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Gold holds steady as traders anticipate US economic data
  + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold edged 0.1% lower to $2,026.39 per ounce by 0348 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.1% to $2,028.00. The odds of a Fed rate cut in March have dropped to 49% from about 71% two weeks ago, according to LSEG's interest-rate probability app IRPR. The U.S. dollar index fell 0.1%, while yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes slipped from a more than a month high to 4.1111%. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $22.55 per ounce, platinum was steady at $898.95, and palladium fell 0.1% to $945.88.
Persons: Matt Simpson Organizations: Federal, U.S, PMI Locations: Singapore, U.S
HONG KONG (AP) — Shares rose in most Asian markets Monday after Wall Street returned to record heights Friday, while Hong Kong’s benchmark dropped more than 2%, hovering near a 15-month low. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index gained 1.2% to 36,376.50. Wall Street's run-up was driven in part by hopes for rate cuts as U.S. inflation remained tame. Treasury yields have already relaxed significantly on expectations for rate cuts, and that helped the stock market’s rally accelerate sharply in November. The Fed itself has hinted that rate cuts are coming, though some officials have indicated they may begin later than the market is hoping for.
Persons: Australia’s, that’s, Brent Organizations: Wall, Hong, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, People’s Bank of China, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, Broadcom, Texas Instruments, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, U.S, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, Bangkok, Taiwan
Gold heads for worst weekly fall in six as rate-cut view tempers
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices have increased since the Ukraine War but have soared to record highs since the start of the Hamas-Israel war. Other factors are the weakening US dollar and expected rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Spot gold was little changed at $2,022.07 per ounce by 0404 GMT, but has fallen 1.3% so far in the week. Markets were betting on 139 basis points (bps) of Fed rate cuts this year, down from 150 bps a week earlier, according to LSEG's interest rate probability app, IRPR. The odds of a Fed rate cut in March have dropped to 54% from about 71% last week, according to IRPR.
Persons: Bullion, Hugo Pascal, Pascal, Raphael Bostic Organizations: Federal Reserve, hawkish Fed, U.S, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Birmingham, England, Ukraine, Israel, InProved, IRPR
HONG KONG (AP) — Asia markets mostly advanced Friday after Wall Street recouped most of the week's earlier losses and Japan reported slowing inflation, which may keep its ultra-low interest rates steady. Japan’s inflation slowed for a second straight month, increasing the chance that the Bank of Japan will keep its ultra-low interest rates unchanged at its meeting next week. Hong Kong stocks were on track for their third consecutive week of losses as investors remain worried about the gloomy economic prospects. The market was broadly steadier as Treasury yields in the bond market slowed their jump from earlier in the week. On the losing end of Wall Street were several financial companies that reported weaker results for the end of 2023 than analysts expected.
Persons: Australia’s, Taiwan’s Taiex, homebuilders, KeyCorp, Brent Organizations: , Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Apple, Broadcom, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Discover Financial Services, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, — Asia, Japan, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, Bangkok, United States
Gold near 5-week low as rate-cut optimism tapers
  + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Friday, Oct. 13, 2023. Gold prices hovered near five-week lows on Thursday, as hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and robust data dampened investors' expectation for deeper and early interest rate cuts in U.S. this year. The dollar has strengthened substantially in the past few days, putting a strain on gold prices, Brian Lan at the Singapore based dealer GoldSilver Central, said. Money markets were betting on 142 basis points of Fed rate cuts this year, while pricing in a 61% chance of a March easing, according to LSEG's interest rate probability app, IRPR. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Persons: Brian Lan, it's, GoldSilver's Lan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Christopher Waller's Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Federal Reserve, GoldSilver, Traders, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Singapore
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares traded mixed Thursday as pessimism spread among investors about any imminent interest rate cut in the United States. Wall Street slipped following another signal that it may have gotten too optimistic about when the Federal Reserve will deliver the cuts to interest rates. Yields climbed after a report showed sales at U.S. retailers were stronger in December than economists expected. Higher yields can crimp profits for companies, while also making investors less willing to pay high prices for stocks. Higher yields hurt all kinds of investments, and high-growth stocks tend to be some of the hardest hit.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Seng, Brent, Stan Choe, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Shanghai, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Amazon, Fed, Traders, CME Group, European Central Bank, U.S . Bancorp, Sporting Goods, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue Airways, JetBlue, U.S ., AP Locations: United States, Hong, U.S, New York
Stocks finished lower Tuesday after a Federal Reserve official said the central bank could cut interest rates this year but that the process should be "carefully calibrated and not rushed." Benchmark Treasury yields rose to settle at 4.064%, its highest afternoon level of the year so far. In bank stocks: Morgan Stanley fell after reporting quarterly results, while PNC wavered. Shares of leading U.S.-listed Chinese companies fell, with the Invesco Golden Dragon China exchange-traded fund down nearly 4%. Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Tuesday sought to reassure investors about opportunities in his country.
Persons: Stocks, Dow industrials, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Elon Musk, Yemen's Houthi, Li Qiang Organizations: Federal Reserve, PNC, Boeing, Spirit Airlines, JetBlue, Oil, Shell, Benchmark Locations: China
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were trading mostly lower on Wednesday after a decline overnight on Wall Street, while Tokyo's main benchmark momentarily hit another 30-year high. S&P 500 futures fell 0.5% to 4,775.25. Companies across the S&P 500 are likely to report meager growth in profits for the fourth quarter from a year earlier, if any, if Wall Street analysts' forecasts are to be believed. But optimism is higher for 2024, where analysts are forecasting a strong 11.8% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to FactSet. The index remains within 0.6% of its all-time high set two years agoFor now, traders are penciling in many more cuts to rates through 2024 than the Fed itself has indicated.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Stephen Innes, Brent, Stan Choe, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Dow, Nikkei, Companies, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai, New York
Gold extends slide as dollar firms on hawkish Fedspeak
  + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices extended losses on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened after hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve official dampened expectations for a March interest rate cut, while traders awaited comments from more Fed speakers this week. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $2,023.49 per ounce, as of 0415 GMT, after stooping 1.3% in the previous session - its biggest single-day decline since Dec. 4, 2023. Flow of funds to the U.S. dollar have been a key driver impacting the gold price, said Michael Langford, chief investment officer at Scorpion Minerals Ltd, forecasting bullion to trade around $2,000/Oz in the near term. With geopolitical tensions escalating, safe-haven flows could provide a floor for the gold price. However, "the short-term fate of the gold price is likely in the hands of the bond market," Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, wrote in a note.
Persons: Michael Langford, Christopher Waller, Tim Waterer Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Scorpion Minerals Ltd, Treasury, KCM, U.S Locations: U.S
Stock Market Today: Dow Slips 350 Points; Bank Earnings in Focus
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
Stocks turned lower Tuesday after a Federal Reserve official said the central bank could cut interest rates this year but that the process should be "carefully calibrated and not rushed." In Europe, pushback on imminent rate cuts from European Central Bank officials and news that the German economy shrank last year weighed on markets. An index of bank shares fell. Shares of leading U.S.-listed Chinese companies fell, with the Invesco Golden Dragon China exchange-traded fund down 3%. EV company Nio's ADRs were down 8%; Baidu, the owner of China’s largest internet search engine, and e-commerce giant JD.com slid about 4%.
Persons: Stocks, Dow industrials, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, Elon Musk, Yemen's Houthi, Nio's ADRs Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PNC, Boeing, Shell, Benchmark, EV, Nio's, Baidu Locations: Europe, China
Gold frail as dollar, yields strength dim shine
  + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices were subdued on Tuesday as the dollar and Treasury yields rose, while traders waited to hear from a slew of U.S. Federal Reserve speakers this week for more clarity on the central bank's rate cut prospects. The dollar index touched a 10-day high, making bullion less attractive for other currency holders, while yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury notes rose above 4%. Elsewhere, European Central Bank officials pushed back against market expectations for rapid rate cuts this year. According to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao, spot gold may retrace to $2,042 per ounce, after its repeated failures to break resistance at $2,060.
Persons: Christopher Waller's, Matt Simpson, Christopher Waller, Waller, Simpson, Wang Tao Organizations: Co, . Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Brookings Institution, Traders, Central Bank Locations: Bangkok, Thailand
BANGKOK (AP) — Shares fell Tuesday in Asia, with Hong Kong’s benchmark down nearly 2%, as jitters over Chinese markets dimmed confidence across the region. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index fell, snapping a New Year’s winning streak that took it to its highest level in 34 years. The dollar weakened against the Japanese yen even as a former central bank official said that the Bank of Japan is preparing to end its longstanding negative interest rate policy. The dollar bought 146.12 yen, up from 145.75 late Monday and at its highest level in more than one month. Traders are largely betting on the Fed cutting its main interest rate six or more times through 2024.
Persons: , Meituan, Kristalina Georgieva, Kospi, Germany's DAX, It's, Brent Organizations: Dow Jones, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Tencent, China Garden Holding, Ocean, IMF, CNBC, CAC, Traders, Fed, New York Mercantile Exchange Locations: BANGKOK, Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Beijing, South, Australia, Paris
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher on Monday, with Tokyo extending its New Year rally, as China’s central bank kept its one-year policy loan interest rate unchanged. China’s central bank opted to keep its one-year policy loan interest rate at 2.5% on Monday while injecting funds into the financial system. Traders are largely betting on the Fed cutting its main interest rate six or more times through 2024. The airline and other travel-related companies were also hurt by a rise in oil prices, which put pressure on their fuel costs. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 10 cents to $72.78.
Persons: Zhaopeng Xing, Raymond Yeung, , Ernie, Baidu, Lai Ching, Lai, Taiwan’s Taiex, Australia’s, It's, Yemen’s Houthi, Brent Organizations: ANZ, Baidu, Democratic Progressive Party, Dow Jones, UnitedHealth Group, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Traders, Fed, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, Cruise Line Holdings, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, China, Taiwan
Gold retreats to three-week low ahead of U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-01-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at Krastsvetmet, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals, in Moscow, January 31, 2023. Gold prices fell to a three-week low on Monday, pressured by elevated Treasury yields as expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cut faded, with investors looking ahead to this week's U.S. inflation data for more clarity. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. The market currently sees a 69% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's March 19-20 policy meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If and when a recession becomes apparent, the Fed can be expected to cut rates, likely weakening the dollar and benefiting the dollar gold price," Heraeus Metals said in a note.
Persons: Daniel Pavilonis, Heraeus Organizations: Treasury, Metals, Palladium, Heraeus Metals Locations: Moscow, U.S
Lori Calvasina, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, raised her year-end S & P 500 price target to 5,150 from 5,000. This is approximately 9.6% higher than the S & P 500's Friday closing level of 4,697.24. Last week, the S & P 500 snapped a nine-week winning streak as investors began pulling back on the technology titans. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury also traded above 4% last week, further placing downward pressure on the equity market. Calvasina's bear case sees the S & P 500 closing at 4,770 in 2024, just 1.5% above Friday's close.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina's, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Calvasina, she's, hasn't, Russell Organizations: RBC Capital, titans, Treasury, Wall Locations: U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares declined Tuesday on heavy selling of property and technology shares. A key report on Japanese inflation showed core consumer prices in Tokyo, which excludes volatile food prices, rose 2.3% from a year ago, slowing from previous months' increases. Hopes that inflation is easing enough to allow the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates have pushed shares higher in recent weeks. The sector is a key component in the U.S. economy and accounts for the majority of the nation’s jobs. The government’s monthly jobs report for November is due on Friday.
Persons: Hang Seng, Australia's, Biden, Uber, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Shanghai, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Technology, Microsoft, Nvidia, Netflix, Alaska Air Group, Hawaiian Airlines, Spotify, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, FactSet, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were mixed Monday as investors awaited a slew of U.S. economic data set for release later in the week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 0.5% to 16,749.07, while the Shanghai Composite edged 0.2% lower to 3,026.43. Among the economic updates due this week are data on the job market, including the U.S. government’s closely watched monthly employment report for November. “Traders prepare for a slew of actionable U.S. economic data scheduled for release this week, poised to be crucial in refining traders’ expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. Political Cartoons View All 1277 ImagesInflation data are also expected this week for several nations in Asia, including Japan, Thailand and the Philippines.
Persons: Australia's, Hang Seng, government’s, , Stephen Innes, Russell, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, China Evergrande's Hong Kong, U.S, “ Traders, Federal Reserve, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Investors, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S . Locations: Hong, Shanghai, China Evergrande's Hong, Hong Kong, Asia, Japan, Thailand, Philippines, U.S
Stock Market News, Nov. 30, 2023: Dow Logs Highest Close of 2023
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
The 10-year U.S. Treasury note had its best month since 2019, as a sharp unwinding of rate-hike expectations sent investors on a bond-buying spree. The Dow ended the day with its highest close since January 2022, while the Nasdaq Composite managed its best month since July 2022. Salesforce's stock rose, lifting the Dow, after the business-software company reported results last night. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up to settle at 4.349%, after three days of declines. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 finished its best month since January.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Benchmark U.S, Overseas
November's trading is in its last hours, with stocks—and a range of other asset classes—on pace for strong monthly gains. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have all risen, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation ebbs. The Dow is on track for its highest close of 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite is on track for its best month since January. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up, rising to around 4.343%, after three days of declines. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 finished its best month since January.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Benchmark U.S, Overseas
Aggregate bond index is up 4.8% in price this month. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have also rallied, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation continues to ebb. On Thursday, the latest personal-consumption expenditures price index—the Fed's preferred inflation gauge —offered the latest sign that pricing pressures are softening. The Nasdaq Composite is up 11% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. Salesforce's stock rose, lifting the blue-chip Dow, after the business-software company reported results last night.
Persons: Stocks, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Bloomberg U.S, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Benchmark U.S Locations: Russia, Europe
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly fell Wednesday although a strong report on U.S. consumer confidence and hopes the Federal Reserve is finished with its aggressive interest rate hikes sent shares higher on Wall Street. Food delivery company Meituan's Hong Kong-traded shares dropped 11% after it forecast its revenue will fall in the current quarter. The loosening grip from inflation and a resilient economy have raised hopes that the Fed might finally be finished with raising its benchmark interest rate. Hopes that the Fed will keep its benchmark interest rate steady were reaffirmed Tuesday by Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors. The Fed will meet again in December to update its interest rate policy.
Persons: Australia's, Hang Seng, Matthew Weller, Forex.com, Brent, Tesla, Christopher Waller, , ” Waller, Damian J, Troise, Alex Veiga Organizations: TOKYO, Reserve, Nikkei, China Evergrande, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, GE Healthcare Technologies, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed’s, Governors, American Enterprise Institute, U.S ., AP Business Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, OPEC, Washington
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares retreated Monday as investors awaited updates on consumer spending and inflation in the U.S. and other nations. While analysts expect them to stand pat on policy, attention remains relatively high, given concerns about inflation. Wall Street ended last week mixed with a half-day trading session that capped a fourth straight winning week. The holiday shopping season kicked off with Black Friday amid concerns that spending may slow under pressure from dwindling savings, rising credit card debt and inflation. The major stock indexes’ latest weekly gains reflect a turnaround in the market’s sentiment in November following a three-month slide.
Persons: ” Yeap Jun Rong, Hong, Hang Seng, Brent, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, IG, Shanghai, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Korea, Bank of, Black, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Google, CF Industries, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: U.S, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Thailand
REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Gold up 0.7% so far this weekPlatinum eyes second weekly gainDollar heads for second weekly fallNov 24 (Reuters) - Gold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. The dollar index (.DXY) slipped 0.2% against its rivals and was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed "carefully" and "all participants judged it appropriate to maintain" the current rate setting. "There is that disconnect between market expectations for rates and what the Fed minutes showed and that's what's causing some hesitation in the price of gold," Waterer said. Platinum was flat at $915.57, but was heading for its second weekly rise.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Tim Waterer, CME's, Waterer, Brijesh Patel, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM Trade, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold ticks higher as weaker US dollar, yields lend support
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 23 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. FUNDAMENTALS* Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,992.59 per ounce, as of 0143 GMT, after hitting a three-week high of $2,007.29 on Tuesday. * Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold. DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0745 France Business Climate Mfg, Overall Nov0815 France HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0830 Germany HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0900 EU HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0930 UK Flash Comp, Mfg, Serv PMIs NovReporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi AichOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Denis Balibouse, CME's, Serv, Brijesh Patel, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Treasury, . Federal Reserve, Trust, Climate Mfg, France HCOB, Germany HCOB, Mfg, Thomson Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, France, Germany, Bengaluru
Gold gains as weaker U.S. dollar, yields lift demand
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker handles an Argor-Heraeus SA one kilogram gold bar at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. arranged in Budapest, HungaryGold prices rose on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. The dollar was down 0.1% against its rivals after gains in the last two sessions, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell to a two-month low on Wednesday. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, CME's Organizations: Heraeus SA, Solar, U.S, U.S ., Asia Pacific, . U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Budapest, Hungary, ., OANDA
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