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Falling yields and continuing excitement for AI could boost the S&P 500 to 6,500, the firm said. "This expectation that AI hype will increase and that Treasury yields will fall underpins our long-standing forecast for the S&p 500 to hit 6,500 by end-2025." But narrow stock market rallies have the potential to last years, Rielly said, suggesting the stock market run-up could continue for now. Warnings of a market bubble have proliferated as the S&P 500 notched a series of record-highs this year. Capital Economics has also warned of a stock market correction akin to the 1929 and dot-com crashes, which could begin in early 2026.
Persons: That's, , Reilly, that's, Rielly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Treasury, Street, NVIDIA, Capital
Perhaps the last thing the market needs is another shady financial product that pushes low-income Americans into homes they can’t afford, under terms that could bankrupt them. The zero-down mortgage is making a comeback, my colleague Matt Egan reports. And honestly, when has the value of the housing market ever gone anywhere but up up up up? The housing market, as we all remember from “The Big Short,” does not always go up. One way for motivated buyers to hunt for a lower mortgage rate is buy someone else’s.
Persons: America’s, aren’t, Matt Egan, you’re, let’s, didn’t, you’d, you’ll, , Patricia McCoy, ” Alex Elezaj, ” Adams, , Samantha Delouya, Ellen Harper, Samantha, ” Harper Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, United Wholesale Mortgage, Boston College Law School, CNN, Locations: New York, Georgia
According to the CCP's plan, by 2020, China was supposed to have "achieved iconic advances in AI models and methods, core devices, high-end equipment, and foundational software." Censorship requirements may slow China's AI development and limit the commercialization of domestic models, but they will not stop Beijing from benefiting from AI where it sees fit. We're not seeing a huge gap between the models Chinese companies have been able to roll out. The current price war is a race to the bottom, similar to what we've seen in the Chinese technology space before. A race to the bottom may simply beggar China's AI ecosystem.
Persons: Xi Jinping, China doesn't, there's, Beijing's, Reva Goujon, We're, It's, ChatGPT, Xie Huanchi, couldn't, you'll, , Kenneth DeWoskin, it's, Matt Sheehan, they're, chatbot, Sheehan, Ernie Bot, There's, Alibaba, ByteDance's, Paul Triolo, Albright, we've, haven't, DeWoskin, Sam Altman, Elon Musk Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, CCP, Intelligence, Cyberspace Administration, Getty, Freedom, University of Michigan, Deloitte, CAC, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Baidu, Bloomberg, Companies, Brookings Institution, Beijing, The Commerce Department Locations: China, Beijing, China's, Hong Kong, Xinhua, , Washington, Brussels, Berlin, Taiwan, US, Xinjiang
5 tips to turn your anxiety into a positive force
  + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Andrea Kane | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Most have experienced this sort of anxiety — not clinical anxiety, which might result in a full-on panic attack, but the run-of-the-mill kind that leaves you feeling uncomfortable. She is also the author of “Good Anxiety: Harnessing the Power of the Most Misunderstood Emotion.”“The misunderstanding is that it is valuable,” Suzuki said. 1 reason to learn how to modulate that stress response.”The first step toward getting to “good” anxiety, Suzuki said, is learning how to lower your level of everyday anxiety. To enhance productivity and reduce worry, transform your anxious what-if list into a productive to-do list, Suzuki advised. “This simple act can release dopamine and improve your own mood.”We hope these five tips help you turn your anxiety into something more productive.
Persons: Sanjay Gupta, , Wendy Suzuki, , , ’ ”, Suzuki, ” Suzuki, , Deepak Chopra, Wendy Organizations: CNN, New York University, school’s College of Arts and Science
When Dinesh Nepal first arrived in the United States in 2010, he had never heard of the term “Asian American.”He knew that he was of Asian descent. He grew up in a refugee camp in Nepal after his parents were expelled from Bhutan, a landlocked Himalayan nation. And after he moved to Pittsburgh and became a United States citizen, he began calling himself an American. But it never occurred to him to put those two labels together, even after he and his wife opened a shop selling bubble tea — a Taiwanese specialty that is iconic for Asian Americans.
Persons: Dinesh, Organizations: United Locations: Dinesh Nepal, United States, Nepal, Bhutan, Pittsburgh
It marks the often-unloved group's third-best showing since 2002, according to Goldman Sachs. Utilities aren't just an AI playOther than their understated connection to AI, utilities are attractive on a valuation basis and as a defensive hedge, according to Goldman Sachs. AdvertisementHowever, utilities are cheap compared to the high-single-digit earnings growth they're expected to produce in the next several years. Goldman SachsBesides being discounted relative to their future growth, utilities serve as a hedge against lower economic growth. AdvertisementOf the 16 utilities stocks covered by Goldman Sachs analysts, only half have a buy rating from the firm.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Carly Davenport, Ryan Hammond, Bill Gross, Sebastien Page, Rowe Price, it's, Page, Goldman, Hammond Organizations: Service, Utilities, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Goldman, Federal Reserve
Read previewIn the fierce fight for the best and brightest across finance, tech, and more, Ken Griffin's Citadel and Citadel Securities have expanded their pursuit of the freshest talent. There's a growing awareness from top students about finance beyond the big-name banks, according to Fabian Figi, Citadel Securities' head of campus recruiting. Citadel Securities also holds a Ph.D. summit, where advanced graduate students can present their research to firm leaders. Citadel Securities CEO Peng Zhao. Tina Lu, a former Citadel Securities intern at the Wisconsin bubble, said it's a hallmark of the firm to let people prove themselves.
Persons: , Ken Griffin's, It's, We've, Matt Mitro, Goldman Sachs, There's, Fabian Figi, Griffin, Citadel's, Figi, Shehan Suresh, Peng Zhao, Suresh, Tina Lu, I've, Lu, Mitro Organizations: Service, Citadel Securities, Business, Citadel, JPMorgan Chase, New, MIT, Stanford, Georgia Tech, University of Texas, Carnegie Mellon, Oxford, Harvard, Ivy League Locations: Wisconsin, New York, Miami, Chicago, Penn, Harvard, Fort Lauderdale
New York CNN —The jury might still be deliberating, but Donald Trump’s media allies have already delivered a verdict to their audiencesThroughout the duration of the Manhattan hush-money trial, Fox News and the rest of MAGA Media have set the stage to absolve Trump in the historic case. Inside this alternate media universe, the actual facts of the case never penetrate the bubble that shields its audiences from detrimental developments for Trump. In the Republican Party, voters absorb their information from outlets like Fox News, which has dishonestly run defense for Trump over the course of the trial. And the study only accounted for Fox News, not the host of other entities that make up the right-wing media universe. It can be tempting to ignore the torrent of attacks Trump’s media allies are launching in their unrelenting efforts to undermine the case.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Sean Hannity, Laura Ingraham, Steve Bannon, Joe Biden, nefariously, , Biden, Trump’s, it’s, Michael Cohen, David Pecker, , Judge Juan Merchan, Attorney Alvin Bragg, Jesse Watters, Merchan, Organizations: New York CNN, Fox News, MAGA Media, Trump, GOP, National Enquirer, Republican Party, Fox, Manhattan, Attorney, Media Matters Locations: New York, Manhattan
"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.
Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon
Trump’s vigilAs Merchan laid out his instructions for the first time on Wednesday, Trump watched from the defense lawyers’ table. Trump’s routine — aimed at voters as he seeks to delegitimize the case before the jury makes up its mind — is getting old. One new wrinkle Wednesday was his warning that the jury instructions could doom his defense. These charges are rigged.”The jury hears none of this, so it’s clear Trump is playing an outside political game. Two of the jurors are attorneys and could potentially give deliberations some structure, according to Jeff Swartz, a former Florida judge.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, tugging, David Pecker, Michael Cohen, Stormy Daniels, Cohen, , Daniels, Juan Merchan, what’s, doesn’t, it’s, Elie Honig, Merchan, Todd Blanche, , CNN’s Kristen Holmes, Joe Biden, , Theresa, Jeff Swartz, ” Swartz, Organizations: CNN, mull, Trump, Prosecutors, Manhattan, Attorney’s Office, New York City —, Boeing, GOP Locations: Manhattan, Ireland, New York, New York City, West Harlem, Florida
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Advertisement"Right now there's way too much confidence about the future trajectory of AI," Romer said. However, the economist argued there was not enough data available for the tech to keep progressing at the same pace. "It's just a lot of hype, the typical bubble hype where people are trying to cash in on the latest trend." Taken together, Romer and Kaltbaum see AI-linked stocks as hogging the market's gains — rightfully or not — and view the frenzy as a sign of problems ahead.
Persons: , Paul Romer, Gee, Romer, Gary Kaltbaum, Kaltbaum Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, World Bank, Boston College, Nvidia, Nike, Kaltbaum Capital Management, Fox Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewAfter raising $13 billion in 2022, billionaire Paul Singer's Elliott Management raked in another sizeable haul over the past six months. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Related stories"Historical and mathematical fact can get lost in the excitement when stocks are on a tear," the letter states. The firm recently took a $2.5 billion stake in Texas Instruments, calling on the 94-year-old company to improve its free cash flow.
Persons: , Paul Singer's Elliott, Elliott —, Elliott, doesn't Organizations: Service, Paul Singer's Elliott Management, Business, Texas Locations: YOLO
Wall Street sell-side research is a key part of the financial markets, written by analysts working for brokerage firms, investment banks and other institutions. Research reports An analyst's published research report might include a company overview with basic information about a company's business, products and position in the relevant market. This is especially true when an analyst is first initiating research coverage into a particular company or industry. Analyst recommendations affect stock prices every day , especially if an analyst or her firm is highly reputable or believed to hold expertise in a particular area. Contrarian indicators Analyst recommendations can occasionally act as a contrarian indicator , too.
Persons: Merrill Lynch, Henry Blodgett, Merrill Organizations: Research, Wall, Sarbanes, Oxley, Global, Securities and Exchange Commission, National Association of Securities Dealers, CNBC Pro Locations: Sarbanes
The stock market is primed for a correction as equity valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementThe stock market is "primed for a correction" as earnings valuations hit historically high levels, according to economist David Rosenberg. That suggests that the expansion in the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings valuation multiple to 21x from 18x in October is getting stretched. Wall Street consensus for the S&P 500's 2024 earnings per share is $245, which is the same forecast today as it was in October, before the stock market staged a near-30% rally. AdvertisementThat has informed Rosenberg's consistently bearish view, but the economist did say that high valuations on their own do not mean the stock market can't go higher from here.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, , " Rosenberg, Rosenberg's Organizations: Service
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Ironically, Salama sympathizes with Nvidia skeptics about the company's valuation, which he said is in "nosebleed territory." Stocks will shatter expectations — and recordsLike AI-focused companies, US stocks aren't cheap but can continue to charge higher. Other investments to consider are companies tied to AI champion Nvidia, including server builder Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and venerable computer company Dell (DELL). AdvertisementOutside AI, Salama is incredibly bullish about bitcoin (BTC) during its mammoth rally and companies tied to cryptocurrencies, including Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD).
Persons: , Leon Cooperman, Cooperman, that's, John Salama, Salama, Salama's, doesn't, OpenAI Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Trading, Microsoft, Apple, Micro, Dell, Coinbase Locations: bitcoin
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Walmart U.S. CEO: Consumer is focusing on the 'real heavy burden' in food and rent costsBill Simon, former Walmart U.S. CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the recent retail quarterly earnings results, how affluent consumers are creating a bubble at Walmart, and much more.
Persons: Bill Simon Organizations: Former Walmart U.S, Consumer, Walmart U.S, Walmart
Zero-down mortgages are making a comeback
  + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
That massive roadblock is being removed by a new zero-percent down mortgage program launched two weeks ago by one of the nation’s largest mortgage lenders. ‘Demand has been huge’These mortgages are only open to first-time homebuyers and those making no more than 80% of the area’s median income. That’s because in order to refinance at a lower rate, the homeowner would need to fully pay off that second mortgage. For instance, Bank of America launched a zero-down payment mortgage program in 2022 for first-time homebuyers in certain Black and Hispanic neighborhoods. “These mortgages are going to be ticking time bombs – just like subprime mortgages –unless home prices continue to increase very substantially,” Kelleher said.
Persons: Mat Ishbia, homebuyers, Christian Petersen, refinances, UWM, ” Alex Elezaj, they’d, , Patricia McCoy, McCoy, won’t, Bankrate, , Anneliese Lederer, ” Lederer, ” Dennis Kelleher, ” Kelleher, Jonathan Adams, ” UWM, Elezaj, , ” Elezaj, ” It’s, “ We’re, Greg McBride, Adams, ” Adams Organizations: CNN, United Wholesale Mortgage, Phoenix Suns NBA, Phoenix Suns, NBA, Oklahoma City, Footprint Center, Boston College Law School, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, US Department of Agriculture, US Department of Veterans Affairs, Center for Responsible, Better, Saint Joseph’s University, Bankrate, , Wall Street Locations: Phoenix , Arizona
When her daughter enrolls in kindergarten soon, Horrocks said she will return to the workforce but not to the high-stress position she held. Instead, given the luxury to pursue her passions, she's considering financial coaching or planning as options. "I think work is not the goal. She no longer needs to strive for the highest-paying or most prestigious position, and she's considered becoming a financial coach to help people achieve their financial goals. "Also, a lot of financial advisors don't have their client's best interests at heart and aren't wealthy themselves."
Persons: Sabina Horrocks, Horrocks, isn't hustles, Nobody's, We've, They've, we've, she's Organizations: Service, Business, Advisors Locations: Chicago
Legendary investor John Hussman says the latest stock rally is rooted in the extreme fear of missing out. FOMO factors have surged in markets, and stock prices could fall 50%-70% this cycle. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The legendary bear, famed for predicting the 2000 and 2008 crashes, reiterated that equities could drop as much as 70% this cycle. "Even the more conventional (but less reliable) S&P 500 price/forward operating earnings multiple is at levels that have no rivals except surrounding the 2000 and 2022 peaks," Hussman said.
Persons: John Hussman, , Hussman, Dow Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust
We lived in San Diego for a few years after college, and then we moved to San Francisco in 2018. Matine: San Francisco is amazing. But San Francisco was apocalyptic. We had a three-story, four-bedroom place for half the price of our condo in San Francisco. The facility we're currently in is only a little more expensive than my rent in San Francisco, and this is 20,000 square feet.
Persons: , John Yuksel, Matine Yuksel, I've, He's, Matine, Francisco, COVID, Beltways, John, Matine Yuksel John, There's, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Walmart, Apple Locations: San Francisco, Dubuque , Iowa, Cincinnati, Northern Kentucky, Arizona, San Diego, Francisco, Istanbul, Midwest, Iowa, Dubuque, Mississippi, Mount Adams, It's, California, Tucson
Japanese stocks are enjoying a banner year, with foreign investors plowing into the market. Japanese investors are hesitant Japanese investors have long been skeptical of the local stock market after the asset price bubble burst in the early 1990s. Another reason Japanese investors may not be as keen on their domestic market could be the yen falling sharply. Outlook for Japanese stocks still strong Despite the recent bout of selling from local investors and the market's recent struggles, many global investors remain bullish on Japanese stocks. This is another "slow-moving but important tailwind to Japanese stocks," with more room to run, according to Zachary Hill, Horizon Investments head of portfolio management.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Kishida, Julian McManus, Janus Henderson, Bernstein, Zachary Hill, Raymond Chan, Chan, McManus, he's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Japan Exchange Group, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Investment, Association, Prime, Nippon, Savings, U.S, Horizon Investments, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, Allianz Global Investors, Mitsui, Itochu, Sumitomo Locations: U.S, Japan, Asia
Traditionally, value investing and growth investing are considered two distinct investment strategies. Value investors look for stocks they believe the market has undervalued and may be trading for less than their "intrinsic" value. Value investors often employ "bottom-up" investing, which focuses on individual companies rather than the overall market or industry. Growth investing focuses on companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies. Is there a way to introduce a margin of safety to a growth stock using options?
Persons: Dan Ives, Jensen Huang, Vince Lombardi Organizations: Nvidia, Intel Locations: Wedbush
A global labor shortage of about 80 million workers will make tech stocks go parabolic, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. "I think AI is really addressing a global labor shortage of roughly 80 million workers by the end of 2030," Lee said. AdvertisementA global labor shortage of about 80 million workers by the end of 2030 is going to send technology stocks soaring, according to Fundstrat's Tom Lee. This isn't the first time a global labor shortage has led to a parabolic move higher in technology stocks as tech companies helped boost productivity. Fundstrat"Between 1948 and 1967 there was a global labor shortage and technology stocks went parabolic.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, , it's Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Cisco
For those outside the Westminster bubble, the announcement felt less like a starting pistol than a final gasp. But unlike Sunak, who with his wife Akshata Murty is worth an estimated £651 million ($828 million), most of us can’t afford it. The British economy never fully recovered from the 2008 recession and, consciously or not, most people still feel the sting every day. As Sam Knight recently noted in the New Yorker, the average British worker is estimated to be £14,000 ($17,800) worse off per year now than they would be if earnings had risen at pre-crisis rates. Her disastrous mini-budget wiped £30 billion off the UK economy that autumn, according to independent think tank Resolution Foundation, and sent interest rates rocketing.
Persons: Holly Thomas, Katie Couric, Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Tony Blair, Akshata Murty, Sam Knight, Brexit, Liz Truss, It’s, there’s, , Boris Johnson, Johnson, who’d, that’s, Blair Organizations: Katie Couric Media, CNN, London CNN —, Conservative, Westminster, Labour, British Medical Association, BMA, Commission, Yorker, Evening, Office, National Statistics, Tory, Foundation Locations: London, Westminster, England, British, Europe, Rwanda
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. "This particular product, and broadly speaking, the domestic investor, has driven the upsurge in the Indian stock markets," Mahesh Nandurkar, head of India research at Jefferies, told CNBC. For instance, of the nearly 4,900 actively traded India-listed stocks, 300 stocks had a fall in revenue in the last two consecutive financial years. Foreign investors have historically had a significant influence on local equity markets. For now, the savings directed into equity markets are still a tiny proportion of the overall savings Indians put away annually.
Persons: it's, Mahesh Nandurkar, Hermes, Jonathan Pines, Deepak Jasani, Jefferies, Nandurkar Organizations: Association for Mutual Funds, SBI Equity, Opportunities, ICICI Prudential, Advantage Fund, Jefferies, CNBC, Federated Hermes, HDFC Securities Locations: India, Japan
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