5.7% decline in the stock, while Intel fell after lowering revenue guidance for the quarter.

Persons: Dow, Uber, —, Wells Fargo Organizations: Tech, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Intel, Investors

☆ Stock market today: Indexes slide amid earnings-fueled tech selloff
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks dropped on Wednesday led by a selloff in the tech sector. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks slid on Wednesday, led by a sell-off in the tech sector as investors took in weak financials and earnings guidance. Here's where US indexes stood at the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Wednesday:AdvertisementHere's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:Advertisement

Persons: Tesla, —, David Bahnsen Organizations: Intel, Reuters, Service, Nasdaq, Justice Department, New York Fed Locations: Here's

☆ Buy stocks in May because inflation is set to plunge through the rest of 2024, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

That's because inflation is set to fall "dramatically" through the rest of the year, Lee predicted. AdvertisementInvestors should be buying stocks this month, as inflation is bound for a steep decline for the rest of the year, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. Real-time price declines will eventually catch up with the official inflation report. High rates risk tipping the economy into a recession and sparking market volatility, as investors, banks, and consumers grapple with a higher cost of borrowing. It is quite high, and as you know, it's putting a lot of pressure on regional banking ... the cost of money is quite high," Lee said.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, —, That's, it'll Organizations: Service, CNBC

☆ The Fed will spark an economic crash by delaying rate cuts, State Street equity research chief says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe economy is bound to enter a downturn if the Federal Reserve delays cutting interest rates, according to Marija Veitmane, the head of equity research at State Street Global Markets. The Wall Street vet warned of an impending economic crash if the Fed doesn't ease monetary policy soon. Higher interest rates are already taking a toll on economic strength, she noted, even if growth numbers looked fine last quarter. But the economy is already showing signs of strain from the burden of elevated interest rates, Veitmane warned. Markets are largely expecting the Fed to keep interest rates level at its next policy meeting.

Persons: —, Marija Veitmane, Veitmane Organizations: Service, Federal, Street Global Markets, Business, CNBC, AAA

Mortgage rates trended down a bit late last week, with 30-year mortgage rates dropping just below 7%, according to Zillow data. This is a sign that the economy is coming into better balance, which is good news for mortgage rates. Once inflation slows enough that the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should trend down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowToday's refinance ratesMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

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