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[1/2] Chinese Yuan and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. That represented the highest annual growth rate since comparable records began in 2001. "BoE Sep rate hike bets have jumped ... providing support for the GBP," said Scotiabank chief FX strategist Shaun Osborne. The yuan briefly bounced back as major state-owned banks were seen selling dollars to support the local currency. Punctuating those worries, Chinese data on industrial output, retail sales and investment released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut showed unexpected slowdowns.

Persons: Yuan, Dado Ruvic, Sterling, BoE, Shaun Osborne, Scotiabank's Osborne, Osborne, Shinichiro Kadota, Shunichi Suzuki, Joice Alves, Samuel Indyk, Brigid Riley, Kevin Buckland, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, Kremlin, Bank of England, Scotiabank, People's Bank of China, U.S, Traders, Barclays, Finance, Thomson Locations: Russian

☆ Dollar firm, yuan slides after China unexpectedly cuts rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The safe-haven dollar stayed firm against major peers while the yuan sank to a nine-month trough after China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for a second time in three months on Tuesday to shore up the country's sputtering economy. Chinese data on industrial output and retail sales released shortly after the PBOC's rate cut also fell short of economists' forecasts. The Australian dollar , which often acts as a proxy trade on China, dipped as much as 0.39% to $0.6463 but failed to breach Monday's nine-month low of $0.6454. "There's a floor under (the Aussie dollar), and any rumors of stimulus could light the bullish match for these markets to bounce." Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar pushed to a fresh nine-month high of 145.60 yen before retreating to be down 0.09% at 145.435.

Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Traders Locations: China

☆ Analysis: Is Canadian core inflation about to crack? July data could offer hope
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The monthly increases for both measures have been 0.3% or less in seven of the last eight months. The BoC, which will release minutes from its July meeting on Wednesday, has said it doesn't want to tighten more than is needed. Canadians are particularly sensitive to higher borrowing costs after loading up on debt in recent years as house prices soared. The July inflation data is due for release on Aug. 15. Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Denny Thomas and Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Benjamin Reitzes, Reitzes, Royce Mendes, Mendes, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: TORONTO, Bank, Canada's, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bank of Canada, Desjardins, Thomson Locations: Helpfully

☆ Canadian market participants see rates staying at 5% in 2023 -BoC survey
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

OTTAWA, July 24 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada (BoC) will not raise rates again and will start cutting a little later than previously anticipated, according to a survey of market participants released by the central bank on Monday. The BoC's second-quarter survey, conducted from June 8 to 19, showed a median of the participants expect the bank to hold interest rates at a 22-year high of 5.00% until the end of 2023, before starting to cut rates in March. A median of 25 participants now also predict a 0.7% gross domestic product growth at the end of 2023, instead of a 0.1% contraction forecast in the last survey. In the survey release on Monday, the median forecast for annual inflation is for 3.0% at the end of this year, compared with 2.7% previously. Expectations for the inflation rate to drop to 2.2% by end-2024 were unchanged.

Persons: Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Marguerita Choy Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, BOC, Thomson Locations: Ottawa

OTTAWA, July 18 (Reuters) - Canada's annual inflation rate dropped more than expected to a 27-month low of 2.8% in June, data showed on Tuesday, led by lower energy prices while food and shelter cost increases persisted. Month-over-month, the consumer price index was up 0.1%, Statistics Canada said, which was also lower than the 0.3% forecast. "Inflation is definitely moving in the right direction, but we're seeing stickier and more persistent core measures," said Michael Greenberg, senior vice president and portfolio manager at Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions. The average of two of the Bank of Canada's (BoC) core measures of underlying inflation, CPI-median and CPI-trim, came in at 3.8% compared with 3.9% in May. "The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of core inflation, which exclude significant moves in individual categories, show that underlying price pressures remain sticky," said Royce Mendes, head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group.

Persons: stickier, Michael Greenberg, Royce Mendes, Mendes, We're, Jules Boudreau, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Nivedita Balu, Dale Smith, Will Dunham, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: OTTAWA, Reuters, Statistics, Bank of Canada's, Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, Canada's, Desjardins Group, The Bank of Canada, Mackenzie Investments, Canadian, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Mackenzie, China, Ottawa, Toronto

Macklem came under a rare attack last year from opposition politicians for misjudging inflation and locking in to a rigid forward guidance. "We are turning the corner on inflation," Macklem told reporters in January when the BoC became the first major central bank to announce a pause. The central bank's tightening campaign is a major concern for Canadians who loaded up on cheap mortgages and took on credit card and other debt in recent years. "Now maybe you're getting a certain maturity of the central bank that says, 'We're not going to do that again,'" Holt said. He assured Canadians during the pandemic that rates would rise only in 2023 when it expected the economic slack to be absorbed, but the central bank began hiking rates in March 2022 as inflation spiked.

Persons: Derek Holt, Macklem, Holt, Marc Chandler, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas, Matthew Lewis Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Scotiabank ., Canadian Real Estate Association, Bannockburn Global Forex, Thomson Locations: Bannockburn, Ottawa, Toronto

☆ China's central bank says consumer prices will likely drop in July
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Jason Lee | ReutersBEIJING – China's consumer prices will likely decline in July before recovering, Liu Guoqiang, deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, told reporters Friday. Official measures of consumer prices have barely changed in the last several months amid tepid demand, in contrast to high inflation in the U.S. and Europe. watch nowThe central bank said in April consumer prices would likely see a "U-shaped" recovery this year. He described the real estate market as "stable" overall, but said that "some real estate companies' long-accumulated risks require a period of time to gradually absorb." He said that was out of "consideration of deep changes in the relationship between supply and demand in [China's] real estate market."

Persons: Jason Lee, Liu Guoqiang, Liu, Bruce Pang, Zou Lan, Zou Organizations: People's Bank of China, Reuters, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, Reuters BEIJING, People's Bank of China, U.S, Europe, JLL

After a five-month pause, the BoC raised its overnight rate in June, saying monetary policy was not sufficiently restrictive. "If new information suggests we need to do more, we are prepared to increase our policy rate further," BoC Governor Tiff Macklem told reporters after the decision. The BoC's overnight target rate was last at 5.00% in March and April of 2001. Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters had expected the central bank to lift rates by a quarter of a percentage point. Money markets had seen a more than a 70% chance of a rate hike before the announcement.

Persons: Derek Holt, Andrew Kelvin, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil, Fergal Smith, Divya Rajogopal, Nivedita Balu, Paul Simao, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, Wednesday, BoC, Scotiabank, Reuters, TD Securities, Thomson Locations: Canada, Toronto

☆ Bank of Canada expected to hike rates as economy outperforms
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"We expect the Bank of Canada to raise its policy rate to 5.00% and leave the door open to more hikes this fall." Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the central bank to lift rates by another quarter of a percentage point and then hold them there well into 2024. Money markets see more than a 70% chance of a rate hike on Wednesday, and are fully pricing in such a move by September. Canada added far more jobs than expected in June, according to data published on Friday. "And let's face it, inflation is still above the Bank of Canada's 2% target."

Persons: Royce Mendes, Tiago Figueiredo, Doug Porter, Porter, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, Paul Simao Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Bank of Canada's, Group, Reuters, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canadian, Canada

☆ China's factory gate prices fall at fastest pace in 7 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

BEIJING, July 10 (Reuters) - China's factory-gate prices fell at the fastest pace in seven-and-a-half years in June, while consumer inflation was at its slowest since 2021, adding to the case for policymakers to use more stimulus to revive sluggish demand. The consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged year-on-year, compared with the 0.2% gain seen in May, driven by a faster fall in pork prices. Beijing has set a target for average consumer inflation in 2023 of about 3%. China last month cut policy rates to boost liquidity and vowed to take measures to promote household consumption. Reuters GraphicsFor producer prices, the biggest year-on-year declines were seen in energy, metals and chemicals as domestic and foreign demand weakened.

Persons: Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Pang, Hu Yuexiao, COVID, Liangping Gao, Ella Cao, Ryan Woo, Sam Holmes Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Capital Economics, Reuters Graphics, PPI, Jones, Shanghai Securities, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China

☆ Bank of Canada seen hiking rates quarter point to tame stubborn inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

In June, the central bank raised its overnight rate to a 22-year high of 4.75% after a five-month pause, saying monetary policy was not restrictive enough. Data in the past month showed some signs of a slowdown - inflation cooling to 3.4%, a tepid May jobs report and a surprise trade deficit in May. "We expect the BoC to take the policy rate 25 basis points higher to 5%." Twenty of 24 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the bank to lift rates by another quarter-point and then hold well into 2024. Reporting by Steve Scherer, additional reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by David GregorioOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jay Zhao, Murray, Andrew Grantham, Steve Scherer, Fergal Smith, David Gregorio Our Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Monex, Reuters, CIBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Canada

China's central bank said that financial regulators would fine Ant and its subsidiaries a total of 7.12 billion yuan, require it to stop operations of its crowdfunded medical aid service Xianghubao and compensate users. Reuters reported earlier, citing sources, that Chinese authorities intended to unveil its fine on Ant as early as Friday. The sources had earlier said that the fine on Ant had been revised to at least 8 billion yuan. Reuters reported in April that Chinese regulators were considering fining Ant about 5 billion yuan, a lower sum than what they initially had in mind. Alibaba was fined a record 18 billion yuan in 2021 for antitrust violations.

Persons: China c.bank, Ant, Ping, Rukim Kuang, Jack Ma, Jeffrey Towson, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Didi Global, Alibaba, Julie Zhu, Jane Xu, Jason Xue, Kevin Huang, Meg Shen, Twinnie Sui, Josh Ye, Ethan Wang, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Brenda Goh, David Holmes, Susan Fenton Organizations: Ant, Singapore FinTech Festival, REUTERS, Ant Group, People's Bank of China, Reuters, Ping An Bank, PICC, HK, Postal Savings Bank, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, Hong Kong, Financial Regulatory Administration, State Council, Lens Consulting, Thomson Locations: Singapore, China, HONG KONG, Ant's, Hong, Beijing, CHINA

Reuters reported earlier, citing sources, that Chinese authorities intended to unveil its fine on Ant as early as Friday. The National Financial Regulatory Administration (NFRA), a new government body under the State Council, is now the primary regulator to grant Ant the license, they added. The sources had earlier said that the fine on Ant had been revised to at least 8 billion yuan. Reuters reported in April that Chinese regulators were considering fining Ant about 5 billion yuan, a lower sum than what they initially had in mind. Alibaba was fined a record 18 billion yuan in 2021 for antitrust violations.

Persons: China c.bank, Ant, Ping, Rukim Kuang, Jeffrey Towson, Jack Ma, China's, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Didi Global, Alibaba, Julie Zhu, Jane Xu, Jason Xue, Kevin Huang, Meg Shen, Twinnie Sui, Josh Ye, Ethan Wang, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Brenda Goh, David Holmes, Susan Fenton Organizations: Ant, Singapore FinTech Festival, REUTERS, Ant Group, People's Bank of China, Reuters, Ping An Bank, PICC, HK, Postal Savings Bank, Tencent Holdings, Tenpay, Alibaba, Hong Kong, Lens Consulting, Communist Party, Financial Regulatory Administration, State Council, Thomson Locations: Singapore, China, HONG KONG, Ant's, Hong, Beijing, CHINA

OTTAWA, July 7 (Reuters) - Canada's economy added far more jobs than expected in June, data showed on Friday, a result analysts said probably seals the deal for another Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate hike next week. The unemployment rate in June increased for the second consecutive month and is now at its highest level since February 2022, though still below a pre-pandemic 12-month average, Statscan said. The June jobs report is the last major economic figure to be released before the BoC's rate announcement on Wednesday. Growth has remained resilient despite nine rate increases totaling 450 basis points since March of last year. The net jobs addition in June, the largest since January, were driven by full-time work.

Persons: Jobs, Statscan, Derek Holt, Royce Mendes, Ismail Shakil, Steve Scherer, Dale Smith, Emelia Sithole, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Bank of Canada, BoC, Statistics, Scotiabank, Desjardins Group, Reuters, Canadian, Employment, Thomson Locations: Statistics Canada, Ottawa

☆ Bank of Canada to raise rates 25 basis points on July 12, possibly the last
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Milounee Purohit | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

So the BoC will press ahead and hike the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 5.00% on July 12, according to 20 of 24 economists in the June 28-July 6 Reuters poll. That would amount to 475 basis points in total since March 2022, taking the overnight rate to a new 22-year high. Inflation is not expected to fall to the central bank's 2% target at least until 2025, according to the poll. The central bank was predicted to keep rates on hold at 5.00% until Q2 2024, said a majority of economists. Rates staying high for longer is expected to boost the Canadian dollar, one of the best performers among G10 currencies this year.

Persons: Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, Claire Fan, Kit Juckes, Milounee Purohit, Vijayalakshmi Srinivasan, Ross Finley, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Bank of Canada, Reuters, BoC, BMO Capital Markets, Gross, RBC Economics, Canadian, U.S, Societe Generale, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU

☆ China's central bank is caught in a pickle between the falling yuan and sputtering economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Jason Ma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China's central bank is caught between trying to support the yuan and the country's economy. The People's Bank of China has been ramping up its commentary on the yuan, which is falling against the dollar. But to revive economic growth, it's also cutting rates, which could counteract efforts to boost the currency. The ramp-up in commentary comes as the central bank's other method of influencing the yuan has fizzled. After several attempts in recent days to boost the yuan with aggressive reference points, the currency has given up its gains.

Persons: it's, — Organizations: People's Bank of, Service, Bank of China Locations: People's Bank of China

☆ China's choice of PBOC party chief signals financial stability worries
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Kevin Yao | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The central bank did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment. Pan, central bank deputy governor since 2012 who turns 60 this month, is not expected to deviate from China's measured pace of policy easing to support the recovery, analysts said. "His professional ability will help safeguard the bottom line of systemic financial risks, especially as the property sector is slowing, and fend off a big systemic crisis." In an unexpected move, the ruling Communist Party appointed Pan as the central bank's party secretary on Saturday, taking over from Guo Shuqing. China has taken a series of steps this year to tighten party control over the country's vast, but largely closed, financial system, including plans to set up the Central Financial Commission to oversee the PBOC and other financial regulators.

Persons: Gongsheng, Jason Lee, Pan, Yi Gang, Gu Tianyong, Guo Shuqing, Yi, Yi's, Zhou Xiaochuan, Zhou, Xu Hongcai, Marius Zaharia, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, National People's Congress, REUTERS, outflows, Reuters, cryptocurrencies, prudential, Central University of Finance, Economics, Communist Party, Pan, Street, Cambridge University, Harvard University, Central Financial Commission, China Association of Policy, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING

☆ China's central bank gets a new party secretary
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Pan Gongsheng was named party secretary of the People's Bank of China on July 1, 2023. BEIJING — The People's Bank of China announced Saturday that Pan Gongsheng, head of the country's foreign exchange regulator, would become the central bank's party secretary. In a country ruled by the Communist Party of China, the party secretary of an institution typically holds the most sway. That institution was absorbed into the National Financial Regulatory Administration in a financial regulatory overhaul announced in March and is set to take effect this year. The administration's party secretary and director is Li Yunze, a rare minister-level appointee of the younger 1970s generation.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng, Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Guo Shuqing, Li Yunze Organizations: People's Bank of China, Communist Party of China, China Banking, Insurance, Commission, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China

☆ Canadian firms see labor market pressure easing, near-term inflation slowing
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

By Steve SchererOTTAWA, June 30 (Reuters) - Canadian businesses see labor pressures easing and expect short-term inflation to edge down, the Bank of Canada said on Friday in a second quarter survey, but fewer firms expect an outright recession over the next year than three months ago. More businesses still expect wage growth over the next year, but the second-quarter number is a third of what it was a year ago. An increasing number of firms see both their input costs and the prices of what they sell declining over the next year. "Although labor shortages remain common in some sectors, pressures on the labor market are easing due to decreased competition for workers and increased labor supply," the report said. "Firms expect growth in their wages to moderate from high levels."

Persons: Steve Scherer OTTAWA, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil Organizations: Bank of Canada, BoC, Thomson

☆ Asia pushes back on 'excessive' currency moves amid enduring dollar strength
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Japan finance officials have warned all this week against the "excessive" depreciation of the Japanese yen . Contrasting moves in the world's major currencies — including the Japanese yen, the Chinese yuan and the U.S. dollar — underscore the variance in domestic interest rates and monetary cycles. Authorities may be buying the Japanese yen "with the rise in USD/JPY set to run further," she added. The Japanese currency was hovering at about 144 against the greenback in Asia trade on Thursday. The central bank allows the currency to trade within a narrow band of 2% from each day's midpoint.

Persons: Sheldon Cooper, Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Shunichi Suzuki, Philip Wee, Adnan Zaylani, BNM, Goldman Sachs Organizations: People's Bank of, Getty, U.S ., U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Ministry, Bank of Japan's, Reuters, Finance, DBS, greenback, Japan's Finance, Bank Negara Malaysia, Central Bank Locations: People's Bank of China, Asia, Japan, China, Covid, Ukraine, Malaysian, U.S . Federal, Bank

☆ China eyes support for consumer, private sectors as growth falters
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Kevin Yao | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China's cabinet is soliciting proposals from economists and advisers, policy insiders told Reuters, with big changes needing approval from top party leaders, and investors now looking to an expected Politburo meeting in July for clues on policy direction. However, the modest borrowing cost cuts - limited by concerns over banks' profitability and currency stability - will not be enough to boost economic activity, policy insiders said. Authorities are also considering support for the ailing property sector after earlier measures failed to gain traction, including easing credit conditions and home buying curbs in some areas, policy insiders. Economists blame the fading recovery on the "scarring effects" caused by COVID and regulatory curbs on property and tech sectors, which have hit household and private sector spending. Supporting depressed private-sector firms, which account for 60% of economic output and 80% of urban employment, will be essential to lift incomes, jobs and consumption, policy insiders and analysts said.

Persons: Rory Green, Jia Kang, Kevin Yao, Sam Holmes Organizations: quicken, Reuters, People's Bank of China's, TS Lombard, China Academy of New, Economics, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing

☆ Dollar ekes out gain after Fed hike hint; yen slips
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed's policy decision snapped a string of 10 consecutive rate hikes, but the projections, or dot plot, showed policymakers expect two more increases by the end of 2023. The euro was last flat versus the dollar at $1.0841 after touching a four-week high of $1.0865 on Wednesday. "Dollar-yen is at year highs and markets are increasingly beginning to talk about whether a further rise could trigger the BoJ to verbally and also effectually intervene in the FX market," Lomholt added. Japan's top government spokesperson said on Thursday that volatile currency market moves were undesirable and the authorities would take "appropriate" action as needed. The kiwi dollar sank 0.6% to $0.6172 after data showed New Zealand's economy slipped into a technical recession in the first quarter, putting further rate hikes in doubt.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Fed, Mohit Kumar, Kristoffer Kjær Lomholt, Lomholt, Sim Moh Siong, Samuel Indyk, Rocky Swift, Edmund Klamann, Sohini Goswami, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Jefferies, Bank of Japan, Money, ECB, Danske Bank, The Bank of, FX, People's Bank of China, Singapore, Thomson Locations: The Bank of Japan

"In light of what the Fed has announced, it's a hawkish pause," said Bank of Singapore currency strategist Sim Moh Siong. "The message here is that the Fed is tightening, and this is why I think the dollar itself could stay supported in the near term." The yen plunged 0.9% to 141.365 per dollar, and earlier touched 141.430, a level not seen since Nov. 23. The kiwi dollar sank 0.52% to $0.6177 after data showed New Zealand's economy slipped into a technical recession in the first quarter, putting further rate hikes in doubt. "Following the rate cut from earlier this week, there's a lot of expectation for more wide ranging stimulus to shore up the economy," said Bank of Singapore's Siong.

Persons: it's, Sim Moh, Rocky Swift, Edmund Klamann Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of, Singapore, People's Bank of China, Singapore's, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, China's, Bank of Japan

☆ China central bank seen cutting medium-term policy rate: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, June 14 (Reuters) - China's central bank is widely expected to cut the borrowing cost of medium-term policy loans for the first time in 10 months on Thursday, after it lowered two key short-term policy rates, a Reuters poll showed. China remains an outlier among global central banks as it loosens monetary policy to shore up a stalling recovery but further rate cuts will widen the yield gap with U.S. assets and risk greater outflows. The MLF rate serves as a guide to the benchmark loan prime rate (LPR), and markets usually use the medium-term rate as a precursor to any changes to the lending benchmark. Looking ahead, we expect another 10bp cut in the MLF rate in 3Q23." The PBOC last cut the MLF rate in August 2022 to prop up the broad economy disrupted by stringent zero-COVID measures.

Persons: Ting Lu, Larry Hu, Wu Fang, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, Nomura, Macquarie, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, lockstep

"The central bank's rate cut decision was not a complete surprise to the market," said Ken Cheung, chief Asian FX strategist at Mizuho Bank. Further interest rate cuts in China would only widen the yield gap with the United States, even if the Fed pauses this week, sending the yuan lower and accelerating capital outflows. Tuesday's rate cut suggests policymakers are increasingly worried about the health of China's recovery, traders and analysts said. Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources, that China was considering at least a dozen stimulus measures including cuts to interest rates to support areas such as real estate and domestic demand. "There could be another RRR or policy interest rate cut in Q4, depending on the economic outcome over the next several months."

Persons: Ken Cheung, Yi Gang, Cheung, Marco Sun, Frances Cheung, Goldman Sachs, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank, Bloomberg, OCBC Bank, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, United States, outflows

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