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Oil stocks are finally playing catch up as the energy sector has become one of the best performing sectors of the market this year, according to Morgan Stanley. "An improving macro backdrop has started a catch-up trade for Energy," analyst Devin McDermott told clients in a research note Thursday. The sector lagged the broader market last year as crude sagged, but is now following oil prices higher. The sector is outperforming the broader market with energy up 12.5% year to date while the S & P 500 is up 10.1%. Morgan Stanley upgraded the entire sector to overweight early this week.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Devin McDermott, McDermott Organizations: Energy, Brent, Morgan, ConocoPhillips, Occidental Locations: Diamondback, Devon, Brent
The price of global benchmark Brent crude oil could surge to $100 a barrel ahead of the U.S. election as Russia slashes its output, according to JPMorgan. "The shift in Russia's oil strategy is surprising," Natasha Kaneva, head of global commodities strategy at JPMorgan, told clients in a note Wednesday. Russia's cuts could push Brent to $90 in April and nearly $100 by September, which would put pressure on the Biden administration in the runup to the November presidential elections, Kaneva wrote. The White House could, however, tap the strategic petroleum reserve with space to release up to 60 million barrels, Kaneva wrote. Demand destruction, in turn, would result in lower crude prices, according to the analyst.
Persons: Natasha Kaneva, Brent, Biden, Kaneva Organizations: Brent, JPMorgan, Reuters Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Moscow, OPEC, U.S
Investors could be caught off guard by the strength of an oil price rally this summer, according to Morgan Stanley 's Martijn Rats. Brent futures have largely been trading in a narrow $75 to $85 interval since the start of the year. "There is a view in the market that the non-OPEC producers can meet all of the demand growth this year and therefore there isn't much incremental room for OPEC oil and that means you rely on continued OPEC cuts," Rats said. "Now, they are doing that, but people think that that dynamic for now puts a little bit of a cap on the price. I think the summer could be tighter than people expect but this is the dynamic that currently exists."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, We've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: London
Oil prices edged lower Monday after oil cartel OPEC+ agreed to extend voluntary output reductions until the second quarter, in an effort to support the short-term stability of crude markets. Global benchmark Brent slipped 0.05% to $83.52 a barrel Monday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures traded down 0.19% at $79.82 per barrel. OPEC+ announced on Sunday that the 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary output cuts that were planned for the first quarter of this year will continue into the next quarter. OPEC+ kingpin and de facto leader Saudi Arabia said it will prolong its voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of the second quarter, state-owned Saudi Press Agency said Sunday. Riyadh's crude production will stand at approximately 9 million barrels per day until the end of June.
Persons: Brent Organizations: OPEC, Global, U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi Press Agency Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia
Oil prices spiked last month following US-led strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen in response to repeated attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea. One factor that could be keeping the cap on oil prices is waning demand. “Global oil demand growth is losing momentum,” said the agency in its February report. While global oil demand growth is slowing, supply has stayed relatively strong, potentially putting further downward pressure on oil prices. “Higher global oil supply this year, led by the United States, Brazil, Guyana and Canada, should more than eclipse the expected rise in world oil demand,” said the report.
Persons: Bell, , Donald Trump, Matt Egan, , Trump, Jay Ritter, Read, Anna Bahney, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, Khater, Bob Broeksmit Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New, New York CNN, West Texas, Brent, International Energy Agency, , shuttering, Federal, US, United Arab Emirates, White, Wall, Trump, Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Securities and Exchange, Trump Media, SEC, University of Florida, Mortgage Bankers Association Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine, Yemen, Red, United Kingdom, Japan, Germany, Iraq, United States, Brazil, Guyana, Canada
Crude oil demand is expected to grow by 1.2 million barrels per day this year, down nearly 50% from growth of 2.3 million bpd in 2023, according to the Paris-based International Energy Agency. "The expansive post-pandemic growth phase in global oil demand has largely run its course," the IEA wrote in its February oil market report Thursday. Supply, meanwhile, is expected to exceed demand and grow by 1.7 million bpd this year driven primarily by higher production in the U.S., Brazil, Canada and Guyana. "Given heightened geopolitical risks and low global oil inventories, a modest surplus may help contain market volatility," the IEA said. OPEC, on the other hand, is forecasting a much tighter oil market this year, with demand growing by 2.2 million bpd, outpacing production growth of 1.2 million bpd outside the cartel.
Persons: Brent Organizations: International Energy Agency . Futures, Brent, West Texas Intermediate, IEA, OPEC Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Paris, Brazil, Canada, Guyana, East, Israel, Lebanon, Cairo, Gaza
British oil giant Shell on Thursday beat expectations for full-year profit, announcing a 4% increase to its dividend and a $3.5 billion share buyback program. Shell reported adjusted earnings of $28.25 billion for the full-year 2023, a 29% drop compared to its highest-ever annual profit of $39.9 billion the year prior. Analysts had expected Shell's full-year 2023 net profit to come in at $27.5 billion, according to an LSEG-compiled consensus. Shell announced a 4% increase in dividend per share for the fourth quarter and said a share buyback program of $3.5 billion will be carried out over the next three months. The firm added it had now completed another $3.5 billion of share buybacks announced in November last year.
Persons: Shell, Wael Sawan, Sawan, Brent Organizations: Shell, Brent, U.S, West Texas Intermediate, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, BP Locations: Nakuru, Kenya, British, London, Singapore
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Saudi Arabia's oil giant Saudi Aramco said Tuesday it will not try to increase its maximum daily oil production to 13 million barrels a day after receiving an order from the country's Energy Ministry. The firm, known formally as the Saudi Arabian Oil Co., said it would maintain its maximum output at 12 million barrels a day. However, crude oil prices globally have fallen over recent months as demand has been soft. Aramco reported earning $161 billion last year, claiming the highest-ever recorded annual profit by a publicly listed company and drawing immediate criticism from activists worried about climate change. Political Cartoons View All 253 Images
Organizations: United Arab Emirates, Saudi Aramco, country's Energy Ministry, Saudi Arabian Oil Co, Brent, Aramco Locations: DUBAI, United Arab, Saudi
A drone launch during a military exercise in an undisclosed location in Iran captured in a handout image obtained on Aug. 25, 2022. Oil prices advanced early Monday after missiles launched by Iran-backed militants killed U.S. troops in Jordan on the weekend. Global benchmark Brent traded 0.57% higher at $84.03 a barrel, while the U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 0.6% to $78.48 per barrel. They were the first American fatalities from enemy attacks since Israel's war with Hamas began on Oct. 7. "Have no doubt — we will hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing," he said.
Persons: Joe Biden Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, White, Hamas Locations: Iran, Jordan, U.S, Syria, Iraq
CNBC Daily Open: Big Tech earnings on tap
  + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. China's luxury reboundChina's luxury sales market is bouncing back. Tech layoffs surgeSilicon Valley's tech companies are slashing headcount at a rapid pace. Since the start of January, some 23,670 workers have been laid off from 85 tech companies, according to the website Layoffs.fyi.
Persons: Google's Bard, Hong, Dow, It's, Brent, Kingsley Jones, Jevons, Tesla, Jones Organizations: Microsoft, CNBC, CSI, Nasdaq, LVMH, Hamas, U.S . West Texas Locations: Asia, Iran, Jordan, U.S
Oil prices fell on Wednesday as a stronger U.S. dollar limited demand for greenback-denominated crude, though the rising risks of supply disruptions amid the intensifying conflict in the Red Sea curbed the losses. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures , or WTI, fell 43 cents, or 0.59%, to $71.97 a barrel. The stronger dollar reduces demand for dollar-denominated oil for buyers paying in other currencies. British oil major Shell suspended shipments through the Red Sea after the U.S. and UK strikes began, but U.S. producer Chevron is maintaining its Red Sea routes. "While oil benchmarks may not reflect the Red Sea attacks, the realized price for oil and oil products for consumers has increased given the disruption to trade flows through the Red Sea and Suez Canal," Vivek Dhar, director of mining and energy commodities strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in a note.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Daniel Hynes, Vivek Dhar Organizations: greenback, Global, Brent, . West Texas, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ Bank, Shell, Chevron, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: U.S, Iran, Yemen, Red, Suez
The warning came as Yemen’s Houthis vowed retaliation, further raising the prospect of a wider conflict in a region already beset by Israel's war in Gaza. The U.S.-led bombardment came in response to a recent campaign of drone and missile attacks on commercial ships in the vital Red Sea. Since November, the rebels have repeatedly targeted ships in the Red Sea, saying they were avenging Israel's offensive in Gaza against Hamas. The Houthis’ military spokesman, Brig. Tesla, meanwhile, said it would temporarily halt most production at its German factory because of attacks in the Red Sea.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, , Yemen’s Houthis, , " Biden, Lloyd Austin, Donald Trump Lt, Douglas Sims, Yahya Saree, Nikolas, Iran’s, Hussein, George W, Bush, Friday's, Nasser Kanaani, Vassily Nebenzia, Linda Thomas, Ambassador Barbara Woodward, Thomas, Greenfield, ” ___ Gambrell, Ahmed Al, Haj, Bassem, Jill Lawless, Nasser Karimi, Fatima Hussein, Ellen Knickmeyer, Chris Megerian, Seung Min Kim, Edith M, Lederer Organizations: WASHINGTON, Britain, Associated Press, U.S . Central Command, Navy, White, Camp, U.S . Navy, Republicans, Pentagon, Joint Chiefs of Staff, . Air Forces Central Command, Tomahawk, Foreign Ministry, Brent, Food, U.S, U.S ., United Arab Emirates, . Security, Ambassador, United Nations Locations: Yemen, U.S, Sanaa, Iran, Aden, Gaza . U.S, Houthi, Gen, Red, Gaza, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, United Kingdom, Bani, Abbs, Gulf of Oman, Tehran, Washington, Suez, America, Britain, Houthis, Greenfield, U.K, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Beirut, London, Emmaus , Pennsylvania
Oil prices fall 1% after surprise US storage build
  + stars: | 2024-01-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices fell nearly a dollar a barrel on Wednesday after a surprise jump in U.S. crude stockpiles raised worries about demand in the largest oil market. Global benchmark Brent crude oil futures settled 79 cents, or 1%, to $76.80 a barrel. Early in the session, both contracts had risen by more than a dollar before the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a surprise build in crude oil stockpiles and larger-than-expected jumps in storage of gasoline and distillates. Gasoline stocks rose by 8 million barrels while distillate stocks jumped by 6.5 million barrels, the EIA reported. Europe's weak economic outlook also added to oil demand concerns.
Persons: Rob Haworth, Haworth, Luis de Guindos, majeure Organizations: U.S . West Texas, Brent, U.S . Energy Information Administration, U.S, Bank Asset Management, EIA, European Central Bank, National Oil Corporation Locations: Nolan , Texas, U.S, Israel
Shipping can be rerouted away from the Red Sea, but crude would be essentially trapped if the strait is shut down, Struyven said. A prolonged disruption in the strait could eventually double oil prices, he said. McNally thinks the market should be factoring in a $12 geopolitical risk premium in oil prices right now. Wirth told CNBC's Sullivan that Chevron is currently working with the U.S. Navy to protect its vessels transiting the Red Sea. "Hopefully, if it doesn't escalate further, we'll be OK — even if there has to be a wholesale diversion of shipments around the Red Sea," Granholm said.
Persons: you've, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Brian Sullivan, Struyven, Bob McNally, McNally, Bush, Antony Blinken, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, Michael Wirth, Tehran's, Wirth, CNBC's Sullivan, Joe Biden's, Jennifer Granholm, Granholm, Israel, Benny Gantz, Gantz, Biden's, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Brent Organizations: Shipping, Rapidan Energy Group, National Security Council, P Global, Brent, Chevron, U.S . Navy, NBC News . Energy, Mizuho, Energy Information Agency, Gulf Locations: Red, Iran, Hormuz, Persian, Israel, Strait, Yemen, Danish, U.S, Lebanon, Beirut, Lebanese, Islamic Republic, The U.S, Europe, South Africa, United States, East
Stock Market Today: Futures Slip; Chinese Stocks Sink
  + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
That appears to be the verdict of stock investors, who sent the CSI 300 Index down 1.9% to its lowest level in almost five years. Adding to the gloom: after Chinese markets closed, Moody’s Investors Service cut its outlook on the country’s credit rating to negative . The ratings company said financial lifelines extended by the government to distressed regions and companies are harming the economy. China’s lackluster growth since the end of pandemic lockdowns has weighed on the stock market: The CSI 300 has fallen about 12% this year. Trading at about $79 a barrel, benchmark Brent crude was on track to snap a three-day losing streak.
Persons: Hong, Dow Organizations: CSI, Moody’s, Service, Dow industrials, Nasdaq, Brent Locations: China
What the group did agree was total production curbs of 2.2 million bpd from eight members, a figure that includes an extension of the existing voluntary Saudi and Russian cuts of 1.3 million bpd. This is up 1.86 million bpd from the figure of 40.10 million bpd for 2022, according to Kpler. China's crude imports were 11.36 million bpd in the first 10 months of the year, up 1.21 million bpd from the level for 2022 as a whole. India saw arrivals of 4.62 million bpd in the first 10 months of the year, according to LSEG data, up 462,000 bpd on the 4.14 million bpd for 2022. Asia's crude imports in the first 10 months of the year were 26.93 million bpd, according to LSEG data, up 1.34 million bpd on the 25.59 million bpd recorded for the whole of 2022.
Persons: It's, Stephen Coates Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Brent, OPEC, International Energy Agency, world's, Reuters, Thomson Locations: LAUNCESTON, Australia, OPEC, Russia, Saudi, United States, Brazil, Guyana, Asia, China, India
“Despite the challenges, we still expect OPEC+ to reach an agreement to reduce production," he said in an analyst note. Lower oil prices have allowed U.S. gas prices to fall or stay steady since Sept. 19, AAA said. White House national security spokesman John Kirby declined to address the possibility of OPEC+ reducing oil production. U.S. oil production has hit records as OPEC+ has cut back, with producers outside the group expected to keep leading global growth in oil supply next year, the International Energy Agency said in its November oil report. Now, the risk is growing that Saudi Arabia’s production cuts could reduce OPEC’s influence over oil supplies as other countries boost their output.
Persons: That's, Jorge Leon, Brent, Joe Biden, Biden, John Kirby, , ” Kirby, ” Leon, ” ___ Boak Organizations: OPEC, United Arab, Rystad Energy, International Monetary Fund, Brent, New York Mercantile Exchange, AAA, Gas, White House, International Energy Agency, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Saudi Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Israel, United Arab Emirates, Vienna, Ukraine, United States, U.S, Washington
Saudi Arabia, Russia and other members of OPEC+ pump more than 40% of the world's oil, or some 43 million bpd. Two OPEC+ sources told Reuters a preliminary agreement has been reached for a cut of more than 1 million bpd. This would include Saudi Arabia extending the voluntary cut of 1 million bpd it has had in place since July plus additional contributions from other members, sources said. "It depends on other group participants, could be near or more," the third source said when asked about the possible 1 million bpd cut. The OPEC+ meeting coincides with the opening of the United Nations' COP28 climate summit being hosted by OPEC member the United Arab Emirates.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Helima Croft, Alex Lawler, Olesya Astakhova, Maha El Dahan, Ahmad Ghaddar, David Goodman, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, OPEC, Reuters, Saudi, Brent, RBC Capital Markets, International Energy Agency, United Nations, United, United Arab Emirates, Thomson Locations: OPEC, MOSCOW, DUBAI, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United Arab
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsDUBAI/LONDON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - OPEC+ is continuing to hold talks on 2024 oil policy, with no delay to a meeting scheduled for Thursday currently expected, two sources from the producer group said on Wednesday. On Tuesday, sources had said a further delay to the meeting was possible amid talks which one of them described as difficult as countries maintained their positions. "The negotiations are ongoing, but no delay is expected," one of the sources said. OPEC+ sources said this was because of a disagreement over output quotas for African producers, though sources since said the group had moved closer to a compromise on this point. OPEC+ talks over production quotas have often been difficult in the past, most recently at their June meeting, which extended existing oil output cuts into 2024 and agreed the increase for the UAE because of its efforts to expand production capacity.
Persons: Dado, Maha El, Olesya Astakhova, Alex Lawler, Ahmad Ghaddar, Mark Potter, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, United, Brent, OPEC, Thomson Locations: Rights DUBAI, LONDON, OPEC, United Arab Emirates, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi
U.S. crude oil prices entered a bear market this week, down 22% from September highs as traders wrangle over whether the spiral is driven by market fundamentals or just speculation. Phil Flynn, an oil market analyst with the Price Futures Group, said hedge funds have piled into short positions. There is still some "grind lower" in prices in store unless more positive data comes out of China, he said. If prices keep falling, the U.S. will slip from record production because shale producers will have trouble making money and stop investing, he said. The group has blamed speculators for the recent selloff and insisted market fundamentals are strong with China demand healthy.
Persons: Leo Mariani, Roth MKM, Phil Flynn, John Kilduff, Flynn, Kilduff, Matt Maley, Miller, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, Brent, — CNBC's Pippa Stevens Organizations: West Texas, Brent, Price Futures, Energy Information Agency, Again, Traders, P Global, Organization of, Petroleum, UBS, OPEC Locations: China, U.S, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, East, Israel, Persian, Hormuz
U.S. retail sales fell slightly in October, the first decline since March. That follows softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data on Tuesday that sent equities and bonds soaring. All three major U.S. indexes rose slightly. Bond yields rose as prices fell. Producer prices fell 0.5% in October, marking the biggest drop since April 2020.
Persons: Stocks Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brent Locations: U.S
Stocks rose again Wednesday after fresh data suggested that the economy is slowing. U.S. retail sales fell slightly in October, the first decline since March. Producer prices fell 0.5% in October, marking the biggest drop since April 2020. All three major U.S. indexes rose slightly. Bond yields rose as prices fell.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, TJX Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brent Locations: U.S
Oil prices may be due for a pop after their recent struggles, according to two analysts. International benchmark Brent is down 3.7% this week, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures have lost nearly 4%. Flynn said virtually everyone in the market right now is short oil futures. "You could easily mount a recovery here because we're probably the most oversold in a year in the market," said Flynn. OPEC+ will meet in two weeks and could take action to defend prices while there's still a low risk of regional war.
Persons: Phil Flynn, Flynn, we're, Hossein Amir, Abdollahian, Qatar's Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman, Maximilian Layton, there's, Layton Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Price Futures, Iranian, Iran's Press, Citi Locations: Europe, China, Qatar's Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Gaza, OPEC, Israel, Iran
Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Waver, UBS Posts a Loss
  + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
Stock futures ticked lower, suggesting the recent winning streak on Wall Street could come to an end, while Treasurys rallied, bringing down yields. In global markets, UBS posted a larger-than-expected loss on costs related to taking over Credit Suisse. Index futures declined. International stock markets broadly declined. Oil markets retreated, putting benchmark Brent crude on track for its lowest close since August at slightly under $84 a barrel.
Persons: Treasurys, Dow, Bond Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, KKR, Carlyle Group, TPG, EBay, Rivian Automotive, Robinhood, Dow industrials, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nikkei, Hang, Brent Locations: Saudi Aramco, Europe
In an aerial view, the Valero Houston refinery seen on August 28, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Oil prices dipped even after Israel sent ground forces into the Gaza Strip, raising tensions in the Middle East, as investors closely monitor the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later this week. He said the ground operations were "limited so far" and noted other macroeconomic concerns. Oil prices surged late Friday, with Brent jumping above $90 per barrel as Israel said its troops were ‘increasing the ground operation’ in Gaza as it seeks to eradicate the militant group Hamas. "While a major oil supply disruption is not our base case, the oil market last week became a little too complacent about the likelihood of a major Israeli ground incursion in Gaza, and the risk of a wider regional war," McNally continued.
Persons: Israel, Brent, Bob McNally, Benjamin Netanyahu, McNally Organizations: . Federal, U.S . West Texas, Rapidan Energy Group, CNBC, Hamas Locations: Valero Houston, Houston , Texas, Gaza, ., U.S, Israel
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