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Search resuls for: "Anushka Trivedi"


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The rupee is tipped to open at around 80.65-80.70 per dollar, up from the previous session's close of 80.7950. The local currency jumped 2% last week in its best gain in almost four years. The rupee has already corrected more than 3% from record lows and "then you have to consider oil prices", the trader said. Asian currencies began the week on a positive note, keeping up the momentum fuelled by softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The data has prompted traders to calibrate again the pace of Fed rate hikes.
MUMBAI, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is tipped to decline against the dollar on Thursday, after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted that interest rate hikes might have to rise more than what was previously expected. The rupee is expected to open at around 82.85-82.90 to the dollar, compared with 82.7800 in the previous session. "Based on the reaction of U.S. bond and equity markets to Powell's remarks, rupee, like the rest of Asia, will struggle at open," a trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. It was "very premature" to discuss when the Fed might pause its increases, Powell added. ING Bank pointed out that Powell highlighted an important distinction between the pace of rate hikes and what will be the ultimate, or terminal, rate level.
The rupee eased to 82.85 per dollar, against its previous close of 82.78. The currency had consolidated around 82.70 all of this week ahead of the U.S. central bank meeting. The Fed raised its benchmark funds rate by 75 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4% as widely expected overnight. "This gives some breather to India as the country's central bank may not have to hike as aggressively." The Reserve Bank of India meets later in the day for a special meeting, most likely to discuss its first ever inflation target miss.
MUMBAI, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open little changed to the dollar on Wednesday as traders look for the U.S. Federal Reserve's views on the path forward for rates. The rupee is tipped at around almost the same levels in early trading as the previous session's close of 82.6950. "If the Fed's thinking is it may be early to give that signal, expect a gap down on rupee tomorrow." Fed futures now point to an almost even chance of whether the U.S. central bank's next move will be a 50 bps or 75 bps hike. "Yet we expect the Fed to remain data dependent and emphasize cumulative policy rate tightening over any step down in pace."
Indian rupee marks biggest monthly losing streak since 1985
  + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
MUMBAI, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee has declined in each of the ten months this year to notch its biggest losing streak in almost four decades as the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on monetary policy catapulted the dollar to two-decade highs. The dollar index is up 16% this year, having scaled 114.8-levels last month to trade near its 2002 peak. The Indian rupee fell 1.8% against the dollar in October, taking its slide for the year to nearly 11%. It could come under pressure in case Fed indicates aggressive tightening path in the future," HDFC Bank economists wrote in a note. Reporting by Anushka Trivedi in Mumbai; Editing by Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
MUMBAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open slightly lower versus the dollar on Tuesday after the offshore Chinese yuan tumbled to a lifetime low. The rupee is tipped to open at around 82.74-82.76 per U.S. dollar, compared with 82.6750 on Friday. Meanwhile, the dollar index dipped in Asia trading, adding to is recent losses on bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will deliver a small rate hike in December. If it were not for yuan, the rupee would have had "had a decent opening" considering the "slightly less" hawkish Fed outlook, a trader at a Mumbai-based bank said. Another fall in India's foreign exchange "is probably another problem" for the rupee, the trader said.
read moreThe partially convertible rupee was trading at 83.16/17 per dollar by 0436 GMT, compared to its close of 83.02 on Wednesday. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"We can expect the dollar to continue strengthening as long as the Fed maintains its super hawkish stance. read moreTraders said the falling interest rate differential between India and the U.S. could continue to pressure the rupee. Shilan Shah, India economist at Capital Economics, said in a recent note that 50 bps rate hikes may be off-the-table at the RBI's meeting in early December. "We think other MPC members will have seen enough evidence of growth coming off the boil and price pressures peaking.
India's banking system liquidity was already at a deficit of 100 billion Indian rupees ($1.21 billion) by this week, with more tax payment related outflows likely. The RBI would need to decide how to maintain money market rates close to policy rates, BofA strategists said. Buying bonds in the open market "would help achieve more than one objective" by injecting liquidity and averting a larger sell-off in bond markets, they added. Like most central banks globally, the RBI had conducted open market operations during the COVID-19 pandemic and stopped in October last year. "The decision on appropriate liquidity surplus or deficit in the system would depend on a few factors, including the monetary policy stance, need to support further credit growth, banking system liquidity skew and currency stability," they said.
MUMBAI, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee strengthened on Tuesday to hover close to the 82 per dollar mark, as risk sentiment improved after reversal of Britain's controversial fiscal plans pressured the greenback. The rupee jumped 0.35% to 82.05 by 0442 GMT, after having traded in a narrow band near the 82.40 level for the past five sessions. The currency has not traded under 82 per dollar in nearly two-weeks and traders see low chances of it breaching that in this session. Any level below 82 per dollar was good for importers with near-term exposures to buy as USD/INR premiums are currently lower too, he added. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterReporting by Anushka Trivedi in Mumbai; Editing by Neha AroraOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
MUMBAI, Sept 29 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is expected to open higher against the U.S. currency, after the Bank of England's decision to buy long-dated British bonds prompted a pullback in Treasury yields and the dollar index. The rupee is seen at around 81.60-81.65 per dollar in early trades, up from a record closing low of 81.94 on Wednesday. The dollar index tumbled on Wednesday, Treasury yields fell sharply and U.S. equities recovered after the BoE took measures to stop the rout in the U.K. bond market. The dollar index fell the most in more than two years on Wednesday, as risk aversion eased. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to near 3.70%.
A Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo is seen at the gate of its office in New Delhi, India, November 9, 2018. REUTERS/Altaf Hussain/MUMBAI, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The Reserve Bank of India may need to find ways to replenish its foreign exchange reserves such as encouraging non-resident Indians to deposit more funds, as it looks to stabilise a depreciating rupee, HDFC Bank Chief Economist Abheek Barua said. read more"The central bank should intervene to ensure that a falling currency does not eclipse India's fundamentals," Barua wrote in a note this week. According to Barua, the central bank may need to think of ways to bulk up its forex reserves, should the pool shrink to near $500 billion in the coming months. "More capital is needed at this stage to stabilise the rupee and enable the RBI to replenish its reserves chest," he said.
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