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As debt obligations mount, some local governments are pushing banks to extend maturities and cut interest rates, sources said. Reuters Graphics"BLACK HOLES""The LGFVs have become the black hole of the Chinese financial system. Chinese banks and other financial institutions have been cautious on new lending to LGFVs over the past years. In recent months, some state-owned banks, asset managers, and insurers have been looking into their portfolios to screen LGFV borrowers with weaker creditworthiness and dispose them, separate financial sector sources told Reuters. Offshore branches of Chinese financial institutions have been major buyers of the bonds, industry sources said.

☆ Adani fallout could have political implications for India in the longer term, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The fallout from the Adani Group turmoil could have political implications for India, said a chief Asia Pacific economist at Natixis. While corporate governance issues affect countries globally, what is different about the Adani case for India is that its "highly political," Alicia Garcia Herrero told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Tuesday. Indian billionaire founder Gautam Adani has been under scrutiny after allegations in January from U.S. short-seller firm Hindenburg Research that accused the Adani Group of companies of fraud. Adani, India's top industrialist, has since lost his crown as Asia's wealthiest man. However, the long-term political fallout for India remains to be seen, the economist said.

☆ Data shows a collapse of inflows into Asia, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailData shows a collapse of inflows into Asia, economist saysAlicia Garcia-Herrero of Natixis says that's mainly because the U.S. Federal Reserve is more hawkish than expected at the beginning of the year.

☆ Philippine economy will grow more than India's this year, says economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPhilippine economy will grow more than India's this year, says economistAlicia Garcia-Herrero of Natixis says 2023 will be "rather good" for the Philippines, compared with the rest of the region.

☆ As China seeks to live with the virus, COVID-control industries face decline
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Eduardo Baptista | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Workers in protective suits wait for people at a nucleic acid testing site, as the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak continues, in Shanghai, China, December 9, 2022. A day later though, the 43-year-old lost her job as one of the city's many hazmat-suited COVID swab testers. The industries had become big business over the course of the pandemic and are huge employers even if precise statistics are hard to come by. It remains to be seen just how painful China's dismantling of its COVID-control infrastructure will be for companies and their staff. ($1 = 6.9605 Chinese yuan)Reporting by Eduardo Baptista; Editing by Brenda Goh and Edwina GibbsOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

It marked the slowest growth since May when Shanghai was under lockdown, partly due to disruptions in key manufacturing hubs Guangzhou and Zhengzhou. Retail sales fell 5.9% amid broad-based weakness in the services sector, also the biggest contraction since May. "The weak activity data suggest that the policy needs to be eased further to revive the growth momentum," said Hao Zhou, chief economist at GTJAI. "The increased size of the MLF rollover this morning is in line with the overall easing policy tones. That would hit businesses and consumers, while a weakening global economy hurts Chinese exports.

☆ China's stunning reversal on lockdowns showed that mass protests can influence policy change in the country — but experts say it still doesn't threaten Xi's regime
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-11 | by ( Matthew Loh | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

But experts on China say it's unlikely the protests will embolden future political movements. The changes come after protests against COVID measures erupted all across China — rare for a country where dissent is snuffed out quickly. Baogang He, the chair of international relations at Deakin University in Australia, agreed that the protests show how mass anger can influence government policy, but not regime change. "No one is strong enough to exploit or dare to use these protests to mount a challenge to Xi Jinping," Xi, the professor, told Insider. Chong said that although Xi holds extensive power in China, the protests and subsequent rollback both underscore how he can make major mistakes, too.

☆ Hong Kong home prices drop to the lowest in nearly five years — and the worst may not be over
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Prices of Hong Kong's residential properties plunged to a near five-year low as rising interest rates and a mass exodus of expat workers drove down prices in one of the world's most expensive cities to work in. Hong Kong's home price index for October fell 2.4% to 352.4 compared to the previous month, marking the lowest level for the gauge since November 2017. Hong Kong, the world's least affordable housing market, saw dips in some of its largest private housing estates. In YOHO town, a 393-square feet apartment that's currently listed for 5.98 million Hong Kong dollars — that's about HK$15,216 per square foot, and a 20% drop in price compared to the previous month. A confluence of factors including weaker growth predictions and mainland Covid policies contribute to the grim outlook, but Hong Kong's immigration crisis and snowballing interest rates remain salient sticking points.

☆ Analysis: As economy stutters, China's youth seek safety of civil service
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( Eduardo Baptista | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The wishes of Lau's parents that she had a "safe" civil service career suddenly made more sense. Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, says the preference for civil servant jobs has surged. On social media, young Chinese refer to the civil service as "the end of the universe," meaning the safest place around in such an environment. "Being a civil servant gives you a lot of stability," she said. “The present state of the job market has definitely increased my desire to become a civil servant," she said.

☆ Sterling dips after Truss resigns, fragile yen weakens past 150 level
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan. The U.S. dollar pushed to a fresh two-decade high versus major peers on Thursday, propelled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook for interest rates. The euro fell 0.15% to $0.97725, after tracking the move in sterling to an overnight high of $0.98455. Meanwhile, the yen last bought 150.20 per dollar, after hitting a fresh 32-year low of 150.29 overnight. U.S. Treasury yields extended their climb overnight, with the two-year Treasury yield hitting a 15-year high of 4.623%, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 4.243%, its highest level since June 2008.

☆ China could see more state-led developers in real estate sector, says economist
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina could see more state-led developers in real estate sector, says economistAlicia Garcia-Herrero of Natixis says China's real estate sector will be highly regulated and private developers that are in trouble could be "taken over."

Monthly debt market data shows foreign investors have been net sellers for seven straight months to August as what had been a lucrative yield premium in China vanished as U.S. interest rates soared. GIMME SHELTERAmid foreign investors' exodus, there are signs of locals following as fast as allowable under capital controls that were tightened after the previous season of heavy outflows in 2016. Moving money is also very difficult as COVID-19 curbs on travel add another layer to capital controls. Data from consultancy Education International Cooperation showed a 41.5% jump in queries about study in Hong Kong between January and July, compared with the same period a year earlier. They expect a rush to Hong Kong products when the border between Hong Kong and the mainland reopens.

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